NFL Scenarios
@nflplayoffscenarios.com
NFL tiebreaking expert.
Author of https://NFLPlayoffScenarios.com
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Author of https://NFLPlayoffScenarios.com
Keep the site ad-free by supporting the Patreon! https://www.patreon.com/cw/TiebreakerExperts
All professional looking images are by @jpmsportsstats.bsky.social
Reposted by NFL Scenarios
Teams to clinch on Christmas:
Playoff berth:
1989 PIT
2005 NYG
2006 PHI
2011 ATL
2016 KC
2016 MIA
2025 GB
Division title:
1989 MIN (NFC Central)
1994 MIA (AFC East)
2000 TEN (AFC Central)
2005 CHI (NFC North)
2016 PIT (AFC North)
2020 NO (NFC South)
Playoff berth:
1989 PIT
2005 NYG
2006 PHI
2011 ATL
2016 KC
2016 MIA
2025 GB
Division title:
1989 MIN (NFC Central)
1994 MIA (AFC East)
2000 TEN (AFC Central)
2005 CHI (NFC North)
2016 PIT (AFC North)
2020 NO (NFC South)
December 26, 2025 at 1:17 AM
Teams to clinch on Christmas:
Playoff berth:
1989 PIT
2005 NYG
2006 PHI
2011 ATL
2016 KC
2016 MIA
2025 GB
Division title:
1989 MIN (NFC Central)
1994 MIA (AFC East)
2000 TEN (AFC Central)
2005 CHI (NFC North)
2016 PIT (AFC North)
2020 NO (NFC South)
Playoff berth:
1989 PIT
2005 NYG
2006 PHI
2011 ATL
2016 KC
2016 MIA
2025 GB
Division title:
1989 MIN (NFC Central)
1994 MIA (AFC East)
2000 TEN (AFC Central)
2005 CHI (NFC North)
2016 PIT (AFC North)
2020 NO (NFC South)
With the DEN win, HOU has been knocked out of AFC 1 seed contention.
December 26, 2025 at 4:02 AM
With the DEN win, HOU has been knocked out of AFC 1 seed contention.
With the DET loss, GB has clinched a playoff berth.
December 26, 2025 at 12:49 AM
With the DET loss, GB has clinched a playoff berth.
With the DET loss, DET has been eliminated from playoff contention.
December 26, 2025 at 12:49 AM
With the DET loss, DET has been eliminated from playoff contention.
Reposted by NFL Scenarios
There are now just 4 playoff spots up for grabs which is tied for the fewest entering the final two weeks of the season since 1990 (1990, 2019).
December 23, 2025 at 5:07 AM
There are now just 4 playoff spots up for grabs which is tied for the fewest entering the final two weeks of the season since 1990 (1990, 2019).
Reposted by NFL Scenarios
10 playoff spots clinched is the most with 2 weeks to play in NFL history. This is also the highest percentage of playoff berths clinched with 2 weeks to go in the regular season:
10 of 14 (71.4%): 2025
8 of 12 (66.7%): 1990, 2019
9 of 14 (64.3%): 2022, 2024
5 of 8 (62.5%): 1974
10 of 14 (71.4%): 2025
8 of 12 (66.7%): 1990, 2019
9 of 14 (64.3%): 2022, 2024
5 of 8 (62.5%): 1974
December 23, 2025 at 4:56 AM
10 playoff spots clinched is the most with 2 weeks to play in NFL history. This is also the highest percentage of playoff berths clinched with 2 weeks to go in the regular season:
10 of 14 (71.4%): 2025
8 of 12 (66.7%): 1990, 2019
9 of 14 (64.3%): 2022, 2024
5 of 8 (62.5%): 1974
10 of 14 (71.4%): 2025
8 of 12 (66.7%): 1990, 2019
9 of 14 (64.3%): 2022, 2024
5 of 8 (62.5%): 1974
Reposted by NFL Scenarios
8 teams clinched playoff berths in Week 16—tied for the most playoff spots clinched in one week in NFL history (1982 Week 16).
5 teams have clinched playoff berths so far this week. If IND loses or ties tonight on MNF, 3 more teams (BUF, JAX, LAC) would clinch for a total of 8. It would mark the most teams to make the postseason in one week since 1982 when 8 teams qualified for the 16-team Super Bowl tournament in Week 16.
December 23, 2025 at 4:27 AM
8 teams clinched playoff berths in Week 16—tied for the most playoff spots clinched in one week in NFL history (1982 Week 16).
Reposted by NFL Scenarios
The Steelers are in Super Bowl contention with 2 weeks to play for a record 22nd consecutive season (2004-25). Pittsburgh surpasses the 1966-86 Dallas Cowboys who were in playoff contention with 2 weeks to go for 21 straight seasons.
December 22, 2025 at 10:54 PM
The Steelers are in Super Bowl contention with 2 weeks to play for a record 22nd consecutive season (2004-25). Pittsburgh surpasses the 1966-86 Dallas Cowboys who were in playoff contention with 2 weeks to go for 21 straight seasons.
Reposted by NFL Scenarios
Since 2002 realignment, this is only the third time, and first since 2013, that 7 of the 8 divisions are still up for grabs entering the final two weeks of the regular season (2010, 2013, 2025).
December 22, 2025 at 10:41 PM
Since 2002 realignment, this is only the third time, and first since 2013, that 7 of the 8 divisions are still up for grabs entering the final two weeks of the regular season (2010, 2013, 2025).
Reposted by NFL Scenarios
Five NFC teams (LAR, SEA, PHI, CHI, SF) have clinched playoff spots through Week 16. This is only the third time as many as five NFC teams have secured a playoff berth with 2 weeks to go (1990, 2021, 2025).
December 22, 2025 at 10:32 PM
Five NFC teams (LAR, SEA, PHI, CHI, SF) have clinched playoff spots through Week 16. This is only the third time as many as five NFC teams have secured a playoff berth with 2 weeks to go (1990, 2021, 2025).
Reposted by NFL Scenarios
This is the 16th consecutive season that none of the No. 1 seeds have been clinched with 2 weeks to play. The 2009 Indianapolis Colts are the last team to lock up the 1 seed with 2 or more weeks remaining in the regular season.
December 22, 2025 at 10:25 PM
This is the 16th consecutive season that none of the No. 1 seeds have been clinched with 2 weeks to play. The 2009 Indianapolis Colts are the last team to lock up the 1 seed with 2 or more weeks remaining in the regular season.
The annual week 17 path to the playoffs post is up! Barring an oversight, this should be exhaustive, and it includes the 17 game parlay that results in the AFC 7 seed coming down to a points tiebreaker! nflplayoffscenarios.com/2025/week/17...
Every Team’s Path to the Playoffs (2025 Week 17)
Clinching & Elimination scenarios, tiebreakers, seeding, and more!
nflplayoffscenarios.com
December 23, 2025 at 10:47 PM
The annual week 17 path to the playoffs post is up! Barring an oversight, this should be exhaustive, and it includes the 17 game parlay that results in the AFC 7 seed coming down to a points tiebreaker! nflplayoffscenarios.com/2025/week/17...
The week 17 post is up! We have the chance to set the rest of the playoff field, and both 1 seeds could be clinched this week. nflplayoffscenarios.com/2025/week/17...
Playoff Picture Entering Week 17 2025
Clinching & Elimination scenarios, tiebreakers, seeding, and more!
nflplayoffscenarios.com
December 23, 2025 at 4:39 AM
The week 17 post is up! We have the chance to set the rest of the playoff field, and both 1 seeds could be clinched this week. nflplayoffscenarios.com/2025/week/17...
With the IND loss, JAX has clinched a playoff berth.
December 23, 2025 at 4:21 AM
With the IND loss, JAX has clinched a playoff berth.
With the IND loss, BUF has clinched a playoff berth.
December 23, 2025 at 4:21 AM
With the IND loss, BUF has clinched a playoff berth.
With the IND loss, LAC has clinched a playoff berth
December 23, 2025 at 4:21 AM
With the IND loss, LAC has clinched a playoff berth
With the NE win, NE has clinched a playoff berth
December 22, 2025 at 4:25 AM
With the NE win, NE has clinched a playoff berth
Welp, my instagram just got suspended accusing me of being a bot because I posted both the SF & CHI clinch that just happened in too rapid succession. This is fun.
December 22, 2025 at 1:15 AM
Welp, my instagram just got suspended accusing me of being a bot because I posted both the SF & CHI clinch that just happened in too rapid succession. This is fun.
With the DET loss, SF has clinched a playoff berth.
December 22, 2025 at 12:51 AM
With the DET loss, SF has clinched a playoff berth.
With the DET loss, CHI has clinched a playoff berth.
December 22, 2025 at 12:51 AM
With the DET loss, CHI has clinched a playoff berth.
With the DEN loss, NE stays eligible for the 1 seed entering week 17.
December 22, 2025 at 12:25 AM
With the DEN loss, NE stays eligible for the 1 seed entering week 17.
With the DEN loss, JAX stays eligible for the 1 seed entering week 17.
December 22, 2025 at 12:25 AM
With the DEN loss, JAX stays eligible for the 1 seed entering week 17.
With the DEN loss, HOU stays eligible for the 1 seed entering week 17.
December 22, 2025 at 12:24 AM
With the DEN loss, HOU stays eligible for the 1 seed entering week 17.
What to watch for in the late slate:
1) NE, BUF, and LAC all clinch playoff berths with HOU loss/tie
2) JAX clinches a playoff berth with a win + HOU loss/tie
3) CHI clinches a playoff berth with DET loss/tie
4) SF clinches a playoff berth with DET loss
1) NE, BUF, and LAC all clinch playoff berths with HOU loss/tie
2) JAX clinches a playoff berth with a win + HOU loss/tie
3) CHI clinches a playoff berth with DET loss/tie
4) SF clinches a playoff berth with DET loss
December 21, 2025 at 9:11 PM
What to watch for in the late slate:
1) NE, BUF, and LAC all clinch playoff berths with HOU loss/tie
2) JAX clinches a playoff berth with a win + HOU loss/tie
3) CHI clinches a playoff berth with DET loss/tie
4) SF clinches a playoff berth with DET loss
1) NE, BUF, and LAC all clinch playoff berths with HOU loss/tie
2) JAX clinches a playoff berth with a win + HOU loss/tie
3) CHI clinches a playoff berth with DET loss/tie
4) SF clinches a playoff berth with DET loss
With the LAC win, LAC remains alive for the AFC West title and the 1 seed entering week 17.
December 21, 2025 at 9:07 PM
With the LAC win, LAC remains alive for the AFC West title and the 1 seed entering week 17.