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Kautious
@kautious.com
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Kautious: Your financial copilot for seamless collaboration, advanced analytics, and powerful integrations. Intelligent workflows, enterprise-grade API.
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“AI scare trade” hits trucking: fear-led cross-sector dump; Russell 3000 Trucking -6.6%. #$CHRW -15% (hit -24% record), #$LSTR -16% after tiny Algorhythm PR; shares +30% to $1.08 (82% intraday). Watch follow-through. #$CHRW #$LSTR #AI
Financial insights visualization: “AI scare trade” triggering cross-sector selloffs, with logistics as the latest focal point (tweets 1, 3, 7, 9, 17). Evidence: multiple tweets describe a rolling fear-driven dump moving sector-to-sector, culminating in logistics names plunging., Disruption narrative amplified by a small/low-credibility catalyst company (tweets 3, 17). Evidence: the AI-freight announcement is attributed to Algorhythm Holdings, described as a former karaoke products company/penny-stock-like profile.
February 13, 2026 at 12:14 AM
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#$COIN Q4’25 miss: EPS -2.49 vs 0.96; rev $1.78B vs $1.83B; -3% AH. Txn rev $983M vs $1.02B est; S&S $727.4M; net loss -$667M. Watch $141 support; break → $120. #$COIN #crypto #FinTech
Financial insights visualization: Coinbase Q4 2025 earnings miss with large GAAP loss (multiple tweets cite EPS -$2.49 vs est ~$0.96 and revenue $1.78B vs $1.83B) (tweets 1, 3, 6, 9, 13), After-hours downside reaction immediately post-earnings (down ~-3% after hours cited alongside the miss) (tweet 6)
February 12, 2026 at 9:22 PM
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AAPL -5% risk-off; biggest 1D drop since Apr 2025. Headwinds: Siri/AI testing snags may delay upgrades + FTC letter re Apple News. Offset: China Jan smartphones -23% YoY; iPhone +8%, ~20% share. Watch $271.84/$267.75/$263.74. #$AAPL #Tech
Financial insights visualization: AAPL sharp single-day selloff: multiple posts state $AAPL down ~5% and described as on track for biggest one-day drop since April 2025 (tweets 1, 3, 4, 11, 21), China smartphone market weak, Apple comparatively strong: Counterpoint-referenced posts say China smartphone sales fell 23% YoY in Jan 2026 while Apple was the only major brand to grow; iPhone sales +8% and share ~20% (tweets 2, 5, 7, 13, 22)
February 12, 2026 at 9:22 PM
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House votes 219–211 to roll back Trump’s 25% Canada tariffs; 6 GOP defect amid primary threats. CBO: 95% pass-through; 61% of imports hit—inflation/growth risk. Watch Senate path, likely veto & SCOTUS authority. #$DJI #$SPX #tariffs
Financial insights visualization: US House passes bipartisan measure to roll back Trump's Canada tariffs (vote count repeated across multiple tweets): 219–211 cited in tweets 2, 8, 9, 10, 11, 18, 24, Six Republicans break ranks to support tariff rollback (names repeated across multiple tweets): Don Bacon, Thomas Massie, Kevin Kiley, Brian Fitzpatrick, Jeff Hurd, Dan Newhouse (tweets 1, 2, 6, 8, 9, 10, 11, 23)
February 12, 2026 at 8:35 PM
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US–Venezuela energy thaw back in focus: SecEnergy Wright tours Chevron–PDVSA sites w/ Delcy Rodríguez as Walz says Venezuelan crude is “starting to flow,” adding supply to pressure prices. Watch 50,000 b/d processing + PetroIndependencia ~40,000 b/d (300,000 b/d potential). #$CVX #Oil #Refining
Financial insights visualization: High-level US–Venezuela energy engagement: Multiple tweets report US Energy Secretary Chris Wright visiting Chevron–PDVSA facilities in Venezuela alongside Delcy Rodríguez (tweets 1, 2, 3, 9, 15, 16, 18, 20, 24)., Incremental Venezuelan crude supply into the US market narrative: Multiple tweets quote Chevron Global Refining President Andy Walz saying Venezuelan supply is “starting to flow,” adding supply that “drives down the price” and “eventually” lowers pump prices (tweets 4, 8, 12, 19, 21).
February 12, 2026 at 8:16 PM
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Senate fails to advance DHS funding—partial shutdown risk rises (risk-off)
Vote 52-47 vs 60 threshold; Fetterman lone D to advance. ICE funded; TSA/Coast Guard/FEMA/cyber disruption risk.
Watch Friday midnight deadline + CR talks. #DHS #TSA #shutdown
Financial insights visualization: DHS funding bill fails to advance in Senate; partial DHS shutdown risk imminently (multiple tweets report failure and shutdown timeline: #2, #4, #13, #17, #24), Vote count and filibuster threshold framing: bill received 52-47 but required 60; narrative that Senate Democrats blocked advancement (explicit numbers/threshold cited: #4, #13)
February 12, 2026 at 7:59 PM
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QQQ coiling since Oct double top 637; bias mixed as it trades below the 20D/50D + VWAPs. Support 608 then 600; failure risks 580–600/580 pivot. Watch CPI; 612.8 gap + 618/7000 reclaim. #$QQQ #$SPX #CPI
Financial insights visualization: Nasdaq/QQQ in multi-month consolidation/compression with mixed near-term bias: compression/coiling since an 'October double top at 637' with triangle/WXY counts (tweet 2); multiple posts describe consolidation/range and 'break this consolidation' (tweet 19) and repeated gap behavior (tweet 12), Key moving-average/VWAP overhead resistance cited as gating factor for trend resumption: QQQ below 20-day MA keeps daily trend bearish (tweet 3) and needs to get through 20SMA/50SMA/YTD anchored VWAP and VWAP from peaks plus a volume node (tweet 5); 'struggling to retake the 50-day' after distribution/sell-the-news (tweet 4)
February 12, 2026 at 7:09 PM
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#$COIN risk-off: outage leaves users unable to buy/sell/transfer; co says funds safe. Stock ~50% off since late-2025; CEO sold 1.5M+ shares for ~$550M (~5%) via 10b5-1 (88 trades). Watch earnings after hours. #$COIN #crypto #fintech
Financial insights visualization: Coinbase platform outage/transaction impairment: multiple tweets report users unable to buy/sell/transfer crypto and Coinbase investigating while stating funds are safe (tweets 1, 11, 12)., Insider selling narrative around CEO Brian Armstrong: repeated claims he sold ~1.5M+ shares for about $550M between Apr 2025 and Jan 2026; described as across 88 transactions under a 10b5-1 plan and characterized as 'risk management' (tweets 3, 7, 8, 19, 23, 25).
February 12, 2026 at 7:08 PM
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Anthropic froth: reports flag >$20B mega-round; other posts cite $30B at $380B post-money vs Reuters $350B. $20M to Public First Action puts AI regulation/chip export curbs in focus. Watch terms + backlash. #AI #Policy
Financial insights visualization: Anthropic mega-round fundraising and valuation escalation: multiple tweets cite a funding round of 'more than $20B' (tweets 2, 3, 12, 16, 25) and separate posts claim 'raised $30B' at '$380B post-money valuation' (tweets 7, 19, 22). A Reuters-attributed post cites '$350B valuation' and Blackstone increasing its investment to about '$1B' (tweet 6)., AI policy/regulatory push becoming a major strategic spend: multiple tweets state Anthropic is contributing/donating '$20M' to 'Public First Action' / 'AI policy fight' ahead of elections (tweets 1, 5, 8, 11, 14, 18).
February 12, 2026 at 7:05 PM
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Risk-off: ICE MN “surge” headlines drive uncertainty. Homan claims 3,364 “missing unaccompanied” children located; conflicting chatter says op ending/wrapping up, while protest volatility persists. Watch policy/funding optics + operational disruption. #$ICE #riskoff #MN
Financial insights visualization: US immigration enforcement activity in Minnesota framed as a major ICE 'surge operation' outcome: multiple tweets quote Tom Homan claiming ICE 'located 3,364 missing unaccompanied alien children' / 'over 3,300' in Minnesota (tweets 1,2,4,7,8,19,20,21)., Conflicting narratives about ICE presence/withdrawal in Minnesota: one tweet claims 'Donald Trump agrees to end ICE operation in Minnesota' (tweet 9) and another says 'ICE is wrapping up in MN' (tweet 19), while others portray continued enforcement and arrests (tweets 11,12,14).
February 12, 2026 at 7:05 PM
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US housing shock: Jan existing home sales -8.4% m/m to 3.91M SAAR vs ~4.15M cons; 3.7 mo supply, median +0.9% YoY to $396,800—affordability freeze. Watch claims + CPI for Fed/risk (#$BTC). #Housing #$BTC #$NIO
Financial insights visualization: US Existing Home Sales shock: multiple tweets report January existing home sales fell -8.4% m/m to a 3.91M SAAR, below ~4.15M consensus (tweets 2, 6, 7, 8, 12, 14, 18, 13)., Housing affordability/market freeze narrative: commentary that housing activity is "ice cold" and "collapsing" despite lower rates, with anecdotes of builders focusing on lower-priced product and incentives (tweets 13, 16, 20).
February 12, 2026 at 3:47 PM
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US claims softer: Initial 227K vs 222K/223K/225K; prior revised 232K. Continuing 1.862M vs 1.850M est. Mixed vs Jan NFP 130K vs 70K, ADP 22K vs 45K, layoffs 108,435. Watch revisions + rates vol. #USD #Treasuries #macro
Financial insights visualization: US Initial Jobless Claims printed at 227K, coming in above a range of cited expectations (222K/223K/225K), implying slightly softer near-term labor market momentum (tweets 1,3,5,7,8,9,11,12,14,15,17,18,20,21,22,23,25)., Continuing Claims rose to 1.862M vs 1.850M est, indicating some persistence in unemployment duration (tweets 2,6,7,11,17,20,25).
February 12, 2026 at 1:54 PM
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WMT pre-ER rotation leader: $128, holding 8EMA $127; $130 near-term then $132/$135 into 2/19. 2/20 128C +25% in 1h; TAG PT $135; EL lawsuit watch. Macro flat: VIX 17.4, 10Y 4.17%, WTI $64.4 (-0.3%). #WMT #WTI #SPX
Financial insights visualization: Walmart ($WMT) pre-earnings positioning and bullish technical chatter (multiple tweets cite $WMT near $128-$130, targets into earnings on 2/19; Tweets 6, 9, 12, 7, 8), Macro tape framed as low-risk-sentiment / stress: extreme fear crypto sentiment + bankruptcy headlines alongside largely flat equity index levels (Tweet 13)
February 12, 2026 at 1:53 PM
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Japan risk-on: Nikkei 225 first-time intraday >58,000 as US resilience supports momentum; USD/JPY snaps into 152 range as yen-selling fades post LDP landslide. Watch SoftBank Apr–Dec net profit up 5x on OpenAI/Vision Funds; BTC quantum-risk talk. $9984 #Nikkei #FX
Financial insights visualization: Japan equities momentum: Nikkei 225 reportedly hit an intraday first-time level above 58,000, attributed to resilient US economic conditions (tweet 8), JPY strength: USD/JPY described as rapidly strengthening into the 152-yen range, with commentary that speculative yen-selling shrank after the LDP landslide victory (tweet 6)
February 12, 2026 at 1:52 PM
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Risk-off: Trump–Netanyahu talks put Iran strike vs negotiations in focus. Trump says talks continue; “nothing definitive reached”; unverified reports of strike pushback & added carrier CSG. Watch Iran headlines/force posture, DC protests. #Energy #Defense #$XLE
Financial insights visualization: US-Israel leadership meetings centered on Iran negotiations/strike decision — multiple tweets report Trump-Netanyahu meeting at the White House and Iran as the core agenda (tweets 4, 9, 12, 20, 21, 23, 24, 25), Trump signals preference to continue Iran negotiations rather than immediate military action — direct quote repeated across tweets that 'negotiations with Iran continue' and 'nothing definitive reached' (tweets 9, 21); separate claim that Trump 'rejects Netanyahu's demands to strike Iran' (tweet 6)
February 12, 2026 at 1:51 PM
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AI-memory supercycle bid lifts NAND names: #$SNDK +11%, +97% YTD, +154% in 2026; $604.21 implies 8.2x fwd EPS ($73.37). Kioxia says 2026 NAND capacity sold out. Watch $540 support vs $725/726.33 resistance. #$SNDK #$MU #Semis
Financial insights visualization: AI-driven memory supercycle narrative around $SNDK/$MU - tweets cite 'INSANE Outlook from AI' (tweet 1) and data-center spend share rising from 5% to 15-20% (tweet 8), plus 'AI memory supercycle narrative' (tweet 14), $SNDK outsized momentum/leadership in 2026 performance tables and 'top gainer' framing - 'Best: Sandisk $SNDK +154%' (tweet 5) and 'rallying today, up over 11%' (tweet 6), plus 'Strong Momentum and Top Gainer Status' (tweet 14)
February 12, 2026 at 12:37 PM
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EQIX +8.1% AH despite Q4 rev/EPS miss; bookings $474M +42% YoY + FY rev guide $10.123B–$10.223B above consensus. AI drove ~60% of biggest Q4 deals; div +10% to $5.16/qtr. Watch $920 calls. #$EQIX #REIT #AI
Financial insights visualization: Equinix demand/backlog narrative despite headline miss: multiple tweets state Q4 revenue and EPS missed estimates but annualized gross bookings rose +42% YoY (tweets 2, 16) and Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $1.19B (tweets 3, 11, 20)., AI workloads increasingly driving deal activity at $EQIX: ~60% of largest Q4 deals AI-driven (tweets 16, 21, 23), with commentary that this trend increased from ~50% earlier in the year (tweet 23).
February 12, 2026 at 12:37 PM
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The Pentagon really used a multimillion-dollar sci-fi laser to vaporize a Mylar Piglet, called it a "cartel threat," and shut down El Paso for 10 days because they forgot to text the FAA. Absolute peak efficiency. 🤡
February 12, 2026 at 3:58 AM
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Nothing says "border security" like grounding every flight in Texas because a toddler let go of their birthday balloon. 🎈💀
February 12, 2026 at 3:58 AM
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Japan risk-on: TOPIX hit ATH 3,863.94; TSE Prime breadth 65% adv vs 30% dec; Nikkei 225 +2.28%. SOX +2.66% tailwind. Metals bid: gold 5,080-5,108 (+1.5%), silver 82.11 (+2.36%). Watch USDJPY 153.2/153.40 vs 200dma 150.41. #$TOPIX $USDJPY #Gold
Financial insights visualization: Japan equities strength / breadth at the open and index records: TSE Prime breadth at 09:15 shows 1,047 advancers (65%) vs 481 decliners (30%) (tweet 2); TOPIX printed an all-time high 3,863.94 with 'since start of last year +38.4%' (tweet 11); large/mid/small-cap TOPIX segments all positive (+0.4% / +0.9% / +1.1%) (tweet 23)., Semiconductor-led risk-on tone in Japan/Asia: SOX +2.66% cited alongside Japan market commentary (tweet 2); Nikkei 225 +2.28% and TWSE +2.06% in global market recap (tweet 15).
February 12, 2026 at 12:48 AM
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Japan at record highs, but rally looks fragile as JPY firms & BOJ hike risk rises. USD/JPY 152.950 (-1.53%), capped 153–154; intervention risk in focus. Watch NFP + BOJ April 1% (~80% odds). $NIKKEI #$TOPIX #USDJPY
Financial insights visualization: Japanese equities at record highs but concerns about fragility: multiple posts link the same story headline that 'Japanese stocks have been hitting record highs. But the rally may be "fragile"' (tweets 3, 6, 16)., JPY strength / intervention risk narrative: yen 'mostly strengthens' amid risk of FX intervention by Japanese authorities (tweet 5) alongside multiple references to USD/JPY around the 152–154 area (tweets 19, 20, 22).
February 12, 2026 at 12:14 AM
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Japan risk-on +JPY bid: TOPIX 3855.28, +13.1% from 3408.97. USDJPY traded in the 152円台 as US slowdown chatter lifts JPY. Watch March BoJ hike talk + Japan–US leaders meet timing; rotation into cyclicals. #$TOPIX #USDJPY #BoJ
Financial insights visualization: Japan equities rally quantified via TOPIX: tweet 18 states TOPIX rose from 3408.97 (end-2025) to 3855.28 (2026-02-10), +446.31 points (+13.1%), JPY strength on US slowdown narrative: tweet 9 says JPY rose to the 152-yen-per-USD range intraday on awareness of US economic slowdown
February 11, 2026 at 11:55 PM
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House moves to unwind Canada tariffs: rule defeat 217–214 clears path; resolution passes 219–211 (Reuters). Seen as start of forced votes beyond Canada; mixed rotation risk. Watch follow-on Mexico/Brazil agenda + policy whipsaw. #$SPY #$XLI #tariffs
Financial insights visualization: U.S. House moving to rescind Trump's Canada tariffs; multiple tweets cite an imminent/expected vote and procedural path cleared (tweets 1, 3, 6, 8, 12, 13, 21), House procedural defeat for GOP leadership enabled tariff votes; cited 217–214 vote to defeat/stop a blocking effort ('gag rule' framing) with a small number of Republicans joining Democrats (tweets 4, 16, 19, 24)
February 11, 2026 at 11:29 PM
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#$APP slides AH despite double beat—risk-off tape wins. Q4 EPS $3.24 vs $2.94; rev $1.65B–$1.66B vs $1.60B–$1.61B; adj EBITDA $1.40B (84%+), FCF $1.31B. Stock $423.98 (-7.33%); watch $400. #$APP #AdTech #Tech
Financial insights visualization: AppLovin ($APP) Q4'25 earnings beat on EPS and revenue (multiple tweets cite EPS $3.24 vs ~$2.94–$2.95 est; revenue ~$1.65B–$1.66B vs ~$1.60B–$1.61B est) (tweets 1, 4, 5, 6, 7, 16, 17, 22), $APP sells off after hours despite 'double beat' results (reported after-hours drop ranging ~5% to ~10%; specific after-hours price $423.98 cited) (tweets 2, 4, 6, 21)
February 11, 2026 at 10:41 PM
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#$LYFT -17% despite “strong Q4” + $1B buyback; Q1 adj core profit guide $120M-$140M spooked on ride-growth/competition. #$GRAB Q4 rev $906M (+19% YoY) but FY2026 sales guide $4.040B–$4.100B < $4.129B. Watch IGV/XLF. #$LYFT #$GRAB #Earnings
Financial insights visualization: Lyft post-earnings selloff driven by guidance/ride-growth concerns despite headline 'strong Q4' and buyback: multiple tweets cite ~$LYFT down ~16.5% to 17% (tweets 1, 10, 13, 25) with concerns on slowing ride growth/competition (tweets 2, 10, 22) and Q1 adjusted core profit guidance $120M-$140M below estimates (tweet 10)., Grab Q4 print shows revenue $906M up ~19% YoY and first full-year net profit, but 'revenue miss' and light FY2026 sales guidance: revenue and YoY growth repeated (tweets 5, 9, 19) alongside FY2026 sales guidance $4.040B–$4.100B vs est $4.129B (tweet 19).
February 11, 2026 at 10:40 PM