@joshschafer.bsky.social
I write about markets for Yahoo Finance.
https://finance.yahoo.com/author/josh-schafer/
https://finance.yahoo.com/author/josh-schafer/
Reposted
Nice chart from @joshschafer.bsky.social in here. There’s the headline read that Mag7 earnings will converge with S&P 493 this year. Alternatively: Wall St still thinks Mag7 earnings growth will reaccelerate in the second half of the year. finance.yahoo.com/news/big-tec...
January 26, 2025 at 4:21 PM
Nice chart from @joshschafer.bsky.social in here. There’s the headline read that Mag7 earnings will converge with S&P 493 this year. Alternatively: Wall St still thinks Mag7 earnings growth will reaccelerate in the second half of the year. finance.yahoo.com/news/big-tec...
For @yahoo-finance.bsky.social, 10 charts that explain the US economy and stock market in 2024 w/ @alliecanal.bsky.social:
finance.yahoo.com/news/10-char...
finance.yahoo.com/news/10-char...
December 30, 2024 at 12:05 PM
For @yahoo-finance.bsky.social, 10 charts that explain the US economy and stock market in 2024 w/ @alliecanal.bsky.social:
finance.yahoo.com/news/10-char...
finance.yahoo.com/news/10-char...
Throughout 2025 outlook roundtables, I asked equity strategists where they think the AI trade will head in 2025.
Story @yahoo-finance.bsky.social about why many are calling for the light blue line in the chart below to continue gaining steam.
Story @yahoo-finance.bsky.social about why many are calling for the light blue line in the chart below to continue gaining steam.
December 27, 2024 at 3:18 PM
Throughout 2025 outlook roundtables, I asked equity strategists where they think the AI trade will head in 2025.
Story @yahoo-finance.bsky.social about why many are calling for the light blue line in the chart below to continue gaining steam.
Story @yahoo-finance.bsky.social about why many are calling for the light blue line in the chart below to continue gaining steam.
We’ve written a lot about the bullish outlook for stocks and the US economy in 2025.
In today’s @yahoo-finance.bsky.social Morning Brief, we dug into the flip side and a few reasons why the US could be less “exceptional” than many are hoping in 2025:
finance.yahoo.com/news/what-co...
In today’s @yahoo-finance.bsky.social Morning Brief, we dug into the flip side and a few reasons why the US could be less “exceptional” than many are hoping in 2025:
finance.yahoo.com/news/what-co...
What could go wrong with Wall Street's 2025 consensus: Morning Brief
A consensus has emerged about the 2025 stock market outlook. But while there's only one bear, the bear-case has some agreement about at least a few of the potential risks. A big one? Europe. But it's ...
finance.yahoo.com
December 17, 2024 at 12:59 PM
We’ve written a lot about the bullish outlook for stocks and the US economy in 2025.
In today’s @yahoo-finance.bsky.social Morning Brief, we dug into the flip side and a few reasons why the US could be less “exceptional” than many are hoping in 2025:
finance.yahoo.com/news/what-co...
In today’s @yahoo-finance.bsky.social Morning Brief, we dug into the flip side and a few reasons why the US could be less “exceptional” than many are hoping in 2025:
finance.yahoo.com/news/what-co...
Nvidia hasn't been a key driver in the Mag 7 rally to start December.
December 13, 2024 at 7:59 PM
Nvidia hasn't been a key driver in the Mag 7 rally to start December.
After 16 strategists tracked by @YahooFinance projected the S&P 500 to close higher next year, we finally have a bear.
Stifel's Barry Bannister sees the S&P 500 ending 2025 in the "mid 5,000s" driven by sticky inflation, and slowing economic growth.
finance.yahoo.com/news/stocks-...
Stifel's Barry Bannister sees the S&P 500 ending 2025 in the "mid 5,000s" driven by sticky inflation, and slowing economic growth.
finance.yahoo.com/news/stocks-...
Stocks will end 2025 lower due to sticky inflation, economic slowdown, Stifel predicts
Stifel chief investment strategist Barry Bannister believes higher inflation and slower than expected economic growth will derail the stock market rally in 2025.
finance.yahoo.com
December 12, 2024 at 7:49 PM
After 16 strategists tracked by @YahooFinance projected the S&P 500 to close higher next year, we finally have a bear.
Stifel's Barry Bannister sees the S&P 500 ending 2025 in the "mid 5,000s" driven by sticky inflation, and slowing economic growth.
finance.yahoo.com/news/stocks-...
Stifel's Barry Bannister sees the S&P 500 ending 2025 in the "mid 5,000s" driven by sticky inflation, and slowing economic growth.
finance.yahoo.com/news/stocks-...
A massive move higher in the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index following Trump's win.
Large companies with significant revenue tied to small businesses has been an area strategist like Goldman Sachs' David Kostin have highlighted headed into 2025.
finance.yahoo.com/news/live/st...
Large companies with significant revenue tied to small businesses has been an area strategist like Goldman Sachs' David Kostin have highlighted headed into 2025.
finance.yahoo.com/news/live/st...
December 10, 2024 at 2:19 PM
A massive move higher in the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index following Trump's win.
Large companies with significant revenue tied to small businesses has been an area strategist like Goldman Sachs' David Kostin have highlighted headed into 2025.
finance.yahoo.com/news/live/st...
Large companies with significant revenue tied to small businesses has been an area strategist like Goldman Sachs' David Kostin have highlighted headed into 2025.
finance.yahoo.com/news/live/st...
Instead of the “last mile,” ADP chief economist Nela Richardson told me about the “last five pounds” and the patience required by the Fed to make sure it hits its goal on the scale the right way.
Story in today’s @yahoo-finance.bsky.social Morning Brief:
finance.yahoo.com/news/the-fed...
Story in today’s @yahoo-finance.bsky.social Morning Brief:
finance.yahoo.com/news/the-fed...
The Fed's 'final 5-pound' issue with inflation points to gradual rate cuts: Morning Brief
Getting inflation down to 2% remains the Fed's key objective. But it also seems to be anticipating possible ways the cure might become another poison — and making sure it doesn't happen.
finance.yahoo.com
December 10, 2024 at 1:05 PM
Instead of the “last mile,” ADP chief economist Nela Richardson told me about the “last five pounds” and the patience required by the Fed to make sure it hits its goal on the scale the right way.
Story in today’s @yahoo-finance.bsky.social Morning Brief:
finance.yahoo.com/news/the-fed...
Story in today’s @yahoo-finance.bsky.social Morning Brief:
finance.yahoo.com/news/the-fed...
A fun exercise from @bespokeinvest.bsky.social.
If Juan Soto put most of his earnings in a 60/40 portfolio his cash would grow to $814.6 million by 2039.
"If Soto were to put it all into the US stock market, based on annual returns over the last 50 years, he'd be at just over $1B by 2039."
If Juan Soto put most of his earnings in a 60/40 portfolio his cash would grow to $814.6 million by 2039.
"If Soto were to put it all into the US stock market, based on annual returns over the last 50 years, he'd be at just over $1B by 2039."
December 9, 2024 at 9:47 PM
A fun exercise from @bespokeinvest.bsky.social.
If Juan Soto put most of his earnings in a 60/40 portfolio his cash would grow to $814.6 million by 2039.
"If Soto were to put it all into the US stock market, based on annual returns over the last 50 years, he'd be at just over $1B by 2039."
If Juan Soto put most of his earnings in a 60/40 portfolio his cash would grow to $814.6 million by 2039.
"If Soto were to put it all into the US stock market, based on annual returns over the last 50 years, he'd be at just over $1B by 2039."
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell about 0.6% on Monday, for their their worst one-day performance since Nov. 15. It's been a pretty good three-week stretch for stocks.
December 9, 2024 at 9:18 PM
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell about 0.6% on Monday, for their their worst one-day performance since Nov. 15. It's been a pretty good three-week stretch for stocks.
Oppenheimer now with a street-high 7,100 call for the S&P 500 next year.
finance.yahoo.com/news/wall-st...
finance.yahoo.com/news/wall-st...
December 9, 2024 at 3:40 PM
Oppenheimer now with a street-high 7,100 call for the S&P 500 next year.
finance.yahoo.com/news/wall-st...
finance.yahoo.com/news/wall-st...
BofA: "SPX options are pricing just a 64bp move for this Wed, the smallest implied reaction to CPI since inflation picked up in 2021."
December 9, 2024 at 2:14 PM
BofA: "SPX options are pricing just a 64bp move for this Wed, the smallest implied reaction to CPI since inflation picked up in 2021."
There was a clear political divide in today's University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey.
Democrats see inflation rising to 3.2% in the next year while Republicans are much more optimistic, believing inflation will fall to 1.3% over the next year.
t.co/mnmja9iiTj
Democrats see inflation rising to 3.2% in the next year while Republicans are much more optimistic, believing inflation will fall to 1.3% over the next year.
t.co/mnmja9iiTj
December 6, 2024 at 5:21 PM
There was a clear political divide in today's University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey.
Democrats see inflation rising to 3.2% in the next year while Republicans are much more optimistic, believing inflation will fall to 1.3% over the next year.
t.co/mnmja9iiTj
Democrats see inflation rising to 3.2% in the next year while Republicans are much more optimistic, believing inflation will fall to 1.3% over the next year.
t.co/mnmja9iiTj
Respondents to the December UMich. Consumer Sentiment Survey are worried about higher prices.
December 6, 2024 at 3:04 PM
Respondents to the December UMich. Consumer Sentiment Survey are worried about higher prices.
Our @YahooFinance Chart of the Day: Other cryptocurrencies have been significantly outperforming bitcoin since the election.
After a year mainly led by bitcoin, it’s risk-on all over crypto.
After a year mainly led by bitcoin, it’s risk-on all over crypto.
December 6, 2024 at 1:06 PM
Our @YahooFinance Chart of the Day: Other cryptocurrencies have been significantly outperforming bitcoin since the election.
After a year mainly led by bitcoin, it’s risk-on all over crypto.
After a year mainly led by bitcoin, it’s risk-on all over crypto.
Stock market today: Nasdaq, Dow, S&P 500 hit records as tech surges, Fed's Powell says economy in 'remarkably good shape' via @yahoo-finance.bsky.social:
finance.yahoo.com/news/live/st...
finance.yahoo.com/news/live/st...
December 4, 2024 at 9:05 PM
Stock market today: Nasdaq, Dow, S&P 500 hit records as tech surges, Fed's Powell says economy in 'remarkably good shape' via @yahoo-finance.bsky.social:
finance.yahoo.com/news/live/st...
finance.yahoo.com/news/live/st...
In today’s @yahoo-finance.bsky.social Morning Brief…
Why stronger-than-expected economic growth is a key part of Wall Street's bullish calls for stocks in 2025:
finance.yahoo.com/news/wall-st...
Why stronger-than-expected economic growth is a key part of Wall Street's bullish calls for stocks in 2025:
finance.yahoo.com/news/wall-st...
Wall Street is betting on a strong US economy in 2025: Morning Brief
So far, most equity strategy teams see the stock market rising in 2025, buttressed by another strong year of economic growth. That may favor value stocks this time — instead of yet another year of Big...
finance.yahoo.com
December 4, 2024 at 1:28 PM
In today’s @yahoo-finance.bsky.social Morning Brief…
Why stronger-than-expected economic growth is a key part of Wall Street's bullish calls for stocks in 2025:
finance.yahoo.com/news/wall-st...
Why stronger-than-expected economic growth is a key part of Wall Street's bullish calls for stocks in 2025:
finance.yahoo.com/news/wall-st...
Job openings rose more than expected in October while hires slipped lower and quits rate picked up for the first time in more than a year.
"Today’s report is yet another indication that labor demand is softening but not collapsing."
finance.yahoo.com/news/job-ope...
"Today’s report is yet another indication that labor demand is softening but not collapsing."
finance.yahoo.com/news/job-ope...
December 3, 2024 at 4:05 PM
Job openings rose more than expected in October while hires slipped lower and quits rate picked up for the first time in more than a year.
"Today’s report is yet another indication that labor demand is softening but not collapsing."
finance.yahoo.com/news/job-ope...
"Today’s report is yet another indication that labor demand is softening but not collapsing."
finance.yahoo.com/news/job-ope...
Reposted
The US economy is solid. And it will stay that way, according to BofA.
"We like to say that the US imports a lot of stuff, but it doesn't import recessions," Aditya Bhave, senior US economist at BofA, said on Monday.
My story on @yahoo-finance.bsky.social ⤵️
finance.yahoo.com/news/us-econ...
"We like to say that the US imports a lot of stuff, but it doesn't import recessions," Aditya Bhave, senior US economist at BofA, said on Monday.
My story on @yahoo-finance.bsky.social ⤵️
finance.yahoo.com/news/us-econ...
December 3, 2024 at 2:29 PM
The US economy is solid. And it will stay that way, according to BofA.
"We like to say that the US imports a lot of stuff, but it doesn't import recessions," Aditya Bhave, senior US economist at BofA, said on Monday.
My story on @yahoo-finance.bsky.social ⤵️
finance.yahoo.com/news/us-econ...
"We like to say that the US imports a lot of stuff, but it doesn't import recessions," Aditya Bhave, senior US economist at BofA, said on Monday.
My story on @yahoo-finance.bsky.social ⤵️
finance.yahoo.com/news/us-econ...
Good read on @yahoo-finance.bsky.social from @akikofujita.bsky.social on what mass deportations could mean for the labor market.
“The reason that it's disruptive is not simply because our economy relies on this labor; it's the abruptness of it."
finance.yahoo.com/news/us-labo...
“The reason that it's disruptive is not simply because our economy relies on this labor; it's the abruptness of it."
finance.yahoo.com/news/us-labo...
December 3, 2024 at 2:29 PM
Good read on @yahoo-finance.bsky.social from @akikofujita.bsky.social on what mass deportations could mean for the labor market.
“The reason that it's disruptive is not simply because our economy relies on this labor; it's the abruptness of it."
finance.yahoo.com/news/us-labo...
“The reason that it's disruptive is not simply because our economy relies on this labor; it's the abruptness of it."
finance.yahoo.com/news/us-labo...
BofA: The "American exceptionalism" trade is gaining momentum, driven by the potential return of "America First" policies under Trump 2.0...The 3-mo. correlation between SPX and USD has surged to the highest level since 2017."
December 3, 2024 at 2:27 PM
BofA: The "American exceptionalism" trade is gaining momentum, driven by the potential return of "America First" policies under Trump 2.0...The 3-mo. correlation between SPX and USD has surged to the highest level since 2017."
People are working hard these days!
BofA: "We think we're going back to more of that 80s, 90s type of market environment where productivity drives gains."
BofA: "We think we're going back to more of that 80s, 90s type of market environment where productivity drives gains."
December 2, 2024 at 5:40 PM
People are working hard these days!
BofA: "We think we're going back to more of that 80s, 90s type of market environment where productivity drives gains."
BofA: "We think we're going back to more of that 80s, 90s type of market environment where productivity drives gains."
Today’s @yahoo-finance.bsky.social Chart of the Day reminds us that, in markets, strength often begets strength.
Since 2000, every year the S&P 500 has risen more than 20% entering December, the index has rallied further to end the year, according to Carson Group's Ryan Detrick.
Since 2000, every year the S&P 500 has risen more than 20% entering December, the index has rallied further to end the year, according to Carson Group's Ryan Detrick.
December 2, 2024 at 1:45 PM
Today’s @yahoo-finance.bsky.social Chart of the Day reminds us that, in markets, strength often begets strength.
Since 2000, every year the S&P 500 has risen more than 20% entering December, the index has rallied further to end the year, according to Carson Group's Ryan Detrick.
Since 2000, every year the S&P 500 has risen more than 20% entering December, the index has rallied further to end the year, according to Carson Group's Ryan Detrick.
One clear takeaway from 2025 outlooks: Many economists aren’t anticipating a lot of Fed rate cuts.
Full story breaking down how economists are talking about the Fed’s path next year for @yahoo-finance.bsky.social.
finance.yahoo.com/news/wall-st...
Full story breaking down how economists are talking about the Fed’s path next year for @yahoo-finance.bsky.social.
finance.yahoo.com/news/wall-st...
November 29, 2024 at 2:50 PM
One clear takeaway from 2025 outlooks: Many economists aren’t anticipating a lot of Fed rate cuts.
Full story breaking down how economists are talking about the Fed’s path next year for @yahoo-finance.bsky.social.
finance.yahoo.com/news/wall-st...
Full story breaking down how economists are talking about the Fed’s path next year for @yahoo-finance.bsky.social.
finance.yahoo.com/news/wall-st...