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Longshot
@longshottrading.bsky.social
Sports trading, scalping, arbitrage and good old fashioned gambling
The weather is clearing up in South London. Expect the draw price on the cricket to drift some more #ENGvIND
July 31, 2025 at 8:49 AM
Alcaraz has won five out of five grand slam finals. Not sure why the bookies have him as the outsider. Back him at 2.1.
July 13, 2025 at 3:19 PM
South Africa haven’t chased down a 2nd innings target of more than 250 since 2008. Back Australia to win at 1.6. #AUSvsSA
June 13, 2025 at 12:19 PM
Hayley Matthews out of the West Indies team. Price for a West Indies win doubles 🏏#ENGvWI
June 4, 2025 at 11:46 AM
May results:
Loss on starting bank -21.95%
Winning days 20
Losing days 9
Didn’t trade 2
Average day -5.39%
Average winning day +3.32%
Average losing day -7.98%
Biggest winning day +14.43%
Biggest losing day -46.79%
June 2, 2025 at 11:16 AM
Stand by for an absolute horror show.
June 2, 2025 at 11:15 AM
16th in the Premier League plays 17th in the Premier League for a place in next year’s Champions League. How embarrassing for everyone involved. #EuropaLeagueFinal #UELfinal #MUNTOT
May 21, 2025 at 7:13 PM
Trent Alexander-Arnold roundly booed by the Liverpool fans after the years of service he’s given them 🤣 Stay classy, scousers
May 11, 2025 at 5:02 PM
Been winning small and regularly but with the odd big losing day recently. Bucked this trend with my best single day’s profit in the last month yesterday 😀
May 11, 2025 at 8:01 AM
Rajasthan Royals hugely underpriced at 2.7 against Mumbai Indians. The market is completely ignoring what they did to Gujarat Titans on Monday. Fill your boots. #IPL2025 #RRvMI
May 1, 2025 at 12:24 PM
April results:
Profit on starting bank 27.97%
Winning days 25
Losing days 5
Average day +0.89%
Average winning day +2.20%
Average losing day -5.65%
Biggest winning day +7.33%
Biggest losing day -10.96%
May 1, 2025 at 7:34 AM
Wouldn’t touch a team at anywhere near 1.7 in the IPL. Or in any franchise cricket for that matter.
April 30, 2025 at 11:44 AM
Laying Bangladeshi at 1.09 is a big value play #BANvZIM
April 29, 2025 at 12:40 PM
Today’s football:

Man City way too short in the #FACup against Forest. Laid at 1.77 in Match Odds and 1.36 To Qualify.

No way on this earth that Tottenham will pass up on playing a part in handing the Premier League to Liverpool over Arsenal today. Laid at 14.5 in Match Odds.
April 27, 2025 at 3:29 PM
Bet against Zimbabwe at 2.04 in the test. Thought about backing Bangladesh at 2.18 but the weather could play a part, so I want the draw in my side. #BANvsZIM
April 21, 2025 at 7:44 AM
Value in betting against Man Utd at 1.72 and Tottenham at 3.05 tonight. #EuropaLeague
April 17, 2025 at 5:09 PM
Real Madrid odds-on to beat Arsenal tonight. Did no-one see the new arsehole we tore them last week? #RealMadridVsArsenal #ChampionsLeague
April 16, 2025 at 1:38 PM
Big prices for draws in all the Champions League quarters 2nd leg games. Going for all four as singles. The sides leading from the first leg will be keen not to lose and may play defensively until they go a goal down. 🤞
April 15, 2025 at 6:59 PM
Second losing day of April yesterday, and it was a big one. Left all my red on the US Masters on McIlroy after trading out for a loss. Almost came off…
April 14, 2025 at 8:08 AM
On Oxford for boat boat races. Based on nothing other than the fact that they are the underdogs. Fun bets only.
April 13, 2025 at 12:23 PM
Opposing Barcelona at 1.32 and PSG at 1.51 tonight.
April 9, 2025 at 5:25 PM
First losing day in April yesterday. Looking back at previous months helps dealing with these. In March three of the first seven were days were losing ones and I’d take the overall result for that month every time.
April 8, 2025 at 8:26 AM
Not sure how Mumbai Indians are so short (1.7) against Royal Challengers Bengaluru in the IPL today, with or without Bumrah 🧐#MIvRCB
April 7, 2025 at 8:01 AM
Going for draws in all four Premier League 3 o’clock kickoffs today. All closely matched games.
April 5, 2025 at 1:25 PM
March results;
Profit on starting bank 167.88%
Winning days 23
Losing days 7
Didn’t trade 1
Average day +3.42%
Average winning day +5.93%
Average losing day -4.33%
Biggest winning day +18.74%
Biggest losing day -9.18%
April 4, 2025 at 11:52 AM