Aloysius Lip
lazyst.bsky.social
Aloysius Lip
@lazyst.bsky.social
💼 Macroeconomic Adviser at HM Treasury
💡 Productivity, policy, macro
I really wish #ConservativePartyConference wouldn't call it a 'Golden Rule' for the economy. There's already enough golden rules, most importantly borrowing only for investment (taxes=current spending). New shared vernacular, especially for one unfounded in evidence, confuses the debate.
October 8, 2025 at 3:27 PM
Discussion of creatine as an antidepressant. Wouldn't a lovely natural experiment, were it needed, arise from self-reported usage among athletes, which would likely not correlate with their mental illness prevalence? Then compare with non-using athletes?
www.economist.com/science-and-...
Should you take creatine?
The performance-enhancing drug is legal, safe—and may have benefits beyond sport
www.economist.com
July 27, 2025 at 11:53 PM
Niche identification of a principal-agent problem hindering tech diffusion of AI. Could different risk models - shareholder employees receiving some of the profits from AI, or granted more within-firm protection from its disruption improve receptiveness?
www.economist.com/finance-and-...
Why is AI so slow to spread? Economics can explain
Businesses are ignoring the street of hundred-dollar bills
www.economist.com
July 27, 2025 at 11:46 PM
Should we think about the potential growth-r* relationship as having a tipping point? Eventually, high and stable growth would attract global demand for your bond/currency as a safe asset. Irrelevant pre-$ reserve erosion, but now this effect could grow and be worth considering.
July 27, 2025 at 11:43 PM
Curious if anyone knows the extent of assumably mortgage use in the UK. Presumably they would hinder (further lag) monetary policy transmission, but mitigate the political unpopularity of (especially policy-shock induced) interest rate hikes -
www.economist.com/finance-and-...
Americans can still get a 2% mortgage
At a time of high interest rates, there are bargains to be found
www.economist.com
July 27, 2025 at 11:29 PM
One arg. from the Socrates contention: writing unlocked new patterns of thought that made old marks of intelligence redundant (ex: lengthy recall). AI is embuing similar new knowledge approaches; current intelligence test metrics will grow less relevant - www.economist.com/science-and-...
July 27, 2025 at 11:23 PM