Oceania Elects
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Oceania Elects
@oceaniaelects.bsky.social
📊 Poll aggregation and election analysis in Oceania.

🤝 Partner of Europe, Africa, America and @AsiaElects.

🌐 Website: https://oceaniaelects.com
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Australia: Maranoa MP David Littleproud remains as the Leader of the National Party (NAT, Conservative), after an unsuccessful leadership challenge from Flynn MP Colin Boyce.

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
#auspol #Australia
February 2, 2026 at 4:19 AM
Australia, Redbridge Group & Accent Research poll:

Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP

ALP (Centre-left): 56%
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 44%

+/- vs. 05-12 December 2025

Fieldwork: 22-29 January 2026
Sample size: 1,003

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
February 1, 2026 at 12:17 PM
Australia, Redbridge Group & Accent Research poll:

ALP (Centre-left): 34% (-1)
ONP (Right): 26% (+9)
LIB (Centre-right): 13% (n.a.)
GRN (Green): 11% (-2)
...

+/- vs. 05-12 December 2025

Fieldwork: 22-29 January 2026
Sample size: 1,003

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
February 1, 2026 at 12:12 PM
Australia (Victoria): Brunswick MP Tim Read (GRN, Green) will retire from politics in the upcoming Victorian election, after a metastatic cancer diagnosis.

➤ oceaniaelects.com/Australia
#springst
January 29, 2026 at 5:44 AM
Australia, Essential Research poll:

ALP (Centre-left): 31% (-3)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 25% (-1)
ONP (Right): 22% (+5)
GRN (Green): 9% (-1)

+/- vs. 03-08 December 2025

Fieldwork: 20-23 January 2026
Sample size: 1,022

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
January 28, 2026 at 5:37 AM
Australia, DemosAU poll:

ALP (Centre-left): 30% (+1)
ONP (Right): 24% (+1)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 21% (-2)
GRN (Green): 13% (+1)

+/- vs. 05-06 January 2026

Fieldwork: 13-21 January 2026
Sample size: 1,933

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
January 28, 2026 at 5:31 AM
Australia (Victoria): Caulfield MP David Southwick has been elected as the Deputy Leader of the Victorian Liberals (LIB, Centre-right), following the resignation of Sam Groth. Southwick served as the party’s deputy leader from 2021 to 2024.

➤ oceaniaelects.com/Australia
#springst
January 28, 2026 at 4:14 AM
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon’s (National, Centre-right) government is slightly ahead of the opposition in the polls.

Oceania Elects looks at how this compares to previous governments here: oceaniaelects.com/a-bumpy-first-term-where-the-luxon-government-stands-in-the-polls/
January 27, 2026 at 8:50 PM
Australia, YouGov poll:

Two-Party Preferred, ALP v ONP

ALP (Centre-left): 57%
ONP (Right): 43%

+/- vs. 23 December 2025

Fieldwork: 20-27 January 2026
Sample size: 1,500

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
January 27, 2026 at 4:10 PM
Australia, YouGov poll:

Scenario: L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative) reforms

Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP

ALP (Centre-left): 55%
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 45%

+/- vs. 23 December 2025

Fieldwork: 20-27 January 2026
Sample size: 1,500

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
January 27, 2026 at 4:09 PM
Australia, YouGov poll:

ALP (Centre-left): 31% (+1)
ONP (Right): 25% (+5)
LIB (Centre-right): 14%
GRN (Green): 12% (-1)
LNP (Centre-right|Conservative): 4%
NAT (Conservative): 2%

+/- vs. 23 December 2025

Fieldwork: 20-27 January 2026
Sample size: 1,500

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
January 27, 2026 at 4:06 PM
Australia, Roy Morgan poll:

Scenario: L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative) reforms

Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP

ALP (Centre-left): 56.5% (+3)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 43.5% (-3)

+/- vs. 12-18 January 2026

Fieldwork: 19-25 January 2026
Sample size: 1,653

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
January 27, 2026 at 3:58 PM
Australia, Roy Morgan poll:

ALP (Centre-left): 30.5% (+2)
ONP (Right): 22.5% (+1.5)
LIB (Centre-right): 20% (-2)
GRN (Green): 13% (-0.5)
NAT (Conservative): 2.5% (+0.5)

+/- vs. 12-18 January 2026

Fieldwork: 19-25 January 2026
Sample size: 1,653

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
January 27, 2026 at 3:53 PM
New Zealand, Reid Research poll:

Preferred prime minister

Hipkins (Labour-Centre-left): 21% (-2)
Luxon (National-Centre-right): 19% (-1)
Peters (NZ-First-*): 13% (+4)
...

+/- vs. 04-12 September 2025

Fieldwork: 15-22 January 2026
Sample size: 1,000

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
January 27, 2026 at 3:06 PM
New Zealand, Reid Research poll:

Seat projection

Labour (Centre-left): 43 (+1)
National (Centre-right): 40
Green (Green): 12 (-1)
NZ First (*): 12 (+1)
ACT (Libertarian): 9
...

+/- vs. 04-12 September 2025

Fieldwork: 15-22 January 2026
Sample size: 1,000

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
January 27, 2026 at 3:04 PM
New Zealand, Reid Research poll:

Labour (Centre-left): 35% (+1)
National (Centre-right): 32% (-1)
NZ First (*): 10% (+1)
Green (Green): 10% (-1)
ACT (Libertarian): 8% (+1)
...

+/- vs. 04-12 September 2025

Fieldwork: 15-22 January 2026
Sample size: 1,000

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
January 27, 2026 at 3:02 PM
New Zealand, Curia poll:

Preferred prime minister

Luxon (National-Centre-right): 20%
Hipkins (Labour-Centre-left): 18%
Peters (NZ-First-*): 10% (+1)
...

+/- vs. 03-07 December 2025

Fieldwork: 14-18 January 2026
Sample size: 1,000

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
January 22, 2026 at 12:56 PM
New Zealand, Curia poll:

Seat projection

Labour (Centre-left): 43 (+2)
National (Centre-right): 39
NZ First (*): 15 (+4)
Green (Green): 10 (-4)
ACT (Libertarian): 9 (-2)
...

+/- vs. 03-07 December 2025

Fieldwork: 14-18 January 2026
Sample size: 1,000

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
January 22, 2026 at 12:53 PM
New Zealand, Curia poll:

Labour (Centre-left): 34% (+2)
National (Centre-right): 32% (+2)
NZ First (*): 12% (+4)
Green (Green): 8% (-3)
ACT (Libertarian): 7% (-2)
...

+/- vs. 03-07 December 2025

Fieldwork: 14-18 January 2026
Sample size: 1,000

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
January 22, 2026 at 12:51 PM
Australia, Freshwater Strategy poll:

Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP

ALP (Centre-left): 53% (-2)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 47% (+2)

+/- vs. 15-20 October 2025

Fieldwork: 16-18 January 2026
Sample size: 1,050

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
January 22, 2026 at 5:42 AM
Australia, Freshwater Strategy poll:

ALP (Centre-left): 33%
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 28% (-3)
ONP (Right): 19% (+9)
GRN (Green): 11% (-3)

+/- vs. 15-20 October 2025

Fieldwork: 16-18 January 2026
Sample size: 1,050

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia
January 22, 2026 at 5:39 AM
Australia: National Party (Conservative) leader David Littleproud says the party will leave the main opposition Coalition with Sussan Ley's Liberal Party (Centre-right) for the second time this term, as she made the deal "untenable."

➤ oceaniaelects.com/Australia
#australia #auspol
January 22, 2026 at 1:45 AM
New Zealand, Roy Morgan poll:

Seat projection

National (Centre-right): 41 (-1)
Labour (Centre-left): 40 (+4)
Green (Green): 15 (-3)
NZ First (*): 12 (+1)
...

+/- vs. 27 October - 23 November 2025

Fieldwork: 24 November - 21 December 2025
Sample size: 859

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
January 21, 2026 at 1:27 PM
New Zealand, Roy Morgan poll:

National (Centre-right): 33%
Labour (Centre-left): 32.5% (+4.5)
Green (Green): 12% (-2.5)
NZ First (*): 10% (+1)
...

+/- vs. 27 October - 23 November 2025

Fieldwork: 24 November - 21 December 2025
Sample size: 859

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand
January 21, 2026 at 1:15 PM
New Zealand: Prime Minister Christopher Luxon (National, Centre-right) has announced that the next general election will be held on 7 November 2026.

#NewZealand #nzpol
January 20, 2026 at 11:56 PM