zachwick
zachwick.bsky.social
zachwick
@zachwick.bsky.social
Now: building sports betting tools at @BtrBet
Previously: local legislator, stripe, grad school x2
Reposted by zachwick
We only know of one service that lets you line shop 250+ books, exchanges, and prediction markets simultaneously with built in bet tracking and automatic recaps all for free.

We also know that there’s only one game to watch today. How are you betting better on The Big Game?
November 29, 2025 at 4:05 PM
Performance through 41 bets from a recency-weighted Bayesian model for pitcher K's. Not too shabby for a first attempt at modeling this market, but we'll see how it continues to hold up over the next few weeks.

Performance: app.btrbet.app/community/c...
Code: github.com/btrbet/Models
July 7, 2025 at 9:20 PM
Continuing to experiment with this recency-weighted Bayesian model for pitcher K's. So far, it's down 1.44% after 41 bets. I'm going to keep trying it out until I've placed >= 100 bets with it before deciding what refinements it might need.

Today's bets: app.btrbet.app/community/c...
July 7, 2025 at 8:56 PM
Took a few days off from testing the new recency-weighted Bayesian pitcher K's model to have a baby, but back to testing as he sleeps on me.

Code: github.com/btrbet/Models
Bets: app.btrbet.app/community/c...
GitHub - btrbet/Models: A collection of example betting models
A collection of example betting models. Contribute to btrbet/Models development by creating an account on GitHub.
github.com
July 5, 2025 at 3:43 PM
Testing a new recency-weighted Bayesian model for pitcher K's. Check the code: github.com/btrbet/Models and bets: app.btrbet.app/community/c.... Thanks to @btrbetapp for bet tagging and Recaps for performance evaluation. #MLB #Betting #Analytics
GitHub - btrbet/Models: A collection of example betting models
A collection of example betting models. Contribute to btrbet/Models development by creating an account on GitHub.
github.com
July 2, 2025 at 9:44 PM
Shane Baz is averaging 0.926 K/IP and 5.0 K/GP.

Over his last five games (going back to 2025-05-18), he's averaging 0.717 K/IP and 3.8 K/GP.

See my bet at app.btrbet.app/community/c...
June 15, 2025 at 4:10 PM
Griffin Canning is averaging 0.952 K/IP and 4.692 K/GP.

Over his last five games (going back to 2025-05-17), he's averaging 1.098 K/IP and 3.8 K/GP.

See my bet at app.btrbet.app/community/c...
June 15, 2025 at 4:09 PM
I started building @btrbet.bsky.social because I wanted two things:
1. A way to track all of my bets that wasn't a spreadsheet.
2. A way to line shop that was integrated into my betting process.

I'm very proud that BtrBet does both and more, for every bettor, for free.
Line shopping across multiple sportsbooks is the easiest way to start betting better.
If you're not line shopping, you're leaving money on the table. Here's why every bettor should line shop: 🧵
January 13, 2025 at 5:08 PM
Dogfooding your product is exciting in two ways: you build a better product through user empathy and get to experience success using the product just like your users do.

Apropos, it has been a great NCAAMB season so far!

app.btrbet.app/community/cm...
app.btrbet.app
November 18, 2024 at 3:29 PM