I agree. But…
My cohort tends not to trust your cohort. Your cohort can be dismissive of mine. If the regulation is coming from your cohort, most of my cohort will be suspicious.
I think we need more people like us who are somewhere in between acting like translators or mediators in both directions.
My cohort tends not to trust your cohort. Your cohort can be dismissive of mine. If the regulation is coming from your cohort, most of my cohort will be suspicious.
I think we need more people like us who are somewhere in between acting like translators or mediators in both directions.
November 27, 2025 at 9:57 PM
I agree. But…
My cohort tends not to trust your cohort. Your cohort can be dismissive of mine. If the regulation is coming from your cohort, most of my cohort will be suspicious.
I think we need more people like us who are somewhere in between acting like translators or mediators in both directions.
My cohort tends not to trust your cohort. Your cohort can be dismissive of mine. If the regulation is coming from your cohort, most of my cohort will be suspicious.
I think we need more people like us who are somewhere in between acting like translators or mediators in both directions.
Yep, it’s concerning. Probably a good idea for both to socialise with each other over a beer or a single malt.
Kind of an exposure therapy.
Kind of an exposure therapy.
November 27, 2025 at 6:08 AM
Yep, it’s concerning. Probably a good idea for both to socialise with each other over a beer or a single malt.
Kind of an exposure therapy.
Kind of an exposure therapy.
I suppose it will depend on how it’s framed. Trust/distrust in who or what? I guess it will be revealed when I read it.
October 30, 2025 at 9:29 AM
I suppose it will depend on how it’s framed. Trust/distrust in who or what? I guess it will be revealed when I read it.
I would predict that trust/confidence would be a major contributing factor. Looking forward to reading this one.
October 30, 2025 at 9:14 AM
I would predict that trust/confidence would be a major contributing factor. Looking forward to reading this one.
The collection of biological material and associated processes that are contained within the boundary of your skin.
October 21, 2025 at 11:46 PM
The collection of biological material and associated processes that are contained within the boundary of your skin.
I find it most useful when I ask it to check the accuracy of my framing or for criticism.
But then I get praise like
“You humility is one of your sharpest tools- and you wield it with precision…..”
But then I get praise like
“You humility is one of your sharpest tools- and you wield it with precision…..”
October 9, 2025 at 6:26 PM
I find it most useful when I ask it to check the accuracy of my framing or for criticism.
But then I get praise like
“You humility is one of your sharpest tools- and you wield it with precision…..”
But then I get praise like
“You humility is one of your sharpest tools- and you wield it with precision…..”
I look at this problem through the lens of predictive models of cognition. I’ve seen the same trait in conspiracy believers, cult members and people on the political extremes. Overly precise priors and and inability to consider that they might be wrong.
I’ve just started the paper, it looks good.
I’ve just started the paper, it looks good.
October 9, 2025 at 5:57 PM
I look at this problem through the lens of predictive models of cognition. I’ve seen the same trait in conspiracy believers, cult members and people on the political extremes. Overly precise priors and and inability to consider that they might be wrong.
I’ve just started the paper, it looks good.
I’ve just started the paper, it looks good.
I’ll put this on top of my ‘to read’ folder.
Have you considered that treating certain types of information as a disease could be a misdiagnosis that makes dealing with false and misleading claims more difficult?
Have you considered that treating certain types of information as a disease could be a misdiagnosis that makes dealing with false and misleading claims more difficult?
October 9, 2025 at 5:34 PM
I’ll put this on top of my ‘to read’ folder.
Have you considered that treating certain types of information as a disease could be a misdiagnosis that makes dealing with false and misleading claims more difficult?
Have you considered that treating certain types of information as a disease could be a misdiagnosis that makes dealing with false and misleading claims more difficult?
Did you mean ‘evidence’ instead of proof?
September 5, 2025 at 5:51 AM
Did you mean ‘evidence’ instead of proof?
This sounds like a righteous cause, which is why it is particularly concerning.
We know how to add to and refine knowledge and this isn’t it.
We know how to add to and refine knowledge and this isn’t it.
June 21, 2025 at 10:18 PM
This sounds like a righteous cause, which is why it is particularly concerning.
We know how to add to and refine knowledge and this isn’t it.
We know how to add to and refine knowledge and this isn’t it.
That makes more sense.
June 21, 2025 at 4:42 AM
That makes more sense.
Not sure I follow. Are you referring to Collin Craig's Conservative Party?
My recollection was Craig caused that party to implode, and it was never that much of a threat.
My recollection was Craig caused that party to implode, and it was never that much of a threat.
June 21, 2025 at 3:29 AM
Not sure I follow. Are you referring to Collin Craig's Conservative Party?
My recollection was Craig caused that party to implode, and it was never that much of a threat.
My recollection was Craig caused that party to implode, and it was never that much of a threat.
‘A small dose of Malcolm Gladwell’ can give you an overgeneralisation and misunderstanding that can last a lifetime.
June 21, 2025 at 3:04 AM
‘A small dose of Malcolm Gladwell’ can give you an overgeneralisation and misunderstanding that can last a lifetime.
They didn’t, it’s just garden variety polarisation. She was disliked by the right from the beginning. As she gained international recognition, the dislike increased.
No surprise that many NZers on the left still hold her in very high regard.
No surprise that many NZers on the left still hold her in very high regard.
June 21, 2025 at 2:25 AM
They didn’t, it’s just garden variety polarisation. She was disliked by the right from the beginning. As she gained international recognition, the dislike increased.
No surprise that many NZers on the left still hold her in very high regard.
No surprise that many NZers on the left still hold her in very high regard.
I think it should be minimised where appropriate. That said, I prefer jargon to imprecise terms which can lead to over generalisation and the illusion of comprehension.
June 12, 2025 at 9:39 PM
I think it should be minimised where appropriate. That said, I prefer jargon to imprecise terms which can lead to over generalisation and the illusion of comprehension.
An important project, although I think it’s only part of the problem.
Perhaps we need to address the polarisation first. What is it that makes people only care about knowledge, facts & evidence that makes ‘us’ look good & ‘them’ look bad?
I suspect it’s an intolerance of uncertainty.
Perhaps we need to address the polarisation first. What is it that makes people only care about knowledge, facts & evidence that makes ‘us’ look good & ‘them’ look bad?
I suspect it’s an intolerance of uncertainty.
June 9, 2025 at 8:57 AM
An important project, although I think it’s only part of the problem.
Perhaps we need to address the polarisation first. What is it that makes people only care about knowledge, facts & evidence that makes ‘us’ look good & ‘them’ look bad?
I suspect it’s an intolerance of uncertainty.
Perhaps we need to address the polarisation first. What is it that makes people only care about knowledge, facts & evidence that makes ‘us’ look good & ‘them’ look bad?
I suspect it’s an intolerance of uncertainty.
Looks like the kind of article that I should read, although won't enjoy reading.
I wonder what kind of beliefs this represents?
I wonder what kind of beliefs this represents?
June 7, 2025 at 12:39 AM
Looks like the kind of article that I should read, although won't enjoy reading.
I wonder what kind of beliefs this represents?
I wonder what kind of beliefs this represents?
This study appears to be a big step in the right direction. It would be good to observe overconfident participants in an fMRI, possibly while doing the GOT measure. Interested to see if there is a correlation with dopamine in the ventral striatum & overconfidence as you have framed it.
June 1, 2025 at 9:38 PM
This study appears to be a big step in the right direction. It would be good to observe overconfident participants in an fMRI, possibly while doing the GOT measure. Interested to see if there is a correlation with dopamine in the ventral striatum & overconfidence as you have framed it.
I think framing it as a something that needs a cure is a suboptimal approach. It implies disease and sickness.
I suspect framing it as beneficial skills to learn such as tolerance of uncertainty or actively open minded thinking may be a more effective.
I suspect framing it as beneficial skills to learn such as tolerance of uncertainty or actively open minded thinking may be a more effective.
May 31, 2025 at 8:48 AM
I think framing it as a something that needs a cure is a suboptimal approach. It implies disease and sickness.
I suspect framing it as beneficial skills to learn such as tolerance of uncertainty or actively open minded thinking may be a more effective.
I suspect framing it as beneficial skills to learn such as tolerance of uncertainty or actively open minded thinking may be a more effective.
Looking forward to this one.
I wonder are you framing overconfidence as an overly precise prior (Bayesian models of belief / delusion) or more of a general personality trait?
I suppose the answer will lie in the article about how you measure overconfidence.
I wonder are you framing overconfidence as an overly precise prior (Bayesian models of belief / delusion) or more of a general personality trait?
I suppose the answer will lie in the article about how you measure overconfidence.
May 31, 2025 at 8:36 AM
Looking forward to this one.
I wonder are you framing overconfidence as an overly precise prior (Bayesian models of belief / delusion) or more of a general personality trait?
I suppose the answer will lie in the article about how you measure overconfidence.
I wonder are you framing overconfidence as an overly precise prior (Bayesian models of belief / delusion) or more of a general personality trait?
I suppose the answer will lie in the article about how you measure overconfidence.
What a strange quote. It implies that 'our' side is not very good at telling the truth. If so, I suppose that is progress of a kind.
I think the main contributing factor is enhanced polarization, which can be seen in quote. We lose when we see ourselves as us and them.
I think the main contributing factor is enhanced polarization, which can be seen in quote. We lose when we see ourselves as us and them.
May 26, 2025 at 12:05 AM
What a strange quote. It implies that 'our' side is not very good at telling the truth. If so, I suppose that is progress of a kind.
I think the main contributing factor is enhanced polarization, which can be seen in quote. We lose when we see ourselves as us and them.
I think the main contributing factor is enhanced polarization, which can be seen in quote. We lose when we see ourselves as us and them.