Matt Bryden
@dibjir.bsky.social
Horn of Africa 🇩🇯🇪🇷🇪🇹🇸🇴★ I don't suffer fools, autocrats or kakistocracies masquerading as governments.
https://sahan.global/
https://sahan.global/
Sahan Research analyses the evolving nature of maritime insecurity in the Red Sea in the latest #SomaliWire - exploring the resurgence of Somali piracy and Houthi attacks, and the complex geopolitical and economic motivations behind them.
#Somalia #piracy #terrorism
Read here: t.co/707zyxTBwe
#Somalia #piracy #terrorism
Read here: t.co/707zyxTBwe
https://sahan.global/issues/the-somali-wire/sw-issue-898
t.co
November 21, 2025 at 4:59 PM
Sahan Research analyses the evolving nature of maritime insecurity in the Red Sea in the latest #SomaliWire - exploring the resurgence of Somali piracy and Houthi attacks, and the complex geopolitical and economic motivations behind them.
#Somalia #piracy #terrorism
Read here: t.co/707zyxTBwe
#Somalia #piracy #terrorism
Read here: t.co/707zyxTBwe
My gratitude to @AfricaACSS for publishing my latest piece on the growing risk of a jihadist takeover in Somalia - and what it would take to prevent it.
hashtag#Somalia hashtag#AlShabaab hashtag#HornofAfrica hashtag#HoA hashtag#Security
africacenter.org/publication/...
hashtag#Somalia hashtag#AlShabaab hashtag#HornofAfrica hashtag#HoA hashtag#Security
africacenter.org/publication/...
Somalia at Risk of Becoming a Jihadist State – Africa Center
Unregulated logging of the Congo Basin rainforests threatens to undercut the livelihoods of millions of households in the region.
africacenter.org
November 19, 2025 at 6:25 AM
My gratitude to @AfricaACSS for publishing my latest piece on the growing risk of a jihadist takeover in Somalia - and what it would take to prevent it.
hashtag#Somalia hashtag#AlShabaab hashtag#HornofAfrica hashtag#HoA hashtag#Security
africacenter.org/publication/...
hashtag#Somalia hashtag#AlShabaab hashtag#HornofAfrica hashtag#HoA hashtag#Security
africacenter.org/publication/...
"Leaders facing internal decay often externalize crisis..." #Ethiopia #Eritrea newlinesmag.com/argument/eri...
Eritrea, Ethiopia and the Missteps That Could Lead to War
Abiy Ahmed’s naval ambitions and Isaias Afwerki’s proxy tactics are testing a fragile peace, which is one miscalculation away from unraveling
newlinesmag.com
November 17, 2025 at 2:36 PM
"Leaders facing internal decay often externalize crisis..." #Ethiopia #Eritrea newlinesmag.com/argument/eri...
Tough but fair. The Economist's new podcast about Erik Prince and the future of PMCs. Worth a listen. #Iraq #Somalia #DRC #Haiti #Ukraine #
www.economist.com/podcasts/202...
www.economist.com/podcasts/202...
The return of Erik Prince
The comeback of America’s most infamous mercenary
www.economist.com
November 2, 2025 at 2:32 PM
Reposted by Matt Bryden
Reposted by Matt Bryden
🚨 BREAKING
#Ethiopian PM Abiy received #Somalia President Hassan in Addis Ababa. Sources say the visit aims to block #Somaliland President Cirro's planned trip to Addis and seek Ethiopian backing for #Mogadishu’s plan to detach Gedo region from #Jubaland administration led by Madoobe.
#Ethiopian PM Abiy received #Somalia President Hassan in Addis Ababa. Sources say the visit aims to block #Somaliland President Cirro's planned trip to Addis and seek Ethiopian backing for #Mogadishu’s plan to detach Gedo region from #Jubaland administration led by Madoobe.
October 12, 2025 at 2:10 PM
🚨 BREAKING
#Ethiopian PM Abiy received #Somalia President Hassan in Addis Ababa. Sources say the visit aims to block #Somaliland President Cirro's planned trip to Addis and seek Ethiopian backing for #Mogadishu’s plan to detach Gedo region from #Jubaland administration led by Madoobe.
#Ethiopian PM Abiy received #Somalia President Hassan in Addis Ababa. Sources say the visit aims to block #Somaliland President Cirro's planned trip to Addis and seek Ethiopian backing for #Mogadishu’s plan to detach Gedo region from #Jubaland administration led by Madoobe.
Reposted by Matt Bryden
#Ethiopia accuses #Eritrea of preparing for war as Red Sea tensions rise in a letter its Foreign Minister Gedion Timothewos sent to the UN chief Antonio Guterres.
Ethiopia accuses Eritrea of preparing for war as Red Sea tensions rise
Ethiopia has written to the UN, accusing Eritrea of "funding, mobilizing and directing armed groups" on its soil.
www.bbc.com
October 9, 2025 at 11:30 AM
#Somaliland’s Electoral Commission Wins Global Transparency Award in Botswana
"The award also underscores Somaliland’s growing reputation as a model of democratic governance in the Horn of Africa."
#elections #democracy
horndiplomat.com/2025/10/soma...
"The award also underscores Somaliland’s growing reputation as a model of democratic governance in the Horn of Africa."
#elections #democracy
horndiplomat.com/2025/10/soma...
Somaliland’s Electoral Commission Wins Global Transparency Award in Botswana
By: Mohamed Duale Gaborone, Botswana – Somaliland’s National Electoral Commission (NEC) has received the Transparent Election Award in recognition of its credible and transparent management of the cou...
horndiplomat.com
October 6, 2025 at 11:46 AM
#Somaliland’s Electoral Commission Wins Global Transparency Award in Botswana
"The award also underscores Somaliland’s growing reputation as a model of democratic governance in the Horn of Africa."
#elections #democracy
horndiplomat.com/2025/10/soma...
"The award also underscores Somaliland’s growing reputation as a model of democratic governance in the Horn of Africa."
#elections #democracy
horndiplomat.com/2025/10/soma...
Reposted by Matt Bryden
Somalia’s opposition Salvation Forum, together with #Puntland & #Jubaland state leaders form the "Council for Somalia's Future", following talks in Nairobi.
They called for a national summit inside #Somalia to finalize the council & urged unity against threats to stability.
They called for a national summit inside #Somalia to finalize the council & urged unity against threats to stability.
October 2, 2025 at 6:13 PM
Reposted by Matt Bryden
Crisis Group warns looming electoral showdown could plunge #Somalia into fresh turmoil, calling urgent inclusive talks between stakeholders on 2026 vote rules — or risk a repeat of past violence and paralysis.
@comfortero.crisisgroup.org @crisisgroup.org
@comfortero.crisisgroup.org @crisisgroup.org
Electoral Showdown in Somalia: Averting Another Round of Turmoil | International Crisis Group
Political tensions are rising in Somalia. With elections due in 2026, politicians are arguing over the terms for the polls. The government and its opponents urgently need to compromise in order to sta...
www.crisisgroup.org
September 27, 2025 at 1:08 AM
Crisis Group warns looming electoral showdown could plunge #Somalia into fresh turmoil, calling urgent inclusive talks between stakeholders on 2026 vote rules — or risk a repeat of past violence and paralysis.
@comfortero.crisisgroup.org @crisisgroup.org
@comfortero.crisisgroup.org @crisisgroup.org
As President Hassan Sheikh attends UNGA this week without a much-needed Jubaland deal, and amid mounting AUSSOM debt and Al-Shabaab advances, Villa Somalia’s diplomacy looks adrift nine months into its UNSC tenure. Read more in our latest #Somalia #SomaliWire: sahan.global/issues/the-som
September 22, 2025 at 1:33 PM
As President Hassan Sheikh attends UNGA this week without a much-needed Jubaland deal, and amid mounting AUSSOM debt and Al-Shabaab advances, Villa Somalia’s diplomacy looks adrift nine months into its UNSC tenure. Read more in our latest #Somalia #SomaliWire: sahan.global/issues/the-som
Reposted by Matt Bryden
By Sahan Research, #Ethiopia and #AI
'[These] are the ones now directing much of our future, a handful of nearly exclusively white North American men, wealthy, vainglorious and battling out the future of humanity with their egos in the race for Artificial Intelligence (AI) and data supremacy'
'[These] are the ones now directing much of our future, a handful of nearly exclusively white North American men, wealthy, vainglorious and battling out the future of humanity with their egos in the race for Artificial Intelligence (AI) and data supremacy'
September 16, 2025 at 12:05 PM
Jubaland’s crisis spills into Mandera - with Villa Somalia destabilising Gedo and AS exploiting the vacuum, Nairobi’s partnership with Madoobe remains a necessary, if uncomfortable, pillar. Read more in Sahan's latest #SomaliWire: sahan.global/issues/the-s...
For Nairobi, Jubaland has long been a frontline against Al-Shabaab, a key staging post from which the jihadists have launched attacks on Kenyan soil.
For Nairobi, Jubaland has long been a frontline against Al-Shabaab, a key staging post from which the jihadists have launched attacks on Kenyan soil.
sahan.global
September 5, 2025 at 8:30 AM
Jubaland’s crisis spills into Mandera - with Villa Somalia destabilising Gedo and AS exploiting the vacuum, Nairobi’s partnership with Madoobe remains a necessary, if uncomfortable, pillar. Read more in Sahan's latest #SomaliWire: sahan.global/issues/the-s...
Somaliland's quest for international recognition receives a powerful vote of support from an unexpected quarter. #Somaliland #Somalia
americanmind.org/salvo/why-so...
americanmind.org/salvo/why-so...
Why Somaliland Matters
The time has come to treat Somaliland for what it already is: a functioning state that has earned its place among nations.
americanmind.org
September 4, 2025 at 7:05 AM
Somaliland's quest for international recognition receives a powerful vote of support from an unexpected quarter. #Somaliland #Somalia
americanmind.org/salvo/why-so...
americanmind.org/salvo/why-so...
Sahan's latest #SomaliWire unpacks the NSF's rejection of Villa Somalia’s splinter deal and the sustained electoral impasse with Jubaland and Puntland still excluded. The concerns over Mogadishu's flawed polls rumble on. #Somalia #Elections #Conflict Read more: sahan.global/issues/the-s...
September 3, 2025 at 10:22 AM
Sahan's latest #SomaliWire unpacks the NSF's rejection of Villa Somalia’s splinter deal and the sustained electoral impasse with Jubaland and Puntland still excluded. The concerns over Mogadishu's flawed polls rumble on. #Somalia #Elections #Conflict Read more: sahan.global/issues/the-s...
Senator Ted Cruz urges the US government to recognise the Republic of Somaliland as an independent state ahead of a visit to Washington, DC by its President, Abdirahman 'Irro'. #Somaliland #Somalia
August 15, 2025 at 6:21 AM
Senator Ted Cruz urges the US government to recognise the Republic of Somaliland as an independent state ahead of a visit to Washington, DC by its President, Abdirahman 'Irro'. #Somaliland #Somalia
In our latest #SomaliWire, we unpack the possible consequences of the FGS's proposed closed-list, single constituency model. Excluding most of Somalia, the FGS OPOV plan presents as a democracy in name only. Read more: sahan.global/issues/the-s...
August 13, 2025 at 12:32 PM
In our latest #SomaliWire, we unpack the possible consequences of the FGS's proposed closed-list, single constituency model. Excluding most of Somalia, the FGS OPOV plan presents as a democracy in name only. Read more: sahan.global/issues/the-s...
Only foreign aid and African Union troops stand between Somalia's embattled federal government and an Al-Shabaab takeover.#Somalia #conflict #terrorism
www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...
www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...
Somalia gripped by fears of militant Islamic uprising
With Al-Shabaab 25 miles outside of Mogadishu a weak government consumed by infighting and corruption tells citizens capital will not fall
www.telegraph.co.uk
August 11, 2025 at 12:26 PM
Only foreign aid and African Union troops stand between Somalia's embattled federal government and an Al-Shabaab takeover.#Somalia #conflict #terrorism
www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...
www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...
Excellent and sober analysis from Abdusalam Salwe on the deepening crisis in #Somalia.
garoweonline.com/en/opinions/...
garoweonline.com/en/opinions/...
OP-ED: Somalia at the Precipice: Why Decentralized Security is the Only Path Forward
garoweonline.com
July 31, 2025 at 12:19 PM
Excellent and sober analysis from Abdusalam Salwe on the deepening crisis in #Somalia.
garoweonline.com/en/opinions/...
garoweonline.com/en/opinions/...
The Somali Wire this week looks at the fall of Moqokori to Al-Shabaab and its wider implications for the counterinsurgency campaign in central Somalia.
To read, subscribe to @SahanResearch publications: sahan.global
To read, subscribe to @SahanResearch publications: sahan.global
July 17, 2025 at 6:03 AM
The Somali Wire this week looks at the fall of Moqokori to Al-Shabaab and its wider implications for the counterinsurgency campaign in central Somalia.
To read, subscribe to @SahanResearch publications: sahan.global
To read, subscribe to @SahanResearch publications: sahan.global
US Congressman Scott Perry pushes for recognition of Somaliland as an independent state. #Somaliland
perry.house.gov/news/documen...
perry.house.gov/news/documen...
Congressman Scott Perry Introduces "Republic of Somaliland Independence Act"
perry.house.gov
June 13, 2025 at 10:13 AM
US Congressman Scott Perry pushes for recognition of Somaliland as an independent state. #Somaliland
perry.house.gov/news/documen...
perry.house.gov/news/documen...
An excellent, well-balanced piece of analysis on Somalia's prospects in the face of a resurgent Al-Shabaab and diminishing international security assistance, by Dr Daisy Muibu and Yayedior Mbengue at the Africa Center for Strategic Studies. #Somalia #AlShabaab
ctc.westpoint.edu/somalia-at-a...
ctc.westpoint.edu/somalia-at-a...
Somalia at a Crossroads: Resurgent Insurgents, Fragmented Politics, and the Uncertain Future of AUSSOM - Combating Terrorism Center at West Point
Abstract: Nearly three years after the Somali government launched its offensive against al-Shabaab, the security landscape remains precarious. Al-Shabaab has resurged, coordination between federal and...
ctc.westpoint.edu
June 1, 2025 at 6:28 PM
An excellent, well-balanced piece of analysis on Somalia's prospects in the face of a resurgent Al-Shabaab and diminishing international security assistance, by Dr Daisy Muibu and Yayedior Mbengue at the Africa Center for Strategic Studies. #Somalia #AlShabaab
ctc.westpoint.edu/somalia-at-a...
ctc.westpoint.edu/somalia-at-a...
Nothing new in this article, but it's a useful update on Somaliland's rising stature on the international stage.#Somaliland #Somalia
www.theguardian.com/global-devel...
www.theguardian.com/global-devel...
Exclusive: Somaliland president says recognition of state ‘on the horizon’ following Trump talks
The breakaway territory’s independence has never been internationally recognised. Insiders say recent US overtures are encouraging – but the consequences could be inflammatory in the tinderbox region
www.theguardian.com
May 30, 2025 at 1:28 PM
Nothing new in this article, but it's a useful update on Somaliland's rising stature on the international stage.#Somaliland #Somalia
www.theguardian.com/global-devel...
www.theguardian.com/global-devel...
Kenyan President William S. Ruto received Somaliland President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdillahi 'Irro' at State House, Nairobi, on 29 May 2025 to discuss strengthening relations between the two governments. #Somaliland #Kenya
May 30, 2025 at 7:27 AM
Kenyan President William S. Ruto received Somaliland President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdillahi 'Irro' at State House, Nairobi, on 29 May 2025 to discuss strengthening relations between the two governments. #Somaliland #Kenya