Keaton Arneson
@keatonarneson.fangraphs.com
Fantasy Baseball (x2 NFBC Overall Finisher) | Developer @FanGraphs.com | Engineer
One thing I appreciate about OOPSY projections is it can be different compared to the rest. In this example, Steamer and BAT had identical 4.04 ERA, but OOPSY is down to 3.37.
January 12, 2026 at 10:37 PM
One thing I appreciate about OOPSY projections is it can be different compared to the rest. In this example, Steamer and BAT had identical 4.04 ERA, but OOPSY is down to 3.37.
THE BAT/BAT X are live now 👀
December 31, 2025 at 7:11 PM
THE BAT/BAT X are live now 👀
I have to assume his .197 away Babip has to improve
December 30, 2025 at 10:50 PM
I have to assume his .197 away Babip has to improve
I find it interesting that Caminero has a career .260 average, but Steamer has him climbing to .278. Babip positive regression.
December 30, 2025 at 10:32 PM
I find it interesting that Caminero has a career .260 average, but Steamer has him climbing to .278. Babip positive regression.
Cold like North Dakota
December 5, 2025 at 3:34 PM
Cold like North Dakota
Looks like next year I need to step up my game to reach Diamond level.
December 5, 2025 at 3:30 PM
Looks like next year I need to step up my game to reach Diamond level.
Gavin Lux only had 5 HR and 1 SB in 500 PA. That ties Joe Mauer (2018) for the worst HR + SB (6 HR) since Adeiny Hechavarria with 3 HR and 1 SB in 2016.
December 2, 2025 at 11:03 PM
Gavin Lux only had 5 HR and 1 SB in 500 PA. That ties Joe Mauer (2018) for the worst HR + SB (6 HR) since Adeiny Hechavarria with 3 HR and 1 SB in 2016.
Samuel Basallo is going into his age 21 season.
The only age 21 catcher season that I can find recently was Francisco Alvarez in 2023. He went .209 51 25 63 2.
His ADP is currently 177 while Adley Rutschman's is 165.
I don't think history is on his side to meet the expectations of the #13 C.
The only age 21 catcher season that I can find recently was Francisco Alvarez in 2023. He went .209 51 25 63 2.
His ADP is currently 177 while Adley Rutschman's is 165.
I don't think history is on his side to meet the expectations of the #13 C.
November 13, 2025 at 8:54 PM
Samuel Basallo is going into his age 21 season.
The only age 21 catcher season that I can find recently was Francisco Alvarez in 2023. He went .209 51 25 63 2.
His ADP is currently 177 while Adley Rutschman's is 165.
I don't think history is on his side to meet the expectations of the #13 C.
The only age 21 catcher season that I can find recently was Francisco Alvarez in 2023. He went .209 51 25 63 2.
His ADP is currently 177 while Adley Rutschman's is 165.
I don't think history is on his side to meet the expectations of the #13 C.
Durbin is 609 PA .257 67 13 65 24 ADP 250
November 11, 2025 at 3:51 PM
Durbin is 609 PA .257 67 13 65 24 ADP 250
Duran is 644 PA .257 87 17 68 23 ADP 70
November 11, 2025 at 3:46 PM
Duran is 644 PA .257 87 17 68 23 ADP 70
Using FG Depth Charts playing time with Steamer:
Player A - 630 PA .254 83 20 68 30 ADP 50
Player B - 630 PA .252 84 20 65 29 ADP 200
Player A - 630 PA .254 83 20 68 30 ADP 50
Player B - 630 PA .252 84 20 65 29 ADP 200
November 11, 2025 at 3:42 PM
Using FG Depth Charts playing time with Steamer:
Player A - 630 PA .254 83 20 68 30 ADP 50
Player B - 630 PA .252 84 20 65 29 ADP 200
Player A - 630 PA .254 83 20 68 30 ADP 50
Player B - 630 PA .252 84 20 65 29 ADP 200
Not sure. If this was July, it would be way too low for him.
November 10, 2025 at 10:18 PM
Not sure. If this was July, it would be way too low for him.
First thought of looking at ADP. Caminero is going too high for someone that doesn't help in SB or AVG. I'd rather have guys like Tatis, Lindor, or Chourio over him easily.
November 10, 2025 at 9:58 PM
First thought of looking at ADP. Caminero is going too high for someone that doesn't help in SB or AVG. I'd rather have guys like Tatis, Lindor, or Chourio over him easily.
Projections page has updated NFBC DC ADP! For those of us who don't take a break from fantasy baseball.
November 10, 2025 at 9:50 PM
Projections page has updated NFBC DC ADP! For those of us who don't take a break from fantasy baseball.
ADP has him going 35th, so there is a discount so far
November 4, 2025 at 3:08 PM
ADP has him going 35th, so there is a discount so far
and in only 400 PA
November 4, 2025 at 3:06 PM
and in only 400 PA
Steamer projections are out
November 4, 2025 at 3:01 PM
Steamer projections are out
Reposted by Keaton Arneson
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And mostly started on terrible weeks
October 22, 2025 at 7:55 PM
And mostly started on terrible weeks
That's a huge cliff at 3B this year. Pretty much all or nothing.
October 6, 2025 at 8:50 PM
That's a huge cliff at 3B this year. Pretty much all or nothing.