Oleg Gutyrchik
@gutyrchik.bsky.social
Product & AI Leader | Greenfield Innovator
Passionate about AI applications—currently exploring evolutionary algorithms in stock trading and patent research RAG. Looking to connect with #Product experts and #AI enthusiasts.
Passionate about AI applications—currently exploring evolutionary algorithms in stock trading and patent research RAG. Looking to connect with #Product experts and #AI enthusiasts.
🌐📈 US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick's recent positive comments had minimal market impact. However, the JOLTs report provided optimism: a rise in layoffs suggests a weakening labor market, increasing the likelihood of Fed rate cuts. All eyes are now on Trump's speech at 1 AM.
#EconSky
#EconSky
April 29, 2025 at 9:11 PM
🌐📈 US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick's recent positive comments had minimal market impact. However, the JOLTs report provided optimism: a rise in layoffs suggests a weakening labor market, increasing the likelihood of Fed rate cuts. All eyes are now on Trump's speech at 1 AM.
#EconSky
#EconSky
🌐📈 Higher tariffs drive up consumer prices by increasing the cost of imported goods, fueling inflation.
Yale’s model shows the recent tariff hike could boost inflation by 1.7–2.1% in 2024.
Such regressive measures hit lower-income groups hardest and could dampen GDP growth.
#EconSky
Yale’s model shows the recent tariff hike could boost inflation by 1.7–2.1% in 2024.
Such regressive measures hit lower-income groups hardest and could dampen GDP growth.
#EconSky
March 4, 2025 at 11:47 AM
🌐📈 Higher tariffs drive up consumer prices by increasing the cost of imported goods, fueling inflation.
Yale’s model shows the recent tariff hike could boost inflation by 1.7–2.1% in 2024.
Such regressive measures hit lower-income groups hardest and could dampen GDP growth.
#EconSky
Yale’s model shows the recent tariff hike could boost inflation by 1.7–2.1% in 2024.
Such regressive measures hit lower-income groups hardest and could dampen GDP growth.
#EconSky
🌐📈 The ISM Manufacturing report revealed a sharp decline in orders with prices rising. The Fed is in a bind: easing policy would fuel inflation, while their mandate targets inflation and the labor market—not growth. Fed officials are now relying on cautious rhetoric to ease concerns.
#EconSky
#EconSky
March 4, 2025 at 7:48 AM
🌐📈 The ISM Manufacturing report revealed a sharp decline in orders with prices rising. The Fed is in a bind: easing policy would fuel inflation, while their mandate targets inflation and the labor market—not growth. Fed officials are now relying on cautious rhetoric to ease concerns.
#EconSky
#EconSky
🌐📈 Markets plunged alongside a falling dollar—a rare and alarming sign. The Atlanta Fed cut its US GDP forecast from 2.8% to 1.5%, signaling a potential severe slowdown in the US economy. When the safe-haven currency drops with risky assets, it raises red flags.
#EconSky
#EconSky
March 4, 2025 at 7:48 AM
🌐📈 Markets plunged alongside a falling dollar—a rare and alarming sign. The Atlanta Fed cut its US GDP forecast from 2.8% to 1.5%, signaling a potential severe slowdown in the US economy. When the safe-haven currency drops with risky assets, it raises red flags.
#EconSky
#EconSky
🌐📈 Nonfarm Payroll is expected to trigger high volatility. The report will revise 2024 job figures by excluding undocumented migrants— a technical adjustment that could spark unexpected market moves. Buckle up.
#EconSky
#EconSky
February 7, 2025 at 10:21 AM
🌐📈 Nonfarm Payroll is expected to trigger high volatility. The report will revise 2024 job figures by excluding undocumented migrants— a technical adjustment that could spark unexpected market moves. Buckle up.
#EconSky
#EconSky
🌐📈 Trump claims he knows better than the Fed on rate cuts and expects the Fed to heed his advice. This devalues the Fed's role, suggesting that markets may now follow Trump's stance on monetary policy instead of the Fed's. This will be a significant shift in market dynamics.
#EconSky
#EconSky
January 24, 2025 at 10:03 PM
🌐📈 Trump claims he knows better than the Fed on rate cuts and expects the Fed to heed his advice. This devalues the Fed's role, suggesting that markets may now follow Trump's stance on monetary policy instead of the Fed's. This will be a significant shift in market dynamics.
#EconSky
#EconSky
🌐📈 Markets cracked today due to three main factors:
🔹 Trump actively pushing his foreign and economic policies shocked investors, leading to risk aversion
🔹 ISM Services report showed rising prices
🔹 JOLTs job openings surged, making Fed rate cuts unlikely
#EconSky
🔹 Trump actively pushing his foreign and economic policies shocked investors, leading to risk aversion
🔹 ISM Services report showed rising prices
🔹 JOLTs job openings surged, making Fed rate cuts unlikely
#EconSky
January 7, 2025 at 9:26 PM
🌐📈 Markets cracked today due to three main factors:
🔹 Trump actively pushing his foreign and economic policies shocked investors, leading to risk aversion
🔹 ISM Services report showed rising prices
🔹 JOLTs job openings surged, making Fed rate cuts unlikely
#EconSky
🔹 Trump actively pushing his foreign and economic policies shocked investors, leading to risk aversion
🔹 ISM Services report showed rising prices
🔹 JOLTs job openings surged, making Fed rate cuts unlikely
#EconSky
🌐📈 Important news starts January 7. Ahead of Trump's inauguration, numerous reports will cause volatility in traditional markets. Markets fear Trump's presidency and the inauguration as negative events, expecting a decline by January 20 and a flight from risk assets.
#EconSky
#EconSky
January 5, 2025 at 10:34 PM
🌐📈 Important news starts January 7. Ahead of Trump's inauguration, numerous reports will cause volatility in traditional markets. Markets fear Trump's presidency and the inauguration as negative events, expecting a decline by January 20 and a flight from risk assets.
#EconSky
#EconSky
🌐📈 Two main factors could significantly drop the market after Trump's inauguration:
🔹 Introduction of tariffs negatively impacting economic indicators and scaring investors
🔹 More transparent early-year reports without presidential pressure, giving Trump a low base advantage
#EconSky
🔹 Introduction of tariffs negatively impacting economic indicators and scaring investors
🔹 More transparent early-year reports without presidential pressure, giving Trump a low base advantage
#EconSky
December 29, 2024 at 7:48 PM
🌐📈 Two main factors could significantly drop the market after Trump's inauguration:
🔹 Introduction of tariffs negatively impacting economic indicators and scaring investors
🔹 More transparent early-year reports without presidential pressure, giving Trump a low base advantage
#EconSky
🔹 Introduction of tariffs negatively impacting economic indicators and scaring investors
🔹 More transparent early-year reports without presidential pressure, giving Trump a low base advantage
#EconSky
🌐📈 Fed Chair Powell affirmed that the Federal Reserve cannot hold Bitcoin and has no plans to change this policy. This stance underscores the Fed’s commitment to traditional monetary tools and highlights its cautious approach toward integrating cryptocurrencies into the financial system.
#EconSky
#EconSky
December 19, 2024 at 3:13 PM
🌐📈 Fed Chair Powell affirmed that the Federal Reserve cannot hold Bitcoin and has no plans to change this policy. This stance underscores the Fed’s commitment to traditional monetary tools and highlights its cautious approach toward integrating cryptocurrencies into the financial system.
#EconSky
#EconSky
🌐📈 Fed meeting was tougher than expected. Powell announced a new phase with slower rate cuts, forecasting two in 2025. Significant dissent among FOMC members shows that higher inflation or a stronger job market could have prevented yesterday rate cut.
#EconSky
#EconSky
December 19, 2024 at 3:09 PM
🌐📈 Fed meeting was tougher than expected. Powell announced a new phase with slower rate cuts, forecasting two in 2025. Significant dissent among FOMC members shows that higher inflation or a stronger job market could have prevented yesterday rate cut.
#EconSky
#EconSky
🌐📈 US factory gate prices rose 0.4% in November, surpassing expectations (0.2%), while jobless claims surged to 242K, exceeding forecasts (220K).
These weaker-than-expected reports cast doubts on Fed rate cuts in 2025. However, a December rate cut remains highly probable at 98%.
#EconSky
These weaker-than-expected reports cast doubts on Fed rate cuts in 2025. However, a December rate cut remains highly probable at 98%.
#EconSky
December 12, 2024 at 2:28 PM
🌐📈 US factory gate prices rose 0.4% in November, surpassing expectations (0.2%), while jobless claims surged to 242K, exceeding forecasts (220K).
These weaker-than-expected reports cast doubts on Fed rate cuts in 2025. However, a December rate cut remains highly probable at 98%.
#EconSky
These weaker-than-expected reports cast doubts on Fed rate cuts in 2025. However, a December rate cut remains highly probable at 98%.
#EconSky
🌐📈 US consumer inflation met forecasts, boosting the probability of a 0.25% Fed rate cut in December to 95%. The market valued stable inflation to support rate cuts, despite earlier fears of a slight rise. Tomorrow’s producer inflation report is expected to have a weaker impact.
#EconSky
#EconSky
December 11, 2024 at 8:41 PM
🌐📈 US consumer inflation met forecasts, boosting the probability of a 0.25% Fed rate cut in December to 95%. The market valued stable inflation to support rate cuts, despite earlier fears of a slight rise. Tomorrow’s producer inflation report is expected to have a weaker impact.
#EconSky
#EconSky
🌐📈 The market awaits US consumer inflation reports amid worrying forecasts. Inflation is likely to rise, and yesterday market largely priced in these expectations, reflecting current sentiment.
#EconSky
#EconSky
December 11, 2024 at 9:05 AM
🌐📈 The market awaits US consumer inflation reports amid worrying forecasts. Inflation is likely to rise, and yesterday market largely priced in these expectations, reflecting current sentiment.
#EconSky
#EconSky
🌐📈 The US economy added 227K jobs in November, surpassing expectations. Despite the strong report, the market remained steady and bets on December Fed rate cut (86% probability). This surge in confidence might stem from anticipated data revisions or a final rate cut before Trump.
#EconSky
#EconSky
December 7, 2024 at 10:47 AM
🌐📈 The US economy added 227K jobs in November, surpassing expectations. Despite the strong report, the market remained steady and bets on December Fed rate cut (86% probability). This surge in confidence might stem from anticipated data revisions or a final rate cut before Trump.
#EconSky
#EconSky
🌐📈 The FOMC Beige Book indicates a stable economy, making a December Fed rate cut very likely (market expectation at 72%). However, tomorrow's Nonfarm Payroll report could significantly adjust these expectations.
#EconSky
#EconSky
December 5, 2024 at 9:30 PM
🌐📈 The FOMC Beige Book indicates a stable economy, making a December Fed rate cut very likely (market expectation at 72%). However, tomorrow's Nonfarm Payroll report could significantly adjust these expectations.
#EconSky
#EconSky
🌐📈 Real estate data suggests a balanced Nonfarm Payroll on Friday. The ISM services report was mixed: weak indicators but service prices remain steady. Powell indicated Fed rate cuts next year will be slower than most investors expect. The December Fed meeting outlook remains uncertain.
#EconSky
#EconSky
Powell Addresses Shadow Chair Proposal, Reiterates the Fed Isn’t in a Rush to Cut Rates
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell discussed the central bank’s independence, the economy, inflation, and more in his final public comments before the central bank’s last rate-setting meeting this ye...
www.google.com
December 4, 2024 at 9:44 PM
🌐📈 Real estate data suggests a balanced Nonfarm Payroll on Friday. The ISM services report was mixed: weak indicators but service prices remain steady. Powell indicated Fed rate cuts next year will be slower than most investors expect. The December Fed meeting outlook remains uncertain.
#EconSky
#EconSky
The House COVID Select Subcommittee's final report concludes that COVID-19 most likely emerged from a laboratory in Wuhan, China.
The report can be found here: oversight.house.gov/release/fina...
The report can be found here: oversight.house.gov/release/fina...
FINAL REPORT: COVID Select Concludes 2-Year Investigation, Issues 500+ Page Final Report on Lessons Learned and the Path Forward - United States House Committee on Oversight and Accountability
United States House Committee on Oversight and Accountability
https://oversight.house.gov/release/final-report-covid-select-concludes-2-year-investigation-issues-500-page-final-report-on-lessons-learned-and-the-path-forward/"
December 4, 2024 at 1:01 PM
The House COVID Select Subcommittee's final report concludes that COVID-19 most likely emerged from a laboratory in Wuhan, China.
The report can be found here: oversight.house.gov/release/fina...
The report can be found here: oversight.house.gov/release/fina...
🚨 Breaking News: South Korean President Yoon has declared martial law in response to escalating tensions within the region. Another hotspot just emerged as if we have not enough... 🇰🇷
www.reuters.com/world/asia-p...
www.reuters.com/world/asia-p...
South Korea President Yoon declares martial law
South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol on Tuesday declared martial law in an unannounced late night address broadcast live on YTN television.
www.reuters.com
December 3, 2024 at 3:30 PM
🚨 Breaking News: South Korean President Yoon has declared martial law in response to escalating tensions within the region. Another hotspot just emerged as if we have not enough... 🇰🇷
www.reuters.com/world/asia-p...
www.reuters.com/world/asia-p...
🌐📈 This week: Strong ISM Manufacturing (Mon), JOLTs Job Openings (Tue), Powell's Speech (Thu), and Nonfarm Payrolls (Fri). Market expectations for December rate cuts (up to 74.5% from 52.3%). But robust economy might prevent Fed cuts to avoid overheating, triggering a market correction.
#EconSky
#EconSky
December 2, 2024 at 9:55 PM
🌐📈 This week: Strong ISM Manufacturing (Mon), JOLTs Job Openings (Tue), Powell's Speech (Thu), and Nonfarm Payrolls (Fri). Market expectations for December rate cuts (up to 74.5% from 52.3%). But robust economy might prevent Fed cuts to avoid overheating, triggering a market correction.
#EconSky
#EconSky
President Joe Biden pardoned his son Hunter, breaking a summer promise not to do so. Hunter could have faced up to 25 years for illegal weapon possession and tax violations.
Politicians have never been ashamed, but previously they tried to hide it.
www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-roo...
Politicians have never been ashamed, but previously they tried to hide it.
www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-roo...
Statement from President Joe Biden | The White House
Today, I signed a pardon for my son Hunter. From the day I took office, I said I would not interfere with the Justice Department’s decision-making, and I
www.whitehouse.gov
December 2, 2024 at 7:41 AM
President Joe Biden pardoned his son Hunter, breaking a summer promise not to do so. Hunter could have faced up to 25 years for illegal weapon possession and tax violations.
Politicians have never been ashamed, but previously they tried to hide it.
www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-roo...
Politicians have never been ashamed, but previously they tried to hide it.
www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-roo...
🌐📈 Nonfarm Payroll data expected next Friday to be positive, potentially triggering a market correction. A strong labor market could hinder Fed rate cuts in December. Indications from last weeks reports suggest robust NFP, possibly leading to a market decline as early as Thursday.
#EconSky
#EconSky
December 1, 2024 at 7:40 PM
🌐📈 Nonfarm Payroll data expected next Friday to be positive, potentially triggering a market correction. A strong labor market could hinder Fed rate cuts in December. Indications from last weeks reports suggest robust NFP, possibly leading to a market decline as early as Thursday.
#EconSky
#EconSky
And it begins! 🚀 OpenAI takes a bold yet expected step, blending search and AI with its new browser extension. Move over, Google – ChatGPT enters the arena. Will it redefine search with conversational answers or become another fruitless challenge to Google's throne? 🔍💡 #OpenAI #AI
December 1, 2024 at 6:36 PM