carolinerose8.bsky.social
@carolinerose8.bsky.social
Director at the New Lines Institute researching military withdrawal, the captagon trade, and security in the Middle East | Adjunct Professor teaching on the crime-conflict nexus at Georgetown University | Past: MENA+Europe Analyst at Geopolitical Futures
I’ll be speaking as on a New Lines Institute panel next week, discussing the state of #Syria one year post-#Assad. The panel, which includes fellows Faysal Itani and Elizabeth Tsurkov, will be moderated by Murad Batal Shishani. Join us on December 9 at 11 a.m. ET.

us02web.zoom.us/j/81975720458
December 8, 2025 at 2:30 AM
“The Syrian regime collapsed on day 628 of the 903 days I spent in captivity. From my cell on a militia base in Iraq, I watched the news coverage for hours and wept with joy” writes Elizabeth Tsurkov, in her powerful piece for the New Lines Magazine.
Elizabeth Tsurkov
Elizabeth Tsurkov is a fellow at the New Lines Institute for Strategy and Policy and a doctoral candidate at Princeton University’s politics department.
newlinesmag.com
December 8, 2025 at 2:24 AM
Nihilistic Violent Extremism (NVE) among youth is on the rise in Southeast Asia, particularly in Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand. Online platforms for video games and social media have enabled violent ideologies to spread through impressionable youth.
Nihilistic Violent Extremism in Southeast Asia
Youth radicalization is becoming an issue of increasing concern in Southeast Asia. Much of the contemporary threat comes from nihilistic violent extremism, notably from adherents to something known as...
thesoufancenter.org
December 4, 2025 at 8:30 PM
My colleagues Andrew Loftesnes and Robert Kremzner just published an exigent analysis of Russia’s usage of gray zone tactics in their war against Ukraine, as part of the New Lines Institute’s Crime-Conflict Nexus Portfolio.
How Local Criminals Help Russia Fight a Gray Zone War in Europe - New Lines Institute
As Russia continues a long-running campaign of irregular warfare against the United States and its European allies, it has increasingly turned to criminal elements to carry out kinetic sabotage operations...
newlinesinstitute.org
December 4, 2025 at 8:28 PM
As #Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa’s new government begins to settle in, the world is starting to see what it looks like post-honeymoon period. The cracks are starting to show, writes Gareth Browne, in governance, the economy, and even the social contract.
www.economist.com
December 4, 2025 at 8:26 PM
I spoke to Asharq News recently developments between #Israel and #Syria this week. The US has a vested interest in sustaining a deconfliction agreement between the two countries, especially as Israel continues apply pressure in southern Syria.
December 4, 2025 at 3:03 PM
The US is moving to open its largest diplomatic facility in the Middle East, a Consulate General located in Erbil, #Iraq. The facility carries with it a message of US support for the Kurdish people in Iraq, as the city serves as the capital of Iraqi #Kurdistan.
www.newarab.com
December 2, 2025 at 4:57 PM
I was interviewed by Nada al-Taher from the National about the recent surge in #captagon trafficking in #Yemen. Trafficking of the drug has found a home in the country due to its instability and proximity to hubs of consumption and production.
Donkeys and drones: How Yemen is turning into drug transit hub for highest bidder | The National
'Interests transcend front lines' in country as narcotics trade 'explodes'
www.thenationalnews.com
December 2, 2025 at 4:56 PM
The US continues to increase pressure on #Venezuelan President Nicolas #Maduro. Previously laid out incentives for Maduro to step down have been retracted, with Trump now rejecting requests for amnesty and safe passage.
www.reuters.com
December 2, 2025 at 4:56 PM
The US is seeking a non-aggression pact between #Israel and #Syria, as the latter turns into a close friend of the US. Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu has made clear that any pact would need to guarantee a demilitarized zone from #Damascus to Jabal al-Sheikh.
Israel’s Netanyahu says deal with Syria possible but demands buffer zone
US is pushing for a non-aggression pact between Israel, Syria, but Netanyahu has shown little appetite for compromise.
www.aljazeera.com
December 2, 2025 at 4:55 PM
I'm pleased to announce that I've joined the Board of Directors for the Middle East Policy Council, an organization I've greatly admired throughout my career.

mepc.org/our-leadersh...
Our Leadership - Middle East Policy Council
Council Leadership Ms. Jasmine Zaki Chairwoman of the Board Mr. Leon Shahabian Vice-Chairman Dr. Ahmed Alwani President Dr. Azeem Ibrahim Vice President A.R. Joyce Secretary Mustafa Mustafa Treasurer…
mepc.org
December 2, 2025 at 4:55 PM
I spoke with BBC Arabic once again this week about the failed truce agreement in #Sudan, as turmoil in the country continues to heat up.
December 1, 2025 at 3:04 PM
I was interviewed by the New Arab about the complex relationship between #Israel and the new Syrian government. Israel, who has continuously struck targets in #Syria even after the fall of the #Assad regime, seeks to keep neighboring countries fragmented and weak.
www.newarab.com
December 1, 2025 at 3:04 PM
Overnight #Israeli raids on the #Syrian town of Beit Jinn claimed the lives of 13 people Friday morning. The raid, which was the deadliest of its kind in months, came as a result of a confrontation between residents of the village and Israeli troops.
Thirteen killed in deadliest Israeli raid for months in southern Syria
Israel said it was targeting militants in the village of Beit Jinn, but Syria's foreign ministry condemns what it called a "war crime".
www.bbc.com
December 1, 2025 at 3:03 PM
I recently joined BBC Arabic to speak about the failed truce agreement in #Sudan.
November 26, 2025 at 4:50 PM
US Secretary of the Army Daniel Driscoll is in #AbuDhabi today to meet with a #Russian delegation about peace with #Ukraine. The talks come as some administration officials fear revisions to the original proposal may send Putin away from the negotiating table.
www.nytimes.com
November 26, 2025 at 4:49 PM
I was recently spoke with Fox News correspondent William La Jeunesse about the #Trump administration’s strikes on drug boats leaving #Venezuela.

Watch the full clip here:
‘Trump is right and wrong’: Critics debate Trump’s potential multi-front conflict against drug cartels | Fox News Video
Fox News senior national correspondent William La Jeunesse has the latest on the escalating drug crisis, the role of fentanyl and U.S. military operations against suspected narco-terrorist boats on ‘America...
www.foxnews.com
November 24, 2025 at 6:17 PM
Yemeni security forces seized a boat containing over 600,000 #captagon pills this week. The boat, which was passing through the Bab al-Mandab strait off the coast of #Yemen, was stopped for operating without a license before officials found the illicit substances.
Yemen’s Giants Brigades Seize Boat Carrying 600,000 Captagon Pills Near Bab al-Mandab - Yemen Online |
Aden -- Security forces from Yemen’s Giants Brigades have intercepted a smuggling vessel near the strategic Bab al-Mandab Strait, uncovering a shipment of 600,000 Captagon
yemenonline.info
November 24, 2025 at 6:17 PM
The US-proposed ceasefire in #Sudan is being criticized as the “worst yet” by the top Sudanese General Abdel-Fattah Burhan. Burhan claims that the proposal undermine’s the military’s authority and capabilities while bolstering the rebel Rapid Support Forces (#RSF).
www.newarab.com
November 24, 2025 at 6:16 PM
#Israel’s first strikes in #Beirut in months were successful in killing Haitham Ali al-Tabtabai, #Hezbollah's chief of staff, over the weekend. Hezbollah condemned the strike, claiming Israel crossed a “red line” in al-Tabtabai’s assassination.
Israel kills top Hezbollah official in first attack on Beirut in months
Israel has escalated its campaign on targets it says are linked to Hezbollah, raising fears of a resumption of hostilities.
www.bbc.com
November 24, 2025 at 6:16 PM
I spoke with Asharq News this week about Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s Tuesday visit to the #WhiteHouse. The meeting, which comes as President #Trump approves F-35 sales to #SaudiArabia, was the first visit by the prince in 7 years.
November 20, 2025 at 8:01 PM
I sat down with Alaraby News to discuss the recent #UNSC Resolution endorsing US President Trump’s Gaza peace plan, which passed with abstentions from #China and #Russia.
November 20, 2025 at 8:01 PM
#Syrian officials conducted a drug raid in the #Badia region this week that resulted in seizures of over 246,000 #captagon pills, along with 105 kilograms of marijuana and other illicit substances. The narcotics were reportedly manufactured according to legal procedures.
Major drug haul seized by narcotics branch in Badia region
Syria’s Narcotics Directorate executed a precise security operation in the Badia region, resulting in the confiscation of large and varied amounts of illicit
sana.sy
November 20, 2025 at 8:01 PM
I spoke with Al Ghad TV this week about the recently #UNSC-endorsed US plan for the reconstruction of #Gaza.

Watch the full interview here:
تخدم إسرائيل وليست حلًّا جذريًّا.. خبيرة تكشف عن أهداف الخطة الأميركية في غزة| #الثالثة_والعشرون
يصوّت مجلس الأمن الدولي الاثنين على مشروع قرار أميركي يدعم خطة الرئيس دونالد ترامب للسلام في غزة، وخصوصا في ما...
www.youtube.com
November 20, 2025 at 7:58 PM
In one of #Lebanon’s highest profile drug arrests, kingpin Nouh Zaiter was apprehended by the Lebanese Army during a 5 a.m. raid this week. Zaiter led a drug clan that produced and trafficked #captagon, and frequently clashed with Lebanese forces.
today.lorientlejour.com
November 20, 2025 at 7:57 PM