Oral Toğa
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oraltoga.bsky.social
Oral Toğa
@oraltoga.bsky.social
Research Fellow at the Center for Iranian Studies
Ph.D.(c) in Security Studies at the National Defense University
Security, Intelligence & Migration
www.oraltoga.com
Pinned
"Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth."
- Marcus Aurelius
In Iran, coverage of the water crisis has far overshadowed talk of a possible conflict with Israel. People are now more concerned about threats emerging from within the country than those that might come from the skies.
November 12, 2025 at 11:45 AM
In my latest, I discussed the possibility of a potential second round of conflict between Iran and Israel and possible scenarios.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

Will there be a second round of war between Iran and Israel? sabahdai.ly/_2g4u
Will there be a second round of war between Iran and Israel? | Opinion
As Israel’s tactical gains fall short, a renewed Iran-Israel war remains possible
sabahdai.ly
October 21, 2025 at 5:13 AM
Was pleased to offer some brief commentary to Ethiopia’s The Reporter on Iran’s growing ties with Ethiopia.
thereportermagazines.com/3904/
DANCING WITH RIVALS: Tightrope to Tehran
Addis Ababa, a strong ally of Abu Dhabi, welcomed a delegation from Tehran headed by Iran's Police Chief, Brigadier General
thereportermagazines.com
June 1, 2025 at 10:02 PM
My brief piece on the Houthis and their relationship with Iran has been published in Daily Sabah.
www.dailysabah.com/opinion/op-e...
From rebellion to regional power: The Houthis | Opinion
Rising from Yemen’s north to a regional force, Yemen's Houthis challenge regional stability with an Iran-linked strategy
www.dailysabah.com
June 1, 2025 at 9:58 PM
I think negotiation is one thing, a call to surrender is another thing.
April 13, 2025 at 9:55 PM
I don’t think Israel will link this issue — which it sees as a threat to its own existence — and its future to the current political context. All the commentary in Israel suggests that Iran is trying to buy time until Trump leaves office. Let’s wait and see.
April 7, 2025 at 10:11 PM
"Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth."
- Marcus Aurelius
April 5, 2025 at 5:55 PM