Brian O'Connell
banner
bpofsu.bsky.social
Brian O'Connell
@bpofsu.bsky.social
NFL and Golf player props. Zoo Professional. FSU & CSU alum || SFB14 || Go Gunners ||

Join my free golf betting discord⬇️

https://discord.gg/kY5TXu3U8r

Join my PGA DubClub ⬇️

https://dubclub.win/utm/cam-6r7eb
5 courses I took in college

The Philosophy of Science
Animal Behavior
Wine Tasting
Buddhism
Greek Mythology
January 31, 2026 at 5:30 AM
It is Trivia Tuesday! The first correct answers win a FREE MONTH of my DubClub!

Harris English's 4th round last year at the Farmers Insurance Open was +1. Name either of the golfers who won a tournament but had a worse score (more over par) in the 4th round in the '25 PGA season
January 27, 2026 at 4:44 PM
Reposted by Brian O'Connell
the nba postponed a game because the united states government is killing its citizens
January 24, 2026 at 7:51 PM
Two 60s, damn we got so close
I have a feeling we are going to see someone shoot a 59 today at the American Express
January 23, 2026 at 10:59 PM
I have a feeling we are going to see someone shoot a 59 today at the American Express
January 23, 2026 at 4:07 PM
Using my regression comparison tool, Jason Day and Harry Hall jump out as two massive regression candidates.

Harry Hall hit 2.41 SG below expected, and Jason Day had an incredible round, gaining 7.22 more strokes than expected.
January 23, 2026 at 2:55 AM
Harry Hall and Hideki Matsuyama are two golfers likely going in different directions today.

Based on my regression chart, Hall overperformed by nearly 3 strokes yesterday, while Matsuyama underperformed by 1.05 strokes.
January 16, 2026 at 1:37 PM
Below are the average stats for top 3 finishers at the Sony Open for the last three years:

Top 3 finishers averaged 1.10 SG App. JJ Spaun has one of the best approaches of golfers playing at the Sony, and had a T3 finish here last year. I really like him for a top 20 finish at -120 on DraftKings
January 14, 2026 at 10:31 PM
Want to find historical data for a tournament all in one place? My previews for PGA tournaments will contain weather, pin locations, and how holes played for every round in 2025.

Below is from Round 1 of the 2025 Sony Open
January 10, 2026 at 3:32 PM
It is Trivia Tuesday! One person who responds below will win a free month to my PGA DubClub!

The last time Scottie Scheffler did not lead the PGA in average Shots Gained: Approach per round was 2022. Who was the leader that year? (Min 30 SG rounds in PGA or Major Events)
January 6, 2026 at 3:17 PM
Here is one of my favorite features I am adding to my course previews this year.

For years, I have struggled to find reliable historical weather data. In every preview, I will match the course's 2025 weather to how the course played in each round.
January 5, 2026 at 6:07 PM
I’m starting to believe that drive accuracy is the most overrated statistic in golf betting
January 5, 2026 at 5:45 AM
For some reason, me and my GF started the tradition of doing the hot ones challenge every year on New Years Eve.

I just finished it this year and I already hate this tradition
January 1, 2026 at 5:17 AM
Looking ahead to the Sony Open

This is a table of average stats by finishing positions over the last three years

A few observations:
- Good putting and scrambling are essential stats for top 20 finishes
- Top 3 finishers have averaged more than double SG APP than golfers finishing 4th-20th
December 31, 2025 at 3:45 PM
It is Trivia Tuesday! One person who responds below will win a free month to my PGA DubClub!

In 2025, only two golfers had an average drive distance in a single round longer than Rory McIlroy's 334. 5 yards at the Truist Championship. Name either of these golfers.
December 30, 2025 at 3:45 PM
It’s wild that Scottie Scheffler’s 2025 felt like a step back from his 2024 because he only had 6 wins.

Statistically, his play was actually better in 2025 than 2024. His SG moving average also continues to get higher and higher

10+ wins next season isn’t out of the question
December 29, 2025 at 6:03 PM
I spent this PGA offseason searching for a new way to determine significant stats at a course besides correlation, and I settled on average stats for the top 20 finishers

To see what this looks like, below is a comparison of the rank for the top 20 finishers' stats and correlation for the Sony Open
December 28, 2025 at 5:24 PM
The PGA Tour regular season starts in less than 3 weeks!

If you join my DubClub before January 11th, you will be able to lock in my offseason price forever!

My offseason price is currently $5/month, but will increase to $15/month(or $5/week for weekly subscriptions) on January 11th.
December 27, 2025 at 3:38 PM
I am really excited about adding a new feature to my DubClub in 2026.

Golf is a game of regression. With this new tool, you will be able to compare regression to help you better bet on sportsbook matchups! It is fully customizable, so it will work for whatever sportsbook you use!
December 26, 2025 at 9:12 PM
Is your Fantasy Football season over? Well the PGA is just around the corner! Follow this link to join my free golf discord, where we have a community that talks about and bets on professional golf.

discord.gg/kY5TXu3U8r
December 24, 2025 at 9:11 PM
As much as I like Brooks Koepka, I don’t think the PGA should let him come back easy.

He is 35 and well past his prime, and missed the cut in 3/4 majors last year.

I don’t know the correct answer to this situation, but I don’t see him playing on the PGA tour soon.
December 24, 2025 at 7:15 PM
It is Trivia Tuesday! One person who responds below will win a free month to my PGA DubClub!

Several golfers had perfect fairway accuracy in a single round last year, but there was only one round where a golfer missed every fairway in 2025. Who was it? (Hint: Their last win was in 2024)
December 23, 2025 at 3:45 PM
I have been experimenting a lot with regression this offseason to add to my DubClub. Using last weekend's Hero World Challenge, here is a new tool I created to compare golfers for matchups. This is a comparison for Sam Burns vs Corey Conners for R4
December 15, 2025 at 2:08 AM
Prizepicks is finally giving us fairway lines again, and this one is waaaay too high
November 20, 2025 at 3:41 AM
Continuing the fine-tune my regression models for PGA during the Fall, so here are some guys I’m looking to fade tomorrow for Round 2 of the Butterfield Bermuda Championship.

These are how many more GIR these golfers hit than expected based on their last 40 round GIR average
November 14, 2025 at 1:08 AM