Jacob Christensen
@jacobchr94.bsky.social
Interested in sports, data science, art and politics.
At least that was the things I was thinking about, when I read your paper with Flachsland. Haven't looked at the paper with Genovese yet :))
January 20, 2026 at 7:28 PM
At least that was the things I was thinking about, when I read your paper with Flachsland. Haven't looked at the paper with Genovese yet :))
I feel like the model/framework attributes a lot of things to public opinion (at least in your paper: Edenhofer & Flachsland 2025) - or highlights the role that public opinion has played and plays in the climate policy outcome/outcomes.
January 20, 2026 at 7:28 PM
I feel like the model/framework attributes a lot of things to public opinion (at least in your paper: Edenhofer & Flachsland 2025) - or highlights the role that public opinion has played and plays in the climate policy outcome/outcomes.
+ agriculture hasn't been that big part of industrialized "rich" democracies economy for a long time. Wouldn't we expect more "action" in this sector (this is where you'd least expect it based on the model/framework) if public opinion would be that strong a driver of policy outcomes?
January 20, 2026 at 7:28 PM
+ agriculture hasn't been that big part of industrialized "rich" democracies economy for a long time. Wouldn't we expect more "action" in this sector (this is where you'd least expect it based on the model/framework) if public opinion would be that strong a driver of policy outcomes?
voters that you want to make a change, when it comes to your country's climate policy. Why would you pursue reductions in the power sector, if voters won't reward it? Why wouldn't you try and make a difference where voters would also reward it? Some of the cheapest emissions come from agriculture
January 20, 2026 at 7:28 PM
voters that you want to make a change, when it comes to your country's climate policy. Why would you pursue reductions in the power sector, if voters won't reward it? Why wouldn't you try and make a difference where voters would also reward it? Some of the cheapest emissions come from agriculture
If we look at the producer vs consumer argument. The argument is that is easier to diffuse costs (spatially and temporal) if they start with the power sector, while still getting reductions + it's harder to attribute price increases to politicians. But let's say you are politician who want to show
January 20, 2026 at 7:28 PM
If we look at the producer vs consumer argument. The argument is that is easier to diffuse costs (spatially and temporal) if they start with the power sector, while still getting reductions + it's harder to attribute price increases to politicians. But let's say you are politician who want to show
the state/states might already have some experience/know how/knowledge in this area or simply because of "path dependency"
January 20, 2026 at 7:28 PM
the state/states might already have some experience/know how/knowledge in this area or simply because of "path dependency"
Another reason I could think of, that would explain "early" intervention in the power/energy sector is that historically the state has played a huge role in this sector. So it was simply "easy" to do;
January 20, 2026 at 7:28 PM
Another reason I could think of, that would explain "early" intervention in the power/energy sector is that historically the state has played a huge role in this sector. So it was simply "easy" to do;
Of course this isn't the case in the US, which is why interest groups have been successful in curbing climate policy in the US (from your paper 2025 with Flachsland). Another case could be Australia, a big producer of coal - does this pattern fit here? I don't know.
January 20, 2026 at 7:28 PM
Of course this isn't the case in the US, which is why interest groups have been successful in curbing climate policy in the US (from your paper 2025 with Flachsland). Another case could be Australia, a big producer of coal - does this pattern fit here? I don't know.
Empirically it seems like a lot countries have pursued reduction in this sector, but couldn't this be explained by weak interest groups? A lot of rich democracies don't have a big "energy sector" that produce gas, oil or coal (I know Germany was a somewhat big coal producer historically)
January 20, 2026 at 7:28 PM
Empirically it seems like a lot countries have pursued reduction in this sector, but couldn't this be explained by weak interest groups? A lot of rich democracies don't have a big "energy sector" that produce gas, oil or coal (I know Germany was a somewhat big coal producer historically)
Thank you for the thread :)
I have a few questions and thoughts on the framework (CPF).
You point to "power" as a sector that is technical complex, implementation heavy and requires cooperation + being producer centered --> Costs are easy to diffuse --> Attribution more difficult.
I have a few questions and thoughts on the framework (CPF).
You point to "power" as a sector that is technical complex, implementation heavy and requires cooperation + being producer centered --> Costs are easy to diffuse --> Attribution more difficult.
January 20, 2026 at 7:28 PM
Thank you for the thread :)
I have a few questions and thoughts on the framework (CPF).
You point to "power" as a sector that is technical complex, implementation heavy and requires cooperation + being producer centered --> Costs are easy to diffuse --> Attribution more difficult.
I have a few questions and thoughts on the framework (CPF).
You point to "power" as a sector that is technical complex, implementation heavy and requires cooperation + being producer centered --> Costs are easy to diffuse --> Attribution more difficult.
I don't know enough about democracies in other parts of the world to give a qualified opinion on what might drive them :)) Policy outcomes live and dies with the EU :)) End of🧵
January 18, 2026 at 4:06 PM
I don't know enough about democracies in other parts of the world to give a qualified opinion on what might drive them :)) Policy outcomes live and dies with the EU :)) End of🧵
So I think the institutional setup in the EU is the primary determinant of policy outcomes in rich democracies inside the European Union. More so than voters/public opinion, interest groups or international agreements, if I have to put my head on the table.
January 18, 2026 at 4:06 PM
So I think the institutional setup in the EU is the primary determinant of policy outcomes in rich democracies inside the European Union. More so than voters/public opinion, interest groups or international agreements, if I have to put my head on the table.
Voters have less knowledge about it (A lot of people never heard of ETS - even educated ones), European Commission not elected directly, EU being very technocratic and "Brussels a long way from home", easy to "blame EU", but hard to change politics once set in motion.
January 18, 2026 at 4:06 PM
Voters have less knowledge about it (A lot of people never heard of ETS - even educated ones), European Commission not elected directly, EU being very technocratic and "Brussels a long way from home", easy to "blame EU", but hard to change politics once set in motion.
ETS/ETS 2 might be the most impactful policy tool(s) when it comes to climate policy outcomes in rich democracies inside the EU (cf. www.oecd.org/en/publicati...)
European Union helps alleviate collective action problems, and is also not completely accountable to voters:
European Union helps alleviate collective action problems, and is also not completely accountable to voters:
January 18, 2026 at 4:06 PM
ETS/ETS 2 might be the most impactful policy tool(s) when it comes to climate policy outcomes in rich democracies inside the EU (cf. www.oecd.org/en/publicati...)
European Union helps alleviate collective action problems, and is also not completely accountable to voters:
European Union helps alleviate collective action problems, and is also not completely accountable to voters:
so I am not sold on geopolitics/international politics being the primary determinant of outcomes. Unless international politics also includes EU.
If that is the case I might be more willing to say that international politics is the primary determinant.
If that is the case I might be more willing to say that international politics is the primary determinant.
January 18, 2026 at 4:06 PM
so I am not sold on geopolitics/international politics being the primary determinant of outcomes. Unless international politics also includes EU.
If that is the case I might be more willing to say that international politics is the primary determinant.
If that is the case I might be more willing to say that international politics is the primary determinant.
I do think that international politics help set the stage for climate policy outcomes (Paris agreement e.g.) or international crises (OPEC crisis, or Russia's invasion/threats) which can effect climate policy outcomes (less reliant on oil/gas) in the long run, but usually things "return to normal"
January 18, 2026 at 4:06 PM
I do think that international politics help set the stage for climate policy outcomes (Paris agreement e.g.) or international crises (OPEC crisis, or Russia's invasion/threats) which can effect climate policy outcomes (less reliant on oil/gas) in the long run, but usually things "return to normal"
Suggesting that interest groups are at least somewhat strong. Other explanation could also be that voters perceive CO2 tax on agriculture as something that will increase food prices --> People do not like inflation (perceived decreasing purchase power) (cf. www.nber.org/papers/w32300)
January 18, 2026 at 4:06 PM
Suggesting that interest groups are at least somewhat strong. Other explanation could also be that voters perceive CO2 tax on agriculture as something that will increase food prices --> People do not like inflation (perceived decreasing purchase power) (cf. www.nber.org/papers/w32300)
Some sectors like agriculture (in the EU, Denmark too) have very strong interest groups. Economists have long pointed out that a CO2 tax on agriculture will be the "cheapest" way to reach Denmark's CO2 goals. Despite this being "common knowledge" for a lot of years not a lot have happened
January 18, 2026 at 4:06 PM
Some sectors like agriculture (in the EU, Denmark too) have very strong interest groups. Economists have long pointed out that a CO2 tax on agriculture will be the "cheapest" way to reach Denmark's CO2 goals. Despite this being "common knowledge" for a lot of years not a lot have happened
I will try to outline my thoughts, feel free to comment :))
To begin with I think the answer is contextual (surprise!): A democracy inside EU than US, Japan, South Korea or Australia will have different policy outcomes due to dif political environments. Second: It depends a lot on the sector.
To begin with I think the answer is contextual (surprise!): A democracy inside EU than US, Japan, South Korea or Australia will have different policy outcomes due to dif political environments. Second: It depends a lot on the sector.
January 18, 2026 at 4:06 PM
I will try to outline my thoughts, feel free to comment :))
To begin with I think the answer is contextual (surprise!): A democracy inside EU than US, Japan, South Korea or Australia will have different policy outcomes due to dif political environments. Second: It depends a lot on the sector.
To begin with I think the answer is contextual (surprise!): A democracy inside EU than US, Japan, South Korea or Australia will have different policy outcomes due to dif political environments. Second: It depends a lot on the sector.
Please dont tell the corrupt Piggy that Denmark has a huge production of windmills. Greenland will be doomed! Or maybe that's why he wants Greenland? To stick it to that damn windmill producing country! Another nail in the coffin in support of your theory...
January 4, 2026 at 7:29 PM
Please dont tell the corrupt Piggy that Denmark has a huge production of windmills. Greenland will be doomed! Or maybe that's why he wants Greenland? To stick it to that damn windmill producing country! Another nail in the coffin in support of your theory...
Thank you for you and Wilma's threads throughout the year. Hope you will keep it up! Merry Christmas and happy new year 🎄 🎊
December 7, 2025 at 7:10 PM
Thank you for you and Wilma's threads throughout the year. Hope you will keep it up! Merry Christmas and happy new year 🎄 🎊
@adambonica.bsky.social har skrevet en god artikel om DOGE, som er værd at bruge et par minutter på at læse. Den kan findes her, hvis det har interesse:
data4democracy.substack.com/p/the-doge-p...
data4democracy.substack.com/p/the-doge-p...
The DOGE Purge: Empirical Evidence of Politically Motivated Firings
And what it means for American Democracy
data4democracy.substack.com
November 24, 2025 at 1:04 PM
@adambonica.bsky.social har skrevet en god artikel om DOGE, som er værd at bruge et par minutter på at læse. Den kan findes her, hvis det har interesse:
data4democracy.substack.com/p/the-doge-p...
data4democracy.substack.com/p/the-doge-p...
Eller når Trump siger, han indsætter Nationalgarden i Washington DC for at kvæle al den kriminalitet, der er i hovedstaden. Forholder du dig så kun til det faktum? Lige med den her administration, så bør man måske gøre mere end bare at forholde sig til det de siger...
November 24, 2025 at 1:04 PM
Eller når Trump siger, han indsætter Nationalgarden i Washington DC for at kvæle al den kriminalitet, der er i hovedstaden. Forholder du dig så kun til det faktum? Lige med den her administration, så bør man måske gøre mere end bare at forholde sig til det de siger...
Forholder du dig på samme måde til den måde ICE opererer på? Kristi Noem siger, at deres mål jo blot er, at smide alle illegale indvandrere ud af landet. Det er jo det hun påstår, men synes du ICE virker som en organisation, hvis eneste formål er at smide illegale indvandrere ud af landet?
November 24, 2025 at 1:04 PM
Forholder du dig på samme måde til den måde ICE opererer på? Kristi Noem siger, at deres mål jo blot er, at smide alle illegale indvandrere ud af landet. Det er jo det hun påstår, men synes du ICE virker som en organisation, hvis eneste formål er at smide illegale indvandrere ud af landet?
Tror du DOGE handlede om at finde effektiviseringsgevinster?
November 24, 2025 at 12:30 PM
Tror du DOGE handlede om at finde effektiviseringsgevinster?