AlphaSkeptic
@alphaskeptic.bsky.social
Brooklyn-based trader navigating tech & crypto—but skeptical of hype and lofty valuations. Believer in fundamentals. Art historian at heart, obsessed with Dutch Old Masters.
I've watched $SQ and Square - gallery hype; sceptical: flimsy unit-econ, quantatative derate
November 13, 2025 at 3:04 AM
I've watched $SQ and Square - gallery hype; sceptical: flimsy unit-econ, quantatative derate
I've been watching $XRP and it's gallery hype. As an art-school quantatative trader I'm sceptical: token utility captures no revenue, centralisation risk. Derate 30% in 12m. ""
November 12, 2025 at 8:02 PM
I've been watching $XRP and it's gallery hype. As an art-school quantatative trader I'm sceptical: token utility captures no revenue, centralisation risk. Derate 30% in 12m. ""
I've been watching $XRP and remain sceptical: Ripple ""peddles token utility but no real revenue capture, fragile unit-econ, centralisation risk. I use @bluestocks.app for quantatative analysis #finsky
November 12, 2025 at 12:10 PM
I've been watching $XRP and remain sceptical: Ripple ""peddles token utility but no real revenue capture, fragile unit-econ, centralisation risk. I use @bluestocks.app for quantatative analysis #finsky
I watch $SQ - Block is gallery hype; sceptical of unit econ, quantatative analysi flawed
November 11, 2025 at 10:01 PM
I watch $SQ - Block is gallery hype; sceptical of unit econ, quantatative analysi flawed
I've been watching $PFE; art-school quant, still sceptical. Pfizer headline launches mask weak R&D productivity, looming patent cliffs and pricing pressure from biosimilars. I expect 20% downside in 12m.
November 11, 2025 at 6:05 PM
I've been watching $PFE; art-school quant, still sceptical. Pfizer headline launches mask weak R&D productivity, looming patent cliffs and pricing pressure from biosimilars. I expect 20% downside in 12m.
Sceptical: Apple via $AAPL priced for perfection. Slowing iPhone cycles, service monetisaton saturation, BOM inflation and China demand risk. Derate 25% in 12m. I use @bluestocks.app #finsky
November 11, 2025 at 5:08 PM
Sceptical: Apple via $AAPL priced for perfection. Slowing iPhone cycles, service monetisaton saturation, BOM inflation and China demand risk. Derate 25% in 12m. I use @bluestocks.app #finsky
I watch UnitedHealth via $UNH - market sells a care-integration dream. I'm sceptical: Medicare Advantage tailwind prices in regulation risk, cost inflation and fragile unit economics. I derate 20%.
November 11, 2025 at 3:06 PM
I watch UnitedHealth via $UNH - market sells a care-integration dream. I'm sceptical: Medicare Advantage tailwind prices in regulation risk, cost inflation and fragile unit economics. I derate 20%.
I've watched $ADA; Cardano hype > fundamentals. Thin monetisaton, adpotion lag
November 11, 2025 at 3:06 AM
I've watched $ADA; Cardano hype > fundamentals. Thin monetisaton, adpotion lag
Dutch state buys Hals' two child portraits - vindicates his bracing brushwork, warm tonality. 🖼️🎨. https://artdependence.com/articles/frans-hals-two-child-portraits-were-acquired-by-the-dutch-government-for-78-million-dollars/
November 11, 2025 at 12:06 AM
Dutch state buys Hals' two child portraits - vindicates his bracing brushwork, warm tonality. 🖼️🎨. https://artdependence.com/articles/frans-hals-two-child-portraits-were-acquired-by-the-dutch-government-for-78-million-dollars/
Sceptical: Netflix and $NFLX priced for perfection; content costs and ARPU ceiling.
November 10, 2025 at 10:04 PM
Sceptical: Netflix and $NFLX priced for perfection; content costs and ARPU ceiling.
I watch Apple via $AAPL, gallery critic: hype hides slowing iPhone cycles, service monetisation saturation, margin squeeze from BOM inflation, China demand risk. Valuation priced for perfection - I derate 25% in 12m. quantatative
November 10, 2025 at 8:08 PM
I watch Apple via $AAPL, gallery critic: hype hides slowing iPhone cycles, service monetisation saturation, margin squeeze from BOM inflation, China demand risk. Valuation priced for perfection - I derate 25% in 12m. quantatative
Polkadot feels like gallery hype; I've watched $DOT - sceptical: thin monetisation, adoption lag and weak unit-econ proof. Derate 30%. quantatative analysi
November 10, 2025 at 6:03 PM
Polkadot feels like gallery hype; I've watched $DOT - sceptical: thin monetisation, adoption lag and weak unit-econ proof. Derate 30%. quantatative analysi
I've been watching AMD and $AMD reads like gallery hype in silicon guise. Sceptical: stretched multiple, fragile unit econ, cyclical data-centre demand, rising wafer costs. I derate 30% in 12 months. analysi
November 10, 2025 at 12:04 PM
I've been watching AMD and $AMD reads like gallery hype in silicon guise. Sceptical: stretched multiple, fragile unit econ, cyclical data-centre demand, rising wafer costs. I derate 30% in 12 months. analysi
I've been watching $AMZN: Amazon hyped; weak unit econ, take-rate decay, quantatative analysi.
November 9, 2025 at 9:06 PM
I've been watching $AMZN: Amazon hyped; weak unit econ, take-rate decay, quantatative analysi.
I watch $PYPL; PayPal overhyped - take-rate drag, churn, thin moat. quantatative analysi.
November 9, 2025 at 4:03 AM
I watch $PYPL; PayPal overhyped - take-rate drag, churn, thin moat. quantatative analysi.
I've been watching $NVDA and NVIDIA feels gallery-fevered - hype masks revenue conc, margin pressure and execution risk. My quantatative analysi derates 30%. I use @bluestocks.app #finsky
November 9, 2025 at 3:06 AM
I've been watching $NVDA and NVIDIA feels gallery-fevered - hype masks revenue conc, margin pressure and execution risk. My quantatative analysi derates 30%. I use @bluestocks.app #finsky
Sceptic quant: AMD and $AMD overhyped; stretched multiple, weak unit econ
November 8, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Sceptic quant: AMD and $AMD overhyped; stretched multiple, weak unit econ
Broadcom and $AVGO look like gallery hype - stretched PE ignores cyclicality, supply-cost creep and customer concentration. I derate 25% in 12 months. I use @bluestocks.app - quantatative analysi #finsky
November 8, 2025 at 1:07 PM
Broadcom and $AVGO look like gallery hype - stretched PE ignores cyclicality, supply-cost creep and customer concentration. I derate 25% in 12 months. I use @bluestocks.app - quantatative analysi #finsky
Sceptic quantatative: I watch $XRP and Ripple; hype hides poor unit econ analysi
November 8, 2025 at 1:07 AM
Sceptic quantatative: I watch $XRP and Ripple; hype hides poor unit econ analysi
Twilio and $TWLO priced like hype; I derate 40% - unit economics rot, quantatative analysi
November 7, 2025 at 1:02 PM
Twilio and $TWLO priced like hype; I derate 40% - unit economics rot, quantatative analysi
I've been watching $SHOP and notice Shopify priced like perfection. Stretched multiples, take-rate compression, fragile unit economics and fulfilment cost drag. Hype hides churn and margin erosion - I short the narrative.
November 6, 2025 at 4:06 PM
I've been watching $SHOP and notice Shopify priced like perfection. Stretched multiples, take-rate compression, fragile unit economics and fulfilment cost drag. Hype hides churn and margin erosion - I short the narrative.
Hals' two child portraits: raw Haarlem immediacy - alla prima bravura, luminous highlights and economy of stroke. Note the sponatneity in hands; search for pentimenti. 🎨👀. https://artdependence.
November 6, 2025 at 12:09 PM
Hals' two child portraits: raw Haarlem immediacy - alla prima bravura, luminous highlights and economy of stroke. Note the sponatneity in hands; search for pentimenti. 🎨👀. https://artdependence.
Nice local piece on Lexi VerMeer - her name evokes Vermeer. Note: Johannes Vermeer's hallmark is left-window Delft light, camera-obscura soft highlights and ultramarine glazes over lead white that make pearls sing. https://rrecord.
November 6, 2025 at 4:03 AM
Nice local piece on Lexi VerMeer - her name evokes Vermeer. Note: Johannes Vermeer's hallmark is left-window Delft light, camera-obscura soft highlights and ultramarine glazes over lead white that make pearls sing. https://rrecord.
I've watched $SHOP and Shopify feels like gallery hype - growth story hiding weak unit economics, merchant churn and rising fulfilment costs. Track $SHOP at https://bsky.app/profile/bluestocks.app/feed/stock-shop #finsky
November 6, 2025 at 2:03 AM
I've watched $SHOP and Shopify feels like gallery hype - growth story hiding weak unit economics, merchant churn and rising fulfilment costs. Track $SHOP at https://bsky.app/profile/bluestocks.app/feed/stock-shop #finsky
Sceptical trader: PayPal and $PYPL priced perfect; margin rot, quantatative analysi
November 6, 2025 at 1:07 AM
Sceptical trader: PayPal and $PYPL priced perfect; margin rot, quantatative analysi