Éric Grenier
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ericgrenier.bsky.social
Éric Grenier
@ericgrenier.bsky.social
I cover elections at The Writ (http://thewrit.ca), The Numbers (http://thenumberspod.ca) and Les chiffres (http://leschiffres.ca) Follow me on YouTube: http://youtube.com/@TheWrit
Reposted by Éric Grenier
It's mailbag time! We answer questions on the upcoming byelections, how long an MP can go without voting in the House before they run into trouble, and how the loss of Alberta would impact Conservative fortunes. All that and much more! Join here to listen now: www.patreon.com/posts/150927...
The Numbers Mailbag #28 | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
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February 16, 2026 at 5:26 PM
It's mailbag time! We answer questions on the upcoming byelections, how long an MP can go without voting in the House before they run into trouble, and how the loss of Alberta would impact Conservative fortunes. All that and much more! Join here to listen now: www.patreon.com/posts/150927...
The Numbers Mailbag #28 | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
www.patreon.com
February 16, 2026 at 5:26 PM
Reposted by Éric Grenier
With all the chatter surrounding an early election, I took a look at how snap calls have gone for governing parties over the last century. It's a bit of a mixed bag! www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 2/12: What history says about early elections
Amid speculation that Mark Carney might call a snap election, history suggests things don't always go as planned.
www.thewrit.ca
February 12, 2026 at 2:09 PM
This week on The Numbers, we talk about election speculation, the upcoming series of byelections on the docket and a new poll on Alberta separation. Ways to watch or listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Liberals in majority territory, but there's no election — yet?
Polls suggest the Liberals have widened their lead over the Conservatives.
www.thewrit.ca
February 12, 2026 at 8:13 PM
This week on The Numbers, we talk about election speculation, the upcoming series of byelections on the docket and a new poll on Alberta separation. Listen or watch in early release, ad-free, right here: www.patreon.com/posts/150589...
(VIDEO) Liberals in majority territory, but there's no election — yet? | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
www.patreon.com
February 12, 2026 at 5:32 PM
Every week, I profile a different election or leadership race in Canadian political history. Here are some of the profiles I've written about Nova Scotia's politics: www.thewrit.ca/p/everyelect...
#EveryElectionProject: Nova Scotia
Capsules on Nova Scotia's elections from The Weekly Writ
www.thewrit.ca
February 12, 2026 at 3:03 PM
With all the chatter surrounding an early election, I took a look at how snap calls have gone for governing parties over the last century. It's a bit of a mixed bag! www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 2/12: What history says about early elections
Amid speculation that Mark Carney might call a snap election, history suggests things don't always go as planned.
www.thewrit.ca
February 12, 2026 at 2:09 PM
Reposted by Éric Grenier
The Writ Podcast is back with the former party pollsters. We break down the state of the race between Carney and Poilievre, plus we discuss the lanes that are (or aren't) open for the NDP and whether Carney should or should not call a snap vote. www.thewrit.ca/p/the-writ-p...
The Writ Podcast: Carney's bump, Poilievre's challenge and the NDP's choice
The Pollster Panel is back to break down the state of public opinion in federal politics.
www.thewrit.ca
February 6, 2026 at 2:21 PM
Reposted by Éric Grenier
A new Mainstreet poll shows federal Liberals at 51% support. Could Canada be heading for a snap election with that kind of lead? Polling experts @ericgrenier.bsky.social and @338canada.bsky.social get into the details.

Full analysis: youtu.be/NRc6VCMg6r4
February 6, 2026 at 10:44 PM
The Writ Podcast is back with the former party pollsters. We break down the state of the race between Carney and Poilievre, plus we discuss the lanes that are (or aren't) open for the NDP and whether Carney should or should not call a snap vote. www.thewrit.ca/p/the-writ-p...
The Writ Podcast: Carney's bump, Poilievre's challenge and the NDP's choice
The Pollster Panel is back to break down the state of public opinion in federal politics.
www.thewrit.ca
February 6, 2026 at 2:21 PM
Every week, I profile an election or leadership race from Canada's history. Here's some of the ones I've written about provincial campaigns in Quebec: www.thewrit.ca/p/everyelect...
#EveryElectionProject: Quebec
Capsules on Quebec's elections from The Weekly Writ
www.thewrit.ca
February 5, 2026 at 3:52 PM
Breaking down the fundraising figures from 2025, plus the game of musical byelection chairs that is coming over a few federal and provincial seats in Toronto: www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 2/5: Conservatives and Liberals set fundraising records in 2025
Conservatives outraised the Liberals again, but the post-election gap has gotten smaller.
www.thewrit.ca
February 5, 2026 at 2:46 PM
Reposted by Éric Grenier
Poilievre leadership review, widening gap in the polls and Lewis as NDP front runner. We break it all down on The Numbers this week! All the ways to watch or listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Poilievre prevails in Calgary but trails in the polls
Mark Carney's Liberals move back into majority territory as Conservatives give a vote of confidence to Pierre Poilievre.
www.thewrit.ca
February 3, 2026 at 8:30 PM
Poilievre leadership review, widening gap in the polls and Lewis as NDP front runner. We break it all down on The Numbers this week! All the ways to watch or listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Poilievre prevails in Calgary but trails in the polls
Mark Carney's Liberals move back into majority territory as Conservatives give a vote of confidence to Pierre Poilievre.
www.thewrit.ca
February 3, 2026 at 8:30 PM
Poilievre leadership review, widening gap in the polls and Lewis as NDP front runner. We break it all down in The Numbers this week! Join here to watch or listen right away, ad-free! www.patreon.com/posts/149851...
(VIDEO) Poilievre prevails in Calgary but trails in the polls | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
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February 3, 2026 at 5:08 PM
What we said about Poilievre's potential leadership score last week, ahead of the results coming in. You can listen to our hot take from the morning after on what 87.4% means by joining the Patreon here: www.patreon.com/posts/live-i...
February 2, 2026 at 8:23 PM
Reposted by Éric Grenier
Avi Lewis raised the most money up to the end of 2025, suggesting that he is currently the front runner to be the next leader of the NDP. www.thewrit.ca/p/avi-lewis-...
Avi Lewis has wide lead in NDP fundraising
Fundraising to the end of 2025 shows Lewis well ahead of his rivals
www.thewrit.ca
January 30, 2026 at 5:45 PM
Reposted by Éric Grenier
What do we make of Pierre Poilievre's 87.4% score in his leadership review? And what's the mood like at the Conservative convention? Philippe reports from Calgary in this members-only episode. Join now to listen or watch here: www.patreon.com/posts/live-i...
Live(-ish) from the Conservative Convention | The Numbers / Les chiffres
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January 31, 2026 at 4:17 PM
What do we make of Pierre Poilievre's 87.4% score in his leadership review? And what's the mood like at the Conservative convention? Philippe reports from Calgary in this members-only episode. Join now to listen or watch here: www.patreon.com/posts/live-i...
Live(-ish) from the Conservative Convention | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
www.patreon.com
January 31, 2026 at 4:17 PM
Avi Lewis raised the most money up to the end of 2025, suggesting that he is currently the front runner to be the next leader of the NDP. www.thewrit.ca/p/avi-lewis-...
Avi Lewis has wide lead in NDP fundraising
Fundraising to the end of 2025 shows Lewis well ahead of his rivals
www.thewrit.ca
January 30, 2026 at 5:45 PM
Reposted by Éric Grenier
What leadership review result does Pierre Poilievre need for it to be good enough? I look at some precedents. Plus, Carney's post-Davos boost in the polls is big, but the Liberals haven't jumped as much. Read here: www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 1/29: Setting the bar for Poilievre's leadership review
Plus, a look at Mark Carney's post-Davos bump in the polls.
www.thewrit.ca
January 29, 2026 at 2:46 PM
Every week, I profile the history of one of Canada's past elections or leadership races. Here are some of those profiles of provincial campaigns in Saskatchewan: www.thewrit.ca/p/everyelect...
#EveryElectionProject: Saskatchewan
Capsules on Saskatchewan's elections from The Weekly Writ
www.thewrit.ca
January 29, 2026 at 3:17 PM
What leadership review result does Pierre Poilievre need for it to be good enough? I look at some precedents. Plus, Carney's post-Davos boost in the polls is big, but the Liberals haven't jumped as much. Read here: www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 1/29: Setting the bar for Poilievre's leadership review
Plus, a look at Mark Carney's post-Davos bump in the polls.
www.thewrit.ca
January 29, 2026 at 2:46 PM
Reposted by Éric Grenier
Mark Carney gets a post-Davos bump while Pierre Poilievre slumps ahead of his leadership review. We break down the polls on The Numbers this week. All the ways to watch or listen here! www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Carney gets post-Davos bump as Poilievre falls further back
It was a good week in the polls for Mark Carney — not so much for Pierre Poilievre.
www.thewrit.ca
January 27, 2026 at 8:36 PM
Mark Carney gets a post-Davos bump while Pierre Poilievre slumps ahead of his leadership review. We break down the polls on The Numbers this week. All the ways to watch or listen here! www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Carney gets post-Davos bump as Poilievre falls further back
It was a good week in the polls for Mark Carney — not so much for Pierre Poilievre.
www.thewrit.ca
January 27, 2026 at 8:36 PM