Dr. Garros Gong
@drggong.bsky.social
Born in China and educated in the West, sharing unique insights on the latest trends in business, tech, politics, and research.
Ex-Capital Markets Economist | Ph.D. in Management Science | Business Scientist
Ex-Capital Markets Economist | Ph.D. in Management Science | Business Scientist
#econsky
#Google’s 100-Year Bond: Vision or Hubris?
Why now? Ans: Securing ultra-long-term funding for #AI capex.
Why GBP-denominated? Ans: Large institutional demand and FX hedging.
History lesson? Ans: Motorola, but it collapsed after missing a tech shift.
Foresight or peak-cycle hubris?
#Google’s 100-Year Bond: Vision or Hubris?
Why now? Ans: Securing ultra-long-term funding for #AI capex.
Why GBP-denominated? Ans: Large institutional demand and FX hedging.
History lesson? Ans: Motorola, but it collapsed after missing a tech shift.
Foresight or peak-cycle hubris?
February 10, 2026 at 1:25 AM
#econsky
#academia
How AI Should Be Used in #EconomicAnalysis
I’ve just released the #AI Economist Agent on GitHub. It anchors the Taylor Rule and Bayesian inference with a GDPCastNow module (R2=0.83) into a structural framework.
Interpretable macro alpha that beats generic LLM guesses.
#academia
How AI Should Be Used in #EconomicAnalysis
I’ve just released the #AI Economist Agent on GitHub. It anchors the Taylor Rule and Bayesian inference with a GDPCastNow module (R2=0.83) into a structural framework.
Interpretable macro alpha that beats generic LLM guesses.
February 3, 2026 at 2:50 AM
#econsky
#academia
How AI Should Be Used in #EconomicAnalysis
I’ve just released the #AI Economist Agent on GitHub. It anchors the Taylor Rule and Bayesian inference with a GDPCastNow module (R2=0.83) into a structural framework.
Interpretable macro alpha that beats generic LLM guesses.
#academia
How AI Should Be Used in #EconomicAnalysis
I’ve just released the #AI Economist Agent on GitHub. It anchors the Taylor Rule and Bayesian inference with a GDPCastNow module (R2=0.83) into a structural framework.
Interpretable macro alpha that beats generic LLM guesses.
2/2: My broader view is that the value of AI fundamentally depends on the user’s domain knowledge and methodological discipline.
BTW, I am still working on extending it to include a GDP CastNOW style module, and the full framework will be open sourced on GitHub once completed.
BTW, I am still working on extending it to include a GDP CastNOW style module, and the full framework will be open sourced on GitHub once completed.
February 2, 2026 at 3:54 AM
2/2: My broader view is that the value of AI fundamentally depends on the user’s domain knowledge and methodological discipline.
BTW, I am still working on extending it to include a GDP CastNOW style module, and the full framework will be open sourced on GitHub once completed.
BTW, I am still working on extending it to include a GDP CastNOW style module, and the full framework will be open sourced on GitHub once completed.
#econsky
1/2: How AI Should Be Used in #EconomicAnalysis
I recently built a project that may be a good case showing how I integrate #AI into economic analysis, combining the Taylor Rule with Bayesian inference into an Agent Skill.
Results align with consensus, unlike direct #LLM forecasts.
1/2: How AI Should Be Used in #EconomicAnalysis
I recently built a project that may be a good case showing how I integrate #AI into economic analysis, combining the Taylor Rule with Bayesian inference into an Agent Skill.
Results align with consensus, unlike direct #LLM forecasts.
February 2, 2026 at 3:54 AM
#econsky
1/2: How AI Should Be Used in #EconomicAnalysis
I recently built a project that may be a good case showing how I integrate #AI into economic analysis, combining the Taylor Rule with Bayesian inference into an Agent Skill.
Results align with consensus, unlike direct #LLM forecasts.
1/2: How AI Should Be Used in #EconomicAnalysis
I recently built a project that may be a good case showing how I integrate #AI into economic analysis, combining the Taylor Rule with Bayesian inference into an Agent Skill.
Results align with consensus, unlike direct #LLM forecasts.
#NBASky
NBA Defensive Trends: Week 14 (1.25.2026)
Weekly EDI update. My Bayesian-based defensive model tracks how players defend.
Highlights:
1. Wemby (#1) is still in a tier of his own.
2. Mobley (#2) & Holmgren (#2) hold firm.
3. Big jumps from Robert Williams III and Zubac.
NBA Defensive Trends: Week 14 (1.25.2026)
Weekly EDI update. My Bayesian-based defensive model tracks how players defend.
Highlights:
1. Wemby (#1) is still in a tier of his own.
2. Mobley (#2) & Holmgren (#2) hold firm.
3. Big jumps from Robert Williams III and Zubac.
January 26, 2026 at 11:09 AM
#NBASky
NBA Defensive Trends: Week 14 (1.25.2026)
Weekly EDI update. My Bayesian-based defensive model tracks how players defend.
Highlights:
1. Wemby (#1) is still in a tier of his own.
2. Mobley (#2) & Holmgren (#2) hold firm.
3. Big jumps from Robert Williams III and Zubac.
NBA Defensive Trends: Week 14 (1.25.2026)
Weekly EDI update. My Bayesian-based defensive model tracks how players defend.
Highlights:
1. Wemby (#1) is still in a tier of his own.
2. Mobley (#2) & Holmgren (#2) hold firm.
3. Big jumps from Robert Williams III and Zubac.
#NBAsky
#VibeCoding Project: NBA Enhanced Defensive Index
Modern #NBA defense is positionless, but metrics like DEPM / DLEBRON still infer individuals from the team on/off.
EDI is an open-source, mechanism-first framework built to explain defense, not just rank it.
#VibeCoding Project: NBA Enhanced Defensive Index
Modern #NBA defense is positionless, but metrics like DEPM / DLEBRON still infer individuals from the team on/off.
EDI is an open-source, mechanism-first framework built to explain defense, not just rank it.
January 19, 2026 at 2:08 AM
#NBAsky
#VibeCoding Project: NBA Enhanced Defensive Index
Modern #NBA defense is positionless, but metrics like DEPM / DLEBRON still infer individuals from the team on/off.
EDI is an open-source, mechanism-first framework built to explain defense, not just rank it.
#VibeCoding Project: NBA Enhanced Defensive Index
Modern #NBA defense is positionless, but metrics like DEPM / DLEBRON still infer individuals from the team on/off.
EDI is an open-source, mechanism-first framework built to explain defense, not just rank it.
#econsky
Three charts that review the #2025market.
1. Extremely optimistic positioning in #riskequities
2. #Gold at historic highs as a defensive hedge
3. Continued expansion of FX carry trades
The most accurate label is a fully #investedbearmarket.
Three charts that review the #2025market.
1. Extremely optimistic positioning in #riskequities
2. #Gold at historic highs as a defensive hedge
3. Continued expansion of FX carry trades
The most accurate label is a fully #investedbearmarket.
December 23, 2025 at 2:18 AM
#econsky
Three charts that review the #2025market.
1. Extremely optimistic positioning in #riskequities
2. #Gold at historic highs as a defensive hedge
3. Continued expansion of FX carry trades
The most accurate label is a fully #investedbearmarket.
Three charts that review the #2025market.
1. Extremely optimistic positioning in #riskequities
2. #Gold at historic highs as a defensive hedge
3. Continued expansion of FX carry trades
The most accurate label is a fully #investedbearmarket.
#econsky
This #inflation breakdown is more telling than Canada’s October headline:
1. #Lowest-income: 2.5%.
2. #Renters' highest: 2.8%.
3. #Singles 2.4%, #singleparents 2.1%.
4. #Mortgage-free owners lowest: 1.8%.
Wonder if the #US has a similar inflation breakdown data?
This #inflation breakdown is more telling than Canada’s October headline:
1. #Lowest-income: 2.5%.
2. #Renters' highest: 2.8%.
3. #Singles 2.4%, #singleparents 2.1%.
4. #Mortgage-free owners lowest: 1.8%.
Wonder if the #US has a similar inflation breakdown data?
November 18, 2025 at 1:15 AM
#econsky
This #inflation breakdown is more telling than Canada’s October headline:
1. #Lowest-income: 2.5%.
2. #Renters' highest: 2.8%.
3. #Singles 2.4%, #singleparents 2.1%.
4. #Mortgage-free owners lowest: 1.8%.
Wonder if the #US has a similar inflation breakdown data?
This #inflation breakdown is more telling than Canada’s October headline:
1. #Lowest-income: 2.5%.
2. #Renters' highest: 2.8%.
3. #Singles 2.4%, #singleparents 2.1%.
4. #Mortgage-free owners lowest: 1.8%.
Wonder if the #US has a similar inflation breakdown data?
Rethinking #DEI in #Universities
I agree that reducing bias matters, but it should not narrow who can compete. Universities thrive when merit and excellence lead.
Mikko Packalen's piece is a valuable read. This is about mission and standards, not left vs right.
financialpost.com/opinion/opin...
I agree that reducing bias matters, but it should not narrow who can compete. Universities thrive when merit and excellence lead.
Mikko Packalen's piece is a valuable read. This is about mission and standards, not left vs right.
financialpost.com/opinion/opin...
Opinion: Our universities need to ditch DEI and get back to merit and excellence
Led by federal granting agencies, schools strayed from their core mission to focus on ideology and identity. It has been a disaster. Read on
financialpost.com
October 24, 2025 at 2:17 AM
Rethinking #DEI in #Universities
I agree that reducing bias matters, but it should not narrow who can compete. Universities thrive when merit and excellence lead.
Mikko Packalen's piece is a valuable read. This is about mission and standards, not left vs right.
financialpost.com/opinion/opin...
I agree that reducing bias matters, but it should not narrow who can compete. Universities thrive when merit and excellence lead.
Mikko Packalen's piece is a valuable read. This is about mission and standards, not left vs right.
financialpost.com/opinion/opin...
#econsky
Three Overhyped #USEconomy Narratives
1️⃣ AI matters, but its GDP boost is overstated
2️⃣ #Unemployment is rising for broader reasons than #AI
3️⃣ Spending is not just driven by the rich.
Markets often cling to one grand narrative, but risk usually hides in what that narrative leaves out.
Three Overhyped #USEconomy Narratives
1️⃣ AI matters, but its GDP boost is overstated
2️⃣ #Unemployment is rising for broader reasons than #AI
3️⃣ Spending is not just driven by the rich.
Markets often cling to one grand narrative, but risk usually hides in what that narrative leaves out.
October 24, 2025 at 1:47 AM
#econsky
Three Overhyped #USEconomy Narratives
1️⃣ AI matters, but its GDP boost is overstated
2️⃣ #Unemployment is rising for broader reasons than #AI
3️⃣ Spending is not just driven by the rich.
Markets often cling to one grand narrative, but risk usually hides in what that narrative leaves out.
Three Overhyped #USEconomy Narratives
1️⃣ AI matters, but its GDP boost is overstated
2️⃣ #Unemployment is rising for broader reasons than #AI
3️⃣ Spending is not just driven by the rich.
Markets often cling to one grand narrative, but risk usually hides in what that narrative leaves out.
#econsky
Over the past fifteen years, #Reddit’s #relationship advice has increasingly leaned toward:
• Breakups
• Boundary-setting
• Therapy
Notably, #breakup advice spiked after 2020 (pandemic) and 2023 (ChatGPT's rise). Is this progress or emotional withdrawal?
Over the past fifteen years, #Reddit’s #relationship advice has increasingly leaned toward:
• Breakups
• Boundary-setting
• Therapy
Notably, #breakup advice spiked after 2020 (pandemic) and 2023 (ChatGPT's rise). Is this progress or emotional withdrawal?
October 20, 2025 at 12:51 AM
#econsky
Over the past fifteen years, #Reddit’s #relationship advice has increasingly leaned toward:
• Breakups
• Boundary-setting
• Therapy
Notably, #breakup advice spiked after 2020 (pandemic) and 2023 (ChatGPT's rise). Is this progress or emotional withdrawal?
Over the past fifteen years, #Reddit’s #relationship advice has increasingly leaned toward:
• Breakups
• Boundary-setting
• Therapy
Notably, #breakup advice spiked after 2020 (pandemic) and 2023 (ChatGPT's rise). Is this progress or emotional withdrawal?
#econsky
#CBS puts an #anti-woke voice in charge
CBS spent $150M on The Free Press and made founder Bari Weiss report to the CEO.
Seen as a media coup, execs call it trust rebuilding, critics call it political appeasement.
My take? The real risk is #journalism becoming a political tool. You?
#CBS puts an #anti-woke voice in charge
CBS spent $150M on The Free Press and made founder Bari Weiss report to the CEO.
Seen as a media coup, execs call it trust rebuilding, critics call it political appeasement.
My take? The real risk is #journalism becoming a political tool. You?
October 9, 2025 at 4:31 AM
#econsky
#CBS puts an #anti-woke voice in charge
CBS spent $150M on The Free Press and made founder Bari Weiss report to the CEO.
Seen as a media coup, execs call it trust rebuilding, critics call it political appeasement.
My take? The real risk is #journalism becoming a political tool. You?
#CBS puts an #anti-woke voice in charge
CBS spent $150M on The Free Press and made founder Bari Weiss report to the CEO.
Seen as a media coup, execs call it trust rebuilding, critics call it political appeasement.
My take? The real risk is #journalism becoming a political tool. You?
#econsky
Is this the end of the #officejob?
From 2002 to 2024, office and admin roles dropped from 18% to 12% of #USjobs as #manufacturing shrank.
Rising fast: logistics, food service, healthcare, and tech.
The losers? Repetitive, middle-skill jobs.
The office is being automated. #AI
Is this the end of the #officejob?
From 2002 to 2024, office and admin roles dropped from 18% to 12% of #USjobs as #manufacturing shrank.
Rising fast: logistics, food service, healthcare, and tech.
The losers? Repetitive, middle-skill jobs.
The office is being automated. #AI
October 5, 2025 at 11:54 PM
#econsky
Is this the end of the #officejob?
From 2002 to 2024, office and admin roles dropped from 18% to 12% of #USjobs as #manufacturing shrank.
Rising fast: logistics, food service, healthcare, and tech.
The losers? Repetitive, middle-skill jobs.
The office is being automated. #AI
Is this the end of the #officejob?
From 2002 to 2024, office and admin roles dropped from 18% to 12% of #USjobs as #manufacturing shrank.
Rising fast: logistics, food service, healthcare, and tech.
The losers? Repetitive, middle-skill jobs.
The office is being automated. #AI
#econsky
The #AI bottleneck isn’t GPUs
Recent think tank reports share a consensus: America’s aging grid is the real constraint in global AI competition.
In contrast, China’s power grid system is far more advanced, giving it a structural advantage that may outlast the chip race.
The #AI bottleneck isn’t GPUs
Recent think tank reports share a consensus: America’s aging grid is the real constraint in global AI competition.
In contrast, China’s power grid system is far more advanced, giving it a structural advantage that may outlast the chip race.
October 4, 2025 at 8:36 PM
#econsky
Do you know why #madeInChina goods can sell so cheaply?
Answer: If it earns more than farming, it’s a good biz. A factory makes screwdrivers at 1.2 yuan but sells them at 1.
Why sell at a loss? B/c another 0.6 yuan profit comes from the shipping box, there’s still a margin left.
Do you know why #madeInChina goods can sell so cheaply?
Answer: If it earns more than farming, it’s a good biz. A factory makes screwdrivers at 1.2 yuan but sells them at 1.
Why sell at a loss? B/c another 0.6 yuan profit comes from the shipping box, there’s still a margin left.
September 27, 2025 at 12:50 AM
#econsky
Do you know why #madeInChina goods can sell so cheaply?
Answer: If it earns more than farming, it’s a good biz. A factory makes screwdrivers at 1.2 yuan but sells them at 1.
Why sell at a loss? B/c another 0.6 yuan profit comes from the shipping box, there’s still a margin left.
Do you know why #madeInChina goods can sell so cheaply?
Answer: If it earns more than farming, it’s a good biz. A factory makes screwdrivers at 1.2 yuan but sells them at 1.
Why sell at a loss? B/c another 0.6 yuan profit comes from the shipping box, there’s still a margin left.
#econsky
A rare social observation from mathematician Terence Tao, and his theory is basically the cyberpunk plot: society shifting from a balanced olive to a brittle dumbbell.
A decentralized counter-movement is rising. The endgame: #PlatformFeudalism or a #DecentralizedRenaissance?
A rare social observation from mathematician Terence Tao, and his theory is basically the cyberpunk plot: society shifting from a balanced olive to a brittle dumbbell.
A decentralized counter-movement is rising. The endgame: #PlatformFeudalism or a #DecentralizedRenaissance?
September 25, 2025 at 8:00 PM
#econsky
A rare social observation from mathematician Terence Tao, and his theory is basically the cyberpunk plot: society shifting from a balanced olive to a brittle dumbbell.
A decentralized counter-movement is rising. The endgame: #PlatformFeudalism or a #DecentralizedRenaissance?
A rare social observation from mathematician Terence Tao, and his theory is basically the cyberpunk plot: society shifting from a balanced olive to a brittle dumbbell.
A decentralized counter-movement is rising. The endgame: #PlatformFeudalism or a #DecentralizedRenaissance?
#econsky
What Does #Consulting Actually Do for Firms?
New #NBER paper shows consulting boosts firm productivity by 3.6% and wages by 2.7%.
Both top and struggling firms hire consultants, but low performers benefit more. Gains come from restructuring, not #rentshifting.
What Does #Consulting Actually Do for Firms?
New #NBER paper shows consulting boosts firm productivity by 3.6% and wages by 2.7%.
Both top and struggling firms hire consultants, but low performers benefit more. Gains come from restructuring, not #rentshifting.
August 6, 2025 at 4:28 PM
#econsky
What Does #Consulting Actually Do for Firms?
New #NBER paper shows consulting boosts firm productivity by 3.6% and wages by 2.7%.
Both top and struggling firms hire consultants, but low performers benefit more. Gains come from restructuring, not #rentshifting.
What Does #Consulting Actually Do for Firms?
New #NBER paper shows consulting boosts firm productivity by 3.6% and wages by 2.7%.
Both top and struggling firms hire consultants, but low performers benefit more. Gains come from restructuring, not #rentshifting.
