Antônio Sampaio
antoniosamp.bsky.social
Antônio Sampaio
@antoniosamp.bsky.social
Independent researcher and PhD candidate at the War Studies Department, King's College London. Focused on urban safety, violence prevention, crime and conflict. Previously Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime, IISS. Former journalist.
I had the honour of contributing to this incredible volume by the Inter-American Development Bank on Amazonian cities.

Gabriel Funari and I describe how urbanisation is affecting security in the Amazon, and point to potential policy solutions.
publications.iadb.org/en/cities-am...
November 7, 2025 at 10:37 AM
There is growing concern about climate change intensifying security risks, especially crime.

But in current global context security policies need to do + w/ - resources.

Challenging issues at #BCSC Berlin Climate and Security Conference.
October 23, 2025 at 12:12 PM
Siege of El Fasher city in Sudan: 'More than 90% reported their homes had been destroyed, damaged or looted before they fled'. www.theguardian.com/global-devel...
Thousands trapped in El Fasher siege on ‘edge of survival’, says report
The city – the Sudanese army’s last stronghold in the west of the country – has withstood more than 500 days of attacks by paramilitary RSF
www.theguardian.com
October 15, 2025 at 7:36 AM
This story and this picture are so important for us to understand violence. The boundaries between us vs them can turn even ‘ordinary’ ppl into murderers.

apple.news/AM-NKeTpzQvK...
The shocking truth about the photograph of the ‘ordinary’ Nazi and its chilling message for us today — The Independent
It is the picture which showed the true horror of the second-world war – a man blithely shooting Jewish prisoners and watching them fall into a mass grave. His identity has finally been revealed and i...
apple.news
October 9, 2025 at 9:01 AM
Had the pleasure of contributing to Monocle Radio, commenting on the top stories today w/ @andrewmueller.bsky.social @burcuozcelik.bsky.social. Particularly important discussion on the impact of urban warfare on Gaza.
September 16, 2025 at 7:57 PM
My views on how the practice of violence prevention can better adapt to contexts affected by organised crime: globalinitiative.net/analysis/loc...
Strong local institutions and governance are key to preventing violence and organized crime in cities
Armed violence in our communities is a pervasive problem that has damaged public trust in institutions in countries ranging from El Salvador to Sweden. The impact of violence on people’s lives and on ...
globalinitiative.net
August 19, 2025 at 12:52 PM
The increasing occurrence urban warfare is one aspect of a broader trend: the blurring between warfare and civilian life. @2eatsoup.bsky.social writes a great think piece for @icrc.org on how the use of technology is allowing these two spheres to come even closer: blogs.icrc.org/law-and-poli...
The shifting battlefield: technology, tactics, and the risk of blurring lines in warfare - Humanitarian Law & Policy Blog
The accelerating integration of emerging technologies into armed conflict is transforming not only the tools of war, but its tactics, geography, participants and impact. Technological developments – f...
blogs.icrc.org
May 22, 2025 at 11:21 AM
It’s Friday and even before I finish work I got a treat: this dog sitting next to me in a cafe came to say hi several times. Why can’t life (and humans!) be as simple as dogs?
May 16, 2025 at 2:11 PM
Excavators are an integral part of current military activities in Gaza - the role of urban destruction for control of cities in current urban war is high (also seen in Syria by Assad regime).
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Gazans Once Escaped To Rafah. Now Israel Is Razing It.
In the last few weeks, Israel has demolished extensive areas of Gaza’s southernmost city, Rafah.
www.nytimes.com
May 15, 2025 at 3:57 PM
As a @kingscollegelondon.bsky.social PGR student, I am supporting this:
chng.it/SCV27VmhPJ
Full Pedestrianisation of Strand
Can you spare a minute to help this campaign?
chng.it
May 13, 2025 at 7:47 AM
The problem is not so much attacks on Maiduguri, but the insecurity of the myriad small and medium towns around it. They are all connected, and attacks in one sector or major road affect all of them. www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...
Fears of Boko Haram comeback stir in Nigerian birthplace of Maiduguri
Threat from jihadists had widely been perceived to be extinguished, but recent clashes suggest otherwise
www.theguardian.com
April 28, 2025 at 8:06 AM
Khartoum residents speak of widespread fear, looting and rape during RSF forces' presence in the city, which is one of Africa's largest and has just been recovered by Sadanese military. www.nytimes.com/2025/03/26/w...
Paramilitary Fighters Flee Sudan’s Capital, a Major Shift in Civil War
In dramatic scenes that appear to mark a turning point in nearly two years of civil war, Sudan’s military is driving fighters of its rival, the Rapid Support Forces, out of Khartoum.
www.nytimes.com
April 2, 2025 at 7:25 AM
Not another war, please.
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/17/w...
www.nytimes.com
March 18, 2025 at 9:31 AM
Wonderful rainbow on my way home today. London does have its weather wonders.
March 13, 2025 at 4:51 PM
Cities are at the forefront of climate risks and disasters in the current climate crisis: www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
Flood and drought risk increasing in cities, according to study
WaterAid worked with the University of Bristol and Cardiff University on the climate hazard research.
www.bbc.co.uk
March 13, 2025 at 12:54 PM
The @oecd-ocde.bsky.social States of Fragility 2025 report reflects the increasing global concern with urban insecurity.

It says rapid urbanisation requires urgent attention to security provision and offers opportunities for organised crime in cities.

www.oecd.org/en/publicati...
States of Fragility 2025
States of Fragility 2025 considers a world of shifting power dynamics, where the most severe impacts of crisis, conflict and instability converge in the 61 contexts identified with high and extreme fr...
www.oecd.org
February 25, 2025 at 8:15 AM
What better news could China get today than that the largest country in Latin America is deeply concerned about tariffs on its steel exports to the US? Brazil is a top exporter and the tariffs would be a watershed moment for the bilateral relationship.
oglobo.globo.com/economia/not...
Especialistas analisam ameaça de Trump de taxar aço: como fica o Brasil?
Presidente americano afirmou neste domingo que vai anunciar tarifas de 25% sobre aço e alumínio nesta segunda-feira; Brasil está entre os maiores fornecedores de aço para os EUA
oglobo.globo.com
February 10, 2025 at 8:07 AM
Urban areas are once again the frontlines of conflict in Sudan.

This means more fighting in densely inhabited areas, more urban infrastrucutre and housing that will have to be rebuilt and more displacement to other urban areas unprepared to cope. www.theguardian.com/world/2025/f...
Sudanese military reports sweeping gains in battle for capital
Army making rapid advances across the country and closing in on RSF-held Republican Palace in Khartoum
www.theguardian.com
February 7, 2025 at 3:29 PM
The gutting of US aid may well be one of the most impactful events in global politics, security and stability in years.

apple.news/ALIe_0gc-QJO...
Halt in US aid cripples global efforts to relieve hunger — Reuters
The Trump administration’s effort to slash and reshape American foreign aid is crippling the intricate global system that aims to prevent and respond to famine.
apple.news
February 7, 2025 at 11:09 AM
The study of urbicide and (problematic) postconflict urban reconstruction has a bright future ahead of it.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
Why does Donald Trump want to take over Gaza and could he do it?
The president's vision for a Gaza under US control could upend the future of Middle East relations.
www.bbc.co.uk
February 5, 2025 at 6:05 PM
The potential (some would say likely) proliferation of combat drones poses a human security risk to densely inhabited areas.
warontherocks.com/2025/02/the-... @warontherocks.bsky.social
The Coming Wave of Wartime Drone Expertise - War on the Rocks
On Aug. 4, 2018, a drone exploded over Avenida Bolívar in Caracas during a speech by Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. A second drone crashed and
warontherocks.com
February 4, 2025 at 8:58 AM
Reposted by Antônio Sampaio
I suspect USAID is first because it's "foreign aid" and fewer Americans will object. But once the precedent is established, expect unilateral dismantling of domestic institutions too
February 3, 2025 at 1:19 PM
It's often secondary cities and towns that suffer from conflict in rural areas. This seems to be the case with illicit economies and combat around Goma and Rubaya, DRC: globalinitiative.net/analysis/m23...
How organized crime fuels the M23 crisis in eastern DRC
M23's economic agenda also dictated the May 2024 seizure of Rubaya, a strategic mining town near Goma that produces 15 per cent of the world's coltan, a key component in the manufacture of electronic ...
globalinitiative.net
January 31, 2025 at 10:29 AM