Elie Michel
@eliemichel.bsky.social
Political Scientist - Université de Lausanne & FORS
Elections | Political Behavior | Parties | Public Opinion
Elections | Political Behavior | Parties | Public Opinion
Pinned
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My article “War in the campaign? Issue emphasis and issue salience during the 2022 French presidential campaign” is now published in Party Politics.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
My article “War in the campaign? Issue emphasis and issue salience during the 2022 French presidential campaign” is now published in Party Politics.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
journals.sagepub.com
January 12, 2026 at 6:52 AM
My article “War in the campaign? Issue emphasis and issue salience during the 2022 French presidential campaign” is now published in Party Politics.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Reposted by Elie Michel
L'adoption du mode de scrutin proportionnel apparaît aujourd'hui, selon deux politistes, comme une condition nécessaire pour redonner à la démocratie française la capacité de renouer avec des gouvernements représentatifs, stables et opérationnels.
La proportionnelle : une urgence démocratique
L'adoption du mode de scrutin proportionnel apparaît aujourd'hui, selon deux politistes, comme une condition nécessaire pour redonner à la démocratie française la capacité de renouer avec des gouvernements représentatifs, stables et opérationnels.
laviedesidees.fr
December 16, 2025 at 9:03 AM
L'adoption du mode de scrutin proportionnel apparaît aujourd'hui, selon deux politistes, comme une condition nécessaire pour redonner à la démocratie française la capacité de renouer avec des gouvernements représentatifs, stables et opérationnels.
Reposted by Elie Michel
[OUT] 'The impact of party-voter congruence on affective polarization: evidence from Belgium', new paper by @bjarneck.bsky.social & @emilievh.bsky.social, researchers at SciencePo ULB (Cevipol), with @eliemichel.bsky.social, in JEPOP
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
The impact of party-voter congruence on affective polarization: evidence from Belgium
Ideology drives affective polarization, yet research often overlooks horizontal polarization – emotions toward other voters – and struggles to disentangle ideology from partisanship. This study shi...
www.tandfonline.com
December 12, 2025 at 6:39 PM
[OUT] 'The impact of party-voter congruence on affective polarization: evidence from Belgium', new paper by @bjarneck.bsky.social & @emilievh.bsky.social, researchers at SciencePo ULB (Cevipol), with @eliemichel.bsky.social, in JEPOP
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Out in the Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties - with @bjarneck.bsky.social and @emilievh.bsky.social.
We show that actual differences in policy positions between voters and parties are important predictors of how voters sympathize with other voters (horizontal affective polarization)
We show that actual differences in policy positions between voters and parties are important predictors of how voters sympathize with other voters (horizontal affective polarization)
New article out in JEPOP with @eliemichel.bsky.social and @emilievh.bsky.social
We study how individual-level party-voter congruence shapes horizontal affective polarization (sympathy to other voters), using matched data of a Voting Advice Application in Belgium
Paper: tinyurl.com/4skwumdr
We study how individual-level party-voter congruence shapes horizontal affective polarization (sympathy to other voters), using matched data of a Voting Advice Application in Belgium
Paper: tinyurl.com/4skwumdr
December 11, 2025 at 2:53 PM
Out in the Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties - with @bjarneck.bsky.social and @emilievh.bsky.social.
We show that actual differences in policy positions between voters and parties are important predictors of how voters sympathize with other voters (horizontal affective polarization)
We show that actual differences in policy positions between voters and parties are important predictors of how voters sympathize with other voters (horizontal affective polarization)
"Political Life" most salient issue among French citizens in 2025. Ahead traditional most important problems like purchasing power, law and order, immigration, or the environment.
🔴 La vie politique devient la #préoccupation n°1 des Français selon le #baromètre “Priorités françaises” du L’ObSoCo x CEVIPOF, coordonné par Sylvain Brouard.
Elle dépasse l’inflation, le pouvoir d’achat, la justice/criminalité, le budget, la dette et l’immigration.
www.sciencespo.fr/cevipof/fr/e...
Elle dépasse l’inflation, le pouvoir d’achat, la justice/criminalité, le budget, la dette et l’immigration.
www.sciencespo.fr/cevipof/fr/e...
December 3, 2025 at 10:55 AM
"Political Life" most salient issue among French citizens in 2025. Ahead traditional most important problems like purchasing power, law and order, immigration, or the environment.
Special issue on “Wartime Europe” in the @jeppjournal.bsky.social
With @bjarneck.bsky.social, we examine public opinion on the war in Ukraine, and on supporting Ukraine. And we find little evidence of war fatigue…
With @bjarneck.bsky.social, we examine public opinion on the war in Ukraine, and on supporting Ukraine. And we find little evidence of war fatigue…
📢 New issue, including the Special Issue on "Wartime Europe: EU Integration, Reform and Enlargement" edited by @vanghel.bsky.social, a debate on EU & NATO enlargement after 2022 and JEPP news 👇
🔗 www.tandfonline.com/toc/rjpp20/3...
🔗 www.tandfonline.com/toc/rjpp20/3...
November 28, 2025 at 5:58 AM
Special issue on “Wartime Europe” in the @jeppjournal.bsky.social
With @bjarneck.bsky.social, we examine public opinion on the war in Ukraine, and on supporting Ukraine. And we find little evidence of war fatigue…
With @bjarneck.bsky.social, we examine public opinion on the war in Ukraine, and on supporting Ukraine. And we find little evidence of war fatigue…
Reposted by Elie Michel
Share widely with your students in Switzerland 🇨🇭thinking about a PhD @eui-eu.bsky.social
𝗢𝗻𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗘𝗨𝗜 𝗣𝗵𝗗 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝗽 𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗸 🇨🇭
21 Nov 2025 | 2:30pm CET
@alissasiara.bsky.social introduces the program & life at EUI, I share my experience, and we answer your questions.
👉 Register: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...
𝗢𝗻𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗘𝗨𝗜 𝗣𝗵𝗗 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝗽 𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗸 🇨🇭
21 Nov 2025 | 2:30pm CET
@alissasiara.bsky.social introduces the program & life at EUI, I share my experience, and we answer your questions.
👉 Register: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...
PhD Prep Talk: Switzerland
Meet an EUI Researcher and alumnus from your country!
www.eui.eu
November 5, 2025 at 12:14 PM
Share widely with your students in Switzerland 🇨🇭thinking about a PhD @eui-eu.bsky.social
𝗢𝗻𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗘𝗨𝗜 𝗣𝗵𝗗 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝗽 𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗸 🇨🇭
21 Nov 2025 | 2:30pm CET
@alissasiara.bsky.social introduces the program & life at EUI, I share my experience, and we answer your questions.
👉 Register: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...
𝗢𝗻𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗘𝗨𝗜 𝗣𝗵𝗗 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝗽 𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗸 🇨🇭
21 Nov 2025 | 2:30pm CET
@alissasiara.bsky.social introduces the program & life at EUI, I share my experience, and we answer your questions.
👉 Register: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...
Very much looking forward to this workshop organized by @linerenn.bsky.social and Oscar Mazzoleni at @unil.bsky.social !
October 22, 2025 at 8:15 AM
Very much looking forward to this workshop organized by @linerenn.bsky.social and Oscar Mazzoleni at @unil.bsky.social !
Reposted by Elie Michel
#CNES took the floor at the 3rd #MEDemConference at @gesis.org as Olga Gyarfasova presented our activities to the #DemocracyResearch community 💡 #CNES is a proud partner of @medem.bsky.social and we look forward to a continued collaboration with this emerging European #ResearchInfrastructure 🚀
September 29, 2025 at 4:43 PM
#CNES took the floor at the 3rd #MEDemConference at @gesis.org as Olga Gyarfasova presented our activities to the #DemocracyResearch community 💡 #CNES is a proud partner of @medem.bsky.social and we look forward to a continued collaboration with this emerging European #ResearchInfrastructure 🚀
Reposted by Elie Michel
Next at the #MEDemConference – @LorenzoDeSio presents his vision for the #MEDemServiceGatewayHub 🌐 – featuring #ATLAS, our living encyclopedia designed to make democracy data findable, comparable, reusable, and linkable. Discover more about our #MEDemTools 👉 link in bio!
September 29, 2025 at 2:09 PM
Next at the #MEDemConference – @LorenzoDeSio presents his vision for the #MEDemServiceGatewayHub 🌐 – featuring #ATLAS, our living encyclopedia designed to make democracy data findable, comparable, reusable, and linkable. Discover more about our #MEDemTools 👉 link in bio!
Reposted by Elie Michel
🚀 Kicking off day 1 of the 3rd #MEDemConference at @gesis.org! From @sldelange.bsky.social discussing radical-right normalization 🗳️ to calls to consolidate democracy data by @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social 📊 — keynotes spotlight why #MEDem matters for democracy.
September 29, 2025 at 1:23 PM
🚀 Kicking off day 1 of the 3rd #MEDemConference at @gesis.org! From @sldelange.bsky.social discussing radical-right normalization 🗳️ to calls to consolidate democracy data by @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social 📊 — keynotes spotlight why #MEDem matters for democracy.
Reposted by Elie Michel
📊 New Dataset Release: Belgian Electoral Panel Survey 2024 🇧🇪
We’re excited to announce the release of a new dataset from a 4-wave panel survey conducted during the 2024 Belgian elections!
📥 Download the dataset now:
www.sodha.be/dataset.xhtm...
We’re excited to announce the release of a new dataset from a 4-wave panel survey conducted during the 2024 Belgian elections!
📥 Download the dataset now:
www.sodha.be/dataset.xhtm...
www.sodha.be
September 3, 2025 at 8:59 PM
📊 New Dataset Release: Belgian Electoral Panel Survey 2024 🇧🇪
We’re excited to announce the release of a new dataset from a 4-wave panel survey conducted during the 2024 Belgian elections!
📥 Download the dataset now:
www.sodha.be/dataset.xhtm...
We’re excited to announce the release of a new dataset from a 4-wave panel survey conducted during the 2024 Belgian elections!
📥 Download the dataset now:
www.sodha.be/dataset.xhtm...
Antoher thorough demonstration that geography can mirror politics - but does not produce political preferences in itself!
New Publication 📖 with @aikowagner.bsky.social in @electoralstudies.bsky.social
"Issue congruence outweighs geography: Understanding the appeal of Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) in east and west Germany"
Full paper (open access)👉
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
What did we find? 🧵
"Issue congruence outweighs geography: Understanding the appeal of Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) in east and west Germany"
Full paper (open access)👉
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
What did we find? 🧵
Issue congruence outweighs geography: Understanding the appeal of Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) in east and west Germany
www.sciencedirect.com
August 30, 2025 at 2:24 PM
Antoher thorough demonstration that geography can mirror politics - but does not produce political preferences in itself!
Important roundtable on academic freedom at #ecprgc25.
Insightful (but grim) presentation by @isaliba.bsky.social on attacks on academic freedom globally and also in Europe.
Insightful (but grim) presentation by @isaliba.bsky.social on attacks on academic freedom globally and also in Europe.
August 27, 2025 at 10:56 AM
Important roundtable on academic freedom at #ecprgc25.
Insightful (but grim) presentation by @isaliba.bsky.social on attacks on academic freedom globally and also in Europe.
Insightful (but grim) presentation by @isaliba.bsky.social on attacks on academic freedom globally and also in Europe.
Reposted by Elie Michel
🚨 We're hiring!
Join our CSES Team @gesis.org Cologne as a Senior Researcher. If you’re into comparative electoral research and love diving into data, this is your moment.
Come shape global democracy with us! 🌍📊
www.gesis.org/en/institute...
Join our CSES Team @gesis.org Cologne as a Senior Researcher. If you’re into comparative electoral research and love diving into data, this is your moment.
Come shape global democracy with us! 🌍📊
www.gesis.org/en/institute...
July 16, 2025 at 6:09 AM
🚨 We're hiring!
Join our CSES Team @gesis.org Cologne as a Senior Researcher. If you’re into comparative electoral research and love diving into data, this is your moment.
Come shape global democracy with us! 🌍📊
www.gesis.org/en/institute...
Join our CSES Team @gesis.org Cologne as a Senior Researcher. If you’re into comparative electoral research and love diving into data, this is your moment.
Come shape global democracy with us! 🌍📊
www.gesis.org/en/institute...
Reposted by Elie Michel
Glad to share a symposium on my book "How the Radical Right Has Changed Capitalism and Welfare" with SER: academic.oup.com/ser/advance-....
Featuring @alexandreafonso.bsky.social, @vapunkt.bsky.social, @ankehassel.bsky.social, @danielk24.bsky.social, @gscheiring.bsky.social, & rejoinder by myself 👇
Featuring @alexandreafonso.bsky.social, @vapunkt.bsky.social, @ankehassel.bsky.social, @danielk24.bsky.social, @gscheiring.bsky.social, & rejoinder by myself 👇
July 15, 2025 at 8:32 AM
Glad to share a symposium on my book "How the Radical Right Has Changed Capitalism and Welfare" with SER: academic.oup.com/ser/advance-....
Featuring @alexandreafonso.bsky.social, @vapunkt.bsky.social, @ankehassel.bsky.social, @danielk24.bsky.social, @gscheiring.bsky.social, & rejoinder by myself 👇
Featuring @alexandreafonso.bsky.social, @vapunkt.bsky.social, @ankehassel.bsky.social, @danielk24.bsky.social, @gscheiring.bsky.social, & rejoinder by myself 👇
New publication with @bjarneck.bsky.social on public opinion toward supporting Ukraine in Europe out in @jeppjournal.bsky.social
@forsresearch.bsky.social @sspunil.bsky.social
@forsresearch.bsky.social @sspunil.bsky.social
New publication in the Journal of European Public Policy together with @eliemichel.bsky.social.
We study public opinion toward supporting Ukraine in 6 European countries and ask whether citizens want to increase, sustain, or decrease support. 1/4
Paper (OA): doi.org/10.1080/1350...
We study public opinion toward supporting Ukraine in 6 European countries and ask whether citizens want to increase, sustain, or decrease support. 1/4
Paper (OA): doi.org/10.1080/1350...
June 2, 2025 at 8:54 AM
New publication with @bjarneck.bsky.social on public opinion toward supporting Ukraine in Europe out in @jeppjournal.bsky.social
@forsresearch.bsky.social @sspunil.bsky.social
@forsresearch.bsky.social @sspunil.bsky.social
Reposted by Elie Michel
#VendrediLecture
New paper out @eliemichel.bsky.social & Sylvain Brouard @cevipof.bsky.social on the effect of crises on electoral behavior: "Retrospective voting in times of pandemic: comparative evidence from panel data" in Political Science.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
OPEN ACCESS
New paper out @eliemichel.bsky.social & Sylvain Brouard @cevipof.bsky.social on the effect of crises on electoral behavior: "Retrospective voting in times of pandemic: comparative evidence from panel data" in Political Science.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
OPEN ACCESS
Retrospective voting in times of pandemic: comparative evidence from panel data
Existing studies on the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on elections provide incongruent results. For governments’ handling of the pandemic to be a competence signal, voters should believe that inc...
www.tandfonline.com
May 23, 2025 at 8:56 AM
#VendrediLecture
New paper out @eliemichel.bsky.social & Sylvain Brouard @cevipof.bsky.social on the effect of crises on electoral behavior: "Retrospective voting in times of pandemic: comparative evidence from panel data" in Political Science.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
OPEN ACCESS
New paper out @eliemichel.bsky.social & Sylvain Brouard @cevipof.bsky.social on the effect of crises on electoral behavior: "Retrospective voting in times of pandemic: comparative evidence from panel data" in Political Science.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
OPEN ACCESS
New paper out (with Sylvain Brouard) on the effect of crises on electoral behavior: "Retrospective voting in times of pandemic: comparative evidence from panel data" in Political Science.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
@forsresearch.bsky.social @sspunil.bsky.social @cevipof.bsky.social
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
@forsresearch.bsky.social @sspunil.bsky.social @cevipof.bsky.social
Retrospective voting in times of pandemic: comparative evidence from panel data
Existing studies on the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on elections provide incongruent results. For governments’ handling of the pandemic to be a competence signal, voters should believe that inc...
www.tandfonline.com
May 19, 2025 at 11:12 AM
New paper out (with Sylvain Brouard) on the effect of crises on electoral behavior: "Retrospective voting in times of pandemic: comparative evidence from panel data" in Political Science.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
@forsresearch.bsky.social @sspunil.bsky.social @cevipof.bsky.social
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
@forsresearch.bsky.social @sspunil.bsky.social @cevipof.bsky.social
Reposted by Elie Michel
New paper out in @bjpols.bsky.social, co-authored with Emilien Paulis.
Using survey data from 13 European democracies, we show that electoral winners are less supportive of referendums, especially when they are affectively polarized. 1/6
Paper: doi.org/10.1017/S0007123425000365
Using survey data from 13 European democracies, we show that electoral winners are less supportive of referendums, especially when they are affectively polarized. 1/6
Paper: doi.org/10.1017/S0007123425000365
May 16, 2025 at 7:59 AM
New paper out in @bjpols.bsky.social, co-authored with Emilien Paulis.
Using survey data from 13 European democracies, we show that electoral winners are less supportive of referendums, especially when they are affectively polarized. 1/6
Paper: doi.org/10.1017/S0007123425000365
Using survey data from 13 European democracies, we show that electoral winners are less supportive of referendums, especially when they are affectively polarized. 1/6
Paper: doi.org/10.1017/S0007123425000365
Fichier cumulatif de près de 50 ans d'une enquête électorale nationale de grande qualité !
@asso-afsp.bsky.social @spsr.bsky.social
@asso-afsp.bsky.social @spsr.bsky.social
The cumulative Selects dataset (1971–2023) is now available! Explore over 50 years of Swiss election surveys in one place.
Download: doi.org/10.48573/2w7...
Download: doi.org/10.48573/2w7...
May 12, 2025 at 11:44 AM
Fichier cumulatif de près de 50 ans d'une enquête électorale nationale de grande qualité !
@asso-afsp.bsky.social @spsr.bsky.social
@asso-afsp.bsky.social @spsr.bsky.social
Very useful cumulative file of a benchmark national election study !
@nesconsortium.bsky.social @ecpr.bsky.social
@nesconsortium.bsky.social @ecpr.bsky.social
The cumulative Selects dataset (1971–2023) is now available! Explore over 50 years of Swiss election surveys in one place.
Download: doi.org/10.48573/2w7...
Download: doi.org/10.48573/2w7...
May 12, 2025 at 11:42 AM
Very useful cumulative file of a benchmark national election study !
@nesconsortium.bsky.social @ecpr.bsky.social
@nesconsortium.bsky.social @ecpr.bsky.social
Reposted by Elie Michel
Great afternoon at the GREC workshop in Lausanne @forsresearch.bsky.social @sspunil.bsky.social @unil.bsky.social with @lacic.bsky.social @matthiasenggist.bsky.social @eliemichel.bsky.social @lukaslauener.bsky.social @anketresch.bsky.social and many others
May 2, 2025 at 1:52 PM
Great afternoon at the GREC workshop in Lausanne @forsresearch.bsky.social @sspunil.bsky.social @unil.bsky.social with @lacic.bsky.social @matthiasenggist.bsky.social @eliemichel.bsky.social @lukaslauener.bsky.social @anketresch.bsky.social and many others
Reposted by Elie Michel
Steven Levitsky on why the U.S. is now a competitive authoritarian regime and can't be considered a democracy.
www.npr.org/2025/04/22/n...
www.npr.org/2025/04/22/n...
April 23, 2025 at 6:47 PM
Steven Levitsky on why the U.S. is now a competitive authoritarian regime and can't be considered a democracy.
www.npr.org/2025/04/22/n...
www.npr.org/2025/04/22/n...
Reposted by Elie Michel
Herbert P. Kitschelt is the winner of the 2025 Johan Skytte Prize in Political Science. 🏆
He is awarded the prize for " having increased knowledge of the functioning of democratic party systems with exquisite theoretical acuity and impressive empirical breadth and depth."
He is awarded the prize for " having increased knowledge of the functioning of democratic party systems with exquisite theoretical acuity and impressive empirical breadth and depth."
April 23, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Herbert P. Kitschelt is the winner of the 2025 Johan Skytte Prize in Political Science. 🏆
He is awarded the prize for " having increased knowledge of the functioning of democratic party systems with exquisite theoretical acuity and impressive empirical breadth and depth."
He is awarded the prize for " having increased knowledge of the functioning of democratic party systems with exquisite theoretical acuity and impressive empirical breadth and depth."