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🌐 Website: https://oceaniaelects.com
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➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
#auspol #Australia
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
#auspol #Australia
Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP
ALP (Centre-left): 56%
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 44%
+/- vs. 05-12 December 2025
Fieldwork: 22-29 January 2026
Sample size: 1,003
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP
ALP (Centre-left): 56%
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 44%
+/- vs. 05-12 December 2025
Fieldwork: 22-29 January 2026
Sample size: 1,003
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
ALP (Centre-left): 34% (-1)
ONP (Right): 26% (+9)
LIB (Centre-right): 13% (n.a.)
GRN (Green): 11% (-2)
...
+/- vs. 05-12 December 2025
Fieldwork: 22-29 January 2026
Sample size: 1,003
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
ALP (Centre-left): 34% (-1)
ONP (Right): 26% (+9)
LIB (Centre-right): 13% (n.a.)
GRN (Green): 11% (-2)
...
+/- vs. 05-12 December 2025
Fieldwork: 22-29 January 2026
Sample size: 1,003
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
➤ oceaniaelects.com/Australia
#springst
➤ oceaniaelects.com/Australia
#springst
ALP (Centre-left): 31% (-3)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 25% (-1)
ONP (Right): 22% (+5)
GRN (Green): 9% (-1)
+/- vs. 03-08 December 2025
Fieldwork: 20-23 January 2026
Sample size: 1,022
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
ALP (Centre-left): 31% (-3)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 25% (-1)
ONP (Right): 22% (+5)
GRN (Green): 9% (-1)
+/- vs. 03-08 December 2025
Fieldwork: 20-23 January 2026
Sample size: 1,022
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
ALP (Centre-left): 30% (+1)
ONP (Right): 24% (+1)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 21% (-2)
GRN (Green): 13% (+1)
+/- vs. 05-06 January 2026
Fieldwork: 13-21 January 2026
Sample size: 1,933
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
ALP (Centre-left): 30% (+1)
ONP (Right): 24% (+1)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 21% (-2)
GRN (Green): 13% (+1)
+/- vs. 05-06 January 2026
Fieldwork: 13-21 January 2026
Sample size: 1,933
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
➤ oceaniaelects.com/Australia
#springst
➤ oceaniaelects.com/Australia
#springst
Oceania Elects looks at how this compares to previous governments here: oceaniaelects.com/a-bumpy-first-term-where-the-luxon-government-stands-in-the-polls/
Oceania Elects looks at how this compares to previous governments here: oceaniaelects.com/a-bumpy-first-term-where-the-luxon-government-stands-in-the-polls/
Two-Party Preferred, ALP v ONP
ALP (Centre-left): 57%
ONP (Right): 43%
+/- vs. 23 December 2025
Fieldwork: 20-27 January 2026
Sample size: 1,500
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
Two-Party Preferred, ALP v ONP
ALP (Centre-left): 57%
ONP (Right): 43%
+/- vs. 23 December 2025
Fieldwork: 20-27 January 2026
Sample size: 1,500
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
Scenario: L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative) reforms
Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP
ALP (Centre-left): 55%
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 45%
+/- vs. 23 December 2025
Fieldwork: 20-27 January 2026
Sample size: 1,500
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
Scenario: L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative) reforms
Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP
ALP (Centre-left): 55%
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 45%
+/- vs. 23 December 2025
Fieldwork: 20-27 January 2026
Sample size: 1,500
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
ALP (Centre-left): 31% (+1)
ONP (Right): 25% (+5)
LIB (Centre-right): 14%
GRN (Green): 12% (-1)
LNP (Centre-right|Conservative): 4%
NAT (Conservative): 2%
+/- vs. 23 December 2025
Fieldwork: 20-27 January 2026
Sample size: 1,500
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
ALP (Centre-left): 31% (+1)
ONP (Right): 25% (+5)
LIB (Centre-right): 14%
GRN (Green): 12% (-1)
LNP (Centre-right|Conservative): 4%
NAT (Conservative): 2%
+/- vs. 23 December 2025
Fieldwork: 20-27 January 2026
Sample size: 1,500
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
Scenario: L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative) reforms
Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP
ALP (Centre-left): 56.5% (+3)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 43.5% (-3)
+/- vs. 12-18 January 2026
Fieldwork: 19-25 January 2026
Sample size: 1,653
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
Scenario: L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative) reforms
Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP
ALP (Centre-left): 56.5% (+3)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 43.5% (-3)
+/- vs. 12-18 January 2026
Fieldwork: 19-25 January 2026
Sample size: 1,653
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
ALP (Centre-left): 30.5% (+2)
ONP (Right): 22.5% (+1.5)
LIB (Centre-right): 20% (-2)
GRN (Green): 13% (-0.5)
NAT (Conservative): 2.5% (+0.5)
+/- vs. 12-18 January 2026
Fieldwork: 19-25 January 2026
Sample size: 1,653
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
ALP (Centre-left): 30.5% (+2)
ONP (Right): 22.5% (+1.5)
LIB (Centre-right): 20% (-2)
GRN (Green): 13% (-0.5)
NAT (Conservative): 2.5% (+0.5)
+/- vs. 12-18 January 2026
Fieldwork: 19-25 January 2026
Sample size: 1,653
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
Preferred prime minister
Hipkins (Labour-Centre-left): 21% (-2)
Luxon (National-Centre-right): 19% (-1)
Peters (NZ-First-*): 13% (+4)
...
+/- vs. 04-12 September 2025
Fieldwork: 15-22 January 2026
Sample size: 1,000
➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
Preferred prime minister
Hipkins (Labour-Centre-left): 21% (-2)
Luxon (National-Centre-right): 19% (-1)
Peters (NZ-First-*): 13% (+4)
...
+/- vs. 04-12 September 2025
Fieldwork: 15-22 January 2026
Sample size: 1,000
➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
Seat projection
Labour (Centre-left): 43 (+1)
National (Centre-right): 40
Green (Green): 12 (-1)
NZ First (*): 12 (+1)
ACT (Libertarian): 9
...
+/- vs. 04-12 September 2025
Fieldwork: 15-22 January 2026
Sample size: 1,000
➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
Seat projection
Labour (Centre-left): 43 (+1)
National (Centre-right): 40
Green (Green): 12 (-1)
NZ First (*): 12 (+1)
ACT (Libertarian): 9
...
+/- vs. 04-12 September 2025
Fieldwork: 15-22 January 2026
Sample size: 1,000
➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
Labour (Centre-left): 35% (+1)
National (Centre-right): 32% (-1)
NZ First (*): 10% (+1)
Green (Green): 10% (-1)
ACT (Libertarian): 8% (+1)
...
+/- vs. 04-12 September 2025
Fieldwork: 15-22 January 2026
Sample size: 1,000
➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
Labour (Centre-left): 35% (+1)
National (Centre-right): 32% (-1)
NZ First (*): 10% (+1)
Green (Green): 10% (-1)
ACT (Libertarian): 8% (+1)
...
+/- vs. 04-12 September 2025
Fieldwork: 15-22 January 2026
Sample size: 1,000
➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
Preferred prime minister
Luxon (National-Centre-right): 20%
Hipkins (Labour-Centre-left): 18%
Peters (NZ-First-*): 10% (+1)
...
+/- vs. 03-07 December 2025
Fieldwork: 14-18 January 2026
Sample size: 1,000
➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
Preferred prime minister
Luxon (National-Centre-right): 20%
Hipkins (Labour-Centre-left): 18%
Peters (NZ-First-*): 10% (+1)
...
+/- vs. 03-07 December 2025
Fieldwork: 14-18 January 2026
Sample size: 1,000
➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
Seat projection
Labour (Centre-left): 43 (+2)
National (Centre-right): 39
NZ First (*): 15 (+4)
Green (Green): 10 (-4)
ACT (Libertarian): 9 (-2)
...
+/- vs. 03-07 December 2025
Fieldwork: 14-18 January 2026
Sample size: 1,000
➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
Seat projection
Labour (Centre-left): 43 (+2)
National (Centre-right): 39
NZ First (*): 15 (+4)
Green (Green): 10 (-4)
ACT (Libertarian): 9 (-2)
...
+/- vs. 03-07 December 2025
Fieldwork: 14-18 January 2026
Sample size: 1,000
➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
Labour (Centre-left): 34% (+2)
National (Centre-right): 32% (+2)
NZ First (*): 12% (+4)
Green (Green): 8% (-3)
ACT (Libertarian): 7% (-2)
...
+/- vs. 03-07 December 2025
Fieldwork: 14-18 January 2026
Sample size: 1,000
➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
Labour (Centre-left): 34% (+2)
National (Centre-right): 32% (+2)
NZ First (*): 12% (+4)
Green (Green): 8% (-3)
ACT (Libertarian): 7% (-2)
...
+/- vs. 03-07 December 2025
Fieldwork: 14-18 January 2026
Sample size: 1,000
➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP
ALP (Centre-left): 53% (-2)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 47% (+2)
+/- vs. 15-20 October 2025
Fieldwork: 16-18 January 2026
Sample size: 1,050
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP
ALP (Centre-left): 53% (-2)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 47% (+2)
+/- vs. 15-20 October 2025
Fieldwork: 16-18 January 2026
Sample size: 1,050
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
ALP (Centre-left): 33%
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 28% (-3)
ONP (Right): 19% (+9)
GRN (Green): 11% (-3)
+/- vs. 15-20 October 2025
Fieldwork: 16-18 January 2026
Sample size: 1,050
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
ALP (Centre-left): 33%
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 28% (-3)
ONP (Right): 19% (+9)
GRN (Green): 11% (-3)
+/- vs. 15-20 October 2025
Fieldwork: 16-18 January 2026
Sample size: 1,050
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
➤ oceaniaelects.com/Australia
#australia #auspol
➤ oceaniaelects.com/Australia
#australia #auspol
Seat projection
National (Centre-right): 41 (-1)
Labour (Centre-left): 40 (+4)
Green (Green): 15 (-3)
NZ First (*): 12 (+1)
...
+/- vs. 27 October - 23 November 2025
Fieldwork: 24 November - 21 December 2025
Sample size: 859
➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
Seat projection
National (Centre-right): 41 (-1)
Labour (Centre-left): 40 (+4)
Green (Green): 15 (-3)
NZ First (*): 12 (+1)
...
+/- vs. 27 October - 23 November 2025
Fieldwork: 24 November - 21 December 2025
Sample size: 859
➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
National (Centre-right): 33%
Labour (Centre-left): 32.5% (+4.5)
Green (Green): 12% (-2.5)
NZ First (*): 10% (+1)
...
+/- vs. 27 October - 23 November 2025
Fieldwork: 24 November - 21 December 2025
Sample size: 859
➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
National (Centre-right): 33%
Labour (Centre-left): 32.5% (+4.5)
Green (Green): 12% (-2.5)
NZ First (*): 10% (+1)
...
+/- vs. 27 October - 23 November 2025
Fieldwork: 24 November - 21 December 2025
Sample size: 859
➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
#NewZealand #nzpol
#NewZealand #nzpol