Çağatay Cebe
@cagataycebe.bsky.social
Interested in Lebanon, Jihadi Movements and Security Affairs.
A look at how security pressure in Turkey and the Afghanistan–Pakistan region weakened ISIS’ Turkish-language media presence.
A Short Assessment of ISIS Turkish Media Service
A look at how security pressure in Turkey and the Afghanistan–Pakistan region weakened ISIS’s Turkish-language media presence.
open.substack.com
November 24, 2025 at 7:26 AM
A look at how security pressure in Turkey and the Afghanistan–Pakistan region weakened ISIS’ Turkish-language media presence.
The arrest of Halis Bayancuk, one of Turkey's well-known and rising religious figures, sparked a debate on social media between Sufis and Salafis in recent days.
The detentions that deepened the Sufi–Salafi tension on social media in Turkey
How the arrest of two Salafi figures after the 10 November debate reshaped discussions between religious communities.
open.substack.com
November 22, 2025 at 5:14 PM
The arrest of Halis Bayancuk, one of Turkey's well-known and rising religious figures, sparked a debate on social media between Sufis and Salafis in recent days.
JNIM in Mali issued a statement today calling on international organizations, businesspeople, student groups, and the working class. It created a narrative encompassing the people of the coastal region.
An interesting statement from al Qaeda in West Africa.
In their latest statement, JNIM calls on the international and local actors to investigate and tries to gain the support from locals in Mali and the rest of the Sahel.
open.substack.com
November 20, 2025 at 5:55 PM
JNIM in Mali issued a statement today calling on international organizations, businesspeople, student groups, and the working class. It created a narrative encompassing the people of the coastal region.
I'll publish some of my articles in English and Turkish on Substack.
To subscribe: fromcagataycebe.substack.com/welcome
To subscribe: fromcagataycebe.substack.com/welcome
November 17, 2025 at 12:00 PM
I'll publish some of my articles in English and Turkish on Substack.
To subscribe: fromcagataycebe.substack.com/welcome
To subscribe: fromcagataycebe.substack.com/welcome
I spoke with sheikhs from the al-Baggara, al-Ugeidat/Aqidat, and Masahadah tribes in eastern Syria. They shared their views on the SDF.
The View of Syrian Arab Tribes on the SDF
How Arab tribes in Syria see the SDF and why tensions continue in the region
fromcagataycebe.substack.com
November 16, 2025 at 3:51 PM
I spoke with sheikhs from the al-Baggara, al-Ugeidat/Aqidat, and Masahadah tribes in eastern Syria. They shared their views on the SDF.
During Trump and Sharaa's meeting, Syria announced its decision to join the anti-ISIS coalition politically, rather than militarily.
Two weeks ago, a Syrian official told me that Damascus had requested that the U.S. halt ground operations, though they could accept sharing intelligence against ISIS
Two weeks ago, a Syrian official told me that Damascus had requested that the U.S. halt ground operations, though they could accept sharing intelligence against ISIS
Syria officials: US strike on jihadi commander a message to rebel holdouts
A US strike that killed a prominent rebel in Syria in early October aimed to send a message to militants who refuse to join the new Syrian national army, Syrian sources told Al-Monitor.
www.al-monitor.com
November 11, 2025 at 7:46 AM
During Trump and Sharaa's meeting, Syria announced its decision to join the anti-ISIS coalition politically, rather than militarily.
Two weeks ago, a Syrian official told me that Damascus had requested that the U.S. halt ground operations, though they could accept sharing intelligence against ISIS
Two weeks ago, a Syrian official told me that Damascus had requested that the U.S. halt ground operations, though they could accept sharing intelligence against ISIS
"AFRICOM officials were concerned that the U.S. lacked the intelligence and assets to support expanding operations to Nigeria, one of the people familiar said."
Trump’s ‘guns-a-blazing’ threat to Nigeria shocked key players, aides
President Trump’s threat to go “guns-a-blazing” into Nigeria concerned U.S. military officials in Africa and surprised even those who had been pushing the issue.
www.washingtonpost.com
November 9, 2025 at 5:44 PM
"AFRICOM officials were concerned that the U.S. lacked the intelligence and assets to support expanding operations to Nigeria, one of the people familiar said."
Iran, Sudani said, is “a neighboring country with which we have friendly ties. But certainly, this friendship will not be at the expense of our national decisions and the interests of Iraq and Iraqis.”
Iraq’s Leader Seeks an Improbable Prize: Independence From the U.S. and Iran
Mohammed Shia al-Sudani is running for re-election Tuesday after managing to keep his country out of the region’s recent conflicts.
www.wsj.com
November 8, 2025 at 4:36 AM
Iran, Sudani said, is “a neighboring country with which we have friendly ties. But certainly, this friendship will not be at the expense of our national decisions and the interests of Iraq and Iraqis.”
Like Iran’s “axis of resistance” - a network of non-state actors loosely tied together under an Islamic revolutionary banner - the UAE’s “axis of secessionists” comprises a network of non-state actors tied together under a counterrevolutionary banner.
How Abu Dhabi built an axis of secessionists across the region
From North Africa to the Gulf, the UAE has aggressively expanded its counter-revolutionary strategy in the wake of the Arab Spring
www.middleeasteye.net
November 4, 2025 at 6:23 PM
Like Iran’s “axis of resistance” - a network of non-state actors loosely tied together under an Islamic revolutionary banner - the UAE’s “axis of secessionists” comprises a network of non-state actors tied together under a counterrevolutionary banner.
A sophisticated Chinese spy ship monitored Australian, Philippines, United States and New Zealand naval forces as they conducted joint exercises in the South China Sea last week.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
Chinese ship spies on Australia, Philippines and the US
A sophisticated Chinese spy ship monitors Australian, Philippines, United States and New Zealand naval forces as they conduct another round of joint exercises in the South China Sea.
www.abc.net.au
November 4, 2025 at 6:22 PM
A sophisticated Chinese spy ship monitored Australian, Philippines, United States and New Zealand naval forces as they conducted joint exercises in the South China Sea last week.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
"More than 200 million people are estimated to live in territories controlled by non-state armed groups."
Climate change is here to stay. So are armed groups. Ahead of COP30, here’s why that matters…
A Q&A unpacking the complex impacts of climate change on violent crises, and the increasingly important role of non-state actors.
www.thenewhumanitarian.org
November 4, 2025 at 6:03 PM
"More than 200 million people are estimated to live in territories controlled by non-state armed groups."
Defense Intelligence Agency and the State Department’s intelligence bureau, show an increase in the flow of material from the U.A.E. to the rebel RSF since the spring.
Exclusive | How U.A.E. Arms Bolstered a Sudanese Militia Accused of Genocide
Reports by U.S. intelligence agencies show an increase in the flow of materiel from the U.A.E. to the rebel Rapid Support Forces since the spring, according to U.S. officials.
www.wsj.com
November 4, 2025 at 5:09 PM
Defense Intelligence Agency and the State Department’s intelligence bureau, show an increase in the flow of material from the U.A.E. to the rebel RSF since the spring.
President Trump on Saturday threatened Nigeria with potential military action and said the United States might cut off aid, accusing the West African country’s government of failing to protect Christians.
Trump Threatens Military Action in Nigeria Over Protections for Christians
www.nytimes.com
November 2, 2025 at 5:27 AM
President Trump on Saturday threatened Nigeria with potential military action and said the United States might cut off aid, accusing the West African country’s government of failing to protect Christians.
My latest:
Sources ranging from former Hurras ad-Deen/al-Qaeda members to official army personnel emphasize that CENTCOM's use of the term "al-Qaeda" is merely a pretext, and that the real aim is to push jihadi groups not yet in the army's ranks to join.
Sources ranging from former Hurras ad-Deen/al-Qaeda members to official army personnel emphasize that CENTCOM's use of the term "al-Qaeda" is merely a pretext, and that the real aim is to push jihadi groups not yet in the army's ranks to join.
Syria officials: US strike on jihadi commander a message to rebel holdouts
A US strike that killed a prominent rebel in Syria in early October aimed to send a message to militants who refuse to join the new Syrian national army, Syrian sources told Al-Monitor.
www.al-monitor.com
October 27, 2025 at 9:05 AM
My latest:
Sources ranging from former Hurras ad-Deen/al-Qaeda members to official army personnel emphasize that CENTCOM's use of the term "al-Qaeda" is merely a pretext, and that the real aim is to push jihadi groups not yet in the army's ranks to join.
Sources ranging from former Hurras ad-Deen/al-Qaeda members to official army personnel emphasize that CENTCOM's use of the term "al-Qaeda" is merely a pretext, and that the real aim is to push jihadi groups not yet in the army's ranks to join.
Xi, who wants Trump to drop his tariffs on Chinese goods, ease access to U.S. technology like semiconductors and loosen restrictions on Chinese investments in the US, analysts said. The icing on the cake for Xi would be if Trump signaled he was open to reducing Washington’s support for Taiwan.
Asia, Caught in the Middle, Faces Trump and Xi’s Tug of War
www.nytimes.com
October 26, 2025 at 5:56 AM
Xi, who wants Trump to drop his tariffs on Chinese goods, ease access to U.S. technology like semiconductors and loosen restrictions on Chinese investments in the US, analysts said. The icing on the cake for Xi would be if Trump signaled he was open to reducing Washington’s support for Taiwan.
Jointly and separately, US and NATO forces conducted operations and exercises throughout the Arctic in recent weeks to counter increasing competition in the higher latitudes, officials from the forces have acknowledged.
US, NATO hone Arctic skills across High Northern latitudes
Jointly and separately, US and NATO forces conducted operations and exercises throughout the Arctic in recent weeks to counter increasing competition in the higher...
www.janes.com
October 25, 2025 at 7:29 AM
Jointly and separately, US and NATO forces conducted operations and exercises throughout the Arctic in recent weeks to counter increasing competition in the higher latitudes, officials from the forces have acknowledged.
Senior White House and Navy officials are in early discussions to replace the current mix of warships with a new “Golden Fleet” that would be better suited to counter China and other potential future threats, according to former and current officials.
Exclusive | Trump Pushes for New Classes of Navy Warships
The president is personally involved in discussions for what the Navy is calling the “Golden Fleet.” The new warships would be better suited to counter China and other potential future threats.
www.wsj.com
October 25, 2025 at 6:46 AM
Senior White House and Navy officials are in early discussions to replace the current mix of warships with a new “Golden Fleet” that would be better suited to counter China and other potential future threats, according to former and current officials.
ECFR warns that "Traoré is struggling to control territory beyond major urban centres, and many African and European analysts now fear Ouagadougou could fall to jihadist groups".
Around 60% of Burkina Faso’s territory is now believed to be beyond government authority.
Around 60% of Burkina Faso’s territory is now believed to be beyond government authority.
Burkina Faso: Will Ouagadougou fall to jihadists? - The Africa Report.com
Behind the patriotic propaganda and Russian backing, Burkina Faso’s military is losing ground fast and the once unthinkable prospect of an isolated capital now looms large as jihadist groups choke its...
www.theafricareport.com
October 22, 2025 at 8:11 PM
ECFR warns that "Traoré is struggling to control territory beyond major urban centres, and many African and European analysts now fear Ouagadougou could fall to jihadist groups".
Around 60% of Burkina Faso’s territory is now believed to be beyond government authority.
Around 60% of Burkina Faso’s territory is now believed to be beyond government authority.
“I want Chevron here for another 100 years,” Mr. Maduro said after Chevron got a U.S. permit to restart pumping oil. The company has been in Venezuela since 1923.
How a U.S. Oil Giant Became a Pillar of Venezuela’s Fragile Economy
www.nytimes.com
October 18, 2025 at 2:12 PM
“I want Chevron here for another 100 years,” Mr. Maduro said after Chevron got a U.S. permit to restart pumping oil. The company has been in Venezuela since 1923.
Missiles, Subs, and Drones: How China Plans to Sink a U.S. Aircraft Carrier
China's Plan to Sink U.S. Navy Aircraft Carriers Comes Down to 3 Words
A look inside China's A2/AD "bubble." How carrier-killer missiles, hypersonic weapons, and a "drone wall" are designed to keep the U.S. Navy and its aircraft carriers out.
nationalsecurityjournal.org
October 16, 2025 at 9:10 PM
Missiles, Subs, and Drones: How China Plans to Sink a U.S. Aircraft Carrier
Ermenistan-Azerbaycan barışının sağlanması Güney Kafkasya’da büyük bir değişim yaratabilir. Yıllardır kapalı olan sınırların açılmasıyla, bölgenin Avrupa ile Asya arasında bir transit merkezi haline gelmesine katkıda bulunarak küresel ekonomiye entegrasyonu güçlendirebilir.
Ermenistan ve Azerbaycan: Kalıcı Barışa Giden Zorlu Yol | International Crisis Group
Ermenistan ve Azerbaycan arasında ihtilafı sonlandıracak anlaşma imzaya hazır bekliyor. Barış, hem iki ülke hem de iki ülkenin bölgesel ekonomik entegrasyona dair ortak vizyonları için faydalı olur. B...
www.crisisgroup.org
October 16, 2025 at 9:10 PM
Ermenistan-Azerbaycan barışının sağlanması Güney Kafkasya’da büyük bir değişim yaratabilir. Yıllardır kapalı olan sınırların açılmasıyla, bölgenin Avrupa ile Asya arasında bir transit merkezi haline gelmesine katkıda bulunarak küresel ekonomiye entegrasyonu güçlendirebilir.
An elite Army Special Operations aviation unit (160th Special Operations Aviation Regiment) has been conducting flights in the southern Caribbean Sea near the coast of Venezuela.
U.S. B-52s and Helicopters Fly Near Venezuela in Show of Threats
www.nytimes.com
October 16, 2025 at 8:04 PM
An elite Army Special Operations aviation unit (160th Special Operations Aviation Regiment) has been conducting flights in the southern Caribbean Sea near the coast of Venezuela.
"...an interrogator revving a power drill near a blindfolded prisoner to scare him into divulging Al Qaeda secrets in the aftermath of the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks. In another, the interrogator is holding a handgun to the prisoner’s head."
Fragments of 2003 Cable Detail Torture in a Secret C.I.A. Prison
www.nytimes.com
October 16, 2025 at 7:46 AM
"...an interrogator revving a power drill near a blindfolded prisoner to scare him into divulging Al Qaeda secrets in the aftermath of the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks. In another, the interrogator is holding a handgun to the prisoner’s head."
"Together with a ban on Russian warships visiting Cyprus, which had previously supplied refueling and maintenance services, this was a major blow to the Russian presence in the Mediterranean."
Russia’s Submarine Problem Is Much Worse Than Many Imagine - Naval News
The Russian submarine Novorossiysk, an Improved Kilo-class vessel, has been forced to limp home to the Baltic after a mechanical failure in the Mediterranean. While some reports exaggerated its plight...
www.navalnews.com
October 16, 2025 at 7:30 AM
"Together with a ban on Russian warships visiting Cyprus, which had previously supplied refueling and maintenance services, this was a major blow to the Russian presence in the Mediterranean."
Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) has introduced a new generation of its Counter-Unmanned Aerial Systems (C-UAS) Swarm solution at AUSA 2025.
IAI unveils new generation multi-layered defence system against drone swarms at AUSA 2025
Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) has introduced a new generation of its Counter-Unmanned Aerial Systems (C-UAS) Swarm solution at AUSA 2025.
defence-industry.eu
October 16, 2025 at 4:50 AM
Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) has introduced a new generation of its Counter-Unmanned Aerial Systems (C-UAS) Swarm solution at AUSA 2025.