Éric Grenier
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ericgrenier.bsky.social
Éric Grenier
@ericgrenier.bsky.social
I cover elections at The Writ (http://thewrit.ca), The Numbers (http://thenumberspod.ca) and Les chiffres (http://leschiffres.ca) Follow me on YouTube: http://youtube.com/@TheWrit
Reposted by Éric Grenier
This week on The Numbers, we delve into what's going on with Pierre Poilievre and his leadership of the Conservatives. Plus, what are Canadians reactions to the budget? We also discuss new numbers out of Ontario and a new party leader in Quebec. www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Is Pierre Poilievre's leadership on borrowed time?
Can the Conservative leader survive what has been the biggest challenge to his leadership so far?
www.thewrit.ca
November 11, 2025 at 8:21 PM
This week on The Numbers, we delve into what's going on with Pierre Poilievre and his leadership of the Conservatives. Plus, what are Canadians reactions to the budget? We also discuss new numbers out of Ontario and a new party leader in Quebec. www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Is Pierre Poilievre's leadership on borrowed time?
Can the Conservative leader survive what has been the biggest challenge to his leadership so far?
www.thewrit.ca
November 11, 2025 at 8:21 PM
Want to watch this week's episode right now, ad free? Join the Patreon and watch here! This week, we're talking about — what else — the challenges Pierre Poilievre has faced within his caucus, plus how Canadians are reacting to the budget.

www.patreon.com/posts/143347...
(VIDEO) Is Pierre Poilievre's leadership on borrowed time? | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
www.patreon.com
November 11, 2025 at 4:34 PM
Reposted by Éric Grenier
How do floor-crossers do in the next election? I take a look in this edition of the Weekly Writ. Plus Q3 fundraising, who is raising the most money in the NDP leadership race, a book review, election results, seat projection — jam-packed this week! www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 11/6: Does floor-crossing help or hurt an MP's chances?
Chris d'Entremont crosses over to the Liberals. Will it improve his re-election odds?
www.thewrit.ca
November 6, 2025 at 2:12 PM
How do floor-crossers do in the next election? I take a look in this edition of the Weekly Writ. Plus Q3 fundraising, who is raising the most money in the NDP leadership race, a book review, election results, seat projection — jam-packed this week! www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 11/6: Does floor-crossing help or hurt an MP's chances?
Chris d'Entremont crosses over to the Liberals. Will it improve his re-election odds?
www.thewrit.ca
November 6, 2025 at 2:12 PM
What the floor-crossing means for the budget, the timing of the next election and Pierre Poilievre's leadership. That and much more this week on The Numbers! Listen/watch here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Budget, floor-crossing shake up Ottawa
Will Mark Carney pass his budget and get his majority without an election?
www.thewrit.ca
November 5, 2025 at 8:18 PM
Reposted by Éric Grenier
There isn't a huge advantage for the Liberals or the Conservatives if elections were to happen, says polls analyst
@ericgrenier.bsky.social.

Full interview: youtu.be/r1JimYZmn_w?...
November 4, 2025 at 1:01 AM
Skip the line! This week's episode of The Numbers is already up (and ad-free) for our members. We rate each party's incentives to go to an election on a scale of 0-10 — and we've got some disagreements. Join to watch/listen now: www.patreon.com/posts/142258...
(VIDEO) Who should and shouldn't want an election? | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
www.patreon.com
October 28, 2025 at 4:07 PM
Reposted by Éric Grenier
This week in the members-only mailbag, we answer questions on floor-crossers, the NDP's chances for gains (and losses) in a snap election, polling and projecting upstart parties and more! Plus, we rank the premiers by their political heft in the federation.

www.patreon.com/posts/video-...
(VIDEO) The Numbers Mailbag #25 | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
www.patreon.com
October 24, 2025 at 1:54 PM
This week in the members-only mailbag, we answer questions on floor-crossers, the NDP's chances for gains (and losses) in a snap election, polling and projecting upstart parties and more! Plus, we rank the premiers by their political heft in the federation.

www.patreon.com/posts/video-...
(VIDEO) The Numbers Mailbag #25 | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
www.patreon.com
October 24, 2025 at 1:54 PM
What are the pros and cons for each of the parties as they consider how they'll vote on the budget? I break it down. That and much more this week: www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 10/23: Weighing parties' pros and cons of a snap election
The Liberals say they're worried the budget won't get passed. They aren't the only ones who should worry about a late fall election.
www.thewrit.ca
October 23, 2025 at 1:08 PM
Reposted by Éric Grenier
This week, we delve into the solidity of Pierre Poilievre's support among Conservative voters. Might the recent criticisms pose any threat to his leadership review in January? Watch, listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Is Pierre Poilievre's leadership in trouble?
Caucus has kept quiet, but some Conservative critics of Poilievre's leadership of the party are starting to speak up.
www.thewrit.ca
October 21, 2025 at 7:30 PM
Reposted by Éric Grenier
📊The Numbers: Is Pierre Poilievre's Leadership in Trouble?

🎧Plus: fresh numbers out of Ontario, Quebec, British Columbia and more. Listen or watch here ↓ www.338canada.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Is Pierre Poilievre's Leadership in Trouble?
Plus: fresh numbers out of Ontario, Quebec, British Columbia and more.
www.338canada.ca
October 21, 2025 at 11:37 PM
This week, we delve into the solidity of Pierre Poilievre's support among Conservative voters. Might the recent criticisms pose any threat to his leadership review in January? Watch, listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Is Pierre Poilievre's leadership in trouble?
Caucus has kept quiet, but some Conservative critics of Poilievre's leadership of the party are starting to speak up.
www.thewrit.ca
October 21, 2025 at 7:30 PM
This week on The Numbers, we chat about the state of Pierre Poilievre's leadership. What do the numbers show about his support among the Conservative base — and his chances to become PM one day? Join now to watch/listen without waiting, ad-free! www.patreon.com/posts/141731...
(VIDEO) Is Pierre Poilievre's leadership in trouble? | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
www.patreon.com
October 21, 2025 at 4:15 PM
For our members-only episode this week, we react to the results of the Newfoundland and Labrador election and discuss what happened (the ok, the bad and the ugly) with the polls. Join to listen/watch now: www.patreon.com/posts/newfou...
Newfoundland and Labrador election post-mortem | The Numbers / Les chiffres
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www.patreon.com
October 17, 2025 at 4:11 PM
What the PCs unexpected win in Newfoundland and Labrador says about the changes taking place in the province's politics. Plus, what happened with the polls in this campaign? www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 10/16: The numbers behind the PC upset win in NL
Plus, what went wrong with the polls in Newfoundland and Labrador?
www.thewrit.ca
October 16, 2025 at 1:37 PM
This week on The Numbers, we talk about Carney's tightrope walk act with Trump. Plus, we take a last look at the Newfoundland & Lab. election. Join now to watch/listen without waiting! www.patreon.com/posts/video-...
(VIDEO) Carney's delicate balancing act with Trump | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
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October 14, 2025 at 4:01 PM
The budget schedule is changing. But what about the electoral calendar? Also, differing polls this past week would produce vastly different seat outcomes (and much more in this edition!) www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 10/9: Budgets are moving to the fall, but what about elections?
Will the changing in the budgeting schedule impact the electoral calendar?
www.thewrit.ca
October 9, 2025 at 12:41 PM
Reposted by Éric Grenier
This episode has everything: federal polls, NDP leadership, Nfld & Lab election, BC polls and Conservative infighting, New Brunswick byelection, Quebec numbers... www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Could a polarized electorate be the new normal?
The Liberals and Conservatives look like they're tied — again. Is it a new normal?
www.thewrit.ca
October 7, 2025 at 7:31 PM
This episode has everything: federal polls, NDP leadership, Nfld & Lab election, BC polls and Conservative infighting, New Brunswick byelection, Quebec numbers... www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Could a polarized electorate be the new normal?
The Liberals and Conservatives look like they're tied — again. Is it a new normal?
www.thewrit.ca
October 7, 2025 at 7:31 PM
Will the two parties being tied somewhere around 40% going to be the new normal? Plus, what the numbers say about John Rustad and the B.C. Conservatives, and where things stand ahead of next week's election in Newfoundland & Lab. Join to listen now, ad-free! www.patreon.com/posts/could-...
Could a polarized electorate be the new normal? | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
www.patreon.com
October 7, 2025 at 3:56 PM
Reposted by Éric Grenier
If the Narrative poll conducted in August reflects the results in next week's election, what would Newfoundland and Labrador's seat map look like? I break it down, plus much more from the campaign: www.thewrit.ca/p/election-w...
Election Writ 10/6: Will it be a Red Tide in Newfoundland and Labrador?
A poll conducted in August suggests the Liberals would win a landslide. But August was a long time ago.
www.thewrit.ca
October 6, 2025 at 11:36 AM
If the Narrative poll conducted in August reflects the results in next week's election, what would Newfoundland and Labrador's seat map look like? I break it down, plus much more from the campaign: www.thewrit.ca/p/election-w...
Election Writ 10/6: Will it be a Red Tide in Newfoundland and Labrador?
A poll conducted in August suggests the Liberals would win a landslide. But August was a long time ago.
www.thewrit.ca
October 6, 2025 at 11:36 AM