David Keller, CMT
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dkellercmt.bsky.social
David Keller, CMT
@dkellercmt.bsky.social
240 followers 25 following 380 posts
Market Behaviorist | President @ Sierra Alpha Research | Host @ Market Misbehavior podcast | CNBC Contributor | Former StockCharts, Fidelity, Bloomberg | For educational purposes only.
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Mixed tape: Dow up, NASDAQ down, S&P in-between. Healthcare led while some tech areas faded—echoing value over growth. I walk through leadership, trend/momentum signals, and what confirms a real turn. Watch: youtu.be/8hHS75qoYuo
Value Strikes Back: Dow Up, NASDAQ Down | CHART THIS (Nov 11, 2025)
YouTube video by Market Misbehavior with David Keller, CMT
youtu.be
Markets rallied on shutdown headlines—but can it stick without fresh data? In today’s episode, I analyze a Wells Fargo list of potential “tariff unwind” winners and show how to turn any article into a chart list (performance, RRG, chart review).
Watch here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=nLbL...
The Tariff Relief Playbook: 10 Stocks with Upside Potential
YouTube video by StockCharts TV
www.youtube.com
A wave of optimism hit the markets today as shutdown talks seemed to move toward resolution. The NASDAQ jumped 2%, the S&P reversed higher, and momentum improved.
Full breakdown on CHART THIS → youtu.be/ADkBdOvpIV0
Markets Rally on Shutdown Optimism: NASDAQ Up 2% | CHART THIS with Dave Keller (Nov 10, 2025)
YouTube video by Market Misbehavior with David Keller, CMT
youtu.be
Had an awesome conversation with Jerry Robinson of FollowTheMoney.com about trend following, position trading, diversification, and mindful investing.
We cover tools, timeframes & turning down the noise.
🎧 Watch/Listen: youtu.be/hjF-mobzrWs
Trend Following Secrets w/ Jerry Robinson: Follow the Money, Not the Noise
YouTube video by Market Misbehavior with David Keller, CMT
youtu.be
Choppy week for the markets, but Friday brought a twist. The S&P 500 dipped under its 50-day, then clawed back to finish positive. A good sign—or just a head fake? Full thoughts on CHART THIS: youtu.be/Q_9yTjVd__Q
S&P 500 Rebounds Above 50-Day After Volatile Week | CHART THIS with Dave Keller (Nov 7, 2025)
YouTube video by Market Misbehavior with David Keller, CMT
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Great to catch up with you Linda, and thanks for your efforts to create a thriving community of market practitioners on Bluesky. Bullish on this platform 📈
Reposted by David Keller, CMT
We really don’t want these lines to get much closer.

(via FEDWATCH) 👀
Most investors chase price. Steven Bavaria says focus on income! In our latest Market Misbehavior podcast episode, he shares how his “Income Factory” approach builds steady returns through credit, yield & reinvestment. 🎧 Watch here: youtu.be/doYlxF56rRY
Steven Bavaria on The “Income Factory”: How to Build Steady Returns in Any Market
YouTube video by Market Misbehavior with David Keller, CMT
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#Bitcoin $GBTC teasing the "red light" portion of our traffic light setup with a break below the 200-day MA. For a pattern like this, I'd look for a close below the 200-day and then confirmation with some follow-through to signal a bearish configuration.
$SPX Bullish Percent Index now below 50% for the first time since the April market low. Market has undeniably bad breadth here...
Only 39% of $SPX members currently remain above their 50-day moving average. Can the major indexes keep going higher, despite this crazy weak breadth? Apparently so...
Solid question my friend. Top 10 stocks are about 1/3, next 40 stocks about 1/3, and remaining 450 stocks the final 1/3! We're seeing a scenario where the benchmarks are flat to slightly higher because of strength in mega cap growth, but plenty of stocks are in full breakdown mode.
Thanks to Mike Dickson @ Horizon Investments for a fantastic interview on the Market Misbehavior podcast! We talked top heavy benchmarks, building factor models, and why the path of returns matters as much as the destination. Solid quant insights and market perspective!
Not sure how the breadth could look much worse than this. Every new ATH for $SPX since June has been marked by less S&P 500 members regaining their 50-day moving average. "Healthy bull markets are marked by an expansion in breadth."
I'm seeing this as the second Hindenburg Omen signal in October. And that's not bullish for $SPX $QQQ! Not the world's most ideal timing tool, but does tell me to diligently look for signs of distribution. Discussed in detail on yesterday's show: www.youtube.com/live/1OjdBLk...
We're going live at 5pm ET / 2pm PT on our YouTube channel for a market recap.
Topics to include:
* Risk-off move for the $SPX
* Mag7 earnings causing all the disruption $AAPL $AMZN
* The Hindenburg Omen firing up again!
Don't miss it. bit.ly/MarketMisbeh...
Market Misbehavior with David Keller, CMT
President and Chief Strategist at Sierra Alpha Research LLC. Former Fidelity, StockCharts, Bloomberg, CMT Association. I help active investors and financial advisors make more informed investment…
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$SPX is hovering near record highs — but the real story lies beneath the surface. Time to break down three key charts — Alphabet ($GOOGL), Nvidia ($NVDA), and Meta ($META) — to uncover what they’re telling us about where the market is heading next!
youtu.be/YwDTyErMjz0
Can Big Tech Keep the Market Rally Alive? | GOOGL, NVDA & META Charts Explained
🎓 Take Dave’s FREE course on behavioral investing: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/freecourse 📘 Check out Dave’s recommended reading list: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/readinglist 🎯 Upgrade…
youtu.be
Behold the powerful "traffic light" approach applied to $V:
$V over $355 = green light
$V between 335-355 = yellow light
$V below 335 = red light
Don't swing just to swing. Wait for the good pitches! ⚾️
"Nothing good happens below the 200-day moving average." Almost there, $UNH. Keep fighting!
At some point, one of these trends has to give. Either the breadth starts to improve as more stocks participate in the uptrend phase, or $SPX drops as almost everything but the Mag7 struggles. What's the call?