Liam Kerr
banner
liamkerr.bsky.social
Liam Kerr
@liamkerr.bsky.social
Co-founder of WelcomePAC, strengthening the center-left by putting Democrats on offense in winnable center-right districts

Former: beat the IOC as co-founder of No Boston Olympics, served through AmeriCorps
Reposted by Liam Kerr
🚨 Donald Trump and the Republican Party are damaging our economy and threatening our democracy.

Democrats need to learn how to win again, but they can't do it with the same old tactics and candidates.

Here's exactly how Democrats can start winning: www.welcomestack.org/p/introducin...
Introducing DECIDING TO WIN
Postmortem with a plan
www.welcomestack.org
October 27, 2025 at 3:07 PM
Reposted by Liam Kerr
ICYMI: Tom Suozzi was one of the only members in 2024 to go on offense and take the issue of immigration head-on instead of pivoting or ignoring it.

Let’s make sure he wins again in 2026. www.welcomestack.org/p/the-tom-su...
The Tom Suozzi Endorsement
Why Suozzi Keeps Getting It Done
www.welcomestack.org
September 6, 2025 at 5:40 PM
Reposted by Liam Kerr
Up North, we celebrate the Revolution, but whisper about the Civil War.

As West Point re-hangs a portrait of Robert E. Lee, it’s time for Democrats to rediscover the other Union pride.

And give credit to the Southern Unionists who made the difference.

www.welcomestack.org/p/890-the-ot...
890: (the other) Union Pride
Southern Unionists & modern debates
www.welcomestack.org
August 31, 2025 at 3:08 PM
Up North, we celebrate the Revolution, but whisper about the Civil War.

As West Point re-hangs a portrait of Robert E. Lee, it’s time for Democrats to rediscover the other Union pride.

And give credit to the Southern Unionists who made the difference.

www.welcomestack.org/p/890-the-ot...
890: (the other) Union Pride
Southern Unionists & modern debates
www.welcomestack.org
August 31, 2025 at 3:08 PM
Why is Mamdani pivoting to the center?

Look to AOC campaign doc for the “Signal” vs. the Substance

www.welcomestack.org/p/892-dsas-s...
892: DSA's Signal vs Substance
Another thing to learn from Mamdani: everyone pivots away from the left
www.welcomestack.org
August 29, 2025 at 8:04 PM
Democrats, choose your fighter:

Newsom or Whitmer?

www.welcomestack.org/p/893-newsom...
893: Newsom vs. Whitmer
Democrats are giving the kids unlimited screen time
www.welcomestack.org
August 28, 2025 at 1:02 PM
And the first state to vote in the 2028 presidential primary will be ...

www.welcomestack.org/p/894-living...
894: Living Free in 2027
New Hampshire will be the first primary state
www.welcomestack.org
August 27, 2025 at 10:03 PM
Reposted by Liam Kerr
Starting in 2032, the White House will look like the Senate.

That should make Democrats nervous, and force changes fast. www.welcomestack.org/p/896-white-...
896: White House is the New Senate
Realignment required by 2032
www.welcomestack.org
August 26, 2025 at 4:16 PM
Reposted by Liam Kerr
With 896 until the first 2028 presidential primary votes are counted, the read of the day says ...

Starting in 2032, the White House is just like the Senate

The current Democratic coalition is shut out without a ton of luck

www.welcomestack.org/p/896-white-...
896: White House is the New Senate
Realignment required by 2032
www.welcomestack.org
August 25, 2025 at 9:22 PM
With 896 until the first 2028 presidential primary votes are counted, the read of the day says ...

Starting in 2032, the White House is just like the Senate

The current Democratic coalition is shut out without a ton of luck

www.welcomestack.org/p/896-white-...
896: White House is the New Senate
Realignment required by 2032
www.welcomestack.org
August 25, 2025 at 9:22 PM
There is a big debate on moderation wining elections

Today's read of the day is from Noah Smith: does moderation lead to better policy?

www.welcomestack.org/p/898-modera...
898: Moderation on the Merits
Noah Smith connecting effective politics with policy
www.welcomestack.org
August 23, 2025 at 6:31 PM
"Literally everyone is triggered"
Um and incarcerated people, unhoused people, anyone who’s triggered by anything (so literally, everyone), anyone who cares about the environment… in addition to the women I mentioned and the LGBTQ+ community you mentioned.

So, their target is the white man. Sounds about right.
August 23, 2025 at 6:10 PM
Did moderates just dominate social media for a day by putting out a verbal blacklist?

Sure seems like it

Via @thirdway.bsky.social
www.welcomestack.org/p/899-verbal...
899: Verbal Edge
Third Way's words to avoid
www.welcomestack.org
August 22, 2025 at 11:17 PM
WAR isn’t just about identifying Democratic overperformers

It helps identify weak Republicans who can be beaten

www.welcomestack.org/p/905-offens...
905: Offensive Measures
WAR helps identify underperforming GOP targets, not just case studies
www.welcomestack.org
August 16, 2025 at 8:35 PM
Reposted by Liam Kerr
Tom Suozzi was one of the only members in 2024 to go on offense and take the issue of immigration head-on instead of pivoting or ignoring it.

He over performed then. He's going to win again in 2026.

We are proud to endorse him today. www.welcomestack.org/p/the-tom-su...
The Tom Suozzi Endorsement
Why Suozzi Keeps Getting It Done
www.welcomestack.org
August 14, 2025 at 7:10 PM
August 15, 2025 at 1:58 AM
"Strategist versus organizer"

"Their consultants are garbage"

How AOC knew she'd win, from the 2018 documentary

www.welcomestack.org/p/916-differ...
916: Difference Between Organizer & Strategist
Documentary inspiration
www.welcomestack.org
August 5, 2025 at 11:05 PM
Reposted by Liam Kerr
Trump’s second term is six months old today

His numbers?

🔻 Approval down

🔻 Even base is softening

🔻 Every issue down, even immigration

But somehow… still more popular than Trump I.

www.welcomestack.org/p/932-six-mo...
932: Six Months In and Underwater
Polling drops from inauguration to today
www.welcomestack.org
July 21, 2025 at 1:40 AM
Trump’s second term is six months old today

His numbers?

🔻 Approval down

🔻 Even base is softening

🔻 Every issue down, even immigration

But somehow… still more popular than Trump I.

www.welcomestack.org/p/932-six-mo...
932: Six Months In and Underwater
Polling drops from inauguration to today
www.welcomestack.org
July 21, 2025 at 1:40 AM
Reposted by Liam Kerr
ICYMI: Janelle Stelson is back and ready to finish the job.

She is running against one of the most extreme Republicans in Congress, and ran in one of the closest races in 2024.

She can win in 2026. www.welcomestack.org/p/janelle-st...
Janelle Stelson is back to finish the job
Stelson came within a point of being the 219th House Democrat in 2024. Now she's back to finish the job
www.welcomestack.org
July 15, 2025 at 4:59 PM
Reposted by Liam Kerr
Of the top 16 House fundraisers, 100% of GOP money is going to competitive races—while 91% of Democratic money is going to safe seats.

Democrats are funding viral videos and list buys. Republicans are funding battlegrounds.

This is a problematic trend.
July 18, 2025 at 1:25 PM
Reposted by Liam Kerr
Centrist Democrats in purple states and districts face a conundrum: They know Republicans will tie them to Zohran Mamdani and paint them as radicals. But "It’s hard to distance yourself from cool." as @liamkerr.bsky.social told me.
www.independent.co.uk/news/world/a...
Moderate Democrats’ Mamdani conundrum: ‘It’s hard to distance yourself from cool’
Socialist who has support of far-left Democrats like AOC and Bernie Sanders will meet with House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries on Friday
www.independent.co.uk
July 18, 2025 at 3:07 PM
Reposted by Liam Kerr
🚨 An analysis of the top 16 fundraisers in the House shows 100% of GOP money is going to competitive races

But 91% of Democratic money is going to safe seats

We need smarter donors!

www.welcomestack.org/p/935-a-heal...
935: A Healthy Bubble
Step out of it for a 2028 preview
www.welcomestack.org
July 17, 2025 at 7:09 PM
Reposted by Liam Kerr
“Progressives are like ‘Succession,’ centrists are like the NFL,” says @liamkerr.bsky.social. “One gets high ratings across every demographic every single fall, while the other occasionally dominates elite conversation. Mamdani-mania is like the season finale.”
Playbook: Can the White House turn the page on Epstein?
And the House readies for a big crypto vote, while the Senate takes a big step on rescissions.
www.politico.com
July 16, 2025 at 1:38 PM
🚨 An analysis of the top 16 fundraisers in the House shows 100% of GOP money is going to competitive races

But 91% of Democratic money is going to safe seats

We need smarter donors!

www.welcomestack.org/p/935-a-heal...
935: A Healthy Bubble
Step out of it for a 2028 preview
www.welcomestack.org
July 17, 2025 at 7:09 PM