Walter Deemer
@walterdeemer.bsky.social
Retired institutional market analyst (1964-2016)
Pinned
Walter Deemer
@walterdeemer.bsky.social
· Nov 17
(c)2002-2019, DTR Inc. All Rights Reserved
walterdeemer.com
My reference material on the web:
Weekly Fidelity Select Portfolios relative strength tables: walterdeemer.com/fidorels.htm
My public StockCharts list: Indexes, indicators, bellwethers:
stockcharts.com/public/1200758
And a brazen effort to get you to buy my books: walterdeemer.com
Weekly Fidelity Select Portfolios relative strength tables: walterdeemer.com/fidorels.htm
My public StockCharts list: Indexes, indicators, bellwethers:
stockcharts.com/public/1200758
And a brazen effort to get you to buy my books: walterdeemer.com
Reposted by Walter Deemer
My mentor in the markets always said foreigners and dentists are the last to buy.
'Known for their high-risk tolerance, herd behaviour and use of leverage, South Korean traders have piled into US markets this year, accounting for a significant slice of the trading in some of Wall Street’s most volatile stocks.’ www.ft.com/content/833b...
November 13, 2025 at 2:01 PM
My mentor in the markets always said foreigners and dentists are the last to buy.
Reposted by Walter Deemer
Another A-D Line divergence bites the dust.
October 25, 2025 at 11:56 AM
Another A-D Line divergence bites the dust.
Reposted by Walter Deemer
3/ Gold/SPX deflected at decade-old resistance near 0.65, increasing the significance of this threshold to my way of thinking.
October 22, 2025 at 12:50 PM
3/ Gold/SPX deflected at decade-old resistance near 0.65, increasing the significance of this threshold to my way of thinking.
Reposted by Walter Deemer
Today's Miller Lite stat o' the day
1.26
the number of times the entire float of Beyond Meat (393 million shares) has traded so far today.
Casino open.
1.26
the number of times the entire float of Beyond Meat (393 million shares) has traded so far today.
Casino open.
October 21, 2025 at 2:01 PM
Today's Miller Lite stat o' the day
1.26
the number of times the entire float of Beyond Meat (393 million shares) has traded so far today.
Casino open.
1.26
the number of times the entire float of Beyond Meat (393 million shares) has traded so far today.
Casino open.
Reposted by Walter Deemer
Around the world in relative strength. Will major non-U.S. segments confirm their nascent reversals versus SPX? #WatchingPaintDry
October 19, 2025 at 12:06 PM
Around the world in relative strength. Will major non-U.S. segments confirm their nascent reversals versus SPX? #WatchingPaintDry
Reposted by Walter Deemer
$GLD has 269 positive mentions on r/WSB over the past 12 hours.
The next 19-most mentioned tickers have 315 positive references <combined>
The next 19-most mentioned tickers have 315 positive references <combined>
October 17, 2025 at 2:46 PM
$GLD has 269 positive mentions on r/WSB over the past 12 hours.
The next 19-most mentioned tickers have 315 positive references <combined>
The next 19-most mentioned tickers have 315 positive references <combined>
Reposted by Walter Deemer
The current advance is youthful if counted from April 2025 but mature if counted from Oct 2022. A near-classic sequence of breadth washout, breadth thrust, price momentum, and breadth recovery suggest that April 2025 was in fact a cyclical reset. What would negate this thesis?
October 7, 2025 at 1:11 PM
The current advance is youthful if counted from April 2025 but mature if counted from Oct 2022. A near-classic sequence of breadth washout, breadth thrust, price momentum, and breadth recovery suggest that April 2025 was in fact a cyclical reset. What would negate this thesis?
Reposted by Walter Deemer
Nvidia and Apple contributed 58 basis points of the 46 basis points in total return for the $SPY today
September 22, 2025 at 8:29 PM
Nvidia and Apple contributed 58 basis points of the 46 basis points in total return for the $SPY today
Reposted by Walter Deemer
Gold seems extended but could run further, if history is any guide. The millennial-decade bull market featured three run-ups extending >62% above 200-week trend. A 62% extension currently targets 3920, plus 50 points per month to reflect rising 200wma.
September 16, 2025 at 11:59 AM
Gold seems extended but could run further, if history is any guide. The millennial-decade bull market featured three run-ups extending >62% above 200-week trend. A 62% extension currently targets 3920, plus 50 points per month to reflect rising 200wma.
Will this bull market ever end?
The 3 traditional reasons:
1) Fed tightening,
2) Rampant speculation (a la 2000), and
3) A recession.
The Fed ain’t gonna tighten… and speculation’s not rampant a la 2000.
But #3?
Well, the stock market **is** a leading economic indicator...
The 3 traditional reasons:
1) Fed tightening,
2) Rampant speculation (a la 2000), and
3) A recession.
The Fed ain’t gonna tighten… and speculation’s not rampant a la 2000.
But #3?
Well, the stock market **is** a leading economic indicator...
September 11, 2025 at 6:13 PM
Will this bull market ever end?
The 3 traditional reasons:
1) Fed tightening,
2) Rampant speculation (a la 2000), and
3) A recession.
The Fed ain’t gonna tighten… and speculation’s not rampant a la 2000.
But #3?
Well, the stock market **is** a leading economic indicator...
The 3 traditional reasons:
1) Fed tightening,
2) Rampant speculation (a la 2000), and
3) A recession.
The Fed ain’t gonna tighten… and speculation’s not rampant a la 2000.
But #3?
Well, the stock market **is** a leading economic indicator...
74% downside day at 12:10. DVOL/(UVOL+DVOL); Lowry’s definition. Data per wsj.com. See cmtassociation.org/wp-content/u... for explanation.
The Wall Street Journal - Breaking News, Business, Financial & Economic News, World News and Video
Breaking news and analysis from the U.S. and around the world at WSJ.com. Politics, Economics, Markets, Life & Arts, and in-depth reporting.
wsj.com
September 2, 2025 at 4:30 PM
74% downside day at 12:10. DVOL/(UVOL+DVOL); Lowry’s definition. Data per wsj.com. See cmtassociation.org/wp-content/u... for explanation.
To fill this morning’s gaps, $SPY would have to rally to 643.14 and $QQQ to 568.54. How quickly the gaps get filled -- if at all – gives us an idea of how strong the underlying trend is.
September 2, 2025 at 1:41 PM
To fill this morning’s gaps, $SPY would have to rally to 643.14 and $QQQ to 568.54. How quickly the gaps get filled -- if at all – gives us an idea of how strong the underlying trend is.
RIP, NY Times Mini Crossword. Plenty of free alternatives out there, like www.latimes.com/games/mini-c.... #NYTimesPaywallSucks
Mini Crossword
Challenge yourself every day with a free mini version of the classic crossword puzzle.
www.latimes.com
August 27, 2025 at 6:59 PM
RIP, NY Times Mini Crossword. Plenty of free alternatives out there, like www.latimes.com/games/mini-c.... #NYTimesPaywallSucks
Are Intel bonds now 10% Treasuries? Asking for a friend...
August 25, 2025 at 4:09 PM
Are Intel bonds now 10% Treasuries? Asking for a friend...
Reposted by Walter Deemer
Friday was a 91.5% upside day, which we usually see towards the beginning of a move, not after an extended one. (I report; you decide.) UVOL/(UVOL+DVOL); Lowry’s definition. Data per wsj.com. See cmtassociation.org/wp-content/u... for explanation.
The Wall Street Journal - Breaking News, Business, Financial & Economic News, World News and Video
Breaking news and analysis from the U.S. and around the world at WSJ.com. Politics, Economics, Markets, Life & Arts, and in-depth reporting.
wsj.com
August 24, 2025 at 4:58 PM
Friday was a 91.5% upside day, which we usually see towards the beginning of a move, not after an extended one. (I report; you decide.) UVOL/(UVOL+DVOL); Lowry’s definition. Data per wsj.com. See cmtassociation.org/wp-content/u... for explanation.
96% upside day at 10:30. UVOL/(UVOL+DVOL); Lowry’s definition. Data per wsj.com. See cmtassociation.org/wp-content/u... for explanation. (Link has been updated.) Can also follow @HamzeiAnalytics.
The Wall Street Journal - Breaking News, Business, Financial & Economic News, World News and Video
Breaking news and analysis from the U.S. and around the world at WSJ.com. Politics, Economics, Markets, Life & Arts, and in-depth reporting.
wsj.com
August 22, 2025 at 2:49 PM
96% upside day at 10:30. UVOL/(UVOL+DVOL); Lowry’s definition. Data per wsj.com. See cmtassociation.org/wp-content/u... for explanation. (Link has been updated.) Can also follow @HamzeiAnalytics.
If at first you don't succeed, try, try, try again?
August 20, 2025 at 2:46 PM
If at first you don't succeed, try, try, try again?
I am seeing some concern regarding some breadth measures. I don't follow the more esoteric things like S&P-only breadth (index-related activity makes all 500 stocks move at once), and the all NYSE issues A-D line is currently a not-yet-concerning 1427 net advances below its high.
August 19, 2025 at 3:09 PM
I am seeing some concern regarding some breadth measures. I don't follow the more esoteric things like S&P-only breadth (index-related activity makes all 500 stocks move at once), and the all NYSE issues A-D line is currently a not-yet-concerning 1427 net advances below its high.
Today’s Wordle word is a word Wordle had no use using…
August 13, 2025 at 7:22 PM
Today’s Wordle word is a word Wordle had no use using…
Just wanted to point out that $IT was in a well-defined downtrend long before the sky fell in. To paraphrase Dave Keller: "Bad things happen to stocks in downtrends."
August 12, 2025 at 4:07 PM
Just wanted to point out that $IT was in a well-defined downtrend long before the sky fell in. To paraphrase Dave Keller: "Bad things happen to stocks in downtrends."
Reposted by Walter Deemer
UST30Y, long-term perspective.
August 11, 2025 at 10:04 AM
UST30Y, long-term perspective.
Both gaps have been filled. Phil D. Gapp (legendary technical analyst) is taking the rest of the day off.
To fill this morning’s gaps, $SPY would have to decline to 633.44 and $QQQ to 567.76. How quickly the gaps get filled -- if at all – gives us an idea of how strong the underlying trend is.
August 7, 2025 at 5:03 PM
Both gaps have been filled. Phil D. Gapp (legendary technical analyst) is taking the rest of the day off.
To fill this morning’s gaps, $SPY would have to decline to 633.44 and $QQQ to 567.76. How quickly the gaps get filled -- if at all – gives us an idea of how strong the underlying trend is.
August 7, 2025 at 1:48 PM
To fill this morning’s gaps, $SPY would have to decline to 633.44 and $QQQ to 567.76. How quickly the gaps get filled -- if at all – gives us an idea of how strong the underlying trend is.
Gapology 101: The takeaway from a gap is how quickly it gets filled -- if at all. This tells us how strong the underlying trend is. (Gaps not filled quickly=strong underlying trend.) There is no law whatsoever that says long-ago gaps **must** be filled. None whatsoever.
August 6, 2025 at 4:19 PM
Gapology 101: The takeaway from a gap is how quickly it gets filled -- if at all. This tells us how strong the underlying trend is. (Gaps not filled quickly=strong underlying trend.) There is no law whatsoever that says long-ago gaps **must** be filled. None whatsoever.