To win majority govt the Coalition needs a 8.96% 2PP swing or a 53.71% 2PP, which is even larger than the Coalition 2PP in its landslide victories in 1996 and 2013. #auspol

To drive Labor into minority govt, the Coalition needs a 6.25% 2PP swing or 51% 2PP. To win more seats than Labor the Coalition needs a 7.20% 2PP swing or 51.95% 2PP. #auspol

Whether it is a referendum on deporting dual citizens or scaling back work from home arrangements for public servants, Dutton keeps coming up with thought bubbles that costs the Coalition votes and causes internal division for the Coalition. #auspol

Coalition plans to roll back work-from-home arrangements for public servants have cost the coalition support and helped Labor gain ground in outer suburban areas that are crucial for the Coalition winning govt. #auspol aapnews.aap.com.au/news/suburbs...

A Liberal figure called it “insane” and even Dutton’s Shadow Cabinet Ministers refused to fully support it saying it was a “last resort”. #auspol