Umberto Profazio
@profazio.bsky.social
Part Time Analyst / Full Time Dad - Personal views on Libya, Maghreb, NorthAfrica and surroundings - Bylines @ IISS + NDCF 🇬🇧 🇮🇹
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Umberto Profazio
@profazio.bsky.social
· Nov 13
'Dans un pays où 40 % de la population a moins de 25 ans et alors que son père n’a pas été vu en public dans son pays depuis le 31 octobre, la CAN apparaît comme le sacre informel du futur Hassan III.'
@courrierinter.bsky.social #Maroc
www.courrierinternational.com/article/mona...
@courrierinter.bsky.social #Maroc
www.courrierinternational.com/article/mona...
Au Maroc, la CAN acte une “transition” entre Mohammed VI et le futur Hassan III
Alors que la Coupe d’Afrique des nations de football constitue un succès indéniable pour la diplomatie du roi Mohammed VI, c’est pourtant son fils, le futur Has...
www.courrierinternational.com
January 16, 2026 at 9:44 AM
'Dans un pays où 40 % de la population a moins de 25 ans et alors que son père n’a pas été vu en public dans son pays depuis le 31 octobre, la CAN apparaît comme le sacre informel du futur Hassan III.'
@courrierinter.bsky.social #Maroc
www.courrierinternational.com/article/mona...
@courrierinter.bsky.social #Maroc
www.courrierinternational.com/article/mona...
'By maintaining such a large military presence in the Caribbean, even after the Maduro operation, Trump had fewer options to respond to the violence in Iran and also had to consider the fact that Tehran was likely to make good on its threat to retaliate against any U.S. actions.' @foreignpolicy.com
Is the Iran Crisis Over?
Trump said the killing has stopped, but a lot is up in the air.
foreignpolicy.com
January 16, 2026 at 8:20 AM
'By maintaining such a large military presence in the Caribbean, even after the Maduro operation, Trump had fewer options to respond to the violence in Iran and also had to consider the fact that Tehran was likely to make good on its threat to retaliate against any U.S. actions.' @foreignpolicy.com
“I would never have supported this guy in the past,” said a woman in western Tehran [...] But we have no other option. There is no way back, only forward. If we don’t rally around him and unite, we will be buried here.” @washingtonpost.com #Iran
www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/0...
www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/0...
Iran’s opposition is battling to oust regime but hobbled by divisions
Amid a lethal crackdown against anti-government protests, Iran’s opposition and its most prominent leader, Reza Pahlavi, face differences within their own ranks.
www.washingtonpost.com
January 16, 2026 at 8:11 AM
“I would never have supported this guy in the past,” said a woman in western Tehran [...] But we have no other option. There is no way back, only forward. If we don’t rally around him and unite, we will be buried here.” @washingtonpost.com #Iran
www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/0...
www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/0...
Il cambio al vertice in #Venezuela ha confermato il modus operandi di #Trump: operazioni mirate, ad alto impatto politico ma low-cost. Il cambiamento deve venire da dentro, magari con una spinta sufficiente a far crollare il castello di carte. L' #Iran però non offre questo genere di scorciatoie.🧵/1
January 15, 2026 at 8:51 AM
Il cambio al vertice in #Venezuela ha confermato il modus operandi di #Trump: operazioni mirate, ad alto impatto politico ma low-cost. Il cambiamento deve venire da dentro, magari con una spinta sufficiente a far crollare il castello di carte. L' #Iran però non offre questo genere di scorciatoie.🧵/1
Per chi ha vissuto negli anni '80, la figura di Oliviero Toscani rimane sicuramente emblematica e fortemente provocatoria, parte integrante della cultura dell'epoca. Ora un documentario in onda su Sky Arte ne ripercorre la carriera ad un anno dalla sua scomparsa.
arte.sky.it/news/2026/ol...
arte.sky.it/news/2026/ol...
Un anno senza Oliviero Toscani | Sky Arte
Segui su Sky Arte Un anno senza Oliviero Toscani
arte.sky.it
January 14, 2026 at 10:35 AM
Per chi ha vissuto negli anni '80, la figura di Oliviero Toscani rimane sicuramente emblematica e fortemente provocatoria, parte integrante della cultura dell'epoca. Ora un documentario in onda su Sky Arte ne ripercorre la carriera ad un anno dalla sua scomparsa.
arte.sky.it/news/2026/ol...
arte.sky.it/news/2026/ol...
Stay informed on the MENA region with Strategic South, the bi-monthly newsletter from the NATO Defense College Foundation.
📊 Latest publications 📈 Regional developments 🎨 Expert infographics
Subscribe today: www.natofoundation.org/strategic-so...
📊 Latest publications 📈 Regional developments 🎨 Expert infographics
Subscribe today: www.natofoundation.org/strategic-so...
Strategic South - December 2025
Linkedin Instagram X-twitter Youtube Facebook “The spirit of our endeavour is, To strive, to seek, to find and not to yield”Alessandro Minuto-Rizzo, - Scopri i progetti, le ricerche e le iniziative de...
www.natofoundation.org
January 14, 2026 at 8:03 AM
Stay informed on the MENA region with Strategic South, the bi-monthly newsletter from the NATO Defense College Foundation.
📊 Latest publications 📈 Regional developments 🎨 Expert infographics
Subscribe today: www.natofoundation.org/strategic-so...
📊 Latest publications 📈 Regional developments 🎨 Expert infographics
Subscribe today: www.natofoundation.org/strategic-so...
'Still, the apparent endgame in Caracas, which has seen Trump working with the remnants of Maduro’s regime and sidelining Venezuela’s prodemocratic opposition, may be a cautionary tale for Iran’s protesters.' @ishaantharoor.bsky.social @washingtonpost.com #Iran #Trump #Venezuela
Column | Could Iran go the way of Venezuela?
The apparent endgame in Caracas, which has seen Trump sideline Venezuela’s pro-democratic opposition, may be a cautionary tale for Iran’s protesters.
www.washingtonpost.com
January 14, 2026 at 7:46 AM
'Still, the apparent endgame in Caracas, which has seen Trump working with the remnants of Maduro’s regime and sidelining Venezuela’s prodemocratic opposition, may be a cautionary tale for Iran’s protesters.' @ishaantharoor.bsky.social @washingtonpost.com #Iran #Trump #Venezuela
Are the protests in #Iran the final straw that breaks the camel's back? 👀
Both #Israel and the #US would have much to gain from a regime change, while the restoration of the Pahlavi dynasty remains on the cards.
More in my latest #Gulf Strategic Trend.
Both #Israel and the #US would have much to gain from a regime change, while the restoration of the Pahlavi dynasty remains on the cards.
More in my latest #Gulf Strategic Trend.
Iran under pressure
After the bombardments during the Twelve-Day War in June 2025, carried out by Israel and the USA against Iran, the Islamic Republic has been rocked by - Scopri i progetti, le ricerche e le iniziative ...
www.natofoundation.org
January 13, 2026 at 1:32 PM
'In a post-Western world, an essentially Western social science discipline was rapidly losing depth.'
An illuminating piece on the crisis of conflict studies, a discipline that is running the risk of revealing itself as an 'imperial science' that has only served the interests of the West.
An illuminating piece on the crisis of conflict studies, a discipline that is running the risk of revealing itself as an 'imperial science' that has only served the interests of the West.
In the new @dissentmag.bsky.social issue, out today, @yguichaoua.bsky.social and I diagnose the crisis of conflict studies in a piece that is part intellectual history, part personal experience.
What was conflict studies for? And what can its travails tell us about how wars have changed?
What was conflict studies for? And what can its travails tell us about how wars have changed?
The Demise of Conflict Studies - Dissent Magazine
An entire industry specializing in mediation, peacekeeping, disarmament, and transitional justice has become largely obsolete.
dissentmagazine.org
January 13, 2026 at 10:20 AM
'In a post-Western world, an essentially Western social science discipline was rapidly losing depth.'
An illuminating piece on the crisis of conflict studies, a discipline that is running the risk of revealing itself as an 'imperial science' that has only served the interests of the West.
An illuminating piece on the crisis of conflict studies, a discipline that is running the risk of revealing itself as an 'imperial science' that has only served the interests of the West.
Una guerra ibrida alle porte dell'Europa? ⚠️
L'aumento dei flussi migratori verso la #Grecia riaccende il dibattito sull'uso dei migranti come arma di pressione. La competizione tra milizie all'interno della #Libia suggerisce però una certa cautela.
Approfondisci nel mio nuovo Strategic Trend.
L'aumento dei flussi migratori verso la #Grecia riaccende il dibattito sull'uso dei migranti come arma di pressione. La competizione tra milizie all'interno della #Libia suggerisce però una certa cautela.
Approfondisci nel mio nuovo Strategic Trend.
The weaponisation of migrants
Exacerbated by ongoing conflicts in Africa and persistent instability in the Middle East, migration is likely to remain a dominant theme for EU - Scopri i progetti, le ricerche e le iniziative della N...
www.natofoundation.org
January 13, 2026 at 9:08 AM
Quali saranno le tendenze in #NordAfrica nel 2026? 🌍
Dal Sahara Occidentale al Sudan, la regione resta terreno di scontro tra USA e Russia. Tensioni diplomatiche e proteste rappresenteranno nuovi banchi di prova.
Leggi la mia analisi per Nigrizia 👇
#Algeria #Egitto #Libia #Marocco #Tunisia
Dal Sahara Occidentale al Sudan, la regione resta terreno di scontro tra USA e Russia. Tensioni diplomatiche e proteste rappresenteranno nuovi banchi di prova.
Leggi la mia analisi per Nigrizia 👇
#Algeria #Egitto #Libia #Marocco #Tunisia
Filo diretto con Washington - Nigrizia
Come prevedibile, il ritorno di Donald Trump alla Casa Bianca ha portato benefici immediati al Marocco, in virtù dei legami speciali che il regno di Mohammed VI intrattiene con Washington. Già rafforz...
www.nigrizia.it
January 12, 2026 at 11:01 AM
In spite of externalisation, migration remains a top public concern. Its weaponisation by rogue actors has the potential to further destabilise the European Union and its member states. Read more in my latest #Maghreb Strategic Trend.
#Libya #Russia #EU
www.natofoundation.org/maghreb/the-...
#Libya #Russia #EU
www.natofoundation.org/maghreb/the-...
The weaponisation of migrants
Exacerbated by ongoing conflicts in Africa and persistent instability in the Middle East, migration is likely to remain a dominant theme for EU - Scopri i progetti, le ricerche e le iniziative della N...
www.natofoundation.org
January 9, 2026 at 1:05 PM
In spite of externalisation, migration remains a top public concern. Its weaponisation by rogue actors has the potential to further destabilise the European Union and its member states. Read more in my latest #Maghreb Strategic Trend.
#Libya #Russia #EU
www.natofoundation.org/maghreb/the-...
#Libya #Russia #EU
www.natofoundation.org/maghreb/the-...
'That is not law enforcement; it is imperialism, pure and simple.'
#Venezuela #Trump
@nybooks.com
www.nybooks.com/online/2026/...
#Venezuela #Trump
@nybooks.com
www.nybooks.com/online/2026/...
Trump’s War | David Cole
“It was a brilliant operation, actually.” So claimed Donald Trump early this morning in a phone call with The New York Times about the US military’s
www.nybooks.com
January 5, 2026 at 9:21 AM
'That is not law enforcement; it is imperialism, pure and simple.'
#Venezuela #Trump
@nybooks.com
www.nybooks.com/online/2026/...
#Venezuela #Trump
@nybooks.com
www.nybooks.com/online/2026/...
#QuartoPotere
Trump, le Golfe, la Russie : la bataille secrète pour le contrôle de La Repubblica et La Stampa f24.my/Bcp2.BS
@france24.com
Trump, le Golfe, la Russie : la bataille secrète pour le contrôle de La Repubblica et La Stampa f24.my/Bcp2.BS
@france24.com
Trump, le Golfe, la Russie : la bataille secrète pour le contrôle de La Repubblica et La Stampa
Le possible rachat de La Repubblica et La Stampa par un milliardaire grec proche de Donald Trump, lié au Qatar et à l’Arabie saoudite, suscite une vive inquiétude en Italie. D’autant plus que Moscou…
f24.my
December 18, 2025 at 10:11 AM
#QuartoPotere
Trump, le Golfe, la Russie : la bataille secrète pour le contrôle de La Repubblica et La Stampa f24.my/Bcp2.BS
@france24.com
Trump, le Golfe, la Russie : la bataille secrète pour le contrôle de La Repubblica et La Stampa f24.my/Bcp2.BS
@france24.com
🇲🇦 Verso una risoluzione del conflitto nel #SaharaOccidentale? /1
The diplomatic battle for the Western Sahara
The decades-old dispute over the non-self-governing territory of Western Sahara marked a turning point on 31 October 2025, when the UN Security Council - Scopri i progetti, le ricerche e le iniziative...
www.natofoundation.org
December 17, 2025 at 11:08 AM
🇲🇦 Verso una risoluzione del conflitto nel #SaharaOccidentale? /1
#Gaza, #Sudan, #Ethiopia, #Myanmar, #DRC... What are the main features of the 'New World Disorder'?
David Miliband discusses the findings of the 2026 Emergency Watchlist published by @rescue.org and why humanitarian support is collapsing just as crises surge.
www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/1...
David Miliband discusses the findings of the 2026 Emergency Watchlist published by @rescue.org and why humanitarian support is collapsing just as crises surge.
www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/1...
Column | Welcome to the ‘new world disorder’
We’re approaching a “more anarchic form of globalization without rules,” said David Miliband, the former British politician turned global humanitarian.
www.washingtonpost.com
December 17, 2025 at 8:57 AM
#Gaza, #Sudan, #Ethiopia, #Myanmar, #DRC... What are the main features of the 'New World Disorder'?
David Miliband discusses the findings of the 2026 Emergency Watchlist published by @rescue.org and why humanitarian support is collapsing just as crises surge.
www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/1...
David Miliband discusses the findings of the 2026 Emergency Watchlist published by @rescue.org and why humanitarian support is collapsing just as crises surge.
www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/1...
'The West makes no sense without an antagonist in the East, and there is no better (worse) enemy than a false friend.'
Amazing and though-provoking piece on the idea of the #West by Yuri Slezkine, reviewing the new book by Georgios Varouxakis on @nybooks.com.
www.nybooks.com/articles/202...
Amazing and though-provoking piece on the idea of the #West by Yuri Slezkine, reviewing the new book by Georgios Varouxakis on @nybooks.com.
www.nybooks.com/articles/202...
Why ‘The West’? | Yuri Slezkine
The idea of the West survived a once-shared civilization as a code for its fractious heirs. A new book suggests its enduring constants have been a fear of Russia and of internal decay.
www.nybooks.com
December 16, 2025 at 1:30 PM
'The West makes no sense without an antagonist in the East, and there is no better (worse) enemy than a false friend.'
Amazing and though-provoking piece on the idea of the #West by Yuri Slezkine, reviewing the new book by Georgios Varouxakis on @nybooks.com.
www.nybooks.com/articles/202...
Amazing and though-provoking piece on the idea of the #West by Yuri Slezkine, reviewing the new book by Georgios Varouxakis on @nybooks.com.
www.nybooks.com/articles/202...
🇲🇦 Has the #UN found a solution to the conflict in the #WesternSahara? /1
The diplomatic battle for the Western Sahara
The decades-old dispute over the non-self-governing territory of Western Sahara marked a turning point on 31 October 2025, when the UN Security Council - Scopri i progetti, le ricerche e le iniziative...
www.natofoundation.org
December 15, 2025 at 3:01 PM
🇲🇦 Has the #UN found a solution to the conflict in the #WesternSahara? /1
🇹🇳 Chi sta perdendo la #Tunisia?
A lungo considerata un alleato cruciale dell'Occidente, la Tunisia sta ridefinendo il suo orientamento geopolitico. /1
www.linkedin.com/pulse/whithe...
A lungo considerata un alleato cruciale dell'Occidente, la Tunisia sta ridefinendo il suo orientamento geopolitico. /1
www.linkedin.com/pulse/whithe...
Whither Tunisia?
In the hidden battle for influence that has been ongoing in North Africa ever since the Arab Spring, Tunisia maintains a very peculiar position. Home of the Jasmine Revolution that sparked the fire of...
www.linkedin.com
December 15, 2025 at 8:01 AM
🇹🇳 Chi sta perdendo la #Tunisia?
A lungo considerata un alleato cruciale dell'Occidente, la Tunisia sta ridefinendo il suo orientamento geopolitico. /1
www.linkedin.com/pulse/whithe...
A lungo considerata un alleato cruciale dell'Occidente, la Tunisia sta ridefinendo il suo orientamento geopolitico. /1
www.linkedin.com/pulse/whithe...
🇹🇳 Tunisia's geopolitical tightrope: Is the West Losing a Key Partner?
Long a crucial ally of the West, #Tunisia is now actively exploring new partnerships under President Kais Saied. His recent consolidation of power and shrinking of civil liberties signal a fundamental shift in direction. /1
Long a crucial ally of the West, #Tunisia is now actively exploring new partnerships under President Kais Saied. His recent consolidation of power and shrinking of civil liberties signal a fundamental shift in direction. /1
December 12, 2025 at 4:49 PM
🇹🇳 Tunisia's geopolitical tightrope: Is the West Losing a Key Partner?
Long a crucial ally of the West, #Tunisia is now actively exploring new partnerships under President Kais Saied. His recent consolidation of power and shrinking of civil liberties signal a fundamental shift in direction. /1
Long a crucial ally of the West, #Tunisia is now actively exploring new partnerships under President Kais Saied. His recent consolidation of power and shrinking of civil liberties signal a fundamental shift in direction. /1
Presumed links between Iran and the Polisario Front via Hezbollah have been spreading around for quite some time. This excellent investigation helps in part to debunk the myth laying bare disinformation practices that have gone unnoticed in international media outlets. disinfo.africa/the-washingt...
Did Washington Post amplify Moroccan propaganda?
Washington Post echoes disputed claims that Saharan mercenaries were captured in Aleppo
disinfo.africa
December 10, 2025 at 10:24 AM
Presumed links between Iran and the Polisario Front via Hezbollah have been spreading around for quite some time. This excellent investigation helps in part to debunk the myth laying bare disinformation practices that have gone unnoticed in international media outlets. disinfo.africa/the-washingt...
After losing western Libya due to the 2019 MoU on the delimitation of economic exclusive zones between Türkiye and Tripoli, Greece is now having troubles with Benghazi too. Ankara's love affair with Haftar is the major driver of the estrangement, which is much more visible than ever before. /1
December 9, 2025 at 2:42 PM
After losing western Libya due to the 2019 MoU on the delimitation of economic exclusive zones between Türkiye and Tripoli, Greece is now having troubles with Benghazi too. Ankara's love affair with Haftar is the major driver of the estrangement, which is much more visible than ever before. /1
The never-ending saga about the establishment of a naval base in Port Sudan continues. The government in Khartoum has resumed discussions with Russia, a move that could have serious strategic implications for the security of the Red Sea. #Sudan @wsj.com /1 www.wsj.com/world/africa...
Exclusive | Sudan Offers Russia Its First Naval Base in Africa
A Red Sea port would give Moscow a vital edge in strategically critical waters.
www.wsj.com
December 3, 2025 at 2:03 PM
The never-ending saga about the establishment of a naval base in Port Sudan continues. The government in Khartoum has resumed discussions with Russia, a move that could have serious strategic implications for the security of the Red Sea. #Sudan @wsj.com /1 www.wsj.com/world/africa...
La Germania ha appena consegnato alla Corte Penale Internazionale Khaled Mohamed Ali el-Hishri, miliziano libico sospettato di aver commesso crimini di guerra e contro l'umanità nella prigione di Mitiga. I fatti sarebbe avvenuti tra il 2015 ed il 2020. /1 #Libia
www.icc-cpi.int/news/situati...
www.icc-cpi.int/news/situati...
Situation in Libya: Khaled Mohamed Ali El Hishri in ICC custody
Today, 1 December 2025, Mr Khaled Mohamed Ali El Hishri was surrendered to the custody of the International Criminal Court (ICC or “the Court”). Mr El Hishri, a national of Libya, was arrested on 16 J...
www.icc-cpi.int
December 2, 2025 at 2:41 PM
La Germania ha appena consegnato alla Corte Penale Internazionale Khaled Mohamed Ali el-Hishri, miliziano libico sospettato di aver commesso crimini di guerra e contro l'umanità nella prigione di Mitiga. I fatti sarebbe avvenuti tra il 2015 ed il 2020. /1 #Libia
www.icc-cpi.int/news/situati...
www.icc-cpi.int/news/situati...