Ben Fawkes
@bfawkes22.bsky.social
Yahoo Senior Sports Betting Analyst | Former: ESPN, VSiN | Brooklyn born, fan of all teams Minnesota. DMs open
The Ohio State Buckeyes (6-0-1 ATS) are the last remaining undefeated team against the spread in college football
October 21, 2025 at 4:05 AM
The Ohio State Buckeyes (6-0-1 ATS) are the last remaining undefeated team against the spread in college football
Favorites have lost outright in the last four NFL prime-time games:
Rams -8.5 ❌
Bills -8❌
Chiefs -3.5❌
Eagles -7.5❌
Rams -8.5 ❌
Bills -8❌
Chiefs -3.5❌
Eagles -7.5❌
October 10, 2025 at 12:59 PM
Favorites have lost outright in the last four NFL prime-time games:
Rams -8.5 ❌
Bills -8❌
Chiefs -3.5❌
Eagles -7.5❌
Rams -8.5 ❌
Bills -8❌
Chiefs -3.5❌
Eagles -7.5❌
Most lopsided Week 1 NFL sides so far by total 💵 at @betmgm-sportsbook.bsky.social sportsbooks (current line shown):
95% of 💰 on Broncos -8
88% on Eagles -8
87% on Cardinals -6.5
83% on Jaguars -3.5
81% on Lions +2.5
76% on 49ers -2.5
74% on Steelers -3
95% of 💰 on Broncos -8
88% on Eagles -8
87% on Cardinals -6.5
83% on Jaguars -3.5
81% on Lions +2.5
76% on 49ers -2.5
74% on Steelers -3
September 2, 2025 at 10:13 PM
Most lopsided Week 1 NFL sides so far by total 💵 at @betmgm-sportsbook.bsky.social sportsbooks (current line shown):
95% of 💰 on Broncos -8
88% on Eagles -8
87% on Cardinals -6.5
83% on Jaguars -3.5
81% on Lions +2.5
76% on 49ers -2.5
74% on Steelers -3
95% of 💰 on Broncos -8
88% on Eagles -8
87% on Cardinals -6.5
83% on Jaguars -3.5
81% on Lions +2.5
76% on 49ers -2.5
74% on Steelers -3
Five most-bet Week 1 college football sides by total 💵 at @betmgm-sportsbook.bsky.social:
1. Texas +1 ❌
2. Alabama -14❌
3. Notre Dame -3 ❓
4. Clemson -4❌
5. Indiana -24❌
Tough start to the season for the betting public
1. Texas +1 ❌
2. Alabama -14❌
3. Notre Dame -3 ❓
4. Clemson -4❌
5. Indiana -24❌
Tough start to the season for the betting public
August 31, 2025 at 1:33 PM
Five most-bet Week 1 college football sides by total 💵 at @betmgm-sportsbook.bsky.social:
1. Texas +1 ❌
2. Alabama -14❌
3. Notre Dame -3 ❓
4. Clemson -4❌
5. Indiana -24❌
Tough start to the season for the betting public
1. Texas +1 ❌
2. Alabama -14❌
3. Notre Dame -3 ❓
4. Clemson -4❌
5. Indiana -24❌
Tough start to the season for the betting public
Notable Super Bowl 60 futures bet from Nevada bettor at Caesars:
➡️$8,000 on Indianapolis Colts to win Super Bowl LX at 125-1 odds
Bet would win $1 million.
It's the fourth reported seven-figure liability Super Bowl wager at legal U.S. sportsbooks
➡️$8,000 on Indianapolis Colts to win Super Bowl LX at 125-1 odds
Bet would win $1 million.
It's the fourth reported seven-figure liability Super Bowl wager at legal U.S. sportsbooks
August 28, 2025 at 6:55 PM
Notable Super Bowl 60 futures bet from Nevada bettor at Caesars:
➡️$8,000 on Indianapolis Colts to win Super Bowl LX at 125-1 odds
Bet would win $1 million.
It's the fourth reported seven-figure liability Super Bowl wager at legal U.S. sportsbooks
➡️$8,000 on Indianapolis Colts to win Super Bowl LX at 125-1 odds
Bet would win $1 million.
It's the fourth reported seven-figure liability Super Bowl wager at legal U.S. sportsbooks
Some notable Week 1 college football lines at @betmgm-sportsbook.bsky.social:
No. 1 Texas at No. 3 Ohio State (-1.5, 47.5)
No. 8 Alabama (-13.5, 50.5) at Florida State
No. 9 LSU at No. 4 Clemson (-4, 57.5)
No. 6 Notre Dame (-2.5, 49.5) at No. 10 Miami (FL)
No. 1 Texas at No. 3 Ohio State (-1.5, 47.5)
No. 8 Alabama (-13.5, 50.5) at Florida State
No. 9 LSU at No. 4 Clemson (-4, 57.5)
No. 6 Notre Dame (-2.5, 49.5) at No. 10 Miami (FL)
August 25, 2025 at 8:26 PM
Some notable Week 1 college football lines at @betmgm-sportsbook.bsky.social:
No. 1 Texas at No. 3 Ohio State (-1.5, 47.5)
No. 8 Alabama (-13.5, 50.5) at Florida State
No. 9 LSU at No. 4 Clemson (-4, 57.5)
No. 6 Notre Dame (-2.5, 49.5) at No. 10 Miami (FL)
No. 1 Texas at No. 3 Ohio State (-1.5, 47.5)
No. 8 Alabama (-13.5, 50.5) at Florida State
No. 9 LSU at No. 4 Clemson (-4, 57.5)
No. 6 Notre Dame (-2.5, 49.5) at No. 10 Miami (FL)
One Vegas oddsmaker on Minnesota Vikings QB J.J. McCarthy:
"Until he plays, I don’t know how I can rate him better than [Sam] Howell. I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s a bust."
"Until he plays, I don’t know how I can rate him better than [Sam] Howell. I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s a bust."
August 5, 2025 at 11:53 AM
One Vegas oddsmaker on Minnesota Vikings QB J.J. McCarthy:
"Until he plays, I don’t know how I can rate him better than [Sam] Howell. I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s a bust."
"Until he plays, I don’t know how I can rate him better than [Sam] Howell. I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s a bust."
Top 10 U.S. states by total sports betting $$ wagered, June 2025 (of states reporting so far):
1. New York: $1.65 BILLION
2. NJ: $790.4M
3. Ohio: $587M
4. Massachusetts: $533M
5. Nevada: $496.6M
6. PA: $483.6M
7. VA: $478M
8. NC: $433M
9. Maryland: $404M
10. TN: $352.5M
1. New York: $1.65 BILLION
2. NJ: $790.4M
3. Ohio: $587M
4. Massachusetts: $533M
5. Nevada: $496.6M
6. PA: $483.6M
7. VA: $478M
8. NC: $433M
9. Maryland: $404M
10. TN: $352.5M
August 2, 2025 at 1:15 PM
Top 10 U.S. states by total sports betting $$ wagered, June 2025 (of states reporting so far):
1. New York: $1.65 BILLION
2. NJ: $790.4M
3. Ohio: $587M
4. Massachusetts: $533M
5. Nevada: $496.6M
6. PA: $483.6M
7. VA: $478M
8. NC: $433M
9. Maryland: $404M
10. TN: $352.5M
1. New York: $1.65 BILLION
2. NJ: $790.4M
3. Ohio: $587M
4. Massachusetts: $533M
5. Nevada: $496.6M
6. PA: $483.6M
7. VA: $478M
8. NC: $433M
9. Maryland: $404M
10. TN: $352.5M
Notable Super Bowl LX bet at Hard Rock Bet:
$10,000 on Pittsburgh Steelers to win Super Bowl 60 at 40-1 odds
Bet would win $400,000
#HereWeGo
$10,000 on Pittsburgh Steelers to win Super Bowl 60 at 40-1 odds
Bet would win $400,000
#HereWeGo
July 29, 2025 at 12:48 PM
Notable Super Bowl LX bet at Hard Rock Bet:
$10,000 on Pittsburgh Steelers to win Super Bowl 60 at 40-1 odds
Bet would win $400,000
#HereWeGo
$10,000 on Pittsburgh Steelers to win Super Bowl 60 at 40-1 odds
Bet would win $400,000
#HereWeGo
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (12-1) have their best preseason odds to win the national championship since 2006, when they were +450
July 22, 2025 at 12:39 PM
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (12-1) have their best preseason odds to win the national championship since 2006, when they were +450
Three most-bet NFL teams to MISS the playoffs (by total wagers) at @betmgm-sportsbook.bsky.social:
1. Detroit Lions (+165)
2. New Orleans Saints (-800)
3. San Francisco 49ers (+150)
1. Detroit Lions (+165)
2. New Orleans Saints (-800)
3. San Francisco 49ers (+150)
July 18, 2025 at 1:39 PM
Three most-bet NFL teams to MISS the playoffs (by total wagers) at @betmgm-sportsbook.bsky.social:
1. Detroit Lions (+165)
2. New Orleans Saints (-800)
3. San Francisco 49ers (+150)
1. Detroit Lions (+165)
2. New Orleans Saints (-800)
3. San Francisco 49ers (+150)
Current NFL divisional favorites at BetMGM:
Bills -275
Ravens -145
Texans +110
Chiefs -120
Eagles -150
Lions +120
Bucs -105
49ers +160
Bills -275
Ravens -145
Texans +110
Chiefs -120
Eagles -150
Lions +120
Bucs -105
49ers +160
July 13, 2025 at 3:44 PM
Current NFL divisional favorites at BetMGM:
Bills -275
Ravens -145
Texans +110
Chiefs -120
Eagles -150
Lions +120
Bucs -105
49ers +160
Bills -275
Ravens -145
Texans +110
Chiefs -120
Eagles -150
Lions +120
Bucs -105
49ers +160
The Oklahoma City Thunder open with a 2025-26 win total of 62.5, the highest since the 2018-19 Golden State Warriors (62.5)
July 9, 2025 at 12:36 PM
The Oklahoma City Thunder open with a 2025-26 win total of 62.5, the highest since the 2018-19 Golden State Warriors (62.5)
The Miami Marlins have won eight straight games outright as underdogs:
+139 vs. ATL✅
+151 at SF✅
+194 at SF✅
+155 at SF✅
+146 at AZ✅
+142 at AZ✅
+163 at AZ✅
+128 vs. MIN✅
+139 vs. ATL✅
+151 at SF✅
+194 at SF✅
+155 at SF✅
+146 at AZ✅
+142 at AZ✅
+163 at AZ✅
+128 vs. MIN✅
July 2, 2025 at 3:16 AM
The Miami Marlins have won eight straight games outright as underdogs:
+139 vs. ATL✅
+151 at SF✅
+194 at SF✅
+155 at SF✅
+146 at AZ✅
+142 at AZ✅
+163 at AZ✅
+128 vs. MIN✅
+139 vs. ATL✅
+151 at SF✅
+194 at SF✅
+155 at SF✅
+146 at AZ✅
+142 at AZ✅
+163 at AZ✅
+128 vs. MIN✅
New York Yankees games have gone UNDER the total in 16 straight
June 29, 2025 at 1:50 PM
New York Yankees games have gone UNDER the total in 16 straight
The Oklahoma City Thunder open as +240 favorites to repeat at sportsbooks.
Those are best title odds since 2018-19 Golden State Warriors (-168)
Those are best title odds since 2018-19 Golden State Warriors (-168)
June 23, 2025 at 3:10 AM
The Oklahoma City Thunder open as +240 favorites to repeat at sportsbooks.
Those are best title odds since 2018-19 Golden State Warriors (-168)
Those are best title odds since 2018-19 Golden State Warriors (-168)
The Indiana Pacers are 7-3 ATS as a road underdog in this year's playoffs.
Betting public is backing Pacers to cover in Game 5 tonight in OKC, with 70%+ of wagers on Indiana +9.5 at multiple sportsbooks
Betting public is backing Pacers to cover in Game 5 tonight in OKC, with 70%+ of wagers on Indiana +9.5 at multiple sportsbooks
June 16, 2025 at 6:14 PM
The Indiana Pacers are 7-3 ATS as a road underdog in this year's playoffs.
Betting public is backing Pacers to cover in Game 5 tonight in OKC, with 70%+ of wagers on Indiana +9.5 at multiple sportsbooks
Betting public is backing Pacers to cover in Game 5 tonight in OKC, with 70%+ of wagers on Indiana +9.5 at multiple sportsbooks
Huge NBA Finals wager placed last night at MGM book in Las Vegas:
$1.05 MILLION on Oklahoma City Thunder to win series at -700 odds
Bet would win $150,000.
Biggest reported finals wager so far
$1.05 MILLION on Oklahoma City Thunder to win series at -700 odds
Bet would win $150,000.
Biggest reported finals wager so far
June 5, 2025 at 5:23 PM
Huge NBA Finals wager placed last night at MGM book in Las Vegas:
$1.05 MILLION on Oklahoma City Thunder to win series at -700 odds
Bet would win $150,000.
Biggest reported finals wager so far
$1.05 MILLION on Oklahoma City Thunder to win series at -700 odds
Bet would win $150,000.
Biggest reported finals wager so far
The @okcthunder.bsky.social are currently 9.5-point home favorites in Game 1 of the #NBAFinals vs. the @indiana-pacers.bsky.social
The last time a favorite that big lost Game 1 outright was all the way back in the 2001 Finals when the Lakers (-12) lost to Allen Iverson's 76ers 107-101 in OT.
The last time a favorite that big lost Game 1 outright was all the way back in the 2001 Finals when the Lakers (-12) lost to Allen Iverson's 76ers 107-101 in OT.
June 3, 2025 at 1:07 PM
The @okcthunder.bsky.social are currently 9.5-point home favorites in Game 1 of the #NBAFinals vs. the @indiana-pacers.bsky.social
The last time a favorite that big lost Game 1 outright was all the way back in the 2001 Finals when the Lakers (-12) lost to Allen Iverson's 76ers 107-101 in OT.
The last time a favorite that big lost Game 1 outright was all the way back in the 2001 Finals when the Lakers (-12) lost to Allen Iverson's 76ers 107-101 in OT.
The Golden State Warriors (+155 vs. Timberwolves) are underdogs in an NBA Playoff series for the first time in more than 10 years.
They were last underdogs before a series began in Round 1 of 2014 postseason (+170 vs. the Clippers, lost in 7)
They were last underdogs before a series began in Round 1 of 2014 postseason (+170 vs. the Clippers, lost in 7)
May 5, 2025 at 3:24 PM
The Golden State Warriors (+155 vs. Timberwolves) are underdogs in an NBA Playoff series for the first time in more than 10 years.
They were last underdogs before a series began in Round 1 of 2014 postseason (+170 vs. the Clippers, lost in 7)
They were last underdogs before a series began in Round 1 of 2014 postseason (+170 vs. the Clippers, lost in 7)
2025 post-NFL Draft over/unders at @betmgm-sportsbook.bsky.social:
11.5: BAL, BUF, KC, PHI
10.5: DET, SF
9.5: CIN, DEN, GB, HOU, LAC, LAR, TB, WAS
8.5: AZ, CHI, MIA, MIN, PIT
7.5: ATL, DAL, IND, JAX, NE, SEA
6.5: CAR, LV, NO
5.5: NYG, NYJ, TEN
4.5: CLE
11.5: BAL, BUF, KC, PHI
10.5: DET, SF
9.5: CIN, DEN, GB, HOU, LAC, LAR, TB, WAS
8.5: AZ, CHI, MIA, MIN, PIT
7.5: ATL, DAL, IND, JAX, NE, SEA
6.5: CAR, LV, NO
5.5: NYG, NYJ, TEN
4.5: CLE
April 28, 2025 at 3:55 PM
2025 post-NFL Draft over/unders at @betmgm-sportsbook.bsky.social:
11.5: BAL, BUF, KC, PHI
10.5: DET, SF
9.5: CIN, DEN, GB, HOU, LAC, LAR, TB, WAS
8.5: AZ, CHI, MIA, MIN, PIT
7.5: ATL, DAL, IND, JAX, NE, SEA
6.5: CAR, LV, NO
5.5: NYG, NYJ, TEN
4.5: CLE
11.5: BAL, BUF, KC, PHI
10.5: DET, SF
9.5: CIN, DEN, GB, HOU, LAC, LAR, TB, WAS
8.5: AZ, CHI, MIA, MIN, PIT
7.5: ATL, DAL, IND, JAX, NE, SEA
6.5: CAR, LV, NO
5.5: NYG, NYJ, TEN
4.5: CLE
“Bookmakers hate the draft. We torch five to six figures a year on it.”
My latest for @yahoosports.bsky.social on why oddsmakers hate the NFL Draft:
sports.yahoo.com/nfl/article/...
My latest for @yahoosports.bsky.social on why oddsmakers hate the NFL Draft:
sports.yahoo.com/nfl/article/...
2025 NFL Draft betting, odds, lines: 'A necessary evil' — Why bookmakers hate the NFL Draft
Why do oddsmakers hate the NFL Draft? We asked them (and some sharp bettors) to find out.
sports.yahoo.com
April 22, 2025 at 1:03 PM
“Bookmakers hate the draft. We torch five to six figures a year on it.”
My latest for @yahoosports.bsky.social on why oddsmakers hate the NFL Draft:
sports.yahoo.com/nfl/article/...
My latest for @yahoosports.bsky.social on why oddsmakers hate the NFL Draft:
sports.yahoo.com/nfl/article/...
Very excited to join @yahoosports.bsky.social as their Senior Sports Betting Analyst
March 11, 2025 at 2:56 AM
Very excited to join @yahoosports.bsky.social as their Senior Sports Betting Analyst
Five biggest reported #SuperBowlLIX wagers:
1. $800K on Eagles ML +110 at @betmgmsportsbook.bsky.social
2. $750K on PHI ML +110 at BetMGM
3. $500K on PHI +1.5 (-115) at @dksportsbook.bsky.social
4. $500K on PHI ML (EVEN) at BetMGM
5. $400K on PHI +4 (-198) at
@caesarssports.bsky.social
1. $800K on Eagles ML +110 at @betmgmsportsbook.bsky.social
2. $750K on PHI ML +110 at BetMGM
3. $500K on PHI +1.5 (-115) at @dksportsbook.bsky.social
4. $500K on PHI ML (EVEN) at BetMGM
5. $400K on PHI +4 (-198) at
@caesarssports.bsky.social
February 9, 2025 at 10:02 PM
Five biggest reported #SuperBowlLIX wagers:
1. $800K on Eagles ML +110 at @betmgmsportsbook.bsky.social
2. $750K on PHI ML +110 at BetMGM
3. $500K on PHI +1.5 (-115) at @dksportsbook.bsky.social
4. $500K on PHI ML (EVEN) at BetMGM
5. $400K on PHI +4 (-198) at
@caesarssports.bsky.social
1. $800K on Eagles ML +110 at @betmgmsportsbook.bsky.social
2. $750K on PHI ML +110 at BetMGM
3. $500K on PHI +1.5 (-115) at @dksportsbook.bsky.social
4. $500K on PHI ML (EVEN) at BetMGM
5. $400K on PHI +4 (-198) at
@caesarssports.bsky.social
One bettor at @betmgmsportsbook.bsky.social in Nevada has wagered $1.1 million on the @philadelphiaeagles.bsky.social in Super Bowl 59:
$800,000 on Eagles ML +110
$300,000 on Eagles 1H +0.5
$800,000 on Eagles ML +110
$300,000 on Eagles 1H +0.5
February 4, 2025 at 6:32 PM
One bettor at @betmgmsportsbook.bsky.social in Nevada has wagered $1.1 million on the @philadelphiaeagles.bsky.social in Super Bowl 59:
$800,000 on Eagles ML +110
$300,000 on Eagles 1H +0.5
$800,000 on Eagles ML +110
$300,000 on Eagles 1H +0.5