RadiUnce Project
@radiunce.bsky.social
✍🏻 ERC Consolidator grant project researching how politicians respond to different types of uncertainty.
🌷 Utrecht University
🎇 https://www.radiunce.org/
🌷 Utrecht University
🎇 https://www.radiunce.org/
New StukRoodVlees article from @olafvdveen.bsky.social , Barbara Vis, and Marija Aleksovska about how uncertainty was acknowledged differently across Dutch political party manifestos in the recent elections:
stukroodvlees.nl/hoe-partijen...
stukroodvlees.nl/hoe-partijen...
Hoe partijen onzekerheid verschillend (of niet) erkennen - StukRoodVlees
In de opmaat naar de Tweede Kamerverkiezingen gaat het veel over de grote maatschappelijke uitdagingen waar Nederland voor staat: van een migratiebeleid dat onvoldoende zou werken, tot klimaatverander...
stukroodvlees.nl
November 3, 2025 at 1:40 PM
New StukRoodVlees article from @olafvdveen.bsky.social , Barbara Vis, and Marija Aleksovska about how uncertainty was acknowledged differently across Dutch political party manifestos in the recent elections:
stukroodvlees.nl/hoe-partijen...
stukroodvlees.nl/hoe-partijen...
"Assad’s downfall recalls the adage...that 'there are decades when nothing happens and there are weeks when decades happen.' It was as though some cosmic hand had pushed 'fast forward' on the narrative of our times, changing history in the blink of an eye." - @maxboot.bsky.social in wapo.st/41jXgUw
Opinion | The 10 days that shook the Middle East
How Bashar al-Assad’s downfall, once unlikely, became inevitable.
wapo.st
December 9, 2024 at 11:29 AM
"Assad’s downfall recalls the adage...that 'there are decades when nothing happens and there are weeks when decades happen.' It was as though some cosmic hand had pushed 'fast forward' on the narrative of our times, changing history in the blink of an eye." - @maxboot.bsky.social in wapo.st/41jXgUw
The RadiUnce team is excited to have begun presenting our work at European political science conferences! @olafvdveen.bsky.social presented at the Politicologenetmaal in June, and Ella MacLaughlin presented at the EPSA conference in July. We hope to share our work with you at the next conference ⏭️
July 8, 2024 at 11:29 AM
The RadiUnce team is excited to have begun presenting our work at European political science conferences! @olafvdveen.bsky.social presented at the Politicologenetmaal in June, and Ella MacLaughlin presented at the EPSA conference in July. We hope to share our work with you at the next conference ⏭️
Given that Schoof has no prior experience as a politician, his performance as new Dutch PM is hard to predict. But this uncertainty will already decrease with tomorrow's debate, where his political skills will be put to the test, says PI Barbara Vis in @financialtimes.com
www.ft.com/content/a2d4...
www.ft.com/content/a2d4...
Eclectic rightwing government takes office in the Netherlands
Geert Wilders’ far-right party has five ministries in new Schoof cabinet, including trade and migration
www.ft.com
July 2, 2024 at 11:04 AM
Given that Schoof has no prior experience as a politician, his performance as new Dutch PM is hard to predict. But this uncertainty will already decrease with tomorrow's debate, where his political skills will be put to the test, says PI Barbara Vis in @financialtimes.com
www.ft.com/content/a2d4...
www.ft.com/content/a2d4...
Earlier this month, RadiUnce researcher Ella MacLaughlin presented at the CompText conference on the project 'Predicting the Future', which uses computational text analysis methods to look at how Dutch politicians made (public) predictions during the Covid-19 pandemic.
May 23, 2024 at 12:56 PM
Earlier this month, RadiUnce researcher Ella MacLaughlin presented at the CompText conference on the project 'Predicting the Future', which uses computational text analysis methods to look at how Dutch politicians made (public) predictions during the Covid-19 pandemic.
In deze bijdrage op Platform O bespreken @thomasschillemans.bsky.social en RadiUnce’s onderzoeksleider Barbara Vis hoe de erfenis van Kahneman benut kan worden voor zowel de achterkant van beleid—verantwoording—en de voorkant van beleid—besluitvorming.
platformoverheid.nl/artikel/fram...
platformoverheid.nl/artikel/fram...
Framing-effecten en negativiteitbias - Platform Overheid
De uitkomst van besluiten die politici, beleidsmakers en anderen in het openbaar bestuur moeten nemen zijn vaak onzeker. Zo zijn de precieze effecten van
platformoverheid.nl
May 2, 2024 at 12:59 PM
In deze bijdrage op Platform O bespreken @thomasschillemans.bsky.social en RadiUnce’s onderzoeksleider Barbara Vis hoe de erfenis van Kahneman benut kan worden voor zowel de achterkant van beleid—verantwoording—en de voorkant van beleid—besluitvorming.
platformoverheid.nl/artikel/fram...
platformoverheid.nl/artikel/fram...
A great new article from @wouterlammers.bsky.social and co-authors showing how the majority of experiments on uncertainty communication look at shallow to medium levels of uncertainty, *not* extreme (or radical) uncertainty:
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Theories of Uncertainty Communication: An Interdisciplinary Literature Review - Wouter Lammers, Sacha Ferrari, Sylvia Wenmackers, Valérie Pattyn, Steven Van de Walle, 2024
This systematic literature review presents an interdisciplinary overview of theories tested in experiments on the effects of communicating uncertainty. Using a ...
journals.sagepub.com
April 18, 2024 at 3:33 PM
A great new article from @wouterlammers.bsky.social and co-authors showing how the majority of experiments on uncertainty communication look at shallow to medium levels of uncertainty, *not* extreme (or radical) uncertainty:
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
"The staggering news of Navalny's death...underlined again the perilous unpredictability of a world carved up by multiple fault lines and entrenched interests." - Lyse Doucet
www.bbc.com/news/world-e...
www.bbc.com/news/world-e...
Munich security talks marked by global 'lose-lose' anxiety
The conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine underline deepening geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties.
www.bbc.com
February 21, 2024 at 11:55 AM
"The staggering news of Navalny's death...underlined again the perilous unpredictability of a world carved up by multiple fault lines and entrenched interests." - Lyse Doucet
www.bbc.com/news/world-e...
www.bbc.com/news/world-e...
Politicians might respond to uncertain phenomena (like AI or climate change) by avoiding or downplaying the uncertainty, by applying heuristics, or by taking a comprehensive, pragmatic, or opportunistic approach.
- RadiUnce PI Prof. dr. Barbara Vis in Political Studies Review
- RadiUnce PI Prof. dr. Barbara Vis in Political Studies Review
What trends can we expect to see in politicians' responses to uncertainty? In this open access study published in Political Studies Review, RadiUnce PI Barbara Vis introduces a novel conceptual map:
doi.org/10.1177/1478...
doi.org/10.1177/1478...
January 29, 2024 at 1:54 PM
Politicians might respond to uncertain phenomena (like AI or climate change) by avoiding or downplaying the uncertainty, by applying heuristics, or by taking a comprehensive, pragmatic, or opportunistic approach.
- RadiUnce PI Prof. dr. Barbara Vis in Political Studies Review
- RadiUnce PI Prof. dr. Barbara Vis in Political Studies Review
What trends can we expect to see in politicians' responses to uncertainty? In this open access study published in Political Studies Review, RadiUnce PI Barbara Vis introduces a novel conceptual map:
doi.org/10.1177/1478...
doi.org/10.1177/1478...
January 29, 2024 at 1:52 PM
What trends can we expect to see in politicians' responses to uncertainty? In this open access study published in Political Studies Review, RadiUnce PI Barbara Vis introduces a novel conceptual map:
doi.org/10.1177/1478...
doi.org/10.1177/1478...
Verkiezingen worden altijd gezien als een onzekere tijd. Was dat ook het geval bij de afgelopen Nederlandse verkiezingen? De conclusie is genuanceerder dan je zou denken.
Lees meer in het nieuwe artikel van RadiUnce onderzoeker @olafvdveen.bsky.social:
stukroodvlees.nl/verkiezingen...
Lees meer in het nieuwe artikel van RadiUnce onderzoeker @olafvdveen.bsky.social:
stukroodvlees.nl/verkiezingen...
Verkiezingen: een onzekere tijd? - StukRoodVlees
De wereld lijkt op vele vlakken steeds onzekerder te worden. Dit blijkt ook uit het meest recente rapport van de Wetenschappelijke Raad voor het Regeringsbeleid (WRR), genaamd “Grip”. Daarin geeft...
stukroodvlees.nl
January 19, 2024 at 2:38 PM
Verkiezingen worden altijd gezien als een onzekere tijd. Was dat ook het geval bij de afgelopen Nederlandse verkiezingen? De conclusie is genuanceerder dan je zou denken.
Lees meer in het nieuwe artikel van RadiUnce onderzoeker @olafvdveen.bsky.social:
stukroodvlees.nl/verkiezingen...
Lees meer in het nieuwe artikel van RadiUnce onderzoeker @olafvdveen.bsky.social:
stukroodvlees.nl/verkiezingen...
Onzekerheid + gevoelens van machteloosheid = 'meer ‘wij-zij’ denken, een grotere voorkeur voor ‘sterke leiders’ die het niet zo nauw nemen met de democratische regels en mogelijk ook tot een grotere neiging tot complotdenken.' -WRR
www.wrr.nl/publicaties/...
www.wrr.nl/publicaties/...
January 15, 2024 at 4:08 PM
Onzekerheid + gevoelens van machteloosheid = 'meer ‘wij-zij’ denken, een grotere voorkeur voor ‘sterke leiders’ die het niet zo nauw nemen met de democratische regels en mogelijk ook tot een grotere neiging tot complotdenken.' -WRR
www.wrr.nl/publicaties/...
www.wrr.nl/publicaties/...
Stanford researchers have found that economic uncertainty rises in the months leading up to elections. With 2024 being the largest year ever for national elections, what's in store for the global economy?
Stanford Working Paper: siepr.stanford.edu/publications...
(Visual from The Economist)
Stanford Working Paper: siepr.stanford.edu/publications...
(Visual from The Economist)
December 18, 2023 at 1:14 PM
Stanford researchers have found that economic uncertainty rises in the months leading up to elections. With 2024 being the largest year ever for national elections, what's in store for the global economy?
Stanford Working Paper: siepr.stanford.edu/publications...
(Visual from The Economist)
Stanford Working Paper: siepr.stanford.edu/publications...
(Visual from The Economist)
2024 is the biggest election year in history. 76 countries are scheduled to hold national elections, making up more than half of the world's population.
December 18, 2023 at 1:12 PM
2024 is the biggest election year in history. 76 countries are scheduled to hold national elections, making up more than half of the world's population.
🎆Dive deeper into the topic of "radical" uncertainty in the new year by adding these books to your 2024 reading list:
▸The Black Swan by Taleb (2007)
▸Radical Uncertainty by Kay & King (2020)
▸& for a more in-depth, practical approach: Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty by Marchau et al. (2019)
▸The Black Swan by Taleb (2007)
▸Radical Uncertainty by Kay & King (2020)
▸& for a more in-depth, practical approach: Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty by Marchau et al. (2019)
December 11, 2023 at 10:36 AM
🎆Dive deeper into the topic of "radical" uncertainty in the new year by adding these books to your 2024 reading list:
▸The Black Swan by Taleb (2007)
▸Radical Uncertainty by Kay & King (2020)
▸& for a more in-depth, practical approach: Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty by Marchau et al. (2019)
▸The Black Swan by Taleb (2007)
▸Radical Uncertainty by Kay & King (2020)
▸& for a more in-depth, practical approach: Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty by Marchau et al. (2019)
Reposted by RadiUnce Project
Why the Netherlands looks set for a period of political uncertainty
Why the Netherlands looks set for a period of political uncertainty
Geert Wilders’ Party for Freedom won the largest vote share in the Dutch general election on 22 November. Philippe Mongrain, William Bruce, Ruth Dassonneville and Michael S. Lewis-Beck reflect on t…
blogs.lse.ac.uk
November 27, 2023 at 10:43 AM
Why the Netherlands looks set for a period of political uncertainty
'In het Westland komen klimaat en migratie samen. De verkiezingszege van de partij van Wilders leidt tot onzekerheid voor tuinbouwsector.' - Maureen Blankestijn in @fdnl.bsky.social
fd.nl/bedrijfsleve...)
fd.nl/bedrijfsleve...)
December 1, 2023 at 2:18 PM
'In het Westland komen klimaat en migratie samen. De verkiezingszege van de partij van Wilders leidt tot onzekerheid voor tuinbouwsector.' - Maureen Blankestijn in @fdnl.bsky.social
fd.nl/bedrijfsleve...)
fd.nl/bedrijfsleve...)
The uncertainty surrounding today's Dutch elections isn't only about who comes out as the largest party; it's also about the direction where the country is headed.
#verkiezingen2023 #NederlandKiest #stemmen
#verkiezingen2023 #NederlandKiest #stemmen
November 22, 2023 at 1:55 PM
The uncertainty surrounding today's Dutch elections isn't only about who comes out as the largest party; it's also about the direction where the country is headed.
#verkiezingen2023 #NederlandKiest #stemmen
#verkiezingen2023 #NederlandKiest #stemmen
Radicale onzekerheid kan verkiezingsresultaten beïnvloeden. Nederlandse kiezers nemen het conflict in Gaza mee in hun overwegingen, blijkt uit onderzoek. Maar gaat het ook de uitslag beïnvloeden? Lees onze analyse hier: stukroodvlees.nl/kan-het-isra...
November 20, 2023 at 2:43 PM
Radicale onzekerheid kan verkiezingsresultaten beïnvloeden. Nederlandse kiezers nemen het conflict in Gaza mee in hun overwegingen, blijkt uit onderzoek. Maar gaat het ook de uitslag beïnvloeden? Lees onze analyse hier: stukroodvlees.nl/kan-het-isra...
For better or for worse, radically uncertain events can shape election outcomes. RadiUnce researcher Ella MacLaughlin recently wrote about whether the Israel-Palestine War could influence the results of the November 22nd Dutch parliamentary elections. Read it here: stukroodvlees.nl/kan-het-isra...
November 17, 2023 at 11:23 AM
For better or for worse, radically uncertain events can shape election outcomes. RadiUnce researcher Ella MacLaughlin recently wrote about whether the Israel-Palestine War could influence the results of the November 22nd Dutch parliamentary elections. Read it here: stukroodvlees.nl/kan-het-isra...
📢 Welcome to the Bluesky account of the ERC-funded project Politicians under Radical Uncertainty (RadiUnce)! 🗺️📚
Follow us for updates, findings, and a deeper look into the world of politics and uncertainty 🚀 #ERCResearch #Uncertainty #PoliticalScience #PublicAdministration
Follow us for updates, findings, and a deeper look into the world of politics and uncertainty 🚀 #ERCResearch #Uncertainty #PoliticalScience #PublicAdministration
November 14, 2023 at 12:32 PM
📢 Welcome to the Bluesky account of the ERC-funded project Politicians under Radical Uncertainty (RadiUnce)! 🗺️📚
Follow us for updates, findings, and a deeper look into the world of politics and uncertainty 🚀 #ERCResearch #Uncertainty #PoliticalScience #PublicAdministration
Follow us for updates, findings, and a deeper look into the world of politics and uncertainty 🚀 #ERCResearch #Uncertainty #PoliticalScience #PublicAdministration