Aura Sabadus
banner
asabadus.bsky.social
Aura Sabadus
@asabadus.bsky.social
Journalist, researcher, world watcher. Passionate about the Black Sea region
Reposted by Aura Sabadus
For decades, the Kremlin has sought to deepen Europe’s addiction to Russian fossil fuels. A new report by @asabadus.bsky.social highlights a unique opportunity for Ukraine and Europe to diversify their gas resources away from Russia.
Seas of Opportunity: Integrating Gas Markets from the Baltic to the Balkans
A new Baltic-to-Balkan pipeline initiative, circumventing Brussels and European governments, would be a crucial next step for Ukraine.
buff.ly
April 14, 2025 at 1:46 PM
Reposted by Aura Sabadus
Check out the full report to read how @asabadus.bsky.social addresses an opportunity for the Three Seas Initiative to support and secure Ukraine’s LNG resources.
Seas of Opportunity: Integrating Gas Markets from the Baltic to the Balkans
A new Baltic-to-Balkan pipeline initiative, circumventing Brussels and European governments, would be a crucial next step for Ukraine.
cepa.org
April 14, 2025 at 1:46 PM
Dean Acheson’s ‘Present at the Creation’ is due for a sequel.

Like the 51st US secretary of state who watched a new world order emerging from the ashes of the Second World War, we are the witnesses (and architects) of its demise.

Some thoughts: aurasabadus.substack.com/p/present-at...
Present at the demise
Dean Acheson’s ‘Present at the Creation’ is due for a sequel: ‘Present at the Demise.’
aurasabadus.substack.com
March 8, 2025 at 2:43 PM
Reposted by Aura Sabadus
The America I know does not betray friends or stub allies in the back. It does not kick the victim of a vicious attack in the gut while that victim is fighting for survival. #standWithUkraine

open.substack.com/pub/chakhoya...
Ukraine’s Fight is Our Fight
Peace through strength means: Russia must lose and Ukraine must win. No other path to durable peace exists.
open.substack.com
February 28, 2025 at 9:49 PM
Reposted by Aura Sabadus
I can't stand bullies. President Zelensky is now trying to stand up against two of them. We should have his back. #SlavaUkraïni
February 28, 2025 at 6:49 PM
Reposted by Aura Sabadus
"The choice is stark: will we stand up with 🇺🇦 to help it drive the invaders out & prove freedom still matters?
Or will we surrender the moral clarity we once knew to fear and apathy?
🇺🇦’s courage is an awesome gift—we must not waste it."
my latest on substack 👇
chakhoyan.substack.com/p/make-freed...
Make freedom reign again
Hesitate and falter, or help Ukraine win. There is no middle ground.
chakhoyan.substack.com
February 26, 2025 at 12:29 PM
Putin wants to break us apart. We must never allow this to happen. We stand together through thick and thin.

#StandwithUkraine, #Together
February 19, 2025 at 7:04 PM
Given the circumstances, it is my moral duty as an Eastern European to renew my solidarity with Ukraine.

#Together, #StandwithUkraine
February 19, 2025 at 5:33 PM
Reposted by Aura Sabadus
Nice one, @asabadus.bsky.social ! "Ideally, the United States will work closely with the EU and UK in the coming months to expand current sanctions on the Russian energy sector while also working to tighten up the implementation of existing measures."

www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrain...
Can increased energy sector sanctions pressure Putin into peace talks?
US President Donald Trump has warned Russia that he will impose economic measures including taxes, tariffs, and sanctions unless Russian President Vladimir Putin agrees to end the war in Ukraine, writ...
www.atlanticcouncil.org
January 30, 2025 at 7:47 AM
Reposted by Aura Sabadus
"From the Baltic Sea to the Adriatic a new gas pipeline network would aid Europe and halt Russia’s energy blackmail." @asabadus.bsky.social and Wojciech Jakóbik
Hurting Putin: The Russian Gas Pipe Bypass
From the Baltic Sea to the Aegean a new gas pipeline network would aid Europe and halt Russia’s energy blackmail.
buff.ly
January 25, 2025 at 1:30 PM
#Ukraine's gas transit bet: A zero-sum game for itself, Moldova, Europe and Russia?

aurasabadus.substack.com/p/ukraines-g...
Ukraine's gas transit bet: a zero-sum game?
More than a week has passed since the Russian gas transit via Ukraine has stopped.
aurasabadus.substack.com
January 8, 2025 at 10:03 PM
Reposted by Aura Sabadus
"It has taken a decision by Ukraine, a non-EU member, to remind the continent of the duty to clean up its act." @asabadus.bsky.social
Ukraine Ends Party for Europe’s Gas Addicts
Ukraine has halted Russian gas flows across its territory. But is this the end of the continent’s turbulent energy relationship with Russia?
buff.ly
January 5, 2025 at 3:00 PM
Reposted by Aura Sabadus
"I find it extraordinary that given the gravity of the crisis, where schools and kindergartens are shut and people freeze in their homes, the authorities in Tiraspol refuse to accept Moldova’s help." @asabadus.bsky.social
Pro-Russian Moldovan separatists refuse EU gas despite humanitarian crisis warnings
Leaked correspondence shows Transnistria was offered alternatives to Russian gas amid a winter energy catastrophe — but officials said no.
buff.ly
January 3, 2025 at 7:21 PM
Reposted by Aura Sabadus
"Ukraine has halted Russian gas flows across its territory. But is this the end of the continent’s turbulent energy relationship with Russia?" @asabadus.bsky.social
Ukraine Ends Party for Europe’s Gas Addicts
Ukraine has halted Russian gas flows across its territory. But is this the end of the continent’s turbulent energy relationship with Russia?
buff.ly
January 3, 2025 at 7:30 PM
‼️ No day-ahead capacity offered at #Ukraine's Sudzha border point with Russia and no gas flows nominated for 1 Jan.

Russian transit likely to stop subject to final nominations data expected later in the evening on 31 Dec

After a temporary halt we may see discussions resume in the new year
December 31, 2024 at 2:52 PM
The clock is ticking on #Ukraine's russian #naturalgas transit.

Who may be the winners and losers of this long-drawn-out gamble?

Some final thoughts at the end of the year and my best wishes for a better 2025.

aurasabadus.substack.com/p/winners-an...
Winners and losers in Ukraine's gas transit gamble
Within a few hours, Ukraine’s long-running transit agreement is set to expire but we are (still) none the wiser whether it will continue beyond 1 January 2025 or not.
aurasabadus.substack.com
December 31, 2024 at 12:50 AM
Reposted by Aura Sabadus
According to ENTSO-E policy, no member country can cut supplies without providing proof of security of supply risks, while decisions to do so need to be discussed and approved by the entso-e board @asabadus.bsky.social

aurasabadus.substack.com/p/debunking-...
Debunking Fico's Ukraine gas transit myths
A week after his secretive visit to Moscow, the Slovak prime minister Robert Fico has threatened to cut electricity exports to Ukraine if Kyiv refuses to continue transiting Russian gas after the expi...
aurasabadus.substack.com
December 30, 2024 at 9:53 AM
A week after his secretive visit to Moscow, the #Slovak prime minister Robert Fico has sent a letter to European Parliament and Commission presidents, warning of economic catastrophe based on unverified claims.

Sergiy Makogon and I debunk these claims.

aurasabadus.substack.com/p/debunking-...
Debunking Fico's Ukraine transit myths
A week after his secretive visit to Moscow, the Slovak prime minister Robert Fico has threatened to cut electricity exports to Ukraine if Kyiv refuses to continue transiting Russian gas after the expi...
aurasabadus.substack.com
December 29, 2024 at 10:44 PM
Reposted by Aura Sabadus
“Despite reams of evidence that Russia uses gas exports to inflict harm on Europe, buyers in Moscow-friendly countries are now pressuring Ukraine to continue the transit from 2025,” @asabadus.bsky.social, Sergiy Makogon, and Benjamin Schmitt
Russia's multi-billion dollar revenue stream may soon grind to a halt, thanks to Ukraine. Its ripple effects could hit Europe
Despite the war, Russia has long had a deal in place to transit its gas exports via Ukraine to Europe.
fortune.com
December 28, 2024 at 4:34 PM
‼️ In an unprecedented move, #Slovakia’s Fico has threatened to cut electricity supplies to #Ukraine from 01.01 if UA refuses to continue transiting russian gas once the current deal expires that day. The @EU_Commission and @ENTSO_E need to intervene urgently.
December 27, 2024 at 8:23 PM
Reposted by Aura Sabadus
December 23, 2024 at 8:16 AM
Reposted by Aura Sabadus
Russia will not win. Evil will be crushed.
#GeorgiaProtests
December 22, 2024 at 9:02 PM
Reposted by Aura Sabadus
Tales of the Unexpected: How Ukraine May Save Russia’s Gas Industry | "Ukraine has a historic opportunity to slam the door on Russian gas imports. But will it?" @asabadus.bsky.social
Tales of the Unexpected: How Ukraine May Save Russia’s Gas Industry
Ukraine has a historic opportunity to slam the door on Russian gas imports when the current deal ends on January 1. But will it?
cepa.org
December 18, 2024 at 7:58 PM
December 18, 2024 at 11:23 AM
In this piece with #CEPA fellow Sergiy Makogon, we note that instead of creating a roadmap towards integration with Transnistria and securing alternative gas supplies, a handful of Moldovan state representatives are seeking to perpetuate MD's reliance on russian gas.

cepa.org/article/mold...
Moldova Seeks a Russian Noose for its Energy Supplies
Moldovan government officials have been traveling to Russia to secure cheap Russian gas ahead of the upcoming elections.
cepa.org
December 3, 2024 at 11:35 AM