Mediazona losses in absolute and relative to 100K draftable male population (~35% of total) per region.
Tuva already lost 1.5% of applicable male population.
Tuva already lost 1.5% of applicable male population.
February 16, 2026 at 7:41 PM
Mediazona losses in absolute and relative to 100K draftable male population (~35% of total) per region.
Tuva already lost 1.5% of applicable male population.
Tuva already lost 1.5% of applicable male population.
Too many controversial topics that left me no choice but spam.
February 14, 2026 at 12:19 PM
Too many controversial topics that left me no choice but spam.
NATO Has Seen the Future - But It Will Not Fight It the Same Way
Recent commentary suggesting that NATO is "unprepared" for the future of warfare often draws heavily on the Ukrainian battlefield as a predictive model.
Recent commentary suggesting that NATO is "unprepared" for the future of warfare often draws heavily on the Ukrainian battlefield as a predictive model.
February 14, 2026 at 12:16 PM
NATO Has Seen the Future - But It Will Not Fight It the Same Way
Recent commentary suggesting that NATO is "unprepared" for the future of warfare often draws heavily on the Ukrainian battlefield as a predictive model.
Recent commentary suggesting that NATO is "unprepared" for the future of warfare often draws heavily on the Ukrainian battlefield as a predictive model.
The Grey Zone: War Without Lines
The modern frontline in Ukraine has ceased to function as a clearly defined line. Instead, it has expanded into what can best be described as a grey zone - a layered, semi-contested space with a symbolic control.
The modern frontline in Ukraine has ceased to function as a clearly defined line. Instead, it has expanded into what can best be described as a grey zone - a layered, semi-contested space with a symbolic control.
February 14, 2026 at 9:18 AM
The Grey Zone: War Without Lines
The modern frontline in Ukraine has ceased to function as a clearly defined line. Instead, it has expanded into what can best be described as a grey zone - a layered, semi-contested space with a symbolic control.
The modern frontline in Ukraine has ceased to function as a clearly defined line. Instead, it has expanded into what can best be described as a grey zone - a layered, semi-contested space with a symbolic control.
"Russia Is Apparently Preparing a New Spring Offensive"
At the beginning of almost every year, Russia takes an operational pause to reassess and refine its tactics for the coming campaign.
At the beginning of almost every year, Russia takes an operational pause to reassess and refine its tactics for the coming campaign.
February 10, 2026 at 10:20 PM
"Russia Is Apparently Preparing a New Spring Offensive"
At the beginning of almost every year, Russia takes an operational pause to reassess and refine its tactics for the coming campaign.
At the beginning of almost every year, Russia takes an operational pause to reassess and refine its tactics for the coming campaign.
Light pollution maps 2020 and 2024
February 10, 2026 at 1:34 PM
Light pollution maps 2020 and 2024
Southern SBS brigades were suspiciously quiet today.
February 8, 2026 at 6:50 PM
Southern SBS brigades were suspiciously quiet today.
SBS January on the map
Birds are dominating the front with x3 sorties than average UAV brigade.
Birds are dominating the front with x3 sorties than average UAV brigade.
February 7, 2026 at 10:45 AM
SBS January on the map
Birds are dominating the front with x3 sorties than average UAV brigade.
Birds are dominating the front with x3 sorties than average UAV brigade.
Another mass attack on energetics this time on Western Ukraine. Nothing special.
382/408 Drones
14/21 Kh-101
10/16 Kalibr
0/2 Zircon
19 locations were hit, 3 more damaged by debris.
*2 missiles were lost. Probably, Zircon were lost as usual.
382/408 Drones
14/21 Kh-101
10/16 Kalibr
0/2 Zircon
19 locations were hit, 3 more damaged by debris.
*2 missiles were lost. Probably, Zircon were lost as usual.
February 7, 2026 at 10:39 AM
Another mass attack on energetics this time on Western Ukraine. Nothing special.
382/408 Drones
14/21 Kh-101
10/16 Kalibr
0/2 Zircon
19 locations were hit, 3 more damaged by debris.
*2 missiles were lost. Probably, Zircon were lost as usual.
382/408 Drones
14/21 Kh-101
10/16 Kalibr
0/2 Zircon
19 locations were hit, 3 more damaged by debris.
*2 missiles were lost. Probably, Zircon were lost as usual.
The Informal Economy of War
Modern war operates on a multilayered wartime economy built around speed and necessity rather than legality or efficiency in peacetime terms.
Modern war operates on a multilayered wartime economy built around speed and necessity rather than legality or efficiency in peacetime terms.
February 6, 2026 at 10:54 PM
The Informal Economy of War
Modern war operates on a multilayered wartime economy built around speed and necessity rather than legality or efficiency in peacetime terms.
Modern war operates on a multilayered wartime economy built around speed and necessity rather than legality or efficiency in peacetime terms.
Truce sequence
February 3, 2026 at 8:24 AM
Truce sequence
Russia launched a large-scale combined air attack on Ukraine using 71 missiles and 450 drones (around 300 Shaheds).
412/450 Drones
11/32 Iskander-M
20/28 Kh-101
3/7 Kh-22
4/4 Zirkon
Impacts were recorded at 27 locations, 17 more sites damaged by debris.
412/450 Drones
11/32 Iskander-M
20/28 Kh-101
3/7 Kh-22
4/4 Zirkon
Impacts were recorded at 27 locations, 17 more sites damaged by debris.
February 3, 2026 at 8:02 AM
Russia launched a large-scale combined air attack on Ukraine using 71 missiles and 450 drones (around 300 Shaheds).
412/450 Drones
11/32 Iskander-M
20/28 Kh-101
3/7 Kh-22
4/4 Zirkon
Impacts were recorded at 27 locations, 17 more sites damaged by debris.
412/450 Drones
11/32 Iskander-M
20/28 Kh-101
3/7 Kh-22
4/4 Zirkon
Impacts were recorded at 27 locations, 17 more sites damaged by debris.
GSUA January
In January, Russian forces launched 5109 assaults across 193 settlements, extending their area of control by approximately 336 km². Of this, 231 km² were captured and 105 km² moved into the gray zone according to DeepState, while Suriyak estimates the total expansion at 429 km².
In January, Russian forces launched 5109 assaults across 193 settlements, extending their area of control by approximately 336 km². Of this, 231 km² were captured and 105 km² moved into the gray zone according to DeepState, while Suriyak estimates the total expansion at 429 km².
February 1, 2026 at 7:39 PM
GSUA January
In January, Russian forces launched 5109 assaults across 193 settlements, extending their area of control by approximately 336 km². Of this, 231 km² were captured and 105 km² moved into the gray zone according to DeepState, while Suriyak estimates the total expansion at 429 km².
In January, Russian forces launched 5109 assaults across 193 settlements, extending their area of control by approximately 336 km². Of this, 231 km² were captured and 105 km² moved into the gray zone according to DeepState, while Suriyak estimates the total expansion at 429 km².
Striking January
January 31, 2026 at 1:11 PM
Striking January
Monthly missile attacks stats. Almost No Kh-101 in January.
Yet only 69 of 132 missiles were intercepted, and the results could have been worse if Ukraine had not received PAC-3 missiles prior to the recent attacks.
Yet only 69 of 132 missiles were intercepted, and the results could have been worse if Ukraine had not received PAC-3 missiles prior to the recent attacks.
January 29, 2026 at 7:36 PM
Monthly missile attacks stats. Almost No Kh-101 in January.
Yet only 69 of 132 missiles were intercepted, and the results could have been worse if Ukraine had not received PAC-3 missiles prior to the recent attacks.
Yet only 69 of 132 missiles were intercepted, and the results could have been worse if Ukraine had not received PAC-3 missiles prior to the recent attacks.
The Illusion of Momentum: Pressure Without Breakthrough
The frontline is not homogeneous, and the opposing sides are neither equal nor static. Territory alone does not decide the war, yet it remains an important bargaining chip. Crucially, it is the only reversible one.
The frontline is not homogeneous, and the opposing sides are neither equal nor static. Territory alone does not decide the war, yet it remains an important bargaining chip. Crucially, it is the only reversible one.
January 27, 2026 at 8:00 PM
The Illusion of Momentum: Pressure Without Breakthrough
The frontline is not homogeneous, and the opposing sides are neither equal nor static. Territory alone does not decide the war, yet it remains an important bargaining chip. Crucially, it is the only reversible one.
The frontline is not homogeneous, and the opposing sides are neither equal nor static. Territory alone does not decide the war, yet it remains an important bargaining chip. Crucially, it is the only reversible one.
Took @uacontrolmap.bsky.social and marked all the AFU units moved by more than 30km Since August 1.
104 were moved, 89 were added and 63 were removed.
162 didn't move, and 150 moved for less than 30km.
104 were moved, 89 were added and 63 were removed.
162 didn't move, and 150 moved for less than 30km.
January 26, 2026 at 9:55 PM
Took @uacontrolmap.bsky.social and marked all the AFU units moved by more than 30km Since August 1.
104 were moved, 89 were added and 63 were removed.
162 didn't move, and 150 moved for less than 30km.
104 were moved, 89 were added and 63 were removed.
162 didn't move, and 150 moved for less than 30km.
Asymmetrical Drone Warfare: Initiative Shift
As Russia expands its area of control through pressure along the front, asymmetrical drone warfare has entered a critical phase.
As Russia expands its area of control through pressure along the front, asymmetrical drone warfare has entered a critical phase.
January 24, 2026 at 3:41 PM
Asymmetrical Drone Warfare: Initiative Shift
As Russia expands its area of control through pressure along the front, asymmetrical drone warfare has entered a critical phase.
As Russia expands its area of control through pressure along the front, asymmetrical drone warfare has entered a critical phase.
A System Designed Not to Last, but to Win Time
This defensive system is not built for permanence. It is designed to fail in a controlled manner while winning time. Every element - ditches, obstacles, and dispersed fire points - exists to delay, disrupt, and exhaust the attacker rather than to hold.
This defensive system is not built for permanence. It is designed to fail in a controlled manner while winning time. Every element - ditches, obstacles, and dispersed fire points - exists to delay, disrupt, and exhaust the attacker rather than to hold.
January 21, 2026 at 10:37 AM
A System Designed Not to Last, but to Win Time
This defensive system is not built for permanence. It is designed to fail in a controlled manner while winning time. Every element - ditches, obstacles, and dispersed fire points - exists to delay, disrupt, and exhaust the attacker rather than to hold.
This defensive system is not built for permanence. It is designed to fail in a controlled manner while winning time. Every element - ditches, obstacles, and dispersed fire points - exists to delay, disrupt, and exhaust the attacker rather than to hold.
The Grid of Death
Ukraine has accelerated the construction of defensive lines, shifting from a linear concept to a layered, depth-oriented system. The focus remains on key defensive nodes, but these are no longer isolated points.
Ukraine has accelerated the construction of defensive lines, shifting from a linear concept to a layered, depth-oriented system. The focus remains on key defensive nodes, but these are no longer isolated points.
January 20, 2026 at 9:56 PM
The Grid of Death
Ukraine has accelerated the construction of defensive lines, shifting from a linear concept to a layered, depth-oriented system. The focus remains on key defensive nodes, but these are no longer isolated points.
Ukraine has accelerated the construction of defensive lines, shifting from a linear concept to a layered, depth-oriented system. The focus remains on key defensive nodes, but these are no longer isolated points.
This is the war of an yes but.
A war that was planned for weeks but lasts for years.
A campaign designed for speed that turned into endurance.
Timelines collapsed, but escalation never fully arrived.
A war that was planned for weeks but lasts for years.
A campaign designed for speed that turned into endurance.
Timelines collapsed, but escalation never fully arrived.
January 17, 2026 at 11:37 AM
This is the war of an yes but.
A war that was planned for weeks but lasts for years.
A campaign designed for speed that turned into endurance.
Timelines collapsed, but escalation never fully arrived.
A war that was planned for weeks but lasts for years.
A campaign designed for speed that turned into endurance.
Timelines collapsed, but escalation never fully arrived.
An unaffected SAR patch in the Huliaipole direction shows a rapid Russian advance through open fields, which will likely become hunting grounds for AFU drones.
January 13, 2026 at 4:55 PM
An unaffected SAR patch in the Huliaipole direction shows a rapid Russian advance through open fields, which will likely become hunting grounds for AFU drones.
Talking about the flat Ukrainian terrain
Mapbox provides some 3D view capabilities that allow you to look at the frontline at an angle and see the battlefield from a different perspective.
You can also notice how flat Huliaipole is compared to other directions.
Mapbox provides some 3D view capabilities that allow you to look at the frontline at an angle and see the battlefield from a different perspective.
You can also notice how flat Huliaipole is compared to other directions.
January 10, 2026 at 10:52 AM
Talking about the flat Ukrainian terrain
Mapbox provides some 3D view capabilities that allow you to look at the frontline at an angle and see the battlefield from a different perspective.
You can also notice how flat Huliaipole is compared to other directions.
Mapbox provides some 3D view capabilities that allow you to look at the frontline at an angle and see the battlefield from a different perspective.
You can also notice how flat Huliaipole is compared to other directions.
Zs dont appreciate the competition.
January 7, 2026 at 5:40 PM
Zs dont appreciate the competition.
Angarsk
How it started how it goes
How it started how it goes
January 7, 2026 at 1:33 PM
Angarsk
How it started how it goes
How it started how it goes