Tara Sinclair
@tarasinc.bsky.social
Views expressed here are mine. Current department chair and economics prof. Former US Treasury and former Indeedian.
Economics
91%
Political science
3%
Tara Sinclair
@tarasinc.bsky.social
· Sep 15
FFC/2025: The 26th Federal Forecasters Conference | Center for Economic Research | Columbian College of Arts & Sciences | The George Washington University
Join the Federal Forecasters Consortium for FFC/2025: The 26th Federal Forecasters Conference.
cer.columbian.gwu.edu
Register now to join us at FFC/2025: The 26th Federal Forecasters Conference on October 9th! cer.columbian.gwu.edu/ffc2025-26th...
Tara Sinclair
@tarasinc.bsky.social
· Jan 14
Speakers at #NABE2025 will address a shifting trade landscape, geopolitical instabilities, the complexities of widespread AI adoption, as well as persistent inflation and escalating fiscal imbalances. Join us and explore how governments and businesses can adapt to these new and enduring pressures.
Tara Sinclair
@tarasinc.bsky.social
· Jan 14
#NABE2025 will explore the challenges and opportunities confronting leaders as they navigate an evolving global economy.
Tara Sinclair
@tarasinc.bsky.social
· Jan 14
Policy Conference 2025 Main Page - Conference Home
www.NABE.com
Join us for the 2025 NABE Economic Policy Conference, “Global Reset? New Dynamics Facing Business and Policy Leaders,” March 2-4 in Washington, DC! Register now! www.NABE.com/PC2025
Tara Sinclair
@tarasinc.bsky.social
· Jan 10
Employment Situation Summary
- 2024 M13 Results
www.bls.gov
Overall the report today looked like another set of data consistent with a soft landing.
Tara Sinclair
@tarasinc.bsky.social
· Jan 10
www2.gwu.edu
More resources to the statistical agencies could help them collect more data more quickly and provide better information for data-driven decisions. For other examples, see the slides my (very nerdy) talk from last October: "Real Time Economics: Tales from the Trenches".
Tara Sinclair
@tarasinc.bsky.social
· Jan 10
Statistical agencies face a timeliness versus accuracy tradeoff and provide the best estimates they can early on and as more information comes in they provide updates and revisions. They're doing incredible work on shoestring budgets.
Tara Sinclair
@tarasinc.bsky.social
· Jan 10
Employment Situation Summary
- 2024 M13 Results
www.bls.gov
Seasonal factor revisions strike again! Remember that increase in the U.S. unemployment rate in July to 4.3%? It ends up peak unemployment so far this cycle, based on updated seasonal adjustments, was just 4.2%. This is a challenge for policymakers watching every data release.
Reposted by Tara M. Sinclair
New Business Applications increased in November 2024 remaining at high levels relative to 2019. Applications in November 2024 for likely employers 46% higher than average month in 2019.
Tara Sinclair
@tarasinc.bsky.social
· Oct 28
Macro Musings with David Beckworth: Tara Sinclair on Real-time Economic Analysis and the Fed’s Upcoming Framework Review
Tara Sinclair is a professor of economics and international affairs at George Washington University, where she also directs the George Washington Center for Economic Research. From 2022 to 2024, Tara ...
macromusings.libsyn.com
I got my Macro Musings podcast nominal GDP targeting mug. Check out the episode here: macromusings.libsyn.com/tara-sinclai...
Tara Sinclair
@tarasinc.bsky.social
· Sep 25
Climate Conversations: The Macroeconomy
bit.ly
On 9/27 at 3pm ET, join us at #ClimateConversations: The Macroeconomy with Eric Kemp-Benedict, Gregor Semieniuk and me on how to better incorporate climate into #Economic models: bit.ly/cc-macroecon...
Tara Sinclair
@tarasinc.bsky.social
· Sep 23
Historic coffee prices percolated after a bitter global supply crisis : Beyond the Numbers: U.S. Bu...
Americans drink more coffee each day than any other beverage—including tap water. Since January 2021, U.S. coffee importers have faced an escalating cost for the hot commodity. Import prices increas...
www.bls.gov
no one:
BLS:
BLS: