Greg Raymond
@gregoryvraymond.bsky.social
Senior Lecturer, Strategic & Defence Studies Centre, Australian National University. Mainly SE Asia, mostly Mekong, a lot on Thailand. AMSEAS President. IR editor Asian Studies Review.
https://researchportalplus.anu.edu.au/en/persons/greg-raymo
https://researchportalplus.anu.edu.au/en/persons/greg-raymo
"Withai said these trench constructions ...constitute a violation of the 2000 Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) between Thailand and Cambodia. The MOU states that undemarcated areas must be jointly used for patrols, without altering the landscape www.nationthailand.com/news/general...
Thai military releases aerial evidence of Cambodian military buildup before border clash
The images show that, for over 70 years, neither side had settled or actively used the disputed area — contradicting Cambodian claims of long-standing occupation.
www.nationthailand.com
June 10, 2025 at 9:41 PM
"Withai said these trench constructions ...constitute a violation of the 2000 Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) between Thailand and Cambodia. The MOU states that undemarcated areas must be jointly used for patrols, without altering the landscape www.nationthailand.com/news/general...
In this piece I look at recent Thai-China activity following the kidnapping of a Chinese celebrity on the Thai-Myanmar border. The measures are unlikely to arrest the growth of the scam centres. @anubellschool.bsky.social
eastasiaforum.org/2025/05/22/c...
eastasiaforum.org/2025/05/22/c...
Crime networks persist on the Thai–Myanmar border
The Thai–Myanmar border is the home of a multi-billion-dollar transnational crime empire that thrives on state complicity.
eastasiaforum.org
June 6, 2025 at 12:43 AM
In this piece I look at recent Thai-China activity following the kidnapping of a Chinese celebrity on the Thai-Myanmar border. The measures are unlikely to arrest the growth of the scam centres. @anubellschool.bsky.social
eastasiaforum.org/2025/05/22/c...
eastasiaforum.org/2025/05/22/c...
Reposted by Greg Raymond
The US has never interfered more brazenly and directly in E Europe’s politics than it’s doing now. All the CIA-sponsored ops from the Cold War era are peanuts by comparison—and they were more or less covert or had a front!
May 29, 2025 at 2:13 AM
The US has never interfered more brazenly and directly in E Europe’s politics than it’s doing now. All the CIA-sponsored ops from the Cold War era are peanuts by comparison—and they were more or less covert or had a front!
In this new article I investigate two research questions: firstly, whether small state hedging can be compatible with alliances, and secondly, what Thailand’s troubled alliance with the United States portends for regional order. @anubellschool.bsky.social www.tandfonline.com/eprint/VAYEW...
Cobra Gold over four decades: hedging, alliances and a United States–Thailand multilateral military exercise
This article investigates two research questions: firstly, whether small state hedging can be compatible with alliances, and secondly, what Thailand’s troubled alliance with the United States porte...
www.tandfonline.com
May 21, 2025 at 1:22 AM
In this new article I investigate two research questions: firstly, whether small state hedging can be compatible with alliances, and secondly, what Thailand’s troubled alliance with the United States portends for regional order. @anubellschool.bsky.social www.tandfonline.com/eprint/VAYEW...
Joseph Nye - always worth reading. RIP. tnsr.org/2019/11/what...
What Is a Moral Foreign Policy? - Texas National Security Review
How should we judge the morality of a president's foreign policy? Joseph Nye suggests a rubric that is based on a three-dimensional ethics of intentions, means, and consequences and that draws from re...
tnsr.org
May 20, 2025 at 8:52 PM
Joseph Nye - always worth reading. RIP. tnsr.org/2019/11/what...
".....we should be ruthless toward oppressive systems and compassionate toward actual people.” Nice.
"We see what the world could look like and refuse to abandon that vision. We lose sleep holding on to ideas that can liberate millions, and we’re well versed in empathy...we should be ruthless toward oppressive systems and compassionate toward actual people.” hammerandhope.org/article/tik-...
Creativity Is Essential to Building the Power to Defeat Fascism
I use TikTok to spread big leftist ideas. No matter what tool I use, I’m determined to channel our energy toward world-making.
hammerandhope.org
April 29, 2025 at 1:58 AM
".....we should be ruthless toward oppressive systems and compassionate toward actual people.” Nice.
Thanks to Natcha Sinkiri ณัชชา สินคีรี and 101 world for translating my article 'Explaining Grey Capital' into Thai. 🙏🙏
www.the101.world/grey-capital...
www.the101.world/grey-capital...
สังคมแบบใดเปิดทางให้ 'ทุนจีนสีเทา' ? เครือข่ายอำนาจจีน-ไทย ระบบอุปถัมภ์ และอาชญากรรมในคราบความร่วมมือ
สังคมแบบใดเปิดทางให้ ‘ทุนจีนสีเทา’ ? วันโอวันสรุปงานวิจัย Explaining ‘Grey Capital’ โดย Gregory V. Raymond ชวนทำความเข้าใจว่าทุนจีนสีเทาทำงานอย่างไร ภายใต้ระบบอุปถัมภ์ที่แน่นแฟ้นระหว่างเจ้าหน้าที่รัฐก...
www.the101.world
April 25, 2025 at 8:56 AM
Thanks to Natcha Sinkiri ณัชชา สินคีรี and 101 world for translating my article 'Explaining Grey Capital' into Thai. 🙏🙏
www.the101.world/grey-capital...
www.the101.world/grey-capital...
This is a relief, but only temporary. The charges have not been dropped, so the possibility of up to 15 years in jail still remains. I'm hoping the fact that Paul Chambers did not write the offending text will be enough to get the charges thrown out.
UPDATE: American academic Paul Chambers has been released on bail last night after charged with lèse majesté and computer crimes on Tuesday, according to Thai Lawyers for Human Rights. But he has to appeal his visa revocation before tomorrow afternoon.
April 10, 2025 at 1:02 AM
This is a relief, but only temporary. The charges have not been dropped, so the possibility of up to 15 years in jail still remains. I'm hoping the fact that Paul Chambers did not write the offending text will be enough to get the charges thrown out.
Excellent piece from @liamgammon.bsky.social contemplating an historically unprecedented event - the fall of a rich established democracy into outright authoritarianism. eastasiaforum.org/2025/04/06/t...
Trump white-ants US democracy and opens a values gap with allies
The Trump administration is battering and bruising US democracy, proving that even the Land of the Free is susceptible to an authoritarian turn.
eastasiaforum.org
April 8, 2025 at 11:48 PM
Excellent piece from @liamgammon.bsky.social contemplating an historically unprecedented event - the fall of a rich established democracy into outright authoritarianism. eastasiaforum.org/2025/04/06/t...
Terrible news.
#BREAKING: American academic Dr. Paul Chambers, a renowned expert on the Thai military and security apparatus, has been arrested for lèse majesté and denied bail by a Phitsanulok court.
April 8, 2025 at 8:32 AM
Terrible news.
Distressing news. Timing is interesting coming after the US tariffs. Certainly a sign of SE Asia's growing disinterest in freedom of expression. Key takeaway for Thai studies scholars- English is no longer a protection. Thoughts with Paul. www.bbc.com/news/article...
Thai arrest warrant issued for US academic under ban on insulting royalty
Paul Chambers, a university lecturer, to face police interview on Tuesday under lese-majeste and computer crime laws.
www.bbc.com
April 4, 2025 at 11:00 PM
Distressing news. Timing is interesting coming after the US tariffs. Certainly a sign of SE Asia's growing disinterest in freedom of expression. Key takeaway for Thai studies scholars- English is no longer a protection. Thoughts with Paul. www.bbc.com/news/article...
Couldn't help but check if Thailand was a member of the International Criminal Court....unfortunately, no, we won't be seeing MAL bundled onto a plane to the Hague a la another mass murderer.
Myanmar junta leader Min Aung Hlaing has arrived in Bangkok earlier this afternoon to attend the BIMSTEC Summit of mostly South Asian countries. His presence comes after an earthquake has killed over 3,000 people in his country.
April 4, 2025 at 1:37 AM
Couldn't help but check if Thailand was a member of the International Criminal Court....unfortunately, no, we won't be seeing MAL bundled onto a plane to the Hague a la another mass murderer.
Reposted by Greg Raymond
I sincerely believe that the current administration is not stupid about tariffs, and that they know exactly how chaotic this will be. They also understand that this allows them to dispense extremely valuable favors to businesses--in the U.S. and globally--who will really need them.
April 3, 2025 at 12:37 AM
I sincerely believe that the current administration is not stupid about tariffs, and that they know exactly how chaotic this will be. They also understand that this allows them to dispense extremely valuable favors to businesses--in the U.S. and globally--who will really need them.
Thailand sold electricity produced by Laos hydrogen...back to Laos at a higher price. #ingoodcompany
March 26, 2025 at 9:12 AM
Thailand sold electricity produced by Laos hydrogen...back to Laos at a higher price. #ingoodcompany
What role do transnational factors play in the decline of democracy in mainland Southeast Asia? Here I argue that its wrong to look only at China. Instead, we should note that Mekong states and their security forces put regime security ahead of traditional concerns. Article is free to download.
An authoritarian security community in mainland Southeast Asia: regional dynamics in an actor-centred theory of transnational authoritarianism
This article presents a novel actor-centred theory of transnational authoritarianism that puts the nexus between security and authoritarianism at the heart of its explanation of how and why neighbo...
aus01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com
March 26, 2025 at 1:10 AM
What role do transnational factors play in the decline of democracy in mainland Southeast Asia? Here I argue that its wrong to look only at China. Instead, we should note that Mekong states and their security forces put regime security ahead of traditional concerns. Article is free to download.
Rule OF law well on the way to becoming rule BY law.
A pair of rulings have exposed deep divisions on the Supreme Court about how much power the federal judiciary has to stop President Donald Trump.
Takeaways from the Supreme Court’s early rulings on Trump’s budget cuts and firing power | CNN Politics
A pair of rulings have exposed deep divisions on the Supreme Court about just how much power the federal judiciary has to stop President Donald Trump – and could have enormous implications for the flo...
www.cnn.com
March 5, 2025 at 10:29 PM
Rule OF law well on the way to becoming rule BY law.
NEW ARTICLE: Surreal to be worrying about SE Asian authoritarianism currently.
But it should be understood on its own terms.
Open access and part of a forthcoming SI edited by Aim Sinpeng and I on Thailand's 2023 election.
@anubellschool.bsky.social
dx.doi.org/10.1177/1868...
But it should be understood on its own terms.
Open access and part of a forthcoming SI edited by Aim Sinpeng and I on Thailand's 2023 election.
@anubellschool.bsky.social
dx.doi.org/10.1177/1868...
Authoritarian Securitisation and Moral Panic: The Discourse and Role of the Senate in the 2023 Thai Election - Gregory V. Raymond, 2025
In Thailand's 2023 election, an appointed Senate controlled who became prime minister. To better understand the thinking of key actors in this critical moment, ...
dx.doi.org
March 3, 2025 at 7:06 AM
NEW ARTICLE: Surreal to be worrying about SE Asian authoritarianism currently.
But it should be understood on its own terms.
Open access and part of a forthcoming SI edited by Aim Sinpeng and I on Thailand's 2023 election.
@anubellschool.bsky.social
dx.doi.org/10.1177/1868...
But it should be understood on its own terms.
Open access and part of a forthcoming SI edited by Aim Sinpeng and I on Thailand's 2023 election.
@anubellschool.bsky.social
dx.doi.org/10.1177/1868...
My review of Thai politics in 2024 and prospects for 2025. @anubellschool.bsky.social eastasiaforum.org/2025/02/11/t...
Thailand's ongoing struggle for democratic stability
Thai politics continues to be a fierce battle for power and control, with the monarchy and military firmly opposed to any attempts to deliver genuine democracy.
eastasiaforum.org
February 11, 2025 at 12:32 AM
My review of Thai politics in 2024 and prospects for 2025. @anubellschool.bsky.social eastasiaforum.org/2025/02/11/t...
Much coverage of new agreements between Thailand China re:cracking down on scam centres of eastern Myanmar.
Meanwhile, Thai MP Rome says BGF commander and Shwe Koko kingpin Saw Chit Thu has bribed Thai officials who would be exposed were he arrested.
Meanwhile, Thai MP Rome says BGF commander and Shwe Koko kingpin Saw Chit Thu has bribed Thai officials who would be exposed were he arrested.
February 10, 2025 at 7:15 AM
Much coverage of new agreements between Thailand China re:cracking down on scam centres of eastern Myanmar.
Meanwhile, Thai MP Rome says BGF commander and Shwe Koko kingpin Saw Chit Thu has bribed Thai officials who would be exposed were he arrested.
Meanwhile, Thai MP Rome says BGF commander and Shwe Koko kingpin Saw Chit Thu has bribed Thai officials who would be exposed were he arrested.
Chilling.
The Pentagon has asked its inspector general to review the record and behavior of Gen. Mark A. Milley, the retired chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff who stood up to President Trump in his first term www.nytimes.com/2025/01/28/u...
Pentagon Removes General Milley’s Security Detail and Revokes His Clearance
The Pentagon has asked its inspector general to review the record and behavior of Gen. Mark A. Milley, the retired chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff who stood up to President Trump in his first te...
www.nytimes.com
January 29, 2025 at 1:40 PM
Chilling.
Reposted by Greg Raymond
Is Timor-Leste joining ASEAN this year? It really wants to. en.tatoli.tl/2025/01/27/t... 1/6 🧵
Timor-Leste’s accession to ASEAN expected to take place in May 2025 - TATOLI Agência Noticiosa de Timor-Leste
DILI, 27 january 2025 (TATOLI) – Timor-Leste’s accession to the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) is expected to take place in May 2025. “Timor-Leste’s full membership of ASEAN is ‘a prio...
en.tatoli.tl
January 28, 2025 at 4:09 AM
Is Timor-Leste joining ASEAN this year? It really wants to. en.tatoli.tl/2025/01/27/t... 1/6 🧵
"the contrast between the approaches of PAS and Anwar provides a study in strategic communications, including the question of whether political competitors should compete on the same ground, directly rebutting each other, or stake out separate territories and discourses"
I have a new essay on @thediplomat.com, reviewing the MADANI exhibition in Kuala Lumpur, sponsored by Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim and created by his former adviser, British futurist Ziauddin Sardar
#Malaysia
#Malaysia
Anwar Ibrahim’s ‘Postnormal Times MADANI Exhibition’ Aims to Change Malaysia’s Conversation
The Kuala Lumpur exhibition challenges the exclusionary narratives advanced by the Malay right-wing. But are the country’s two political camps talking past each other?
aus01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com
January 5, 2025 at 12:41 PM
"the contrast between the approaches of PAS and Anwar provides a study in strategic communications, including the question of whether political competitors should compete on the same ground, directly rebutting each other, or stake out separate territories and discourses"
Happy Year of the Snake, friends and colleagues.
January 2, 2025 at 6:44 AM
Happy Year of the Snake, friends and colleagues.