Michael Ettllnger
@mettlinger.bsky.social
These days jumping in on things I care about: writing, analyzing, pestering--whatever I can do. Part time Senior Fellow @ITEPtweets. Senior Fellow @CarseySchool. Founding Director of @CarseySchool. Fmr: @pewtrusts @amprog @EconomicPolicy. @napawash fellow.
Pinned
Michael Ettllnger
@mettlinger.bsky.social
· Aug 15
Warning Signs of the Economic Harms from Deportations
<span>This report focuses on early warning signs that economic harm from deportations is happening in the United States in the form of losses in employment and
papers.ssrn.com
New from me and co-authors ... papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
We may not get Schumer. Durbin needs to be replaced as Minority Whip
November 11, 2025 at 4:37 AM
We may not get Schumer. Durbin needs to be replaced as Minority Whip
The other thing about this deal? What was the point of the filibuster if we don’t get anything for it? Inflicted pain with nothing gained
November 10, 2025 at 6:02 PM
The other thing about this deal? What was the point of the filibuster if we don’t get anything for it? Inflicted pain with nothing gained
Time to start organizing to put the fear of G_d in these Senators for their political lives if they don’t get a spine by January. For the retiring ones: fear that their legacy will always be tarnished. Schumer needs to feel at risk too
November 10, 2025 at 6:30 AM
Time to start organizing to put the fear of G_d in these Senators for their political lives if they don’t get a spine by January. For the retiring ones: fear that their legacy will always be tarnished. Schumer needs to feel at risk too
I was for the Ds averting the shutdown last time. I thought the politics at that time & the way DOGE was operating, a shutdown would have helped Trump. Now is different. Democrats! Current position is already too much of a concession. Give no more!
November 8, 2025 at 8:56 PM
I was for the Ds averting the shutdown last time. I thought the politics at that time & the way DOGE was operating, a shutdown would have helped Trump. Now is different. Democrats! Current position is already too much of a concession. Give no more!
Does Harvard & Columbia still have records of Trump’s applications and rejections?
October 2, 2025 at 12:58 AM
Does Harvard & Columbia still have records of Trump’s applications and rejections?
JFC. Michelob Ultra is the top selling beer in the USA. This place is the weirdest mix of toxic masculinity and sorry ass pathetic light beer drinking possible. Candy ass pseudo toughness. Beat up on the defenseless then drink the weakest beer possible to celebrate the conquest. Sad
September 23, 2025 at 11:31 PM
JFC. Michelob Ultra is the top selling beer in the USA. This place is the weirdest mix of toxic masculinity and sorry ass pathetic light beer drinking possible. Candy ass pseudo toughness. Beat up on the defenseless then drink the weakest beer possible to celebrate the conquest. Sad
There’s on old saying. “Military justice is to justice, what military music is to music.” apnews.com/article/pent...
Pentagon authorizes up to 600 military lawyers to serve as temporary immigration judges
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has approved sending up to 600 military lawyers to the Justice Department to serve as temporary immigration judges, according to a memo reviewed by The Associated Press.
apnews.com
September 3, 2025 at 9:33 AM
There’s on old saying. “Military justice is to justice, what military music is to music.” apnews.com/article/pent...
New from me and co-authors ... papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Warning Signs of the Economic Harms from Deportations
<span>This report focuses on early warning signs that economic harm from deportations is happening in the United States in the form of losses in employment and
papers.ssrn.com
August 15, 2025 at 8:30 PM
New from me and co-authors ... papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Ds need to be clear. If Trump starts arresting D leaders based on nothing, there is going to be an uprising in this country not seen since the civil war
July 22, 2025 at 4:05 PM
Ds need to be clear. If Trump starts arresting D leaders based on nothing, there is going to be an uprising in this country not seen since the civil war
Negotiating her silence no doubt … www.nbcnews.com/politics/jus...
Deputy attorney general to meet with Epstein accomplice Ghislaine Maxwell
Maxwell was convicted of recruiting and grooming multiple teenage girls for over a decade to be sexually abused by Jeffrey Epstein.
www.nbcnews.com
July 22, 2025 at 3:35 PM
Negotiating her silence no doubt … www.nbcnews.com/politics/jus...
Reposted by Michael Ettllnger
If you assume all the rescissions in the rescissions bill stick and that the budget accounts never get additional plusups in future years, then Republicans would need to do another 35 rescissions bills the size of what they did last week in order to pay for the big beautiful bill.
Final CBO score of the "big beautiful bill" is out
Largest Medicaid cuts ever - in fact, at least 4 times the size of the previous largest; $894-$990 bn cut
Kicks 10 million off health insurance
Largest SNAP cuts ever, $197 bn cut
Still increases the deficit by $3.4 trillion from huge tax cuts
Largest Medicaid cuts ever - in fact, at least 4 times the size of the previous largest; $894-$990 bn cut
Kicks 10 million off health insurance
Largest SNAP cuts ever, $197 bn cut
Still increases the deficit by $3.4 trillion from huge tax cuts
July 21, 2025 at 7:14 PM
If you assume all the rescissions in the rescissions bill stick and that the budget accounts never get additional plusups in future years, then Republicans would need to do another 35 rescissions bills the size of what they did last week in order to pay for the big beautiful bill.
It says something that the only thing I’m surprised by in this story is that someone has “Thomas” as a nickname. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
Irish tourist jailed by Ice for months after overstaying US visit by three days: ‘Nobody is safe’
Exclusive: For roughly 100 days, Thomas says he faced harsh detention conditions, despite agreeing to deportation
www.theguardian.com
July 15, 2025 at 3:43 PM
It says something that the only thing I’m surprised by in this story is that someone has “Thomas” as a nickname. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
If instead of giving $117 billion to the richest 1 percent, that money had been evenly divided among all Americans, we'd each get $343 - or nearly $1,400 for a family of four.
Read more at: itep.org/map-family-s...
Read more at: itep.org/map-family-s...
How Much Would Every Family in Every State Get if the Megabill’s Tax Cuts Given to the Rich Had Instead Been Evenly Divided?
If instead of giving $117 billion to the richest 1 percent, that money had been evenly divided among all Americans, we'd each get $343 - or nearly $1,400 for a family of four.
itep.org
July 14, 2025 at 8:35 PM
If instead of giving $117 billion to the richest 1 percent, that money had been evenly divided among all Americans, we'd each get $343 - or nearly $1,400 for a family of four.
Read more at: itep.org/map-family-s...
Read more at: itep.org/map-family-s...
By me: 10 Crazy Comparisons Showing How Big the Tax Cuts for the Rich are. Read more at: itep.org/10-crazy-com...
10 Crazy Comparisons Showing How Much Trump and Congress Just Cut Taxes for the Rich
$117 billion is a big number, so we thought it could use a little context.
itep.org
July 10, 2025 at 8:38 PM
By me: 10 Crazy Comparisons Showing How Big the Tax Cuts for the Rich are. Read more at: itep.org/10-crazy-com...
Another ITEP thing from me ... itep.org/salt-cap-sen...
The SALT Caucus, Fortunately, Comes Up Short
The endlessly debated cap on deductions for state and local taxes (SALT) has emerged in the GOP megabill largely unscathed—despite the efforts of Republican lawmakers from “blue” states. Those lawmake...
itep.org
July 2, 2025 at 8:36 PM
Another ITEP thing from me ... itep.org/salt-cap-sen...
A little something I chipped in at @itep.org ... The predominant feature of the tax and spending bill working its way through Congress is a massive tax cut for the richest 1 percent — a $114 billion benefit to the wealthiest people in the country in 2026 alone. itep.org/trump-megabi...
Trump Megabill Will Give $114 Billion in Tax Cuts to the Top 1% in 2026. How Much In Your State?
The predominant feature of the tax and spending bill working its way through Congress is a massive tax cut for the richest 1 percent — a $114 billion benefit to the wealthiest people in the country in...
itep.org
June 30, 2025 at 8:54 PM
A little something I chipped in at @itep.org ... The predominant feature of the tax and spending bill working its way through Congress is a massive tax cut for the richest 1 percent — a $114 billion benefit to the wealthiest people in the country in 2026 alone. itep.org/trump-megabi...
AI assistants for help and transactions would be more palatable if they didn't try to mimic human interactions. It makes them more annoying (and creepy). Just have them act unfeeling. Then it would be less annoying when they seem dumb or unresponsive. Then It's just a machine.
May 30, 2025 at 2:59 PM
AI assistants for help and transactions would be more palatable if they didn't try to mimic human interactions. It makes them more annoying (and creepy). Just have them act unfeeling. Then it would be less annoying when they seem dumb or unresponsive. Then It's just a machine.
Reposted by Michael Ettllnger
Homicide rates: NY 4.5, FL 7.2
Life expectancy: NY 79, FL 76.1
Uninsured rate: NY 4.8, FL 10.7
Life expectancy: NY 79, FL 76.1
Uninsured rate: NY 4.8, FL 10.7
Bessent: "We want the US to be more like Florida and less like New York"
May 29, 2025 at 10:26 PM
Homicide rates: NY 4.5, FL 7.2
Life expectancy: NY 79, FL 76.1
Uninsured rate: NY 4.8, FL 10.7
Life expectancy: NY 79, FL 76.1
Uninsured rate: NY 4.8, FL 10.7
Brooks can be annoyingly disingenuous & I disagree with him on much … but he can write & he has the bit in his teeth on this one & nails it … www.nytimes.com/2025/05/29/o...
Opinion | I’m Normally a Mild Guy. Here’s What’s Pushed Me Over the Edge.
www.nytimes.com
May 29, 2025 at 11:13 PM
Brooks can be annoyingly disingenuous & I disagree with him on much … but he can write & he has the bit in his teeth on this one & nails it … www.nytimes.com/2025/05/29/o...
I’m against a middle-class bureaucrat stealing SNAP benefits. I’m not sure in the ultimate ledger, though, that it’s worse than (legally) cutting SNAP to pay for tax cuts for the wealthy. www.justice.gov/usao-sdny/pr...
USDA Employee And Five Others Charged In Multimillion-Dollar Food Stamp Fraud And Bribery Scheme
Perry Carbone, Attorney for the United States, Acting under Authority Conferred by 28 U.S.C. § 515; Charmeka Parker, the Special Agent in Charge of the U.S. Department of Agriculture, Office of Inspec...
www.justice.gov
May 29, 2025 at 10:22 PM
I’m against a middle-class bureaucrat stealing SNAP benefits. I’m not sure in the ultimate ledger, though, that it’s worse than (legally) cutting SNAP to pay for tax cuts for the wealthy. www.justice.gov/usao-sdny/pr...
Reposted by Michael Ettllnger
Reposted by Michael Ettllnger
The House tax bill overwhelmingly benefits the wealthiest Americans.
Net tax cuts:
$138 billion for top 1% of Americans
$92 billion for bottom 60% of Americans
This will worsen wealth inequality through the tax code.
Net tax cuts:
$138 billion for top 1% of Americans
$92 billion for bottom 60% of Americans
This will worsen wealth inequality through the tax code.
May 21, 2025 at 3:07 PM
The House tax bill overwhelmingly benefits the wealthiest Americans.
Net tax cuts:
$138 billion for top 1% of Americans
$92 billion for bottom 60% of Americans
This will worsen wealth inequality through the tax code.
Net tax cuts:
$138 billion for top 1% of Americans
$92 billion for bottom 60% of Americans
This will worsen wealth inequality through the tax code.
Reposted by Michael Ettllnger
Three things made the US a rich and powerful nation: the rule of law, its science & innovation system, and openness to foreign talent. Remarkable how Trump has taken a sledgehammer to all three. No enemy of this country could do more.
May 22, 2025 at 11:09 PM
Three things made the US a rich and powerful nation: the rule of law, its science & innovation system, and openness to foreign talent. Remarkable how Trump has taken a sledgehammer to all three. No enemy of this country could do more.
I've friends who've worked on pesticide regulation in federal government. It's weak. Science supports stronger regulation. So how do we deal with RFK Jr., whose random unscientific, dangerous, ideas can cause much harm, accidentally has something right? Support the policy while condemning the man?
May 22, 2025 at 8:47 PM
I've friends who've worked on pesticide regulation in federal government. It's weak. Science supports stronger regulation. So how do we deal with RFK Jr., whose random unscientific, dangerous, ideas can cause much harm, accidentally has something right? Support the policy while condemning the man?
This article about Blue Dog Ds in the House is from 2023 but I just read it. It highlights to me the importance of distinguishing btw moderate Ds voting on their moderate principles (OK if we want to rep moderate districts) & bad unprincipled stands pandering to the worst of Trumpism
May 22, 2025 at 3:17 PM
This article about Blue Dog Ds in the House is from 2023 but I just read it. It highlights to me the importance of distinguishing btw moderate Ds voting on their moderate principles (OK if we want to rep moderate districts) & bad unprincipled stands pandering to the worst of Trumpism