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Trump was able to win back some Mainers from 2020 and improved his numbers in every county but Lincoln and Sagadahoc. The trend continues as the coast moves left and inland moves right, especially in the northernmost part of Maine.

D+9.1➡️D+6.9

#mepolitics
2025 In-State Contributions by candidate for the ME Gov Race

Bellows has raised the most money from within Maine. Bellows also has the highest % of her money coming from Maine among Dems (70%). Wessels (90%) and Jones (85%) have the highest % from Mainers among Rs.

#MEpolitics
January 16, 2026 at 2:58 PM
2025 Contributions by Candidate for the ME Gov Race
🔵Pingree: $1.4M
🔵Bellows: $1.1M
🔴Bush: $964K
🔵King III: $908K
🔵Jackson: $644K
🔴Charles: $541K
🟡Bennett: $529K
🔵Shah: $510K
🔴Jones: $440K
🔴McCarthy: $336K
🔴Midgley: $251K

#MEpolitics
January 16, 2026 at 2:57 PM
As expected, State Senator Joe Baldacci has joined a small field of Democratic candidates in the ME02 House race. He'll face Jordan Wood and Matt Dunlap in the primary.

A recent Pan Atlantic poll for Baldacci showed him as the current favorite #mepolitics

www.bangordailynews.com/2026/01/12/p...
Joe Baldacci launches Democratic run for Maine’s 2nd District
Bangor state Sen. Joe Baldacci joins crowded Democratic primary for Maine's 2nd Congressional District, aiming to challenge Republican favorite Paul LePage.
www.bangordailynews.com
January 12, 2026 at 1:57 PM
Active Voter changes in Maine from 2024-2025

Democrats: -4,711 (-0.5%)
Republicans: -1,670 (-0.2%)
Unenrolled: +23,317 (+2.2%)

The majority of the increase in unenrolled voters is due to No Labels withdrawing from Maine #MEpolitics
January 11, 2026 at 7:45 PM
There have been three polls testing both Mills and Platner against Collins in a general election.

Polling Average
🔵Platner: 42%
🔴Collins: 40%

🔵Mills: 42%
🔴Collins: 42%

#MEpolitics
December Polling Average Update for the US Senate Dem Primary in Maine

Polling Average (Change since Nov - 2 new polls)
🟣Platner: 43.6% (-1.7)
🟢Mills: 38.0% (+5.7)

Polls in this race are showing everything from Platner+20 to Mills+10 #mepolitics
December 14, 2025 at 4:12 PM
December Polling Average Update for the US Senate Dem Primary in Maine

Polling Average (Change since Nov - 2 new polls)
🟣Platner: 43.6% (-1.7)
🟢Mills: 38.0% (+5.7)

Polls in this race are showing everything from Platner+20 to Mills+10 #mepolitics
December 14, 2025 at 3:14 PM
Pan Atlantic Research, as part of their 67th Omnibus Poll, also polled the CD2 race for Joe Baldacci, who is considering jumping in the race.

Dem Primary
Baldacci: 42%
Dunlap: 10%
Wood: 10%
Undecided: 38%

General
🔵Baldacci: 43%
🔴LePage: 44%

#mepolitics
December 12, 2025 at 2:11 PM
Just under 500,000 people cast ballots in this off-year election. That represents:

1⃣47% of Active voters📈 (from Febs voter roll)
2⃣An increase of 82k voters from 2023📈

Maine continues to have some of the nation's best voter participation every election #mepolitics
The SOS has released the official election results for the Nov 4 Referendums

Q1 (Voter ID and other restrictions) REJECTED by 28.4pts❌
Q2 (Red Flag Law) PASSED by 25.8pts✅

#mepolitics
November 19, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Q1's No margin was 2.6pts larger than Q2s Yes margin. Populous southern, coastal Maine voted slightly more in favor of Q2, while central Maine voted stronger against Q1 #mepolitics
November 19, 2025 at 6:01 PM
Both No and 1 and Yes on 2 won in CD1 and CD2. The margins also far outpaced Harris' 2024 margin of 6.9pts.

Q1
CD1: No+41.9🟦
CD2: No+12.0🟦

Q2
CD1: Yes+41.2🟦
CD2: Yes+7.1🟦

2024 President
CD1: Harris+21.6🟦
CD2: Trump+9.0🟥

#mepolitics
November 19, 2025 at 1:59 PM
The SOS has released the official election results for the Nov 4 Referendums

Q1 (Voter ID and other restrictions) REJECTED by 28.4pts❌
Q2 (Red Flag Law) PASSED by 25.8pts✅

#mepolitics
November 19, 2025 at 12:53 PM
Husband and Wife, David Haggan (SD10) and Kimberly Haggan (HD36), are the most conservative members of each respective state house according to the scorecard averages.

State Sen David Haggan Avg: 1.9%
State Rep Kim Haggan Avg: 0.4%

#mepolitics
2025 ME House Scorecard Average

Below are the average scores for ME House members across 5 different scorecards. (100%=Most Dem)

🟦Most Bipartisan Ds
O'Halloran-HD20: 67.8%
Bunker-HD75: 81.5%

🟥Most Bipartisan Rs
Lanigan-HD141: 11.6%
Foley-HD145: 11.3%

#mepolitics
November 18, 2025 at 5:54 PM
2025 ME House Scorecard Average

Below are the average scores for ME House members across 5 different scorecards. (100%=Most Dem)

🟦Most Bipartisan Ds
O'Halloran-HD20: 67.8%
Bunker-HD75: 81.5%

🟥Most Bipartisan Rs
Lanigan-HD141: 11.6%
Foley-HD145: 11.3%

#mepolitics
November 18, 2025 at 5:39 PM
2025 ME Sen Legislative Scorecard Average

Below are the average scores for ME State Senators across 5 different scorecards. (100%=Most Dem)

🟦Most Bipartisan Ds
Hickman-SD14: 78.8%
Baldacci-SD9: 86.2%

🟥Most Bipartisan Rs
Bennett-SD18: 50.7%
Bradstreet-SD15: 8.1%

#mepolitics
November 17, 2025 at 12:59 PM
State Senator for Bangor and Hermon Joe Baldacci, brother of former Maine Governor John Baldacci, would be a solid candidate for the Democrats. He overperformed the top of the ticket by nearly 7pts in 2024 and is one of the most bipartisan lawmakers #mepolitics

x.com/polltracker2...
November 15, 2025 at 5:58 AM
Graham Platner is currently leading Janet Mills in the polling average for the US Senate Dem primary by 13pts.

#mepolitics
November 14, 2025 at 7:59 PM
Looking at town results on BDN for Q1 and Q2. Northern ME saw huge shifts from '24.

Caribou
'24 Prez: Trump+20
'25 Q1: No+3 (23pt shift 🔵)

Fort Fairfield
'24 Prez: Trump+19
'25 Q1: No+7 (26pt shift 🔵)

Presque Isle
'24 Prez: Trump+9
'25 Q1: No+18 (27pt shift 🔵)

#mepolitics
November 9, 2025 at 3:41 PM
The referendum results underscore a big issue for Maine Rs. They need to improve their margins in large municipalities or they will continue to lose ground, especially in non-presidential years. The largest 10 munis in ME are currently voting >25 pts left of the state #mepolitics
November 5, 2025 at 1:08 PM
Per the new MPA scorecard, here are the most bipartisan legislators for each party in ‘25

GOP turned Indy Gov candidate Rick Bennett is the most bipartisan State Sen

GOP Rep Lucas Lanigan, indicted on domestic violence charges in March, is the most bipartisan R Rep #mepolitics
September 19, 2025 at 8:42 PM
In 2020, Susan Collins had the third biggest drop in margin of any incumbent senator between two elections since 2000.

2014: Collins +37.0
2020: Collins +8.6 (-28.4)

Only Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) and Ted Stevens (R-AK) had bigger drops of 33pts and 70pts, respectively

#mepolitics
September 4, 2025 at 3:53 PM
The GOP has been trying to win HD44 for years and with Bill Pluecker (I) term-limited they may finally get their chance.

HD104 and HD107 should be clear targets for Dems as Arata is term-limited and Cooper is in a Harris district which had an independent running in '24 #mepolitics
Here's an early look at the best pickup opportunities for each party in the ME House

🟦Democrats: 25
🟥Republicans: 12

Even a moderate midterm advantage for Democrats should leave them in a great position to expand their majority #mepolitics
July 25, 2025 at 7:57 PM
Here's an early look at the best pickup opportunities for each party in the ME House

🟦Democrats: 25
🟥Republicans: 12

Even a moderate midterm advantage for Democrats should leave them in a great position to expand their majority #mepolitics
July 25, 2025 at 6:56 PM
SD8 is trending right relative to the state, but will likely stay in Dem hands with a favorable midterm environment and Tipping running again.

SD20 trended similarly to the state from '20 to '24. Bickford benefitted from a progressive independent running #mepolitics
July 24, 2025 at 7:08 PM
Here's a very early look at where Dems and GOP will be looking to pick up seats in the 2026 ME Senate races.

Best Pickup Opps
Rs - SD8 (Mike Tipping - D)
🟥2024 Prez: R+2.1
🟦2024 ME Sen: D+0.6

Ds - SD20 (Bruce Bickford - R)
🟦2024 Prez: D+0.9
🟥2024 ME Sen: R+4.4

#mepolitics
July 24, 2025 at 6:26 PM
With Paul LePage jumping into the ME-02 race, let's look back at his last two elections for governor. In 2014, LePage won CD2 and narrowly lost CD1. In his 2022 return to politics, he lost massive ground in CD1 and barely won CD2 in route to a 13pt statewide defeat #mepolitics
July 19, 2025 at 12:37 PM