Thomas Warrick
tomwarrickac.bsky.social
Thomas Warrick
@tomwarrickac.bsky.social
Atlantic Council Nonresident Senior Fellow in Middle East Programs and Director, Future of DHS Project.

Former State Department Senior Advisor, former DHS Deputy Assistant Secretary for Counterterrorism Policy.

Reposts do not imply endorsement.
2 of 2: This includes who gets contracts, who controls tax revenues, and who gets key government appointments. Keeping the money out of Hamas’s hands is a key to peace.
November 7, 2025 at 10:20 PM
I got to point out that all science fiction stories about such people never turn out well.
October 31, 2025 at 12:51 AM
The Israeli reduction in aid into Gaza is not the greatest danger to the ceasefire right now, but if Hamas is living up to the deal, Trump seems prepared to keep Israel on track. Right now, though, Hamas is dangerously close to striking out.
October 14, 2025 at 8:59 PM
Not turning over remains of almost all hostages in the next couple of days could be strike 1. Continuing executions could be strike 2. Not laying down weapons could be strike 3.
October 14, 2025 at 8:59 PM
2/4 If Hamas does not live up to the terms of the Trump 20-point plan, Trump could let Israel resume attacking Hamas fighters. Hamas needs to understand what “three strikes and you’re out” means.
October 14, 2025 at 8:59 PM
3 / 3 The world needs to build Tony Blair @InstituteGC’s Gaza Int'l Transitional Authority and its security force. If Hamas lays down weapons, good. If not, #GITA and the ISF should get ready to deploy to the parts of Gaza free of Hamas, and begin Gaza’s physical and social reconstruction.
October 9, 2025 at 4:16 AM
2 / 3 Signs are Hamas wants to keep the weapons. But the world is calling on Hamas to disarm. There is no prospect that Arab governments will contribute to Gaza’s reconstruction if Hamas can re-take power, and then attack Israel, then Israel will destroy whatever was rebuilt.
October 9, 2025 at 4:16 AM
Second question: Will Hamas agree to lay down its weapons? If not, Israel will say Hamas rejects @realDonaldTrump's plan.

It baffles me why some think the pressure Monday will be on Israel. It will be on Hamas.
October 4, 2025 at 9:59 PM
6/6 There are many issues that could hold up peace. Hamas made no mention of laying down its arms, for example. But if this misunderstanding over sequencing is not clarified quickly, it could derail progress towards Trump’s peace deal, which, as Trump said, is the best available deal for peace.
October 4, 2025 at 2:10 AM
5/6 I said that Qatar, Egypt, and Türkiye mediators should seek immediate clarification whether Hamas agrees to the sequencing President Trump has in mind. We have two days until Trump’s deadline of Sunday 6 pm EDT.
October 4, 2025 at 2:10 AM
4/6 Looking at the tone of Hamas’s response, it’s clear they were trying to be respectful to President Trump. And his response to Hamas reciprocates this respect.
October 4, 2025 at 2:10 AM