Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
Head of Unit for Trade in Goods, Tariff Negotiations, #TBTs, Customs, #RoOs. Maker of #tradeXpresso. #Mode5. #GVCs4LDCs. Ex DG TRADE ChiefTradeEconomist. Opinions personal.
Economics
44%
Business
29%
Trade Policy 3.0: Three Scenarios for Tomorrowland
Global trade policy is at a crossroads. For decades, trade liberalisation was guided first by macroeconomic principles – Trade Policy 1.0 – and later by firm-level insights and global value chain
ecipe.org
#tradeXpresso: Global trade policy is at a crossroads. A new paradigm –Trade Policy 3.0– is emerging, based on resilience, economic security, geopolitical rivalries and weaponised dependencies.
New ECIPE brief🧾: How will trade policy evolve in Tomorrowland?
ecipe.org/publications...
New ECIPE brief🧾: How will trade policy evolve in Tomorrowland?
ecipe.org/publications...
#tradeXpresso: in Seoul these days trying to capture the complexity of global regulatory issues affecting world trade. In one chart.
Great engagement from Korean counterparts for stronger cooperation and trade facilitation initiatives, including new trade “mini-deals”!
ecipe.org/publications...
Great engagement from Korean counterparts for stronger cooperation and trade facilitation initiatives, including new trade “mini-deals”!
ecipe.org/publications...
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· Sep 28
Chart of the week: the pin art 🖼️ of the trade deal revealed! ecipe.org/publications...
I may need to redo this with taller 📌 for some pharma products!
I may need to redo this with taller 📌 for some pharma products!
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· Sep 18
#tradeXpresso: tariffs are simple till they aren’t. Have a look at the U.S. tariff landscape:
ecipe.org/publications...
ecipe.org/publications...
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· Aug 19
Interesting observation but there is one important difference though: it’s usually much more difficult to prevent transshipment of exports than imports.
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· Aug 18
I am truly impressed by how much people read during holidays.
Good job 👍 everyone on ResearchGate!
Good job 👍 everyone on ResearchGate!
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· Aug 8
#tradeXpresso: perfect timing for a new “mini-deal” that will facilitate trade between the European 🇪🇺 Union and Canada 🇨🇦.
lnkd.in/eCUty6VB
Still not sure how important are mini-deals for EU exporters? Check this out: ecipe.org/publications...
lnkd.in/eCUty6VB
Still not sure how important are mini-deals for EU exporters? Check this out: ecipe.org/publications...
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· Jul 18
Well, I am in charge of the trade in goods 📦. So, yeah, I guess I am in charge of #Mode5Services as well! kluwerlawonline.com/journalartic...
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· Jul 17
https://webgate.ec.europa.eu/procurementbuy…
5. The launch of the #Procurement4Buyers in 2025, a tool facilitating the implementation of all our international procurement rules: webgate.ec.europa.eu/procurementb...
Special thanks to Jakob Cornides for his lead on this important file!
Special thanks to Jakob Cornides for his lead on this important file!
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· Jul 17
Procurement
webgate.ec.europa.eu
4. The launch of the new #Access2Procurement tool in 2021, used by tens of thousands of EU companies interested in winning public contracts abroad: webgate.ec.europa.eu/procurement/...
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· Jul 17
3. The conclusion of several #FTAs with ambitious procurement chapters. Best outcome probably with New Zealand, kudos to @vangelisv.bsky.social for his commitment to a great FTA!
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· Jul 17
Implementing regulation - EU - 2025/1197 - EN - EUR-Lex
eur-lex.europa.eu
2. The imposition of the first #IPIMeasure in the MedTech sector: eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg_impl...
With special thanks to Lilia Petrova, the lead IPI investigator!
With special thanks to Lilia Petrova, the lead IPI investigator!
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· Jul 17
Regulation - 2022/1031 - EN - EUR-Lex
eur-lex.europa.eu
1. The adoption of the International Procurement Instrument #IPI in 2022, against all odds, after a decade of inter-institutional negotiations: eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2022...
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· Jul 17
#tradeXpresso: It's time for a new role at DG Trade. Starting a new position as Head of Trade in Goods, Tariff Negotiations, #TBT, Customs and #RoOs!
Wishing the best to my former #PublicProcurement dream team, with whom I shared a number of successes over the years: (1/x)
Wishing the best to my former #PublicProcurement dream team, with whom I shared a number of successes over the years: (1/x)
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· Jul 1
#tradeXpresso: big crowd at the Global Digital Collaboration #GDC25 event in Geneva!
Key trade topics today:
🔹cross-border interoperability
🔹traceability across global supply chains
It’s high time we walk the talk on trade and technology in Europe: ecipe.org/publications...
Key trade topics today:
🔹cross-border interoperability
🔹traceability across global supply chains
It’s high time we walk the talk on trade and technology in Europe: ecipe.org/publications...
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· Jun 26
#tradeXpresso: EU experts are working hard with WTO partners to remove key #TBT barriers that significantly affect over € 40bn of EU exports. As in the past, successful multilateral cooperation continues behind the trade war headlines!
www.ceps.eu/ceps-publica...
www.ceps.eu/ceps-publica...
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· Jun 20
Commission restricts Chinese participation in medical devices procurement
The European Commission decided to exclude Chinese companies from EU government purchases of medical devices exceeding €5 million. This measure follows the conclusions of the first investigation under...
ec.europa.eu
#tradeXpresso: the European Commission adopted the first measures under the International Procurement Instrument #IPI.
The measures will be legally applicable in 10 days from the date of publication.
ec.europa.eu/commission/p...
The measures will be legally applicable in 10 days from the date of publication.
ec.europa.eu/commission/p...
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· Jun 13
#tradeXpresso: three insights from a “trade and jobs” chart.
♦️The EU has the highest stakes in a functioning global trading system.
♦️1 in 20 jobs in Europe depends on transatlantic trade.
♦️ But RoW is 4x more important, so every trade deal counts!
ecipe.org/wp-content/u...
♦️The EU has the highest stakes in a functioning global trading system.
♦️1 in 20 jobs in Europe depends on transatlantic trade.
♦️ But RoW is 4x more important, so every trade deal counts!
ecipe.org/wp-content/u...
Reposted by Lucian Cernat
Tom Jenkins
@tomoljenkins.bsky.social
· May 29
Great work by @lcernat.bsky.social showing how Trump's tariffs would be affected by the US Trade Court decision
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· May 29
Chart du jour: when it comes to US tariffs, nobody really knows anything (for sure).
But this is how US tariffs could look like if today's US Court of International Trade ruling will roll back tariffs prior to the Liberation Day.
Source: Based on the IMF-WTO Tariff Tracker.
But this is how US tariffs could look like if today's US Court of International Trade ruling will roll back tariffs prior to the Liberation Day.
Source: Based on the IMF-WTO Tariff Tracker.
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· May 27
At first sight, I almost assumed you sent this MFN from Cancun…
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· May 25
#tradeXpresso: chart du jour - currently applied #tariffs by the United States 🇺🇸.
Source: based on the IMF-WTO Tariff Tracker. Simple averages across all products. May 2025.
Source: based on the IMF-WTO Tariff Tracker. Simple averages across all products. May 2025.
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· May 21
I am all in for #MUFC tonite!
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· Apr 30
Regulatory Cooperation Forum: Stakeholders debrief meeting
The seventh annual meeting of the Regulatory Cooperation Forum (RCF) will take place in Brussels on Wednesday 14 May 2025. Established under the Canada-European Union (EU) Comprehensive Economic and T...
policy.trade.ec.europa.eu
#tradeXpresso: if you hurry up, you still have time to register for the next CETA Regulatory Cooperation Forum with Canada 🇨🇦!
We have over 7️⃣0️⃣ 0️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ EU firms (most of them SMEs) that export to Canada and we want to reach out to all of EU!
policy.trade.ec.europa.eu/events/regul...
We have over 7️⃣0️⃣ 0️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ EU firms (most of them SMEs) that export to Canada and we want to reach out to all of EU!
policy.trade.ec.europa.eu/events/regul...
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· Apr 9
#tradeXpresso: in turbulent times every trade agreement counts for EU companies and #procurement offers big opportunities!
Today we have added to our #Access2Procurement tool Albania 🇦🇱 BiH 🇧🇦 Serbia 🇷🇸 Kosovo 🇽🇰 North Macedonia 🇲🇰 Norway 🇳🇴 Iceland 🇮🇸 Liechtenstein 🇱🇮
webgate.ec.europa.eu/procurement/...
Today we have added to our #Access2Procurement tool Albania 🇦🇱 BiH 🇧🇦 Serbia 🇷🇸 Kosovo 🇽🇰 North Macedonia 🇲🇰 Norway 🇳🇴 Iceland 🇮🇸 Liechtenstein 🇱🇮
webgate.ec.europa.eu/procurement/...
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· Mar 31
#tradeXpresso: On my way to an interesting event today, to discuss our future trade priorities with key EU industries.
The stakes are really high for both manufacturing and services sectors!
I don’t have a crystal ball so I will rely on this: ecipe.org/publications...
The stakes are really high for both manufacturing and services sectors!
I don’t have a crystal ball so I will rely on this: ecipe.org/publications...
Lucian Cernat
@lcernat.bsky.social
· Mar 29
#tradeXpresso: chart du jour. The top world importer of goods and services is…