Rafa Lopes
@rafalpx.bsky.social
Researcher on drivers of epidemic dynamics
Postdoc at @nathangrubaugh.bsky.social & @colincarlson.bsky.social labs
PhD in Physics
Opinions are my own.
DEFENSOR DO SUS!
Postdoc at @nathangrubaugh.bsky.social & @colincarlson.bsky.social labs
PhD in Physics
Opinions are my own.
DEFENSOR DO SUS!
Pinned
Rafa Lopes
@rafalpx.bsky.social
· May 16
Release 0.2.3 · covid19br/nowcaster
What's Changed
Zero-inflated model on non-structured data by @rafalopespx in #35
44 bug by @rafalopespx in #45
New vignettes at the website
Full Changelog: 0.2.2...0.2.3
github.com
📦 New release of our R package for nowcasting!
Nowcaster is at version 0.2.3 you can check the changelog here: github.com/covid19br/no...
Nowcaster is at version 0.2.3 you can check the changelog here: github.com/covid19br/no...
Reposted by Rafa Lopes
🚨New paper alert!🚨🤩
🧪⚒️Welcome the first filter-feeding pterosaur from Brazil: Bakiribu waridza, from the Araripe Basin!! 🥳
The new species is AWESOME and was discoverd inside a regurgitalite 😱🤍
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
🧪⚒️Welcome the first filter-feeding pterosaur from Brazil: Bakiribu waridza, from the Araripe Basin!! 🥳
The new species is AWESOME and was discoverd inside a regurgitalite 😱🤍
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
A regurgitalite reveals a new filter-feeding pterosaur from the Santana Group - Scientific Reports
Scientific Reports - A regurgitalite reveals a new filter-feeding pterosaur from the Santana Group
www.nature.com
November 10, 2025 at 10:23 AM
🚨New paper alert!🚨🤩
🧪⚒️Welcome the first filter-feeding pterosaur from Brazil: Bakiribu waridza, from the Araripe Basin!! 🥳
The new species is AWESOME and was discoverd inside a regurgitalite 😱🤍
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
🧪⚒️Welcome the first filter-feeding pterosaur from Brazil: Bakiribu waridza, from the Araripe Basin!! 🥳
The new species is AWESOME and was discoverd inside a regurgitalite 😱🤍
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Reposted by Rafa Lopes
Nosso bebê nasceu 🥹
Uma nova espécie de pterossauro do Araripe, encontrada dentro de um vômito fossilizado de dinossauro 🤍. A natureza é linda! Kkk
Seja bem-vindo, Bakiribu waridza!
Acesse o artigo: www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Uma nova espécie de pterossauro do Araripe, encontrada dentro de um vômito fossilizado de dinossauro 🤍. A natureza é linda! Kkk
Seja bem-vindo, Bakiribu waridza!
Acesse o artigo: www.nature.com/articles/s41...
November 10, 2025 at 11:29 AM
Nosso bebê nasceu 🥹
Uma nova espécie de pterossauro do Araripe, encontrada dentro de um vômito fossilizado de dinossauro 🤍. A natureza é linda! Kkk
Seja bem-vindo, Bakiribu waridza!
Acesse o artigo: www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Uma nova espécie de pterossauro do Araripe, encontrada dentro de um vômito fossilizado de dinossauro 🤍. A natureza é linda! Kkk
Seja bem-vindo, Bakiribu waridza!
Acesse o artigo: www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Reposted by Rafa Lopes
Happy There Is A Circulatory System Walking Through The Kitchen Day to all who celebrate.
November 10, 2025 at 10:54 AM
Happy There Is A Circulatory System Walking Through The Kitchen Day to all who celebrate.
Reposted by Rafa Lopes
Do you teach #rstats? Do your students complain about how lame and old-fashioned dplyr is? Don't worry: I have the solution for you: github.com/hadley/genzp....
genzplyr is dplyr, but bussin fr fr no cap.
genzplyr is dplyr, but bussin fr fr no cap.
GitHub - hadley/genzplyr: dplyr but make it bussin fr fr no cap
dplyr but make it bussin fr fr no cap. Contribute to hadley/genzplyr development by creating an account on GitHub.
github.com
November 6, 2025 at 11:25 PM
Do you teach #rstats? Do your students complain about how lame and old-fashioned dplyr is? Don't worry: I have the solution for you: github.com/hadley/genzp....
genzplyr is dplyr, but bussin fr fr no cap.
genzplyr is dplyr, but bussin fr fr no cap.
Reposted by Rafa Lopes
On Oct 1, 2025, GISAID informed us that they had ended updates to the flat file of SARS-CoV-2 genomic sequences and associated metadata that we had used to update Nextstrain analyses since Feb 2020. GISAID's stated rationale was that their "resources are limited". 1/5
November 6, 2025 at 9:46 PM
On Oct 1, 2025, GISAID informed us that they had ended updates to the flat file of SARS-CoV-2 genomic sequences and associated metadata that we had used to update Nextstrain analyses since Feb 2020. GISAID's stated rationale was that their "resources are limited". 1/5
One man innocently enters Blake's exhibition
Now he has looked into the eyes Urizen
Poor man, never again unenlightened
Now he has looked into the eyes Urizen
Poor man, never again unenlightened
November 2, 2025 at 11:57 PM
One man innocently enters Blake's exhibition
Now he has looked into the eyes Urizen
Poor man, never again unenlightened
Now he has looked into the eyes Urizen
Poor man, never again unenlightened
Pior que a chacina promovida pelo estado do RJ, é ter que aguentar o mesmo "especialista" em todos os veículos de imprensa falando a mesma asneira que levou o país a olhar pra crime do pior modo possível. Faz 20 anos que o cara vem dando opinião e faz 20 anos que nada é resolvido seguindo ele
November 1, 2025 at 8:14 PM
Pior que a chacina promovida pelo estado do RJ, é ter que aguentar o mesmo "especialista" em todos os veículos de imprensa falando a mesma asneira que levou o país a olhar pra crime do pior modo possível. Faz 20 anos que o cara vem dando opinião e faz 20 anos que nada é resolvido seguindo ele
Reposted by Rafa Lopes
just in time for #batweek --Phylogenetic and ML analyses show that viral epidemic potential is not uniform among bats: virulence, transmissibility, and death burden cluster within distinct clades.🦇@carolinecummings.bsky.social @colincarlson.bsky.social @viralemergence.org go.sn.pub/acnbg1
October 30, 2025 at 2:54 PM
just in time for #batweek --Phylogenetic and ML analyses show that viral epidemic potential is not uniform among bats: virulence, transmissibility, and death burden cluster within distinct clades.🦇@carolinecummings.bsky.social @colincarlson.bsky.social @viralemergence.org go.sn.pub/acnbg1
Reposted by Rafa Lopes
POV: Você é defensor ferrenho da cultura e da Lei Rouanet
A Rouanet, além de incentivar a cultura, é um importante mecanismo de desenvolvimento social. Inúmeros projetos artísticos não seriam viáveis sem o apoio da principal e mais duradoura política cultural do país.
A Rouanet, além de incentivar a cultura, é um importante mecanismo de desenvolvimento social. Inúmeros projetos artísticos não seriam viáveis sem o apoio da principal e mais duradoura política cultural do país.
October 25, 2025 at 9:17 PM
POV: Você é defensor ferrenho da cultura e da Lei Rouanet
A Rouanet, além de incentivar a cultura, é um importante mecanismo de desenvolvimento social. Inúmeros projetos artísticos não seriam viáveis sem o apoio da principal e mais duradoura política cultural do país.
A Rouanet, além de incentivar a cultura, é um importante mecanismo de desenvolvimento social. Inúmeros projetos artísticos não seriam viáveis sem o apoio da principal e mais duradoura política cultural do país.
Tudo isso logo hoje que basicamente meio mundo tá sem boa parte de serviços online porque tudo hoje em dia é hospedado na AWS que caiu mundo afora.
Meus 2 centavos sobre o ReData, ele é basicamente uma mp que torna o Brasil um feudo das big techs.
Elas entram com datacenters e a gente entra com água, energia, terra e um modo em como elas podem lucrar ainda mais do que já lucram
www.gov.br/mdic/pt-br/a...
Elas entram com datacenters e a gente entra com água, energia, terra e um modo em como elas podem lucrar ainda mais do que já lucram
www.gov.br/mdic/pt-br/a...
MP cria o Redata, que estimula data centers e impulsiona economia digital no Brasil
www.gov.br
October 21, 2025 at 2:02 AM
Tudo isso logo hoje que basicamente meio mundo tá sem boa parte de serviços online porque tudo hoje em dia é hospedado na AWS que caiu mundo afora.
Meus 2 centavos sobre o ReData, ele é basicamente uma mp que torna o Brasil um feudo das big techs.
Elas entram com datacenters e a gente entra com água, energia, terra e um modo em como elas podem lucrar ainda mais do que já lucram
www.gov.br/mdic/pt-br/a...
Elas entram com datacenters e a gente entra com água, energia, terra e um modo em como elas podem lucrar ainda mais do que já lucram
www.gov.br/mdic/pt-br/a...
MP cria o Redata, que estimula data centers e impulsiona economia digital no Brasil
www.gov.br
October 21, 2025 at 12:40 AM
Meus 2 centavos sobre o ReData, ele é basicamente uma mp que torna o Brasil um feudo das big techs.
Elas entram com datacenters e a gente entra com água, energia, terra e um modo em como elas podem lucrar ainda mais do que já lucram
www.gov.br/mdic/pt-br/a...
Elas entram com datacenters e a gente entra com água, energia, terra e um modo em como elas podem lucrar ainda mais do que já lucram
www.gov.br/mdic/pt-br/a...
Fiz um hakai em cima do poema
“Casas destruídas
As Crianças foram explodidas
E agora, os gols”
“Casas destruídas
As Crianças foram explodidas
E agora, os gols”
Fiz um poema. Ele se chama "Fantástico":
Veja essas pessoas que tiveram a casa destruída por um míssil
D IS PA R AD O pOR n iNGUém
Veja que triste essas crianças morrendo de fome
S EM responSÁ VeIS ApArenTEs
E AGORA, os CAvaLiNHos
Veja essas pessoas que tiveram a casa destruída por um míssil
D IS PA R AD O pOR n iNGUém
Veja que triste essas crianças morrendo de fome
S EM responSÁ VeIS ApArenTEs
E AGORA, os CAvaLiNHos
October 13, 2025 at 12:55 AM
Fiz um hakai em cima do poema
“Casas destruídas
As Crianças foram explodidas
E agora, os gols”
“Casas destruídas
As Crianças foram explodidas
E agora, os gols”
Reposted by Rafa Lopes
Giving a lightening talk on Oct 23 at the Living Data 2025 conference on how the Wildlife Disease Data Standard connects micro- and macro- biodiversity data to facilitate the study of disease ecology.
livingdata2025.com/program.html...
livingdata2025.com/program.html...
Living Data 2025 - Conference Program
Explore the complete conference program with 700+ presentations across 4 days
livingdata2025.com
October 8, 2025 at 6:06 PM
Giving a lightening talk on Oct 23 at the Living Data 2025 conference on how the Wildlife Disease Data Standard connects micro- and macro- biodiversity data to facilitate the study of disease ecology.
livingdata2025.com/program.html...
livingdata2025.com/program.html...
Prevejo um bloquinho de carnaval ano que vem com o nome de unidos do metanol
October 4, 2025 at 7:08 AM
Prevejo um bloquinho de carnaval ano que vem com o nome de unidos do metanol
One albatross at time to take off, one at time
October 3, 2025 at 1:22 AM
One albatross at time to take off, one at time
There days I am able to summarize what a GPT is in two phrases and there days that I can’t write monht correctly. And there’s days I can do both.
The brain is amazing!
The brain is amazing!
September 26, 2025 at 11:58 PM
There days I am able to summarize what a GPT is in two phrases and there days that I can’t write monht correctly. And there’s days I can do both.
The brain is amazing!
The brain is amazing!
Reposted by Rafa Lopes
alo galera estou aqui para fazer autopromoção como se no linkedin estivesse: saiu minha primeira coluna pro OP+
Quando o Tylenol e as mudanças climáticas se encontram
A ciência não é um buffet de respostas prontas, no qual pegamos aquelas que nos interessam como em um almoço no self-service. É uma conversa longa, cheia de revisões e contradições
mais.opovo.com.br
September 25, 2025 at 12:09 AM
alo galera estou aqui para fazer autopromoção como se no linkedin estivesse: saiu minha primeira coluna pro OP+
Reposted by Rafa Lopes
This is probably someone's dream job, and could have some remote flexibility for the right person. We have a lot to do, and we're looking for someone with a really strong track record who can come here and build something big with us and @cchyale.bsky.social (and many great external collaborators).
🚨 We're about to start reviewing applications, but there's still time to reach out for our postdoc position on climate change impact attribution! If you have experience with attribution science or climate epidemiology, and want to help us launch the Global Burden of Climate Change Study, reach out!
September 25, 2025 at 7:03 PM
This is probably someone's dream job, and could have some remote flexibility for the right person. We have a lot to do, and we're looking for someone with a really strong track record who can come here and build something big with us and @cchyale.bsky.social (and many great external collaborators).
Reposted by Rafa Lopes
🚨 NEW: Climate change is already causing 30,000 deaths per year - a global annual economic loss of $100-350B USD - but the true damage is probably 10x higher. Out TODAY in Nature Climate Change: the first systematic look at the science of "health impact attribution" 🔓 www.nature.com/articles/s41...
September 17, 2025 at 11:57 AM
🚨 NEW: Climate change is already causing 30,000 deaths per year - a global annual economic loss of $100-350B USD - but the true damage is probably 10x higher. Out TODAY in Nature Climate Change: the first systematic look at the science of "health impact attribution" 🔓 www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Reposted by Rafa Lopes
New preprint! 🥳🎉 We looked at viral coinfection patterns at the largest scale ever in wildlife. We found a strong association among CoVs, PMVs, and influenza A, and higher coinfection rates in wildlife trade; plus, evidence that bats accumulate persistent infections. www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
September 10, 2025 at 12:36 PM
New preprint! 🥳🎉 We looked at viral coinfection patterns at the largest scale ever in wildlife. We found a strong association among CoVs, PMVs, and influenza A, and higher coinfection rates in wildlife trade; plus, evidence that bats accumulate persistent infections. www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
Fodeu, o Instagram brasileiro descobriu o Nassim Taleb e o Antifragil. Agora tudo é sistema complexo antifragil
September 5, 2025 at 11:43 PM
Fodeu, o Instagram brasileiro descobriu o Nassim Taleb e o Antifragil. Agora tudo é sistema complexo antifragil
Reposted by Rafa Lopes
If you’re wondering how much of what RFK Jr said yesterday about vaccines was true—almost none of it was.
@FullerLab_UW is one of the most accomplished vaccinologists out there and her article is required reading to separate truth from falsehoods.
theconversation.com/how-rfk-jr-s...
@FullerLab_UW is one of the most accomplished vaccinologists out there and her article is required reading to separate truth from falsehoods.
theconversation.com/how-rfk-jr-s...
How RFK Jr.’s misguided science on mRNA vaccines is shaping policy − a vaccine expert examines the false claims
Chaos at the CDC and the sharp move away from mRNA vaccines has public health experts alarmed.
theconversation.com
September 5, 2025 at 7:25 PM
If you’re wondering how much of what RFK Jr said yesterday about vaccines was true—almost none of it was.
@FullerLab_UW is one of the most accomplished vaccinologists out there and her article is required reading to separate truth from falsehoods.
theconversation.com/how-rfk-jr-s...
@FullerLab_UW is one of the most accomplished vaccinologists out there and her article is required reading to separate truth from falsehoods.
theconversation.com/how-rfk-jr-s...
Reposted by Rafa Lopes
He is a predator. He will prey upon the nation and the world if he is not stopped.
Necessary reading from @gregggonsalves.bsky.social
www.thenation.com/article/soci...
Necessary reading from @gregggonsalves.bsky.social
www.thenation.com/article/soci...
RFK Jr., American Psycho
He needs to go. Now.
www.thenation.com
September 5, 2025 at 3:19 AM
He is a predator. He will prey upon the nation and the world if he is not stopped.
Necessary reading from @gregggonsalves.bsky.social
www.thenation.com/article/soci...
Necessary reading from @gregggonsalves.bsky.social
www.thenation.com/article/soci...
NUTS!
Dragonflies use “crazy turning” to dry themselves off after a cooling dip in water.
Learn more on #NationalWildlifeDay: https://scim.ag/3Vw2Df1
Learn more on #NationalWildlifeDay: https://scim.ag/3Vw2Df1
September 4, 2025 at 9:07 PM
NUTS!
Viralatismo é a natureza predominante dos empresários brasileiros e setores como a FIESP, que anunciaram o terrorismo comercial de que o país ia quebrar. Claro que é só um mês e claro que as coisas podem voltar ao que eram, mas é importante lembrar que o planeta é feito de mais países que os EUA.
economia.uol.com.br
September 4, 2025 at 6:46 PM
Viralatismo é a natureza predominante dos empresários brasileiros e setores como a FIESP, que anunciaram o terrorismo comercial de que o país ia quebrar. Claro que é só um mês e claro que as coisas podem voltar ao que eram, mas é importante lembrar que o planeta é feito de mais países que os EUA.