Baseball Trade Values
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Baseball Trade Values
@baseballvalues.bsky.social
BTV is a website where baseball fans and experts can find updated player trade values and make realistic trade proposals.

https://www.baseballtradevalues.com
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ICYMI: Out of 81 real-life trades this offseason, 77 were accepted by the BTV model, for a 95.1% hit rate.

Check out the full analysis from @johnbitzer.bsky.social here: www.baseballtradevalues.com/articles/off...
Baseball Trade Values: Offseason Trade Market Results and Trends
Now that we’re well into the 2025 season, it’s time to do our semi-annual check of our model’s correlation to the market this...
www.baseballtradevalues.com
NEW PODCAST EPISODE!

@johnbitzer.bsky.social and @jiversen.bsky.social recap the 2025 trade deadline, including the market trends, the busiest teams, the model's performance and much more:

www.baseballtradevalues.com/podcasts/the...
Baseball Trade Values: The BTV Podcast, Episode 123: 2025 Trade Deadline Recap
Welcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@johnbitzer2) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen...
www.baseballtradevalues.com
August 4, 2025 at 3:53 PM
Despite all of the activity at this year's deadline, there were still some contenders who didn't address their biggest needs. @johnbitzer.bsky.social breaks down what it would have cost the #Cubs and #RedSox to add a big starting pitcher:

www.baseballtradevalues.com/articles/tra...
Baseball Trade Values: Trades That Should Have Happened, But Didn't
Now that the deadline has passed, we can see more clearly that some teams didn't fill all their needs. In particular, the Cubs and Red Sox both...
www.baseballtradevalues.com
August 2, 2025 at 5:24 PM
Now that the deadline has passed and the dust has settled, it's time to look back and evaluate the model's performance.

The results? Pretty good, with a slight improvement over last summer.

@johnbitzer.bsky.social goes further in depth:

www.baseballtradevalues.com/articles/202...
Baseball Trade Values: 2025 Trade Deadline Analysis: How Did Our Model Do?
How did our model do at the 2025 deadline?   Starting with the Josh Naylor trade, here’s the scorecard:   Number of trades:...
www.baseballtradevalues.com
August 1, 2025 at 7:21 PM
And that's a wrap!

We'll have our usual post-deadline coverage and analysis in the coming days, but for now, we're taking a short break to catch our breath.

That was a lot of fun! As always, thank you for all of your continued support!
July 31, 2025 at 11:02 PM
Today the #Brewers reportedly acquired RHP Shelby Miller ($0.4M surplus trade value), LHP Jordan Montgomery (-$7.5M) and cash ($5.5M) from the #DBacks in exchange for a PTBNL or cash.

The deal is tentatively accepted by our model, pending the PTBNL.
July 31, 2025 at 11:00 PM
Today the #Tigers reportedly acquired RHP Charlie Morton (-$3.2M surplus trade value) from the #Orioles in exchange for LHP Micah Ashman (not yet in system).

The deal is tentatively accepted by our model as a minor overpay by Detroit, pending Ashman's addition.
July 31, 2025 at 10:39 PM
Today the #Royals acquired OF Mike Yastrzemski ($0.5M surplus trade value) from the #SFGiants in exchange for RHP Yunior Marte ($1.2M).

The deal is accepted by our model.
July 31, 2025 at 10:39 PM
Today the #Astros reportedly acquired SS Carlos Correa (-$35.1M surplus trade value) and cash (reportedly $33M) from the #MNTwins in exchange for LHP Matt Mikulski (not yet in system).

The deal is tentatively accepted by our model as a minor overpay by HOU, pending Mikulski's.
July 31, 2025 at 10:35 PM
Today the #Phillies acquired RHP Matt Manning ($0.1M surplus trade value) from the #Tigers in exchange for OF Josueth Quinonez (not yet in system).

The deal is tentatively accepted by our model, pending Quinonez's addition.
July 31, 2025 at 10:32 PM
Today the #RedSox reportedly acquired RHP Dustin May ($2.3M surplus trade value) from the #Dodgers in exchange for OFs James Tibbs ($9.1M) and Zach Ehrhard ($2.5M).

The deal is rejected by our model as an overpay by Boston.
July 31, 2025 at 10:25 PM
Today the #Rays reportedly acquired RHP Adrian Houser ($4.5M surplus trade value) from the #WhiteSox    in exchange for 1B Curtis Mead ($3.3M).

The deal is accepted by our model.
July 31, 2025 at 10:23 PM
Today the #Yankees acquired RHP Camilo Doval ($3.5M trade value) from the #SFGiants in exchange for C Jesus Rodriguez ($1.8M), RHP Trystan Vrieling ($1.4M), LHP Carlos De La Rosa ($0.2M) and IF Parks Harber (not in system)

Deal tentatively accepted by our model, pending Harber
July 31, 2025 at 10:19 PM
Today the #Rays reportedly acquired RHP Griffin Jax ($25.7M surplus trade value) from the #MNTwins in exchange for RHP Taj Bradley ($30.2M).

The deal is accepted by our model as a minor overpay by Tampa Bay.
July 31, 2025 at 10:14 PM
Today the #BlueJays reportedly acquired RHP Louis Varland ($13.4M surplus trade value) and 1B Ty France ($1.3M) from the #MNTwins in exchange for OF Alan Rosen ($10.3M) and LHP Kendry Rojas ($5.2M).

The deal is accepted by our model.
July 31, 2025 at 10:11 PM
Today the #Rangers reportedly acquired RHP Phil Maton ($2.0M surplus trade value) from the #STLCards in exchange for RHP Skylar Hales ($1.6M), LHP Mason Molina (not yet in system) and international bonus pool money.

The deal is tentatively accepted by our model, pending Molina
July 31, 2025 at 10:09 PM
Today the #Rangers reportedly acquired RHP Merrill Kelly ($4.8M surplus trade value) from the #DBacks in exchange for LHPs Kohl Drake ($7.8M) and Mitch Bratt ($2.9M) and RHP Dave Hagaman ($2.8M) ($13.5M total)

The deal is rejected by our model as an overpay by Texas.
July 31, 2025 at 10:00 PM
Today the #Padres reportedly acquired LHP Nestor Cortes ($2.3M surplus trade value) from the #Brewers in exchange for OF Brandon Lockridge ($0.4M).

The deal is accepted by our model.
July 31, 2025 at 9:57 PM
Today the #Yankees reportedly acquired UT Jose Caballero ($6.8M surplus trade value) from the #Rays in exchange for OF Everson Pereira ($0.0M) and a PTBNL.

The deal is accepted by our model as a major underpay by NYY.
July 31, 2025 at 9:55 PM
Today the #Royals reportedly acquired LHP Bailey Falter ($3.6M surplus trade value) from the #Pirates in exchange for LHP Evan Sisk ($0.6M) and 1B Callan Moss (not yet in system).

The deal is tentatively accepted by our model as a minor underpay by KC, pending Moss's addition.
July 31, 2025 at 9:51 PM
Today the #Cubs reportedly acquired UT Willi Castro ($3.1M surplus trade value) from the #MNTwins in exchange for RHPs Sam Armstrong ($1.0M) and Ryan Gallagher ($1.0M) ($2.0M total).

The deal is accepted by our model.
July 31, 2025 at 9:48 PM
Today the #Padres reportedly acquired OF Ramon Laureano ($6.6M surplus trade value) and 1B Ryan O'Hearn ($4.1M) ($10.7M total) from the #Orioles in exchange for LHP Boston Bateman ($2.3M), RHPs Tyson Neighbors ($2.3M) and Tanner Smith (not yet in system)

Cont'd...
July 31, 2025 at 9:40 PM
Today the #Angels reportedly acquired IF Oswald Peraza ($0.0M surplus trade value) from the #Yankees in exchange for OF Wilberson De Pena (not yet in system) and international bonus pool money.

The deal is tentatively accepted by our model, pending De Pena's addition.
July 31, 2025 at 9:39 PM
Today the #Dodgers reportedly acquired OF Alex Call ($3.4M surplus trade value) from the #Nationals in exchange for RHPs Sean Paul Liñan ($2.3M) and Eriq Swan ($1.7M) ($4.0M total).

The deal is accepted by our model.
July 31, 2025 at 9:14 PM
Today the #Rangers acquired LHP Danny Coulombe ($0.9M surplus trade value) from the #MNTwins in exchange for LHP Garrett Horn ($1.0M).

The deal is accepted by our model.
July 31, 2025 at 9:12 PM
Today the #Padres acquired UT Will Wagner ($5.7M surplus trade value) from the #BlueJays in exchange for C Brandon Valenzuela ($1.2M).

The deal is accepted by our model as a moderate underpay by San Diego.
July 31, 2025 at 9:00 PM