Oceania Elects
banner
oceaniaelects.bsky.social
Oceania Elects
@oceaniaelects.bsky.social
📊 Poll aggregation and election analysis in Oceania.

🤝 Partner of Europe, Africa, America and @AsiaElects.

🌐 Website: https://oceaniaelects.com
Facebook/Instagram/Threads/Twitter: OceaniaElects
Telegram: OceaniaElectsOfficial
New Zealand, Talbot Mills poll:

Preferred prime minister

Hipkins (Labour-Centre-left): 26% (+2)
Luxon (National-Centre-right): 22% (+1)

+/- vs. 01-10 October 2025

Fieldwork: 01-10 November 2025
Sample size: 1,102

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
November 13, 2025 at 11:49 AM
New Zealand, Talbot Mills poll:

Labour (Centre-left): 38% (+3)
National (Centre-right): 33% (+4)
Green (Green): 9% (-1)
NZ First (*): 8% (-4)
ACT (Libertarian): 7% (-1)
...

+/- vs. 01-10 October 2025

Fieldwork: 01-10 November 2025
Sample size: 1,102

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
November 13, 2025 at 11:47 AM
New Zealand: Te Pāti Māori (Indigenous) has expelled two of its MPs, Mariameno Kapa-Kingi, MP for Te Tai Tokerau, and Tākuta Ferris, MP for Te Tai Tonga, from the party.

It comes after prolonged infighting between the two MPs and the party leadership.

#NewZealand #nzpol
November 12, 2025 at 12:21 PM
New Zealand, Curia poll:

Preferred prime minister

Luxon (National-Centre-right): 21% (+1)
Hipkins (Labour-Centre-left): 21%
Peters (NZ-First-*): 9% (-1)
...

+/- vs. 01-05 October 2025

Fieldwork: 02-06 November 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
November 12, 2025 at 12:08 PM
New Zealand, Curia poll:

Seat projection

Labour (Centre-left): 42 (+2)
National (Centre-right): 39 (+1)
Green (Green): 12 (-3)
NZ First (*): 12 (-1)
ACT (Libertarian): 11 (+3)
...

+/- vs. 01-05 October 2025

Fieldwork: 02-06 November 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
November 12, 2025 at 12:04 PM
New Zealand, Curia poll:

Labour (Centre-left): 33% (+2)
National (Centre-right): 30%
Green (Green): 9% (-3)
NZ First (*): 9% (-2)
ACT (Libertarian): 9% (+2)
...

+/- vs. 01-05 October 2025

Fieldwork: 02-06 November 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
November 12, 2025 at 12:02 PM
New Zealand, Roy Morgan poll:

Seat projection

National (Centre-right): 41 (+2)
Labour (Centre-left): 39 (+3)
Green (Green): 15 (-2)
NZ First (*): 12 (+2)
...

+/- vs. 25 August - 21 September 2025

Fieldwork: 29 September - 26 October 2025
Sample size: 857

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
November 12, 2025 at 11:52 AM
New Zealand, Roy Morgan poll:

National (Centre-right): 32% (+0.5)
Labour (Centre-left): 30.5% (+2)
Green (Green): 12% (-1.5)
NZ First (*): 9.5% (+1.5)
...

+/- vs. 25 August - 21 September 2025

Fieldwork: 29 September - 26 October 2025
Sample size: 857

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
November 12, 2025 at 11:48 AM
Australia (Australian Capital Territory): Mark Parton and Deborah Morris were elected the new opposition Canberra Liberals (centre-right) leader and deputy leader, after the resignations of Leanne Castley and her deputy Jeremy Hanson.

​➤oceaniaelects.com/Australia
#auspol #actpol
November 11, 2025 at 3:49 AM
Nauru, constitutional referendum result:

Yes: 44.7%
No: 55.3%

The amendment to increase the parliamentary term from 3 to 4 years has been rejected. A two-thirds majority was required to pass the amendment.

➤oceaniaelects.com/nauru

#Nauru
October 31, 2025 at 3:07 PM
Nauru, Final election result:

Seat count

Incumbent members (ind.): 16
New members (ind.): 3

+/- vs. Last election result

Marcus Stephen and David Adeang were re-elected as speaker and president and Isabella Dageago elected as deputy speaker

➤oceaniaelects.com/nauru

#Nauru
October 31, 2025 at 11:41 AM
Nauru, Final election result:

Seat count

Incumbent members (ind.): 16
New members (ind.): 3

+/- vs. Last election result

Marcus Stephen and David Adeang were re-elected as speaker and president and Isabella Dageago elected as deputy speaker

➤oceaniaelects.com/nauru

#Nauru
October 31, 2025 at 11:41 AM
Australia, Roy Morgan poll:

Two-Party Preferred

ALP (Centre-left): 57% (+1)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 43% (-2)

+/- vs. 25 August - 21 September 2025

Fieldwork: 22 September - 19 October 2025
Sample size: 4,908

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
October 23, 2025 at 8:37 PM
Australia, Roy Morgan poll:

ALP (Centre-left): 35% (+1)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 27% (-3)
GRN (Green): 13% (+1)
ONP (Right): 12% (+2)

+/- vs. 25 August - 21 September 2025

Fieldwork: 22 September - 19 October 2025
Sample size: 4,908

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
October 23, 2025 at 8:35 PM
Australia, Resolve Strategic poll:

Two-Party Preferred

ALP (Centre-left): 55%
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 45%

+/- vs. 09-13 September 2025

Fieldwork: 07-12 October 2025
Sample size: 1,800

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
October 23, 2025 at 8:32 PM
Australia, Resolve Strategic poll:

ALP (Centre-left): 34% (-1)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 28% (+1)
ONP (Right): 12%
GRN (Green): 11%

+/- vs. 09-13 September 2025

Fieldwork: 07-12 October 2025
Sample size: 1,800

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
October 23, 2025 at 8:30 PM
Australia, RedBridge poll:

Two-Party Preferred

ALP (Centre-left): 54%
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 46% (-1)

+/- vs. 19 August - 08 September 2025

Fieldwork: 25 September - 07 October 2025
Sample size: 1,997

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
October 23, 2025 at 8:26 PM
Australia, RedBridge poll:

ALP (Centre-left): 34% (-1)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 29% (-1)
ONP (Right): 14% (+3)
GRN (Green): 11%

+/- vs. 19 August - 08 September 2025

Fieldwork: 25 September - 07 October 2025
Sample size: 1,997

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
October 23, 2025 at 8:25 PM
Australia, Newspoll poll:

Two-Party Preferred

ALP (Centre-left): 57% (-1)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 43% (+1)

+/- vs. 08-11 September 2025

Fieldwork: 29 September - 02 October 2025
Sample size: 1,264

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
October 23, 2025 at 8:15 PM
Australia, Newspoll poll:

ALP (Centre-left): 37% (+1)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 28% (+1)
GRN (Green): 12% (-1)
ONP (Right): 11% (+1)

+/- vs. 08-11 September 2025

Fieldwork: 29 September - 02 October 2025
Sample size: 1,264

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
October 23, 2025 at 8:05 PM
Australia, YouGov poll:

Two-Party Preferred

ALP (Centre-left): 56% (+1)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 44% (-1)

+/- vs. Last election result

Fieldwork: 30 September 2025
Sample size: 1,329

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
October 23, 2025 at 7:58 PM
Australia, YouGov poll:

ALP (Centre-left): 34% (-1)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 27% (-5)
GRN (Green): 12%
ONP (Right): 12% (+6)

+/- vs. Last election result

Fieldwork: 30 September 2025
Sample size: 1,329

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
October 23, 2025 at 7:55 PM
New Zealand: 37 territorial authorities and 5 regional councils held referendums on whether to keep or remove their Māori ward for future local elections.

24 councils voted to remove their Māori ward, while 18 councils voted to keep their Māori ward.

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
October 18, 2025 at 3:26 PM
New Zealand, Final results:

Māori ward referendums, Aggregate vote share

Keep: 52.8%
Remove: 47.2%

Note: to avoid double counting, territorial results have been excluded where they fall under a regional council holding a referendum

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
October 18, 2025 at 10:45 AM
New Zealand, Final results:

Māori ward referendums, No. of councils voting Keep or Remove

Remove: 24
Keep: 18

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
October 18, 2025 at 10:42 AM