Zad Rafi (Sir Panda)
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lesslikely.com
Zad Rafi (Sir Panda)
@lesslikely.com
Agnostic statistician (frequentist, bayesian, likelihoodist, fiducial) | Posts about statistics in medicine at http://lesslikely.com | | #StatsTwitter • #EpiTwitter • #RStats
Reposted by Zad Rafi (Sir Panda)
When planning for drop outs: If you need n patients and expect some proportion x to drop out, you don't inflate n by 1.x but rather divide by 1-x.

Example: n = 200 and expected 20% drop out

200 * 1.20 = 240 (incorrect, as 80% of 240 = 192)

200 / 0.8 = 250 (correct, as 80% of 250 = 200)
June 9, 2025 at 8:50 AM
Naturally the only thing to do after seeing this is to suggest that you actually test whether randomization has succeeded via a statistical test for balance, and if it’s not, just rerandomize forever until you achieve perfect balance and the holy p =1
June 6, 2025 at 12:39 PM
Reposted by Zad Rafi (Sir Panda)
"Trials" with historical controls - the worst of all worlds.

open.spotify.com/episode/08PC...
The Use of Historical Controls in Clinical Trials, With Dr Althouse
JAMAevidence JAMA Guide to Statistics and Methods · Episode
open.spotify.com
June 1, 2025 at 9:59 AM
Reposted by Zad Rafi (Sir Panda)
RIP Edward Leamer. Specification Searches was ahead of its time
March 2, 2025 at 6:51 PM
Reposted by Zad Rafi (Sir Panda)
Nice summary of our recent paper on SMOTE w/ @alcarriero.bsky.social @benvancalster.bsky.social
March 6, 2025 at 1:40 PM
RIP Edward Leamer. Specification Searches was ahead of its time
March 2, 2025 at 6:51 PM
Reposted by Zad Rafi (Sir Panda)
My work on network regression and mediation in latent space models is now published at JMLR!

jmlr.org/papers/v26/2...
February 10, 2025 at 11:30 PM