markhleonard.bsky.social
markhleonard.bsky.social
markhleonard.bsky.social
@markhleonard.bsky.social
Director of @ecfr.eu; Presenter 'Mark Leonard's World in 30 Minutes' apple.co/2ACObcj; Columnist; Speaker; Author 'The Age of Unpeace', 'What Does China Think?", "Surviving Chaos: Geopolitics When the Rules Fail" (forthcoming in April)
In Davos a new world is emerging, a post-western geopolitics. Emmanuel Macron has colourful language and Raybans but even more striking was the plea from the uber-altanticist European Commission President @vonderleyen.ec.europa.eu for "a new independent Europe".
January 20, 2026 at 5:13 PM
Reposted by markhleonard.bsky.social
🎧 New Week, New episode!

@markhleonard.bsky.social sits down with Finnish president, Alexander Stubb in Davos for a conversation about Donald Trump’s view of Ukraine, Greenland, the world and Europe’s place in it.

Listen to the live moments from Davos now: https://bit.ly/3LDOCLa
Live from Davos with Alexander Stubb – European Council on Foreign Relations
In this episode,  Mark Leonard  sits down with Finnish president,  Alexander Stubb , in Davos for a conversation about&n
bit.ly
January 20, 2026 at 4:52 PM
Am in @Davos to talk about geopolitics, global Un-order, AI, China, Europe and Greenland among other things. I recorded a special issue of the World in 30 Minutes podcast with Finnish President Alex Stubb. Very much recommended: ecfr.eu/podcasts/epi...
January 20, 2026 at 4:23 PM
The Greenland situation could turn into the biggest transtlantic crisis since Suez. Together with colleagues @ecfr we have just published a piece looking at what "cards" European nations hold on Greenland (to use Pres Trump's phrase). There is lots that Europeans can do: ecfr.eu/article/arct...
Arctic hold‘em: Ten European cards in Greenland – European Council on Foreign Relations
Europeans have real leverage in the face of Donald Trump’s threats towards Greenland—and time on their side. They must use it to raise the prospective costs of
ecfr.eu
January 18, 2026 at 3:12 PM
Reposted by markhleonard.bsky.social
So many interesting findings and points of analysis in @ecfr.eu new global opinion survey. @markhleonard.bsky.social & colleagues polled 26k people in 21 countries around the world and found that - on whole range of measures - Trump’s 2nd term is playing into China’s hands ⬇️

ecfr.eu/publication/...
How Trump is making China great again—and what it means for Europe – European Council on Foreign Relations
A post-Western world is learning to love China, while Europeans are starting to fear America.
ecfr.eu
January 15, 2026 at 12:42 PM
Reposted by markhleonard.bsky.social
How is Trump making China great again & what does it mean for Europe? New ECFR survey data shows that Trump’s “America First” approach is pushing states closer to China while reducing fear of the US.
✍️ @markhleonard.bsky.social Ivan Krastev & @fromtga.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4qUzHv3
January 15, 2026 at 8:01 AM
Reposted by markhleonard.bsky.social
"The world will not fall apart in 2026, but we will continue to muddle through an illiberal wave which is clearly not just a phase", write @markhleonard.bsky.social, Jeremy Shapiro, and Anand Sundar. Read the ten foreign policy trends that will shape 2026.

https://bit.ly/4qH5mjk
2026: The year we stop pretending it’s just a phase – European Council on Foreign Relations
Ten key foreign policy trends for the year ahead
bit.ly
January 7, 2026 at 5:24 PM
Reposted by markhleonard.bsky.social
Rather than only preparing for the next horror show from Steve Witkoff and Kirill Dmitriev, Europeans should be drafting their own plans and making it clear that they are the true party of peace, writes @markhleonard.bsky.social

What should be the Europe's next step?
https://bit.ly/4poPwZM
Decision time for Europe – European Council on Foreign Relations
Given the Trump administration’s recent statements and policy pronouncements, European leaders no longer have any excuse for failing to map out their own long-t
ecfr.eu
January 5, 2026 at 12:13 PM
Reposted by markhleonard.bsky.social
🎧 New emergency Podcast!

This week, @markhleonard.bsky.social welcomes Jeremy Shapiro and @jitorreblanca.bsky.social. Together, they discover why the US attacked Venezuela and captured President Maduro. What happens next? Could Greenland be next?

Full episode: https://bit.ly/4aMbVwA
Trump attacks Venezuela – European Council on Foreign Relations
Mark Leonard welcomes Jeremy Shapiro and Nacho Torreblanca to discuss what Donald Trump’s capture of Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro means for the world
bit.ly
January 6, 2026 at 8:17 AM