Никола Миковић / Nikola Mikovic
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nikolamikovic.bsky.social
Никола Миковић / Nikola Mikovic
@nikolamikovic.bsky.social
480 followers 45 following 160 posts
Analyst/journalist/columnist. Focus: Russia, Belarus, Ukraine, South Caucasus, Central Asia, Balkans, energy, among other topics
Posts in English, српски & по-русски
http://muckrack.com/nikola-mikovic
Posts Replies Media Videos
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
"Although the Kremlin remains quiet about Trump’s peace initiative, accepting some of its points would be very difficult to present to the Russian people as a 'victory.'"

My latest 🔽

www.wgi.world/trumps-28%e2...
Trump’s 28‑Point Ukraine Plan: What it Really Means - World Geostrategic Insights
By Nikola Mikovic As Russia continues making tactical gains in southeastern Ukraine, the United States seems to be pressuring Kyiv to agree to the framework of the recently leaked 28-point peace propo...
www.wgi.world
November 22, 2025 at 10:23 AM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
"As a result of Russia’s war in Ukraine, Moscow has lost much of its influence in Central Asia. In the coming months and years, the United States is expected to expand its presence in this strategically important region."

My latest 🔽

www.scmp.com/opinion/asia...
Opinion | As US and China turn their eyes to Central Asia, Russia loses out
The region that has traditionally been in Russia’s geopolitical orbit is turning into a new arena of competition between the US and China.
www.scmp.com
November 18, 2025 at 7:36 AM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
Serbia’s energy sector has become a crossroads of great-power politics.

My latest piece (in French) looks at US sanctions on the Gazprom-owned Petroleum Industry of Serbia (NIS), and Belgrade’s fragile balancing act. 🔽

legrandcontinent.eu/fr/2025/11/0...
La lutte de la Serbie contre Gazprom et les sanctions américaines
Bien que la Russie ait perdu la majeure partie de son influence dans les Balkans, Moscou conserve le contrôle d'une part importante du secteur énergétique serbe. La Petroleum Industry of Serbia (NIS)...
legrandcontinent.eu
November 8, 2025 at 10:02 AM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
"Time no longer seems to be on Vucic's side, and the era of 'balancing' may be coming to an end — a turning point that could redefine Serbia’s place between Russia and West."

My latest 🔽 @neglobal.bsky.social 🔽

www.neglobal.eu/serbias-ener...
Serbia’s energy dilemma: How to break from Russia and save its stability
Serbia’s energy “decoupling” from Russia seems to be on the horizon. The Southeast European nation, long heavily dependent on Russian gas — and, to a lesser extent, oil — now faces a difficult situati...
www.neglobal.eu
November 5, 2025 at 8:53 PM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
“Put simply, one of the main achievements of the Xi-Trump summit was a trade truce that includes tariff cuts. But what comes next?”

My latest ⬇️

en.chinadiplomacy.org.cn/2025-11/05/c...
en.chinadiplomacy.org.cn
November 5, 2025 at 7:05 AM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
"Both Vucic and Trump clearly understand who their target audience is, and they know precisely how to speak to them. 'Preventing wars' is undoubtedly a great PR stunt that helps bolster their image as decisive leaders."

My latest 🔽

theliberum.com/politics-as-...
Politics as theatre: Does Trump pull pages from Serbia’s President Aleksandar Vucic’s playbook? | The Liberum
Donald Trump is a typical modern-day politician. He is on TV every day, he “resolves” conflicts, “prevents” wars, declares victories even before battles
theliberum.com
November 2, 2025 at 8:17 PM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
“Unless China decides to defy American sanctions and continue purchasing Russian oil – be it through state-owned or private refineries – the Kremlin will undoubtedly have a hard time sustaining its war economy and achieving its strategic goals in Ukraine.”

My latest ⬇️

www.scmp.com/opinion/worl...
Opinion | How China could make or break US sanctions on Russian oil
As Beijing and New Delhi rush to avoid secondary sanctions, Moscow must come to terms with how long its economy can last under pressure.
www.scmp.com
October 29, 2025 at 8:45 AM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
"If Trump’s diplomatic efforts fail to deliver concrete results, a new round of escalation will be inevitable."

My latest 🔽

anewz.tv/opinion/news...
Trump’s Tomahawk Diplomacy: Will the US Push Putin Toward Concession or Escalation?
anewz.tv
October 23, 2025 at 8:08 PM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
"The question remains whether a new European security architecture will emerge after the war in Ukraine or as a consequence of a potential larger confrontation on the continent."

My latest 🔽

policypress.cy/drone-wall-e...
Drone Wall: Europe’s High-Stakes Gamble on Russia - Policypress
Mysterious drone incursions into the airspace of several European nations have prompted their leaders to push forward with a "drone wall" project — a network
policypress.cy
October 20, 2025 at 1:39 PM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
“New Delhi is likely to navigate a delicate geopolitical balance between Washington, Moscow and Beijing for the foreseeable future. But who will be the major beneficiary in this game?”

My latest ⬇️

www.scmp.com/opinion/asia...
Opinion | How India’s purchases of Russian oil are reshaping global energy trade
When India buys Russian crude with yuan, it boosts the currency’s international acceptance and helps China promote a US dollar alternative.
www.scmp.com
October 14, 2025 at 9:46 AM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
"Given that Russia still does not dare to bomb any bridges over the Dnieper River in Ukraine or strike the so-called decision-making centers in Kyiv, it seems unlikely that it will use nuclear weapons against Western capitals."

My latest 🔽

www.wgi.world/nato-and-rus...
NATO and Russia: The Road to Direct War - World Geostrategic Insights
By Nikola Mikovic As Russian forces struggle to seize strategically insignificant villages in southeastern Ukraine, European countries are actively preparing for a potential – and increasingly likely ...
www.wgi.world
October 7, 2025 at 8:48 AM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
"US President Donald Trump threatens to impose severe tariffs on countries that purchase Russian energy, and the EU continues to impose sanctions on various Russian individuals and companies. Yet Rosatom remains an exception."

My latest 🔽

theliberum.com/russias-unto...
Russia’s untouchable and expanding nuclear empire | The Liberum
Despite the West's continued imposition of sanctions on Russia over its actions in Ukraine, the state nuclear corporation Rosatom remains unaffected. The
theliberum.com
October 2, 2025 at 2:39 PM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
"Although the EU, through its Global Gateway initiative, plans to finance the region’s green energy infrastructure, its potential global rival – China – is also very active, pursuing its own strategic investments and partnerships with Central Asian actors."

My latest 🔽

anewz.tv/opinion/news...
Renewables Race: EU and China Compete for Central Asia’s Energy Future
As Russia shifts its energy exports from the West to the East, Europe — until recently a major buyer of Russian oil and gas — is seeking alternative sources of supply.
anewz.tv
October 1, 2025 at 11:11 AM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
"Cyprus – traditionally heavily dependent on imported fossil fuels – has more clean energy than its system can absorb. This situation also makes it harder for new renewable projects to succeed."

My latest 🔽

thegeopolitics.com/cypruss-clea...
Cyprus’s Clean Energy Paradox - The Geopolitics
Cyprus’s clean energy paradox as solar adoption booms but weak grid and no storage force record curtailment. Can the island turn wasted power into leadership in Europe’s energy transition?
thegeopolitics.com
September 30, 2025 at 7:48 PM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
"Given China’s geographic proximity and its historically deeper cultural ties with Hanoi, it is Beijing – not Moscow – that is the primary concern for US geostrategists in Southeast Asia."

My latest 🔽

www.scmp.com/opinion/asia...
Opinion | Vietnam is too important for US to sanction despite Russia ties
Vietnam has avoided any severe US tariffs or sanctions for its dealings with Russia, thanks to its critical role in US plans to counter China.
www.scmp.com
September 28, 2025 at 4:57 PM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
"Moldova, a tiny Eastern European country sandwiched between Ukraine and Romania, could soon humiliate Russia in a way that will be difficult for the Kremlin to recover from."

My latest @americanpurpose.bsky.social 🔽

www.persuasion.community/p/an-electio...
An Election That Could Redraw Europe’s Map
Moldova stands at a turning point.
www.persuasion.community
September 27, 2025 at 2:32 PM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
"In the long term, both the Trans-Saharan Gas Pipeline and the Nigeria-Morocco Gas Pipeline projects may provide Europe with new access to Africa’s gas reserves, helping to cut its dependence on traditional suppliers."

My latest 🔽

businessday.ng/opinion/arti...
Can Nigeria become Europe’s new gas gateway? - Businessday NG
As the European Union continues to seek alternatives to Russian gas, Nigeria could position itself at the centre of new transcontinental...
businessday.ng
September 18, 2025 at 1:14 PM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
"The major winner of the Russian-Chinese gas deal will almost certainly be Beijing, purchasing Russian gas at below-market prices and making Moscow even more dependent on the People's Republic."

My latest 🔽

www.scmp.com/opinion/worl...
Opinion | Why China, not Russia, will gain most from Power of Siberia 2 pipeline
The new pipeline will allow China to buy Russian gas at below-market prices and make Moscow even more dependent on Beijing.
www.scmp.com
September 10, 2025 at 1:14 PM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
"The SCO does have the capacity to develop joint economic projects and strengthen political and military ties among its members, but it is unlikely to displace the West – particularly the United States – as the leading global power."

My latest🔽

theliberum.com/chinas-gains...
China’s gains won’t topple the West - yet | The Liberum
China’s rise as a global power is no longer a distant prospect – it is happening now. While Russia’s grip over the post-Soviet space is weakening, and the
theliberum.com
September 5, 2025 at 11:31 AM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
"Trump’s tariff policies have not only led to a deterioration in economic ties between the US and China, but have also pushed India – Beijing’s regional rival – to improve relations with its fellow Asian power."

My latest 🔽

www.scmp.com/opinion/asia...
Opinion | Beijing expands its influence in Eurasia as Trump triggers geopolitical shifts
While US policies are pushing China, Russia and India closer to each other, Eurasia is still marked by differences and contradictions.
www.scmp.com
August 26, 2025 at 7:33 AM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
"The fact that Pashinyan agreed to grant the United States exclusive development rights to the 'Trump Corridor' land for 99 years clearly shows that it is Washington, rather than Yerevan, that benefits from the peace deal."

My latest 🔽

armenianweekly.com/2025/08/16/f...
From the Balkans to the South Caucasus: How Trump’s “peace deals” serve U.S. and Israeli interests
After brokering the peace deal between Armenia and Azerbaijan on August 8, U.S. President Donald Trump managed to portray himself as a “peacemaker”—at least, in the eyes of his supporters. It is a rol...
armenianweekly.com
August 16, 2025 at 7:15 PM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
"Putin could be forced to make concessions to his American counterpart during their meeting on August 15 in Alaska. But will Moscow’s potential 'goodwill gestures' be enough to end the war in Ukraine?"

My latest 🔽

theliberum.com/trump-vs-put...
Trump vs Putin: What is really at stake | The Liberum
US President Donald Trump holds significant leverage over Russian leader Vladimir Putin. Facing a probable recession and the threat of secondary tariffs that
theliberum.com
August 13, 2025 at 7:53 AM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
Today I discussed the so-called Trump Corridor, the Armenia-Azerbaijan peace declaration, Russia’s declining influence in the South Caucasus, and what this could mean for Iran. 🔽

www.youtube.com/watch?v=4yUX...
Context | Washington declaration signals shift in regional dynamics
YouTube video by AnewZ
www.youtube.com
August 11, 2025 at 5:36 PM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
"Since energy has traditionally been the main driver of Russia’s foreign policy, the country’s leadership is likely well aware of the long-term economic consequences if it becomes unable to sell its oil to India and China."

My latest 🔽

harici.com.tr/en/is-russia...
Is Russia fearing loss of energy markets, bowing to Trump’s pressure?
Nikola Mikovic, Journalist-writer The Kremlin seems to have taken U.S. President Donald Trump’s threat to impose “secondary tariffs” on Russia’s trade partners, like China and India, seriously. Unlike...
harici.com.tr
August 8, 2025 at 6:22 PM
nikolamikovic.bsky.social
‪"With Moscow bogged down in Ukraine, Washington has a unique opportunity to strengthen its presence in the strategically important South Caucasus."

My latest @americanpurpose.bsky.social 🔽‬

www.persuasion.community/p/will-the-u...
Will the United States Push Russia Out of the South Caucasus?
Putin is losing his hold over traditional allies.
www.persuasion.community
August 6, 2025 at 6:57 PM