Macro Madness
@fedwatch05.bsky.social
Chief Investment Officer/Founder, Managing Director, TV and Radio Contributor, Long Distance Runner, Fed Watcher. Opinions are my own, see: https://substack.com/@benemons
The potential of a big short squeeze in 2026
January 2, 2026 at 4:39 PM
The potential of a big short squeeze in 2026
When previous technology is familiar, the use case of new technology gets stronger
January 2, 2026 at 4:37 PM
When previous technology is familiar, the use case of new technology gets stronger
Discussing events ahead in January on Schwab (with a mild cold!)
schwabnetwork.com/video/next-w...
schwabnetwork.com/video/next-w...
Next Week’s Economic Data Will ‘Set the Course’ for the Fed | Schwab Network
Ben Emons discusses the potential implications if the Supreme Court allows President Trump to fire Fed members. Next week’s economic data will “set the course” for the Fed, he adds. He examines the sw...
schwabnetwork.com
December 30, 2025 at 9:30 PM
Discussing events ahead in January on Schwab (with a mild cold!)
schwabnetwork.com/video/next-w...
schwabnetwork.com/video/next-w...
Not so magnificent anymore
December 30, 2025 at 4:44 PM
Not so magnificent anymore
When silver volatility surpasses meme volatility
December 30, 2025 at 3:48 PM
When silver volatility surpasses meme volatility
On CNBC Fast Money, discussing the Fed and the Debasement Trade
www.youtube.com/watch?v=evLv...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=evLv...
FedWatch's Ben Emons forecasts gradual Fed rate cuts in 2026
YouTube video by CNBC Television
www.youtube.com
December 28, 2025 at 12:54 PM
On CNBC Fast Money, discussing the Fed and the Debasement Trade
www.youtube.com/watch?v=evLv...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=evLv...
On CNBC, dissecting the Santa Claus rally www.youtube.com/watch?v=xGWN...
Santa rally favors tech, crypto and gold, says Fed Watch’s Ben Emons
YouTube video by CNBC Television
www.youtube.com
December 26, 2025 at 12:29 PM
On CNBC, dissecting the Santa Claus rally www.youtube.com/watch?v=xGWN...
There is absolutely no bubble to be worried about
December 26, 2025 at 12:27 PM
There is absolutely no bubble to be worried about
Mid-caps: it can't get any cheaper
December 22, 2025 at 7:34 PM
Mid-caps: it can't get any cheaper
A repeating history with a lot of upsides ahead
December 20, 2025 at 3:24 PM
A repeating history with a lot of upsides ahead
The tariff price shock
December 15, 2025 at 8:40 PM
The tariff price shock
Markets don't see 1970s inflation, but there remains a risk that history repeats.
December 15, 2025 at 3:02 PM
Markets don't see 1970s inflation, but there remains a risk that history repeats.
When overvaluation attracts value
December 14, 2025 at 11:50 PM
When overvaluation attracts value
The "big" rotation
December 13, 2025 at 9:47 PM
The "big" rotation
Cash in the trash
December 13, 2025 at 9:22 PM
Cash in the trash
When the Fed announces to buy assets (T-bills) and inject reserves in the system, the market trades it as QE
December 11, 2025 at 5:30 AM
When the Fed announces to buy assets (T-bills) and inject reserves in the system, the market trades it as QE
How odds go from a cut to a hike in Down Under -- Australian rates are impacting US rates
December 10, 2025 at 3:40 PM
How odds go from a cut to a hike in Down Under -- Australian rates are impacting US rates
The Oil Super Glut
December 9, 2025 at 7:41 PM
The Oil Super Glut
The equity risk premium is negative and that is not a good sign
December 9, 2025 at 7:32 PM
The equity risk premium is negative and that is not a good sign
What is a "hawkish cut?" When the Fed is uncertain about inflation and lowers rates
December 8, 2025 at 10:58 PM
What is a "hawkish cut?" When the Fed is uncertain about inflation and lowers rates
The next breakout
December 7, 2025 at 12:09 AM
The next breakout