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DDHQ Podcast welcomed @gracepanetta.bsky.social to chat about 2026 Senate races with high-profile women candidates.
One is #TXSen, where Dems are split on Rep. Jasmine Crockett, who has given fuel to her "electability" detractors.
Watch/listen here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/senate-wom...
One is #TXSen, where Dems are split on Rep. Jasmine Crockett, who has given fuel to her "electability" detractors.
Watch/listen here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/senate-wom...
We're following tonight's Democratic primary in New Jersey's 11th Congressional District.
The winner will be the favorite to hold this Harris+8 district in April's special election. Follow along tonight at the link below:
election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-02...
The winner will be the favorite to hold this Harris+8 district in April's special election. Follow along tonight at the link below:
election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-02...
February 5, 2026 Live Election Results | DDHQ
Live Election Night Results from Decision Desk HQ
election-night.decisiondeskhq.com
February 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM
We're following tonight's Democratic primary in New Jersey's 11th Congressional District.
The winner will be the favorite to hold this Harris+8 district in April's special election. Follow along tonight at the link below:
election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-02...
The winner will be the favorite to hold this Harris+8 district in April's special election. Follow along tonight at the link below:
election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-02...
Out this afternoon: The DDHQ Podcast spoke with @taniel.bsky.social about 2026's elections for sheriff & prosecutor. Roughly 2,400 of these under-the-radar contests are happening, all with major policy implications.
Subscribe here to receive it in your inbox:
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome
Subscribe here to receive it in your inbox:
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome
February 5, 2026 at 6:41 PM
Out this afternoon: The DDHQ Podcast spoke with @taniel.bsky.social about 2026's elections for sheriff & prosecutor. Roughly 2,400 of these under-the-radar contests are happening, all with major policy implications.
Subscribe here to receive it in your inbox:
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome
Subscribe here to receive it in your inbox:
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome
In the 2026 race for the House, Democrats consistently lead Republicans by ~5 points.
A big part of that? Independents prefer Dems by a big margin. Losing indies has often been a midterm problem for the president's party.
Read DDHQ's polling memo:
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/democrats-...
A big part of that? Independents prefer Dems by a big margin. Losing indies has often been a midterm problem for the president's party.
Read DDHQ's polling memo:
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/democrats-...
Could the Democrats’ generic ballot lead be too much for the GOP?
Democrats now lead Republicans by 5 points in the race for the U.S. House
decisiondeskhq.substack.com
February 4, 2026 at 4:27 PM
In the 2026 race for the House, Democrats consistently lead Republicans by ~5 points.
A big part of that? Independents prefer Dems by a big margin. Losing indies has often been a midterm problem for the president's party.
Read DDHQ's polling memo:
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/democrats-...
A big part of that? Independents prefer Dems by a big margin. Losing indies has often been a midterm problem for the president's party.
Read DDHQ's polling memo:
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/democrats-...
Happy Election Day! DDHQ is tracking results for 20 races this evening.
Marquee race: NY Assembly District 36 vote to succeed Zohran Mamdani. DSA member Diana Moreno (D) is favored but faces 2 DSA compatriots running as indies.
Follow results here:
election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-02...
Marquee race: NY Assembly District 36 vote to succeed Zohran Mamdani. DSA member Diana Moreno (D) is favored but faces 2 DSA compatriots running as indies.
Follow results here:
election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-02...
February 3, 2026 Live Election Results | DDHQ
Live Election Night Results from Decision Desk HQ
election-night.decisiondeskhq.com
February 3, 2026 at 10:56 PM
Happy Election Day! DDHQ is tracking results for 20 races this evening.
Marquee race: NY Assembly District 36 vote to succeed Zohran Mamdani. DSA member Diana Moreno (D) is favored but faces 2 DSA compatriots running as indies.
Follow results here:
election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-02...
Marquee race: NY Assembly District 36 vote to succeed Zohran Mamdani. DSA member Diana Moreno (D) is favored but faces 2 DSA compatriots running as indies.
Follow results here:
election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-02...
At 6pm, DDHQ will release its latest Polling Memo.
The writeup includes:
-What the Democrats' lead on the generic ballot could mean for the 2026 House race
-Updates on Trump's approval and many 2026 races
To get the memo in your inbox, subscribe here:
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome
The writeup includes:
-What the Democrats' lead on the generic ballot could mean for the 2026 House race
-Updates on Trump's approval and many 2026 races
To get the memo in your inbox, subscribe here:
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome
February 3, 2026 at 9:18 PM
At 6pm, DDHQ will release its latest Polling Memo.
The writeup includes:
-What the Democrats' lead on the generic ballot could mean for the 2026 House race
-Updates on Trump's approval and many 2026 races
To get the memo in your inbox, subscribe here:
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome
The writeup includes:
-What the Democrats' lead on the generic ballot could mean for the 2026 House race
-Updates on Trump's approval and many 2026 races
To get the memo in your inbox, subscribe here:
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome
ICYMI the DDHQ newsletter looked at how the 2030 apportionment could help Republicans more than Democrats.
States that voted for Trump in '24 will gain 10 electoral votes; Democratic linchpins of CA (-4) & NY (-2) are projected to lose seats.
States that voted for Trump in '24 will gain 10 electoral votes; Democratic linchpins of CA (-4) & NY (-2) are projected to lose seats.
Democrats will lose ground in the 2030 census 📉
Population projections show blue states will lose seats in the next apportionment, costing Democrats more electoral votes in the Electoral College than Republicans
decisiondeskhq.substack.com
February 3, 2026 at 6:15 PM
ICYMI the DDHQ newsletter looked at how the 2030 apportionment could help Republicans more than Democrats.
States that voted for Trump in '24 will gain 10 electoral votes; Democratic linchpins of CA (-4) & NY (-2) are projected to lose seats.
States that voted for Trump in '24 will gain 10 electoral votes; Democratic linchpins of CA (-4) & NY (-2) are projected to lose seats.
This week's DDHQ newsletter:
Why Democrats will lose ground in the 2030 census📉
Projections show blue states will lose seats in next apportionment, costing Dems more electoral votes than the GOP. Biggest changes? Texas +4 & California -4.
Read more: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/democrats-...
Why Democrats will lose ground in the 2030 census📉
Projections show blue states will lose seats in next apportionment, costing Dems more electoral votes than the GOP. Biggest changes? Texas +4 & California -4.
Read more: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/democrats-...
February 2, 2026 at 3:14 PM
This week's DDHQ newsletter:
Why Democrats will lose ground in the 2030 census📉
Projections show blue states will lose seats in next apportionment, costing Dems more electoral votes than the GOP. Biggest changes? Texas +4 & California -4.
Read more: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/democrats-...
Why Democrats will lose ground in the 2030 census📉
Projections show blue states will lose seats in next apportionment, costing Dems more electoral votes than the GOP. Biggest changes? Texas +4 & California -4.
Read more: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/democrats-...
Decision Desk HQ projects Christian Menefee to win the US House special election in Texas's 18th congressional district.
#DecisionMade: 10:59 pm ET
#DecisionMade: 10:59 pm ET
February 1, 2026 at 4:02 AM
Decision Desk HQ projects Christian Menefee to win the US House special election in Texas's 18th congressional district.
#DecisionMade: 10:59 pm ET
#DecisionMade: 10:59 pm ET
DDHQ Race Update (est. 46% in): Texas US House 18 Runoff
Christian Menefee (D): 9,077 (66.7%)
Amanda Edwards (D): 4,544 (33.4%)
Follow more results here:
election-night.decisiondeskh...
Christian Menefee (D): 9,077 (66.7%)
Amanda Edwards (D): 4,544 (33.4%)
Follow more results here:
election-night.decisiondeskh...
January 31, 2026 Live Election Results | DDHQ
Race Results
election-night.decisiondeskhq.com
February 1, 2026 at 1:16 AM
DDHQ Race Update (est. 46% in): Texas US House 18 Runoff
Christian Menefee (D): 9,077 (66.7%)
Amanda Edwards (D): 4,544 (33.4%)
Follow more results here:
election-night.decisiondeskh...
Christian Menefee (D): 9,077 (66.7%)
Amanda Edwards (D): 4,544 (33.4%)
Follow more results here:
election-night.decisiondeskh...
DDHQ Race Update (est. 46% in): Texas State Senate 9 Runoff
Taylor Rehmet (D): 25,667 (56.2%)
Leigh Wambsganss (R): 19,979 (43.8%)
Follow more results here:
zurl.co/mT4Pn
Taylor Rehmet (D): 25,667 (56.2%)
Leigh Wambsganss (R): 19,979 (43.8%)
Follow more results here:
zurl.co/mT4Pn
January 31, 2026 Live Election Results | DDHQ
Race Results
zurl.co
February 1, 2026 at 1:06 AM
DDHQ Race Update (est. 46% in): Texas State Senate 9 Runoff
Taylor Rehmet (D): 25,667 (56.2%)
Leigh Wambsganss (R): 19,979 (43.8%)
Follow more results here:
zurl.co/mT4Pn
Taylor Rehmet (D): 25,667 (56.2%)
Leigh Wambsganss (R): 19,979 (43.8%)
Follow more results here:
zurl.co/mT4Pn
Tonight, we're tracking eight elections in Texas.
The marquee race is the runoff election in Texas's 18th Congressional District. Two Democrats vying to replace the late Sylvester Turner in this Houston-based district.
Follow at the link below: election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01...
The marquee race is the runoff election in Texas's 18th Congressional District. Two Democrats vying to replace the late Sylvester Turner in this Houston-based district.
Follow at the link below: election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01...
January 31, 2026 Live Election Results | DDHQ
Live Election Night Results from Decision Desk HQ
election-night.decisiondeskhq.com
January 31, 2026 at 7:00 PM
Tonight, we're tracking eight elections in Texas.
The marquee race is the runoff election in Texas's 18th Congressional District. Two Democrats vying to replace the late Sylvester Turner in this Houston-based district.
Follow at the link below: election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01...
The marquee race is the runoff election in Texas's 18th Congressional District. Two Democrats vying to replace the late Sylvester Turner in this Houston-based district.
Follow at the link below: election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01...
Winner of #TX18 runoff tomorrow will further narrow GOP's House majority. After the winner (a Dem) is sworn in, GOP will have 218-214 edge (w/ 3 vacancies).
Granted, another gov shutdown could make it easier for Mike Johnson to delay swearing in the winner, as happened with Adelita Grijalva.
Granted, another gov shutdown could make it easier for Mike Johnson to delay swearing in the winner, as happened with Adelita Grijalva.
January 30, 2026 at 6:39 PM
Winner of #TX18 runoff tomorrow will further narrow GOP's House majority. After the winner (a Dem) is sworn in, GOP will have 218-214 edge (w/ 3 vacancies).
Granted, another gov shutdown could make it easier for Mike Johnson to delay swearing in the winner, as happened with Adelita Grijalva.
Granted, another gov shutdown could make it easier for Mike Johnson to delay swearing in the winner, as happened with Adelita Grijalva.
On the DDHQ Podcast, @gracepanetta.bsky.social joined to talk Senate races. A growing split among Democrats is "Abolish *Trump's* ICE" vs. outright "Abolish ICE." This came up recently on the debate stage in the #ILSen Dem primary.
Check out the pod here:
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/senate-wom...
Check out the pod here:
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/senate-wom...
January 30, 2026 at 3:51 PM
On the DDHQ Podcast, @gracepanetta.bsky.social joined to talk Senate races. A growing split among Democrats is "Abolish *Trump's* ICE" vs. outright "Abolish ICE." This came up recently on the debate stage in the #ILSen Dem primary.
Check out the pod here:
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/senate-wom...
Check out the pod here:
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/senate-wom...
DDHQ Podcast welcomed @gracepanetta.bsky.social to chat about 2026 Senate races with high-profile women candidates.
One is #TXSen, where Dems are split on Rep. Jasmine Crockett, who has given fuel to her "electability" detractors.
Watch/listen here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/senate-wom...
One is #TXSen, where Dems are split on Rep. Jasmine Crockett, who has given fuel to her "electability" detractors.
Watch/listen here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/senate-wom...
January 29, 2026 at 10:58 PM
DDHQ Podcast welcomed @gracepanetta.bsky.social to chat about 2026 Senate races with high-profile women candidates.
One is #TXSen, where Dems are split on Rep. Jasmine Crockett, who has given fuel to her "electability" detractors.
Watch/listen here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/senate-wom...
One is #TXSen, where Dems are split on Rep. Jasmine Crockett, who has given fuel to her "electability" detractors.
Watch/listen here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/senate-wom...
Later today, DDHQ will release a new podcast where
@geoffreyskelley.com & @gracepanetta.bsky.social discuss Senate races with high-profile women candidates. They covered Maine, Michigan, Alaska, Iowa & more!
Subscribe to get it in your inbox later today!
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome
@geoffreyskelley.com & @gracepanetta.bsky.social discuss Senate races with high-profile women candidates. They covered Maine, Michigan, Alaska, Iowa & more!
Subscribe to get it in your inbox later today!
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome
January 29, 2026 at 5:29 PM
Later today, DDHQ will release a new podcast where
@geoffreyskelley.com & @gracepanetta.bsky.social discuss Senate races with high-profile women candidates. They covered Maine, Michigan, Alaska, Iowa & more!
Subscribe to get it in your inbox later today!
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome
@geoffreyskelley.com & @gracepanetta.bsky.social discuss Senate races with high-profile women candidates. They covered Maine, Michigan, Alaska, Iowa & more!
Subscribe to get it in your inbox later today!
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome
Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D) is officially running for governor of her home state. She is the 4th sitting senator to make a run for governor in 2026, the most in the era of popular elections for Senate (since 1913). #MNGov
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pa...
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pa...
January 29, 2026 at 2:58 PM
Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D) is officially running for governor of her home state. She is the 4th sitting senator to make a run for governor in 2026, the most in the era of popular elections for Senate (since 1913). #MNGov
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pa...
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pa...
In this week's DDHQ Polling Memo:
-Trump's approval continues to hover in one of its worst spots in his 2nd term
-Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi leads Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton 36%-16% in the Illinois Dem primary for Senate
Read more here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/illinois-d...
-Trump's approval continues to hover in one of its worst spots in his 2nd term
-Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi leads Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton 36%-16% in the Illinois Dem primary for Senate
Read more here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/illinois-d...
January 28, 2026 at 3:50 PM
In this week's DDHQ Polling Memo:
-Trump's approval continues to hover in one of its worst spots in his 2nd term
-Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi leads Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton 36%-16% in the Illinois Dem primary for Senate
Read more here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/illinois-d...
-Trump's approval continues to hover in one of its worst spots in his 2nd term
-Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi leads Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton 36%-16% in the Illinois Dem primary for Senate
Read more here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/illinois-d...
Tonight, we're tracking six elections across the United States.
In Minnesota, a special election is being held in State House 64A. Democrats are heavily favored to win, which would return the State House to a 67-67 tie.
Follow along at the link:
election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01...
In Minnesota, a special election is being held in State House 64A. Democrats are heavily favored to win, which would return the State House to a 67-67 tie.
Follow along at the link:
election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01...
January 27, 2026 Live Election Results | DDHQ
Live Election Night Results from Decision Desk HQ
election-night.decisiondeskhq.com
January 27, 2026 at 6:31 PM
Tonight, we're tracking six elections across the United States.
In Minnesota, a special election is being held in State House 64A. Democrats are heavily favored to win, which would return the State House to a 67-67 tie.
Follow along at the link:
election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01...
In Minnesota, a special election is being held in State House 64A. Democrats are heavily favored to win, which would return the State House to a 67-67 tie.
Follow along at the link:
election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01...
ICYMI yesterday: DDHQ's latest newsletter took a look at how Louisiana Sen. Bill Cassidy is in deep trouble down on the Bayou after President Trump endorsed Rep. Julia Letlow in the GOP primary. #LASen
You can read it here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/trump-letl...
You can read it here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/trump-letl...
Is Bill Cassidy boiled shrimp? ⚜️🦐♨️
Rep. Julia Letlow's primary challenge could oust the Louisiana senator and add Cassidy to the pile of discarded Republicans who voted to impeach Donald Trump in 2021
decisiondeskhq.substack.com
January 27, 2026 at 2:56 PM
ICYMI yesterday: DDHQ's latest newsletter took a look at how Louisiana Sen. Bill Cassidy is in deep trouble down on the Bayou after President Trump endorsed Rep. Julia Letlow in the GOP primary. #LASen
You can read it here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/trump-letl...
You can read it here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/trump-letl...
Baby, it's cold outside, but things are heating up ♨️ in Louisiana for Bill Cassidy. Trump endorsed Rep. Julia Letlow over Cassidy in the #LASen GOP primary & now the incumbent might be boiled shrimp 🦐 in 2026.
DDHQ's newsletter breaks things down:
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/trump-letl...
DDHQ's newsletter breaks things down:
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/trump-letl...
Is Bill Cassidy boiled shrimp? ⚜️🦐♨️
Rep. Julia Letlow's primary challenge could oust the Louisiana senator and add Cassidy to the pile of discarded Republicans who voted to impeach Donald Trump in 2021
decisiondeskhq.substack.com
January 26, 2026 at 3:40 PM
Baby, it's cold outside, but things are heating up ♨️ in Louisiana for Bill Cassidy. Trump endorsed Rep. Julia Letlow over Cassidy in the #LASen GOP primary & now the incumbent might be boiled shrimp 🦐 in 2026.
DDHQ's newsletter breaks things down:
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/trump-letl...
DDHQ's newsletter breaks things down:
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/trump-letl...
On this week's DDHQ podcast, @geoffreyvs & @stranter spoke with @emckowndawson about the 2025 polls & looked ahead to 2026. Polls undershot Trump in recent pres races, but were closer to the mark in midterms or even overestimated GOP.
Watch/listen here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/pollapaloo...
Watch/listen here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/pollapaloo...
January 22, 2026 at 10:39 PM
On this week's DDHQ podcast, @geoffreyvs & @stranter spoke with @emckowndawson about the 2025 polls & looked ahead to 2026. Polls undershot Trump in recent pres races, but were closer to the mark in midterms or even overestimated GOP.
Watch/listen here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/pollapaloo...
Watch/listen here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/pollapaloo...
Publishing this afternoon: the DDHQ podcast spoke with Silver Bulletin's Eli McKown-Dawson about how well the polls did in 2025 & had a broader convo about the state of polling!
To receive the pod in your inbox, please subscribe here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome
To receive the pod in your inbox, please subscribe here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome
January 22, 2026 at 8:13 PM
Publishing this afternoon: the DDHQ podcast spoke with Silver Bulletin's Eli McKown-Dawson about how well the polls did in 2025 & had a broader convo about the state of polling!
To receive the pod in your inbox, please subscribe here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome
To receive the pod in your inbox, please subscribe here: decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome
DDHQ has a new polling average for South Carolina's GOP primary for governor. The 4 main contenders are all between 10-20%, with Rep. Nancy Mace & state AG Alan Wilson both around 19%.
The race may well depend on Trump's endorsement (if he does).
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/no-clear-f...
The race may well depend on Trump's endorsement (if he does).
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/no-clear-f...
No clear frontrunner in South Carolina
The Palmetto State’s GOP primary for governor has four high-profile contenders, each of whom could make a likely runoff
decisiondeskhq.substack.com
January 21, 2026 at 3:01 PM
DDHQ has a new polling average for South Carolina's GOP primary for governor. The 4 main contenders are all between 10-20%, with Rep. Nancy Mace & state AG Alan Wilson both around 19%.
The race may well depend on Trump's endorsement (if he does).
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/no-clear-f...
The race may well depend on Trump's endorsement (if he does).
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/no-clear-f...
Tonight, we're tracking six legislative and local races across the United States. You can find all the results at the link below.
In Georgia's 18th State Senate District, a Trump+22 seat, five Republicans and one Democrat are on the ballot. election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01...
In Georgia's 18th State Senate District, a Trump+22 seat, five Republicans and one Democrat are on the ballot. election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01...
January 20, 2026 Live Election Results | DDHQ
Live Election Night Results from Decision Desk HQ
election-night.decisiondeskhq.com
January 20, 2026 at 9:40 PM
Tonight, we're tracking six legislative and local races across the United States. You can find all the results at the link below.
In Georgia's 18th State Senate District, a Trump+22 seat, five Republicans and one Democrat are on the ballot. election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01...
In Georgia's 18th State Senate District, a Trump+22 seat, five Republicans and one Democrat are on the ballot. election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01...
ICYMI yesterday, this week's DDHQ newsletter covered 10 big elections to watch in the first three months of 2026. One of them is the #GA14 special on March 10 to fill the seat vacated by Marjorie Taylor Greene.
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/10-big-ele...
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/10-big-ele...
10 Big Elections in Q1 of 2026 🗳️🗓️
A look at the significant elections happening during the first three months of 2026
decisiondeskhq.substack.com
January 20, 2026 at 8:36 PM
ICYMI yesterday, this week's DDHQ newsletter covered 10 big elections to watch in the first three months of 2026. One of them is the #GA14 special on March 10 to fill the seat vacated by Marjorie Taylor Greene.
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/10-big-ele...
decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/10-big-ele...