Tailrisk Bill
@dub.bsky.social
Roaming corporate comms consultant in emerging markets. APAC for now.
The problem is that credible threats to invade a NATO ally will reliably keep Epstein out of the news as long as it continues.
January 19, 2026 at 5:39 AM
The problem is that credible threats to invade a NATO ally will reliably keep Epstein out of the news as long as it continues.
Never thought I'd see a group of people try so hard to get into power only to give up that power on the most important decisions.. for what? Historic level pathetic. www.semafor.com/article/01/1...
How Rubio blunted Senate momentum on Venezuela
The secretary of state and Senate GOP leaders lobbied two Republican senators to defect from signing on to a war powers resolution.
www.semafor.com
January 18, 2026 at 9:54 AM
Never thought I'd see a group of people try so hard to get into power only to give up that power on the most important decisions.. for what? Historic level pathetic. www.semafor.com/article/01/1...
It is entirely and completely likely and realistic that the military was just deployed to Venezuela in an effort acquire the nobel peace price.
January 17, 2026 at 8:31 AM
It is entirely and completely likely and realistic that the military was just deployed to Venezuela in an effort acquire the nobel peace price.
An obituary for our times
January 13, 2026 at 4:51 PM
An obituary for our times
AMZN seems to be taking off after a bit of a Sabbatical
January 9, 2026 at 11:21 AM
AMZN seems to be taking off after a bit of a Sabbatical
The more I watch the car shooting the more it’s absolutely bonkers insane anyone would defend that. MAGA has decided that they won’t admit this guy made a mistake as it would somehow invalidate all of ICE? Not willing to admit there was even a mistake here is some crazy crazy behavior
January 8, 2026 at 4:35 PM
The more I watch the car shooting the more it’s absolutely bonkers insane anyone would defend that. MAGA has decided that they won’t admit this guy made a mistake as it would somehow invalidate all of ICE? Not willing to admit there was even a mistake here is some crazy crazy behavior
Are we going to move on from populist politics after this? Are enough people tired of it yet?
January 8, 2026 at 3:13 PM
Are we going to move on from populist politics after this? Are enough people tired of it yet?
The new entrepreneurship thing is to call yourself a “builder” and then vibe code weird little software apps that make millions by letting you edit PDFs with AI or whatever and lock people into recurring payments you forget about.
January 8, 2026 at 3:12 PM
The new entrepreneurship thing is to call yourself a “builder” and then vibe code weird little software apps that make millions by letting you edit PDFs with AI or whatever and lock people into recurring payments you forget about.
I periodically wonder what Bluesky management is up to. When was the last time there was any major product updates? Seriously, like a year? Two years?
January 6, 2026 at 3:29 PM
I periodically wonder what Bluesky management is up to. When was the last time there was any major product updates? Seriously, like a year? Two years?
What’s the right-wing equivalent of him saying this?
January 5, 2026 at 3:05 PM
What’s the right-wing equivalent of him saying this?
Halliburton rally like it’s 2003
Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Chevron, Halliburton, QXO, Duolingo & more
Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Chevron, Halliburton, QXO, Duolingo & more
These are the stocks posting the largest moves before the bell.
cnb.cx
January 5, 2026 at 12:27 PM
Halliburton rally like it’s 2003
I actually believe this could have changed the course of events. If the story was leaked, there are a number of reasons why i may not have happened. News orgs seem to think they exist outside reality and are never part of the story. www.semafor.com/article/01/0...
News organizations held off on reporting Venezuela raid
The American news organizations held their stories over concerns about endangering US troops.
www.semafor.com
January 5, 2026 at 6:50 AM
I actually believe this could have changed the course of events. If the story was leaked, there are a number of reasons why i may not have happened. News orgs seem to think they exist outside reality and are never part of the story. www.semafor.com/article/01/0...
Excellent level headed look at Venezuela so far from a regional expert. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/m...
Maduro Ousted and Trump Says the US Will Run Venezuela | Expert Analysis from Elizabeth Dickinson of the International Crisis Group
Podcast Episode · Global Dispatches -- World News That Matters · 01/03/2026 · 28m
podcasts.apple.com
January 4, 2026 at 1:25 PM
Excellent level headed look at Venezuela so far from a regional expert. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/m...
It is quite possible the Rubio Miami Cuban coalition convinced Trump to do this- saying it would be good for his legacy etc. Because the oil thing is just not going to pan out - or at least not any time soon. Chevron is already there. Kicking out Maduro doesn’t magically make the oil flow.
January 4, 2026 at 12:06 PM
It is quite possible the Rubio Miami Cuban coalition convinced Trump to do this- saying it would be good for his legacy etc. Because the oil thing is just not going to pan out - or at least not any time soon. Chevron is already there. Kicking out Maduro doesn’t magically make the oil flow.
It appears we are going to war with Venezuela. To me, this kind of thing is sort of a worst case scenario with this administration.
January 3, 2026 at 8:49 AM
It appears we are going to war with Venezuela. To me, this kind of thing is sort of a worst case scenario with this administration.
Incredible journalism on the story leading up to Trump pardoning Honduras’ former drug trafficking president. www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...
Erasing the Verdict: The Ongoing Shock of Trump’s Cocaine Kingpin Pardon
Donald Trump’s pardon of Juan Orlando Hernández, the former president of Honduras, toppled the capstone of one of the most ambitious narcotics investigations in the history of the Department of Justic...
www.bloomberg.com
December 30, 2025 at 4:56 PM
Incredible journalism on the story leading up to Trump pardoning Honduras’ former drug trafficking president. www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...
Sadly sold my silver a few months ago. What can I learn from this? I actually have no conviction in silver.
Spot Silver Breaks $75 per Ounce, Reaching Record Level
December 26, 2025 at 3:07 AM
Sadly sold my silver a few months ago. What can I learn from this? I actually have no conviction in silver.
Every time I’m in Europe I think about how bizarre it is that 1) the US just simply can’t do trains for basically inexplicable reasons. Even with conventional explanations, it seems totally insane 2) The US can’t do paid public toilets and Europe can? The US is the most capitalist country on earth?
December 21, 2025 at 2:25 PM
Every time I’m in Europe I think about how bizarre it is that 1) the US just simply can’t do trains for basically inexplicable reasons. Even with conventional explanations, it seems totally insane 2) The US can’t do paid public toilets and Europe can? The US is the most capitalist country on earth?
Great to be in Rome, but where is @usdhuga.bsky.social ?
December 21, 2025 at 1:11 PM
Great to be in Rome, but where is @usdhuga.bsky.social ?
Really interesting piece on the current state of China Vs US and China's equity markets. is China investable? research.gavekal.com/article/us-e...
US Exceptionalism Versus Chinese Uninvestibility (Part I)
- Gavekal Research
research.gavekal.com
December 18, 2025 at 3:07 PM
Really interesting piece on the current state of China Vs US and China's equity markets. is China investable? research.gavekal.com/article/us-e...
This is a real post, believe it or not
December 18, 2025 at 12:29 PM
This is a real post, believe it or not
In awe of the grift
December 18, 2025 at 12:12 PM
In awe of the grift
This is going to require a Saudi-Aramco level IPO
December 18, 2025 at 8:06 AM
This is going to require a Saudi-Aramco level IPO
Reposted by Tailrisk Bill
“We are seeing an industrial-scale pardon business.” www.ft.com/content/ef6e...
Inside the ‘industrial-scale’ Trump pardon machine
Washington lobbyists promising connections to the president are in hot demand
www.ft.com
December 18, 2025 at 7:57 AM
“We are seeing an industrial-scale pardon business.” www.ft.com/content/ef6e...
While I will be happy to trade in more time zones, this also seems unnecessary. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Nasdaq Seeks SEC Approval for 23-Hour Trading During Weekdays
Nasdaq Inc., the second-largest exchange in the US, is looking for regulatory approval to extend trading hours on its stock venues to 23 hours during the work week.
www.bloomberg.com
December 16, 2025 at 9:13 AM
While I will be happy to trade in more time zones, this also seems unnecessary. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...