Mathieu Lemay
@lemaym.bsky.social
Independent Political Analyst | Canadian | Cut through the noise of politics. Clear and insightful analysis.
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Mathieu Lemay
@lemaym.bsky.social
· Jun 17
Understanding Politics: How Do I Analyze Politics?
The purpose of my political analysis is to inform you about politics so you can understand what you are watching.
lemaym91.substack.com
New Substack
How do I analyze politics?
When I analyze politics, my goal isn't to tell you why something happened. It’s to help you understand what you're seeing, so you can make sense of what’s unfolding in front of you.
lemaym91.substack.com/p/understand...
How do I analyze politics?
When I analyze politics, my goal isn't to tell you why something happened. It’s to help you understand what you're seeing, so you can make sense of what’s unfolding in front of you.
lemaym91.substack.com/p/understand...
Governor Greg Abbott threatens to remove Democratic lawmakers from the state legislature if they do not return after they left the state in an attempt to block the redrawn Texas congressional maps.
Why does it matter?
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Why does it matter?
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Analysis | Why Does the Redraw of Texas’s Congressional Map Matter?
Here’s my analysis of why the redraw of Texas’s Congressional map matters:
lemaym91.substack.com
August 4, 2025 at 4:05 PM
Governor Greg Abbott threatens to remove Democratic lawmakers from the state legislature if they do not return after they left the state in an attempt to block the redrawn Texas congressional maps.
Why does it matter?
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Why does it matter?
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Here’s my analysis of why the International Emergency Economic Powers Act matters in U.S.-Canada trade negotiations:
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Analysis | Why Does the International Emergency Economic Powers Act Matter in U.S.-Canada Trade Negotiations?
Here’s my analysis of why the International Emergency Economic Powers Act matters in U.S.-Canada trade negotiations:
lemaym91.substack.com
August 1, 2025 at 6:31 PM
Here’s my analysis of why the International Emergency Economic Powers Act matters in U.S.-Canada trade negotiations:
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Analysis | Why Does Bill 21 Matter?
Here’s my analysis of why Bill 21 matters:
lemaym91.substack.com
July 31, 2025 at 4:27 PM
Following Canada’s decision to recognize Palestine as a state, I wrote an analysis of the concepts of statehood and state recognition and their implications for the Israel-Palestine conflict.
open.substack.com/pub/lemaym91...
open.substack.com/pub/lemaym91...
Analysis | What Do Statehood and State Recognition Mean?
Here’s my analysis of what statehood and state recognition mean:
open.substack.com
July 30, 2025 at 10:33 PM
Following Canada’s decision to recognize Palestine as a state, I wrote an analysis of the concepts of statehood and state recognition and their implications for the Israel-Palestine conflict.
open.substack.com/pub/lemaym91...
open.substack.com/pub/lemaym91...
Here’s my analysis of why the redraw of Texas’s Congressional map matters:
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Analysis | Why Does the Redraw of Texas’s Congressional Map Matter?
Here’s my analysis of why the redraw of Texas’s Congressional map matters:
lemaym91.substack.com
July 30, 2025 at 4:07 PM
Here’s my analysis of why the redraw of Texas’s Congressional map matters:
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
The referendum question on Alberta's separation from Canada has been sent to the court for confirmation that it does not violate the Constitution.
I wrote an analysis on why Alberta separatism matters.
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
I wrote an analysis on why Alberta separatism matters.
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Analysis | What Is Alberta Separatism?
Bottom line
lemaym91.substack.com
July 30, 2025 at 2:37 PM
The referendum question on Alberta's separation from Canada has been sent to the court for confirmation that it does not violate the Constitution.
I wrote an analysis on why Alberta separatism matters.
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
I wrote an analysis on why Alberta separatism matters.
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
A state can exist on paper, but without recognition, it’s limited in practice.
Statehood is legal. Recognition is political.
Palestine meets many statehood criteria, but a lack of broad recognition keeps it on the margins of global diplomacy.
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Statehood is legal. Recognition is political.
Palestine meets many statehood criteria, but a lack of broad recognition keeps it on the margins of global diplomacy.
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Analysis | What Do Statehood and State Recognition Mean?
Here’s my analysis of what statehood and state recognition mean:
lemaym91.substack.com
July 26, 2025 at 3:22 PM
A state can exist on paper, but without recognition, it’s limited in practice.
Statehood is legal. Recognition is political.
Palestine meets many statehood criteria, but a lack of broad recognition keeps it on the margins of global diplomacy.
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Statehood is legal. Recognition is political.
Palestine meets many statehood criteria, but a lack of broad recognition keeps it on the margins of global diplomacy.
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Here’s my analysis of whether the federal government is required to consult and accommodate Indigenous communities concerning national infrastructure projects:
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-i...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-i...
Analysis | Is the Federal Government Required to Consult and Accommodate Indigenous Communities Concerning National Infrastructure Projects?
Here’s my analysis of whether the federal government is required to consult and accommodate Indigenous communities concerning national infrastructure projects:
lemaym91.substack.com
July 25, 2025 at 6:52 PM
Here’s my analysis of whether the federal government is required to consult and accommodate Indigenous communities concerning national infrastructure projects:
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-i...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-i...
Here’s my analysis of the political implications the Rescissions Act of 2025:
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-p...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-p...
Analysis | Political Implications of the Rescissions Act of 2025
Here’s my analysis of the political implications the Rescissions Act of 2025:
lemaym91.substack.com
July 21, 2025 at 4:27 PM
Here’s my analysis of the political implications the Rescissions Act of 2025:
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-p...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-p...
If you have been following debates about presidential power, especially in recent years, you may have come across the term unitary executive theory. It is a foundational idea that shapes how we think about the presidency and the separation of powers.
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Analysis | What Is the Unitary Executive Theory in American Politics?
Here’s my analysis of what the unitary executive theory in American politics is:
lemaym91.substack.com
July 18, 2025 at 6:59 PM
If you have been following debates about presidential power, especially in recent years, you may have come across the term unitary executive theory. It is a foundational idea that shapes how we think about the presidency and the separation of powers.
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Trump’s mass deportation policy is already triggering protests and deepening GOP divides. It plays well with the base, but could cost Republicans in the 2026 midterms.
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-p...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-p...
Analysis | Political Implications of President Donald Trump’s Mass Deportation Policy
Here’s my analysis of the political implications of President Donald Trump’s mass deportation policy:
lemaym91.substack.com
July 17, 2025 at 4:51 PM
Trump’s mass deportation policy is already triggering protests and deepening GOP divides. It plays well with the base, but could cost Republicans in the 2026 midterms.
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-p...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-p...
Alberta’s efforts for more autonomy is a political strategy.
By challenging federal policies seen as harmful to its energy sector, the province is trying to shift the balance of power. If it works, it could change federalism and federal politics.
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-a...
By challenging federal policies seen as harmful to its energy sector, the province is trying to shift the balance of power. If it works, it could change federalism and federal politics.
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-a...
Analysis | Alberta’s Pursuit of Greater Autonomy Within Canada
Here’s my analysis of Alberta’s pursuit of greater autonomy within Canada:
lemaym91.substack.com
July 16, 2025 at 4:50 PM
Alberta’s efforts for more autonomy is a political strategy.
By challenging federal policies seen as harmful to its energy sector, the province is trying to shift the balance of power. If it works, it could change federalism and federal politics.
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-a...
By challenging federal policies seen as harmful to its energy sector, the province is trying to shift the balance of power. If it works, it could change federalism and federal politics.
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-a...
Western alienation: the long-standing view in Alberta and Saskatchewan that Ottawa works for the East, not the West
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Analysis | What Is Western Alienation in Canadian Politics?
Here’s my analysis of what Western alienation is:
lemaym91.substack.com
July 14, 2025 at 3:04 PM
Western alienation: the long-standing view in Alberta and Saskatchewan that Ottawa works for the East, not the West
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Analysis | What Is Alberta Separatism?
Western alienation triggers Alberta separatism. It deepens during tough economic times or conflicts with Ottawa, but despite growing frustration, it’s not yet a serious threat to Canadian unity.
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Western alienation triggers Alberta separatism. It deepens during tough economic times or conflicts with Ottawa, but despite growing frustration, it’s not yet a serious threat to Canadian unity.
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Analysis | What Is Alberta Separatism?
Bottom line
lemaym91.substack.com
July 12, 2025 at 5:06 PM
Analysis | What Is Alberta Separatism?
Western alienation triggers Alberta separatism. It deepens during tough economic times or conflicts with Ottawa, but despite growing frustration, it’s not yet a serious threat to Canadian unity.
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Western alienation triggers Alberta separatism. It deepens during tough economic times or conflicts with Ottawa, but despite growing frustration, it’s not yet a serious threat to Canadian unity.
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Here’s my analysis of the removal of federal interprovincial trade barriers in Canada:
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-t...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-t...
Analysis | The Removal of Federal Interprovincial Trade Barriers in Canada
Here’s my analysis of the removal of federal interprovincial trade barriers in Canada:
lemaym91.substack.com
July 11, 2025 at 3:47 PM
Here’s my analysis of the removal of federal interprovincial trade barriers in Canada:
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-t...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-t...
Here’s my analysis of the implications of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act:
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Analysis | What Are the Implications of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act?
Here’s my analysis of the implications of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act:
lemaym91.substack.com
July 10, 2025 at 4:50 PM
Here’s my analysis of the implications of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act:
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Here’s my analysis of the difference between ethnic cleansing and genocide:
lemaym91.substack.com/p/israel-ham...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/israel-ham...
Israel-Hamas War: Ethnic Cleansing or Genocide?
Here’s my analysis of the difference between ethnic cleansing and genocide:
lemaym91.substack.com
July 8, 2025 at 4:19 PM
Here’s my analysis of the difference between ethnic cleansing and genocide:
lemaym91.substack.com/p/israel-ham...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/israel-ham...
Here’s my analysis of the difference between crimes against humanity and genocide:
lemaym91.substack.com/p/israel-ham...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/israel-ham...
Israel-Hamas War: Crime Against Humanity or Genocide?
Here’s my analysis of the difference between crimes against humanity and genocide:
lemaym91.substack.com
July 7, 2025 at 4:36 PM
Here’s my analysis of the difference between crimes against humanity and genocide:
lemaym91.substack.com/p/israel-ham...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/israel-ham...
Here’s my analysis of whether President Donald Trump is a fascist or a right-wing populist:
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-i...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-i...
Analysis | Is President Donald Trump a Fascist or a Right-Wing Populist?
Here’s my analysis of whether President Donald Trump is a fascist or a right-wing populist:
lemaym91.substack.com
July 3, 2025 at 4:31 PM
Here’s my analysis of whether President Donald Trump is a fascist or a right-wing populist:
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-i...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-i...
Here’s my analysis of the Canada-United States trade negotiations:
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-t...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-t...
Analysis | The Canada-United States Trade Negotiations
Here’s my analysis of the Canada-United States trade negotiations:
lemaym91.substack.com
July 1, 2025 at 4:21 PM
Here’s my analysis of the Canada-United States trade negotiations:
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-t...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-t...
Here’s my analysis of why President Trump has decided to impose tariffs on Canada:
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
Analysis | Why Has President Trump Decided to Impose Tariffs on Canada?
Here’s my analysis of why President Trump has decided to impose tariffs on Canada:
lemaym91.substack.com
June 30, 2025 at 4:22 PM
Here’s my analysis of why President Trump has decided to impose tariffs on Canada:
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...
lemaym91.substack.com/p/analysis-w...