raphael
raphaelvggs.bsky.social
raphael
@raphaelvggs.bsky.social
Reposted by raphael
Arizona

Trump 52.0% (+7.0%)
Harris 45.0%
Stein 1.0%
Oliver 0.0%

Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research
Sep 24 - Oct 1
600LV

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Poll Id: 211931
October 8, 2024 at 6:40 PM
Reposted by raphael
Florida

Trump 55.0% (+14.0%)
Harris 41.0%

The New York Times/Siena College
Sep 29 - Oct 6
622LV

Pollster rating: 3/3

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Poll Id: 211848
October 8, 2024 at 1:35 PM
Reposted by raphael
National

Harris 47.0% (+0.0%)
Trump 47.0%

YouGov
Oct 2 - Oct 4
LV

Pollster rating: 3/3

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Poll Id: 211692
October 7, 2024 at 2:10 PM
E eu ainda tava falando hoje mais cedo que ia ter empate nessa eleiçao
🇧🇷 Candidatos têm o mesmo número de votos em Inhaúma, em Minas Gerais, e eleição termina em empate.

O critério para desempate, conforme determina a legislação eleitoral, foi a idade. Zula (Republicanos) tem 62 anos, enquanto Carlinhos (Solidariedade) tem 46 anos.
October 7, 2024 at 1:27 AM
😳
Michigan

Trump 49.0% (+1.0%)
Harris 48.0%

Mitchell Research & Communications
Sep 30 - Sep 30
709LV

Pollster rating: 2.4/3

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Poll Id: 211543
October 3, 2024 at 9:58 PM
She’s dropping again
National

Harris 48.0% (+3.0%)
Trump 45.0%
Stein 1.0%
West 0.0%

YouGov
Sep 29 - Oct 1
1463RV

Pollster rating: 3/3

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Poll Id: 211401
October 2, 2024 at 5:16 PM
TRUMP UP IN MICHIGAN WOW
Michigan

Trump 47.0% (+2.0%)
Harris 45.0%

The New York Times/Siena College
Sep 21 - Sep 26
688RV

Pollster rating: 3/3

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Poll Id: 211029
September 28, 2024 at 3:17 PM
Reposted by raphael
pela primeira vez em 20 anos, mais adultos nos EUA se identificam com o partido republicano do que o partido democrata

🔴 partido republicano - 48%
🔵 partido democrata - 45%
September 27, 2024 at 6:45 PM
Essa pesquisa da Marist Poll (uma das mais conceituadas) prova exatamente como os numeros da outra pesquisadora Morning Consult destoam absurdamente. É criminoso o que o pessoal da MC fazem toda eleiçao. É proposital pra enganar/deturpar as averages.
September 27, 2024 at 1:11 AM
Morning Consult people should have been jailed by this time. They are simply the worst pollster out there and they always favors the Democratic side even when its obvious they are behind in a state, like Arizona this time.
This kind of polls go out just to disturb the average.
Arizona

Harris 49.0% (+3.0%)
Trump 46.0%
Oliver 2.0%
Stein 1.0%

Morning Consult
Sep 19 - Sep 25
977RV

Pollster rating: 1.9/3

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Poll Id: 210916
September 27, 2024 at 1:07 AM
Michigan eh o estado mais democrata da Blue Wall e está praticamente empatado…
Michigan

Harris 46.0% (+1.0%)
Trump 45.0%
Oliver 1.0%
Stein 0.0%

Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Sep 16 - Sep 19
993LV

Pollster rating: 1.8/3

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Poll Id: 210380
September 24, 2024 at 4:15 PM
How the hell is she up by four points in PA while being up by 2 or tied or even behind in the NPV. Doesn’t make any sense.
Maybe it’s Wisconsin? Don’t know…
Pennsylvania

Harris 50.0% (+4.0%)
Trump 46.0%
Stein 1.0%
Oliver 0.0%

MassINC Polling Group
Sep 12 - Sep 18
800LV

Pollster rating: 2.8/3

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Poll Id: 210290
September 21, 2024 at 12:43 AM
Reposted by raphael
National

Trump 47.0% (+1.0%)
Harris 46.0%

The New York Times/Siena College
Sep 11 - Sep 16
2437RV

Pollster rating: 3/3

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Poll Id: 210084
September 19, 2024 at 1:45 PM
Reposted by raphael
National

Harris 47.0% (+0.0%)
Trump 47.0%

The New York Times/Siena College
Sep 11 - Sep 16
2437LV

Pollster rating: 3/3

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Poll Id: 210083
September 19, 2024 at 1:45 PM
Reposted by raphael
National

Harris 51.0% (+2.0%)
Trump 49.0%

HarrisX
Sep 14 - Sep 16
1306LV

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Poll Id: 210173
September 19, 2024 at 6:05 PM
Reposted by raphael
TEAMSTERS - UM DOS MAIORES SINDICATOS DOS EUA - NÃO VÃO DECLARAR APOIO A NENHUM CANDIDATO

o poderoso sindicato é profundamente ligado aos eleitores da classe-trabalhadora do Midwest e de outros estados essenciais para as eleições de novembro

a decisão é uma enorme derrota para Kamala Harris
September 18, 2024 at 8:07 PM
Bluesky now has over 10 million users, and I was #8,956,887!
September 17, 2024 at 1:44 AM
Curioso demais q o Novo Mexico nao mude de lado depois do desastre imigratorio sendo que eles e o Arizona foram os estados mais afetados
New Mexico

Harris 49.0% (+10.0%)
Trump 39.0%

Research & Polling
Sep 6 - Sep 13
532LV

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Poll Id: 209513
September 16, 2024 at 3:03 AM
Kamala teve um bump do debate… mas precisamos lembrar que isso pode ser apenas barulho estatístico.
Temos que ver se vai ser tendência ou se é apenas uma subida temporária e depois vai voltar para o que estava no dia 09 de setembro.
National

Harris 50.0% (+5.0%)
Trump 45.0%

YouGov
Sep 11 - Sep 13
RV

Pollster rating: 3/3

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Poll Id: 209373
September 14, 2024 at 6:54 PM
Reposted by raphael
Michigan

Harris 48.0% (+0.0%)
Trump 48.0%

Mitchell Research & Communications
Sep 10 - Sep 10
600LV

Pollster rating: 2.4/3

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Poll Id: 209316
September 13, 2024 at 5:15 PM
She is up by only 4 in MINNESOTA?
Minnesota

Harris 48.8% (+4.2%)
Trump 44.6%

Embold Research
Sep 4 - Sep 8
1616LV

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Poll Id: 209308
September 13, 2024 at 4:55 PM
AHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH BIDEN É O MELHOR
🇺🇸 Joe Biden veste boné de apoio a Donald Trump durante evento; Casa Branca diz que o presidente usou o boné num gesto de união entre os partidos em defesa do país.

A campanha de Donald Trump compartilhou a foto e agradeceu o "apoio" do democrata.
September 11, 2024 at 11:21 PM
Wow
National

Harris 45.0% (+0.0%)
Trump 45.0%
Stein 1.0%
West 1.0%

YouGov
Sep 8 - Sep 10
1464RV

Pollster rating: 2.9/3

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Poll Id: 209155
September 11, 2024 at 4:19 PM
Imaginável. Mas Trump nunca ganhou debates (contra pessoas sã de consciência).
Em 2016 a Hillary ganhou os 3 debates.
Agora é ver se isso vai ou não impactar a eleição.
Minha aposta: não
September 11, 2024 at 4:19 AM
Reposted by raphael
National

Harris 48.0% (+1.0%)
Trump 47.0%

KFF
Aug 26 - Sep 4
1084RV

Pollster rating: 2.5/3

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Poll Id: 208945
September 10, 2024 at 6:45 PM