captbullett
@captbullettp.bsky.social
Forecaster for Good Judgment Open, Metaculus, and Rand (RFI)
Pi Theta Kappa international Honor society from Santa Monica College
Pi Theta Kappa international Honor society from Santa Monica College
Pinned
captbullett
@captbullettp.bsky.social
· Jul 15
GitHub - captbullett65/MSCFT: Master SWARM Consensus Forecasting Template — structured methodology for forecast framing, analysis, and audit.
Master SWARM Consensus Forecasting Template — structured methodology for forecast framing, analysis, and audit. - captbullett65/MSCFT
github.com
🔷The MSCFT framework just hit over 1,000 GitHub views.
Built to bring structure to LLM forecasting and reduce cognitive bias in decision-making. New examples now live: medical node workflows and physics-based modeling chains.
GitHub: github.com/captbullett6...
OSF paper: osf.io/gbhu3
Built to bring structure to LLM forecasting and reduce cognitive bias in decision-making. New examples now live: medical node workflows and physics-based modeling chains.
GitHub: github.com/captbullett6...
OSF paper: osf.io/gbhu3
REALLY, REALLY F*****UP!
February 6, 2026 at 4:15 PM
REALLY, REALLY F*****UP!
Really need to improve the jury pool I think the children could do better at this point. LOL
February 6, 2026 at 3:23 PM
Really need to improve the jury pool I think the children could do better at this point. LOL
Reposted by captbullett
Psaki: Trump "is laying the groundwork to undermine the validity of the midterm elections ... He does not think he and his party can win on their own."
February 5, 2026 at 3:58 AM
Psaki: Trump "is laying the groundwork to undermine the validity of the midterm elections ... He does not think he and his party can win on their own."
I do not trust her to be mayor of LA as her actions did not help the LA fire victims, she is smoke and mirrors.
February 6, 2026 at 1:12 AM
I do not trust her to be mayor of LA as her actions did not help the LA fire victims, she is smoke and mirrors.
Finally, they are looking at AI correctly. Some will lose their job or reinvent themselves for the new technology just like when I had to adapt from running printing presses to learning computer technology.
February 5, 2026 at 3:38 PM
Finally, they are looking at AI correctly. Some will lose their job or reinvent themselves for the new technology just like when I had to adapt from running printing presses to learning computer technology.
On the lighter side of life.
February 5, 2026 at 3:28 PM
On the lighter side of life.
Chuck, Chuck he needs to retire like Mitch McConnell...
Masks might still be OK in "extraordinary and unusual circumstances," Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer said.
No, masks are never okay.
www.huffpost.com/entry/democr...
No, masks are never okay.
www.huffpost.com/entry/democr...
Democrats Ease Up On 1 Of Their Biggest ICE Demands
Masks might still be OK in "extraordinary and unusual circumstances," Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer said.
www.huffpost.com
February 5, 2026 at 12:20 AM
Chuck, Chuck he needs to retire like Mitch McConnell...
Shaking and baking Cali style !
February 4, 2026 at 3:55 PM
Shaking and baking Cali style !
Reposted by captbullett
Apparently morale at DOJ is so low that line attorneys are asking to be held in contempt so they can get some sleep yikes
February 3, 2026 at 9:15 PM
Apparently morale at DOJ is so low that line attorneys are asking to be held in contempt so they can get some sleep yikes
My ORCID # 0009-0006-3463-170X
to my OSF MSCFT academic paper PDF
to my OSF MSCFT academic paper PDF
February 3, 2026 at 9:00 PM
My ORCID # 0009-0006-3463-170X
to my OSF MSCFT academic paper PDF
to my OSF MSCFT academic paper PDF
The monks walking for peace-
one question ice hasn't messed with them I guess ice knows the monks would kick their ass.
🤫
one question ice hasn't messed with them I guess ice knows the monks would kick their ass.
🤫
February 3, 2026 at 1:58 AM
The monks walking for peace-
one question ice hasn't messed with them I guess ice knows the monks would kick their ass.
🤫
one question ice hasn't messed with them I guess ice knows the monks would kick their ass.
🤫
No way!
just to be torn down by the next president and worshiping false Idols - oh hell no!
just to be torn down by the next president and worshiping false Idols - oh hell no!
February 2, 2026 at 9:13 PM
No way!
just to be torn down by the next president and worshiping false Idols - oh hell no!
just to be torn down by the next president and worshiping false Idols - oh hell no!
So, two Hispanic men disrespecting their own people and killing Americans... Do I have that right?
BREAKING: The two federal immigration agents who fired on Minneapolis protester Alex Pretti are identified in government records as Border Patrol agent Jesus Ochoa and Customs and Border Protection officer Raymundo Gutierrez.
Two CBP Agents Identified in Alex Pretti Shooting
The two federal immigration agents who fired on Minneapolis protester Alex Pretti are identified in government records as Border Patrol agent Jesus Ochoa and Customs and Border Protection officer Raym...
www.propublica.org
February 2, 2026 at 4:00 PM
So, two Hispanic men disrespecting their own people and killing Americans... Do I have that right?
