For more information on these findings and additional insights, refer to the paper. You can then hopefully conduct your own analyses on a variety of variables we collected for the database. Link here 👇 https://buff.ly/42cyaXX

Participating in an IMF program, which alters the nature of the fiscal targets, reduces errors related to external debt, but not to overall public debt.

This is systematic, especially for non-SIDS. It can be explained in large part by fiscal policy, and to a lesser extent by lower than anticipated growth.

📣 📚 New Release! We just published a Working Paper along with a comprehensive database that spans 1️⃣1️⃣ years and includes 6️⃣0️⃣5️⃣ Debt Sustainability Analyses for Low-Income Countries. Our goal is to allow researchers to dig into how debt projections are made and their impact.

Authors: @mkessler.bsky.social @brendanhv.bsky.social and Antoine Gaudin
Let us know what you think!

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