Parijat
@knowmadicnotes.bsky.social
Geopolitics analyst and contributor. Passionate about global affairs, strategic trends in the Indo-Pacific, and Quad. Opinions my own. Reposts are not endorsements.
Reposted by Parijat
IMF cuts Japan's growth forecast as Trump tariffs bite reut.rs/449UdzP
April 22, 2025 at 1:50 PM
IMF cuts Japan's growth forecast as Trump tariffs bite reut.rs/449UdzP
Reposted by Parijat
Biden blocks Nippon Steel’s $15bn takeover of US Steel
https://www.ft.com/content/cdb7d2b5-0c80-4dce-83a8-ba9022ab920c
https://www.ft.com/content/cdb7d2b5-0c80-4dce-83a8-ba9022ab920c
Biden blocks Nippon Steel’s $15bn takeover of US Steel
Outgoing president says that takeover would threaten US security
www.ft.com
January 3, 2025 at 1:14 PM
Biden blocks Nippon Steel’s $15bn takeover of US Steel
https://www.ft.com/content/cdb7d2b5-0c80-4dce-83a8-ba9022ab920c
https://www.ft.com/content/cdb7d2b5-0c80-4dce-83a8-ba9022ab920c
Reposted by Parijat
Economic and strategic conflicts may increase between Beijing and Washington during Trump’s second term, but Trump’s isolation could also benefit China in several ways, writes Yan Xuetong.
Why China Isn’t Scared of Trump
U.S.-Chinese tensions may rise, but Washington’s isolationism will help Beijing.
www.foreignaffairs.com
December 20, 2024 at 9:21 PM
Economic and strategic conflicts may increase between Beijing and Washington during Trump’s second term, but Trump’s isolation could also benefit China in several ways, writes Yan Xuetong.
Reposted by Parijat
Poland's Prime Minister Donald Tusk reaffirmed Warsaw’s commitment to Ukraine’s defense in its war with Russia, but cautioned that his government would not be able to “give everything” as Poland itself faces increasing threats from the Kremlin.
Tusk: Poland is ‘frontline state’ that can’t ‘give everything’ to Ukrainian defense
Polish leader confirms his country’s unwavering support for Kyiv.
www.politico.eu
December 17, 2024 at 9:15 PM
Poland's Prime Minister Donald Tusk reaffirmed Warsaw’s commitment to Ukraine’s defense in its war with Russia, but cautioned that his government would not be able to “give everything” as Poland itself faces increasing threats from the Kremlin.
Reposted by Parijat
Neither the Kremlin nor the interim Syrian government appear sure of the future of Russian bases in Syria.
This likely accounts for Russia's continued visible preparations at Hmeimim Air Base and the Port of Tartus to withdraw forces.
This likely accounts for Russia's continued visible preparations at Hmeimim Air Base and the Port of Tartus to withdraw forces.
December 18, 2024 at 2:26 PM
Neither the Kremlin nor the interim Syrian government appear sure of the future of Russian bases in Syria.
This likely accounts for Russia's continued visible preparations at Hmeimim Air Base and the Port of Tartus to withdraw forces.
This likely accounts for Russia's continued visible preparations at Hmeimim Air Base and the Port of Tartus to withdraw forces.
Reposted by Parijat
Russian forces are less than two miles to the south of the strategically important eastern Ukrainian city of Pokrovsk, open source maps published by Russian and Ukrainian war bloggers show. Here are some key points about Pokrovsk and the battle reut.rs/4iDsFY9
Why Russia wants to capture Pokrovsk, a strategic Ukrainian city
Russian forces are around 3 kilometres (1.9 miles) to the south of the strategically important eastern Ukrainian city of Pokrovsk, open source maps published by Russian and Ukrainian war bloggers show.
reut.rs
December 18, 2024 at 4:11 PM
Russian forces are less than two miles to the south of the strategically important eastern Ukrainian city of Pokrovsk, open source maps published by Russian and Ukrainian war bloggers show. Here are some key points about Pokrovsk and the battle reut.rs/4iDsFY9
Reposted by Parijat
“To pretend that the United States can focus on just one threat at a time, that its credibility is divisible, or that it can afford to shrug off faraway chaos as irrelevant is to ignore its global interests and its adversaries’ global designs,” argues U.S. Senator Mitch McConnell.
The Price of American Retreat
Why Washington must reject isolationism and embrace primacy.
www.foreignaffairs.com
December 16, 2024 at 9:38 PM
“To pretend that the United States can focus on just one threat at a time, that its credibility is divisible, or that it can afford to shrug off faraway chaos as irrelevant is to ignore its global interests and its adversaries’ global designs,” argues U.S. Senator Mitch McConnell.
Reposted by Parijat
NEW: Russian President Vladimir Putin's continued fixation on the Russian "Oreshnik" ballistic missile and Russia's non-nuclear deterrents suggests that the Kremlin may be searching for off-ramps from its continued nuclear saber-rattling narrative. isw.pub/UkrWar121624
More Key Takeaways 🧵(1/10)
More Key Takeaways 🧵(1/10)
December 17, 2024 at 2:33 AM
NEW: Russian President Vladimir Putin's continued fixation on the Russian "Oreshnik" ballistic missile and Russia's non-nuclear deterrents suggests that the Kremlin may be searching for off-ramps from its continued nuclear saber-rattling narrative. isw.pub/UkrWar121624
More Key Takeaways 🧵(1/10)
More Key Takeaways 🧵(1/10)
Reposted by Parijat
NEW: Hayat Tahrir al Sham (HTS) leader Abu Mohammed al Jolani is attempting to consolidate HTS’s political and military control in a post-Assad Syrian interim government. (1/3)
Latest on Syria and the Middle East w/ @criticalthreats.bsky.social : isw.pub/IranUpdate12...
Latest on Syria and the Middle East w/ @criticalthreats.bsky.social : isw.pub/IranUpdate12...
December 12, 2024 at 1:44 AM
NEW: Hayat Tahrir al Sham (HTS) leader Abu Mohammed al Jolani is attempting to consolidate HTS’s political and military control in a post-Assad Syrian interim government. (1/3)
Latest on Syria and the Middle East w/ @criticalthreats.bsky.social : isw.pub/IranUpdate12...
Latest on Syria and the Middle East w/ @criticalthreats.bsky.social : isw.pub/IranUpdate12...
Reposted by Parijat
The Israeli military appeared to have unleashed more airstrikes across Syria overnight into Tuesday in an attempt to destroy weapons, aircraft and military facilities before the rebels controlling much of the country could take possession of them.
Israel Strikes Military Assets Across Syria to Keep Them From Rebels
Photographs showed overnight damage at a research center and at a shipyard. The strikes have hit more than 300 targets since the Assad government fell on Sunday, an independent monitor said.
www.nytimes.com
December 10, 2024 at 12:26 PM
The Israeli military appeared to have unleashed more airstrikes across Syria overnight into Tuesday in an attempt to destroy weapons, aircraft and military facilities before the rebels controlling much of the country could take possession of them.
Reposted by Parijat
COMMENTARY: Neither NATO's expansion into Asia nor an Asian version of the military alliance is really in the cards.
But that’s not to say further cooperation isn’t imminent or that deterrence is impossible.
🔗 trib.al/y850u5G
But that’s not to say further cooperation isn’t imminent or that deterrence is impossible.
🔗 trib.al/y850u5G
December 10, 2024 at 10:41 AM
COMMENTARY: Neither NATO's expansion into Asia nor an Asian version of the military alliance is really in the cards.
But that’s not to say further cooperation isn’t imminent or that deterrence is impossible.
🔗 trib.al/y850u5G
But that’s not to say further cooperation isn’t imminent or that deterrence is impossible.
🔗 trib.al/y850u5G
Reposted by Parijat
Bashar al-Assad, the Syrian president who inherited power in 2000 with promises of reform, only to brutally suppress his opponents in a war that claimed hundreds of thousands of lives, has been toppled in a rebel advance, according to state television.
Assad’s Fall: The End of Syria’s Brutal Ruling Dynasty
Bashar al-Assad, the Syrian president who inherited power in 2000 with promises of reform, only to brutally suppress his opponents in a war that claimed hundreds of thousands of lives, has been topple...
www.bloomberg.com
December 8, 2024 at 11:31 AM
Bashar al-Assad, the Syrian president who inherited power in 2000 with promises of reform, only to brutally suppress his opponents in a war that claimed hundreds of thousands of lives, has been toppled in a rebel advance, according to state television.
Reposted by Parijat
Syrian rebels have seized Damascus as President Bashar al-Assad’s regime collapses in the face of the insurgents’ stunning offensive across the country www.ft.com/content/a953...
December 8, 2024 at 9:06 AM
Syrian rebels have seized Damascus as President Bashar al-Assad’s regime collapses in the face of the insurgents’ stunning offensive across the country www.ft.com/content/a953...
Reposted by Parijat
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has left the capital Damascus on a plane, Reuters reported, as rebels entered the city and residents reported heavy gunfire.
Syrian President Assad Said to Leave Damascus as Rebels Advance
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has left the capital Damascus on a plane, Reuters reported, as rebels entered the city and residents reported heavy gunfire.
www.bloomberg.com
December 8, 2024 at 3:17 AM
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has left the capital Damascus on a plane, Reuters reported, as rebels entered the city and residents reported heavy gunfire.
Reposted by Parijat
NEW: The Bashar al Assad regime faces imminent collapse. The Syrian Arab Army (SAA) appears to have already collapsed itself, as its units have fled repeatedly from advancing opposition forces across the country.
Read more: isw.pub/IranUpdate12...
Read more: isw.pub/IranUpdate12...
December 8, 2024 at 2:28 AM
NEW: The Bashar al Assad regime faces imminent collapse. The Syrian Arab Army (SAA) appears to have already collapsed itself, as its units have fled repeatedly from advancing opposition forces across the country.
Read more: isw.pub/IranUpdate12...
Read more: isw.pub/IranUpdate12...
Rebel forces have reportedly entered Damascus, forcing Assad to flee the city (as per initial reports). This marks the end of another Middle Eastern regime and the beginning of a new era in an already unstable, faction-driven Syria.
#Damascus #Assad #MiddleEast #Syria #Geopolitics #Russia #Iran
#Damascus #Assad #MiddleEast #Syria #Geopolitics #Russia #Iran
December 8, 2024 at 3:52 AM
Rebel forces have reportedly entered Damascus, forcing Assad to flee the city (as per initial reports). This marks the end of another Middle Eastern regime and the beginning of a new era in an already unstable, faction-driven Syria.
#Damascus #Assad #MiddleEast #Syria #Geopolitics #Russia #Iran
#Damascus #Assad #MiddleEast #Syria #Geopolitics #Russia #Iran
Reposted by Parijat
The multipronged assault poses the most serious threat to Bashar al-Assad’s rule in a decade, reigniting a 13-year civil war that had been largely frozen since 2020 www.ft.com/content/708b...
December 7, 2024 at 5:14 PM
The multipronged assault poses the most serious threat to Bashar al-Assad’s rule in a decade, reigniting a 13-year civil war that had been largely frozen since 2020 www.ft.com/content/708b...
Reposted by Parijat
Syrian rebel forces in just over a week have seized much of the country’s northwest from the government in a fast-moving attack, upending the once-stagnant civil war. They drove government troops from the western city of Hama, which had never before fallen into rebel hands. nyti.ms/3ZD3QUS
December 6, 2024 at 5:29 PM
Syrian rebel forces in just over a week have seized much of the country’s northwest from the government in a fast-moving attack, upending the once-stagnant civil war. They drove government troops from the western city of Hama, which had never before fallen into rebel hands. nyti.ms/3ZD3QUS
A major sign that Assad's regime in Damascus might collapse: Iran is reportedly evacuating its personnel from Syria. Assad’s forces are crumbling rapidly, almost like a house of cards, as rebel groups, led by HTS, seize the moment. #Syria #Assad #HTS #Iran #RebelForces #Damascus #geopolitics
NEW: Russian forces have not yet evacuated the Russian naval base in Tartus, Syria as of December 6, but it remains unclear whether Russia will keep its vessels at the port as Syrian rebels continue to advance swiftly across regime-held territory. 🧵(1/3)
isw.pub/UkrWar120624
isw.pub/UkrWar120624
December 7, 2024 at 8:26 AM
A major sign that Assad's regime in Damascus might collapse: Iran is reportedly evacuating its personnel from Syria. Assad’s forces are crumbling rapidly, almost like a house of cards, as rebel groups, led by HTS, seize the moment. #Syria #Assad #HTS #Iran #RebelForces #Damascus #geopolitics
Reposted by Parijat
Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Chasiv Yar, and Russian forces recently advanced near Toretsk, Pokrovsk, and Kurakhove.
Fighting continued in the main Ukrainian salient in Kursk Oblast but neither Ukrainian nor Russian forces made confirmed advances. 🧵(1/4)
Map: isw.pub/InteractiveU...
Fighting continued in the main Ukrainian salient in Kursk Oblast but neither Ukrainian nor Russian forces made confirmed advances. 🧵(1/4)
Map: isw.pub/InteractiveU...
December 3, 2024 at 4:33 AM
Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Chasiv Yar, and Russian forces recently advanced near Toretsk, Pokrovsk, and Kurakhove.
Fighting continued in the main Ukrainian salient in Kursk Oblast but neither Ukrainian nor Russian forces made confirmed advances. 🧵(1/4)
Map: isw.pub/InteractiveU...
Fighting continued in the main Ukrainian salient in Kursk Oblast but neither Ukrainian nor Russian forces made confirmed advances. 🧵(1/4)
Map: isw.pub/InteractiveU...
Reposted by Parijat
ISW continues to assess that the increased Russian defense spending, while dangerous, does not necessarily equate to a 1-to-1 increase in Russian military capabilities, especially given that significant funding is going towards paying benefits to Russian soldiers, veterans, and their families.
December 2, 2024 at 3:37 PM
ISW continues to assess that the increased Russian defense spending, while dangerous, does not necessarily equate to a 1-to-1 increase in Russian military capabilities, especially given that significant funding is going towards paying benefits to Russian soldiers, veterans, and their families.
China's #GlobalTimes reports that Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova warned that deploying U.S. missiles in Japan would threaten Russia's security, prompting proportional responses. She accused #Tokyo of escalating tensions around #Taiwan to justify its rapid militarization.
www.globaltimes.cn
December 2, 2024 at 4:25 PM
China's #GlobalTimes reports that Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova warned that deploying U.S. missiles in Japan would threaten Russia's security, prompting proportional responses. She accused #Tokyo of escalating tensions around #Taiwan to justify its rapid militarization.
Reposted by Parijat
NEW: Kremlin officials responded to Syrian opposition forces' offensive into Syrian regime-held territory on Nov. 29-30 and expressed interest in using the Astana Process - a rival political process to the UN-led Geneva Process - to respond to the situation.🧵(1/9)
Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar113024
Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar113024
November 30, 2024 at 11:18 PM
NEW: Kremlin officials responded to Syrian opposition forces' offensive into Syrian regime-held territory on Nov. 29-30 and expressed interest in using the Astana Process - a rival political process to the UN-led Geneva Process - to respond to the situation.🧵(1/9)
Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar113024
Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar113024
With Assad’s key allies, Iran & #Russia, preoccupied with their own challenges, the Syrian crisis has entered new phase. Syrian opposition rebels had been biding their time, waiting for the right moment to act. Peace and stability in the #MiddleEast remains distant.
www.nytimes.com/2024/11/30/w...
www.nytimes.com/2024/11/30/w...
Rebels Seize Control Over Most of Syria’s Largest City
The rapid advance on Aleppo came just four days into a surprise rebel offensive that is the most intense escalation in years in the country’s civil war.
www.nytimes.com
November 30, 2024 at 3:27 PM
With Assad’s key allies, Iran & #Russia, preoccupied with their own challenges, the Syrian crisis has entered new phase. Syrian opposition rebels had been biding their time, waiting for the right moment to act. Peace and stability in the #MiddleEast remains distant.
www.nytimes.com/2024/11/30/w...
www.nytimes.com/2024/11/30/w...
Reposted by Parijat
‘If Vladimir Putin is allowed to succeed in reducing Ukraine to a vassal state, he will not stop there. Our security — British, French, European and transatlantic — would be jeopardised.’ www.ft.com/content/ad00...
November 29, 2024 at 6:47 PM
‘If Vladimir Putin is allowed to succeed in reducing Ukraine to a vassal state, he will not stop there. Our security — British, French, European and transatlantic — would be jeopardised.’ www.ft.com/content/ad00...