Sam
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fplsportscience.bsky.social
Sam
@fplsportscience.bsky.social
Maximise EV and minimise EO
62
17K ➡️ 15K

Almost a disaster with no Gvardiol but Semenyo and Salah saved the day!

Very happy with my rank! Ultimately the free hit decision cost me top 10K but I had lots of luck this season. Not bad considering I made many mid-season decisions in hospital on strong drugs.
May 26, 2025 at 10:05 AM
FPL GW38: Top 10K EO vs EV 📈

Hopefully useful for decision making based on risk appetite.

EV data is shared with permission from @fplreview.com's Massive Data Model. Thank you! EO is based on ownership at the end of GW37, so bear in mind popular transfers and potential captaincy.
May 24, 2025 at 2:50 PM
55
21K ➡️ 17K

Nice to claw back some ground after last week's disaster.
May 5, 2025 at 9:14 PM
Lol. Saved my free hit for a double gameweek that didn't exist. I knew the risk and it felt like an okay decision, as I could field 10 this week without a hit and the potential upside was big. I think I'll use it in 38 so I can manage risk based on how close I am to the top 10K.
May 1, 2025 at 5:37 PM
Two free transfers used:
Savinho ➡️ Mbeumo
Marmoush ➡️ Raúl
Free hit GW36
April 25, 2025 at 8:50 PM
64
7K ➡️ 10K

It was a good gameweek and then Mateta scored. Very annoying. Nice bench boost though! Two transfers to use and hopefully having my free hit to use in 36 pays off with how the fixtures fall. 🤞
April 24, 2025 at 6:01 PM
I rolled my one transfer, as I can field 10 next week without a hit. Gambling that GW36 falls nicely for a free hit.
April 19, 2025 at 12:40 PM
89
9K ➡️ 7K

Decent gameweek. -4 and Bench Boost next gameweek.
April 16, 2025 at 9:20 PM
Boooooooo
April 13, 2025 at 5:32 PM
Please be kind Murphy. This gameweek has huge potential.
April 13, 2025 at 8:10 AM
Being on a green with only 5 played, no bench boost and only Murphy, Munoz and Mateta left who are major threats to my rank is pretty big. Long way to go but it's a great start!
Gabriel ➡️ Trippier
Kluivert ➡️ Eze
Isak Triple Captain

Going early, as I'm busy tomorrow morning. I went from 9K to 9K last gameweek.
April 12, 2025 at 8:01 PM
Gabriel ➡️ Trippier
Kluivert ➡️ Eze
Isak Triple Captain

Going early, as I'm busy tomorrow morning. I went from 9K to 9K last gameweek.
April 11, 2025 at 7:44 PM
65
16K ➡️ 9K

Nice to be back in the top 10K after last week's disaster. After finishing 11K last season I would love to still be there at the end of the season. Might put "3 top 11K finishes in the last 4 seasons" in my bio, to trigger people.
April 3, 2025 at 9:13 PM
A thoroughly enjoyable Match Of The Day challenge, as I was out with colleagues this evening. 59 points and 16K to 9K, reversing a huge chunk of the damage caused by my GW29 wildcard disaster. The boys came good. Palmer to play.
April 2, 2025 at 11:04 PM
Reposted by Sam
Casuals after bringing in Saka despite no chance of starting after three months out
April 1, 2025 at 8:43 PM
Realised I didn't share me score on here last week. A disastrous 34 points on wildcard... I return to Salah with my tail between my legs.

Semenyo ➡️ Salah
Haaland ➡️ Marmoush
April 1, 2025 at 5:26 PM
Wildcard
March 15, 2025 at 2:38 PM
72
12K ➡️ 7K

From 96K to 7K in three gameweeks. Crazy run of luck. Currently leaning towards wildcarding next gameweek.
March 10, 2025 at 10:14 PM
Rolled the transfer.
March 8, 2025 at 3:56 PM
This will be my team in gameweek 29 with two free transfers to use. Even if I use both transfers to bring in players who play, that is only ~8 starters and that's if I don't get any injuries between now and then. I feel like I am backed into a free hit corner and I don't like it.
March 4, 2025 at 4:38 PM
82
30K ➡️ 12K

Two very lucky gameweeks in a row.
February 27, 2025 at 9:59 PM
Rogers ➡️ Nkunku

A captaincy fail but a dream start.
February 25, 2025 at 10:46 PM
118
96K ➡️ 30K
February 23, 2025 at 6:50 PM
Forgot to share my team on here earlier. Would have just left it but I have loads of points.

Ndiaye ➡️ Welbeck
Emery ➡️ Glasner
Salah captain 😴
February 22, 2025 at 8:59 PM
Konsa ➡️ Disasi
Moyes ➡️ Emery
Rolled the other transfer
February 14, 2025 at 6:20 PM